Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Tuesday - June 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (5/9/10/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/10/4/1)-(5/9/10/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/10/4/1)-(5/9/10/4/1)-(5/9/10/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/10/4/1)-(1/3/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/10/4/1)-(1/3/8/4)-(3/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/8/4)-(3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8/4)-(3/7/4)-(1/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(1/2/6)-(1/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(1/6/3)-(5/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(5/3/2)-(2/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(2/4/3)-(7/1/3/5/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-7   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(7/1/3/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/1/3/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/5/2)-(7/1/3/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/5/2)-(7/1/3/5/2)-(7/1/3/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   06/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSHINE JOE May19 Apr30 Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 (szczepansk)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  SEEKING FREEDOM May19 Apr30 Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 30.00    
SO CO MANHATTAN Feb26 Jan27 Dec26 Nov21   (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 119 4.00    
VERNON'S BEST Jun04 Apr22 Apr10 Mar12 Dec26 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 4.50 7% 13.90    
MISTER ZAZU May26 Apr29 Mar26 Mar12 Jul22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  AGNELLO CITY Sep26 Sep05 Aug19 Jul25 Jul01 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 30.00    
SADIE'S SILVER KID May29 May12 Jul15 Jun26 Jun08 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
BOBBY ROB Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 (szczepanski emi)BOWEN ROCCO 115 20.00    
WEEKEND RETREAT May29 May19 Apr10 Feb26 Feb11 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
10  COLORFUL LAD May29 Sep30 Sep09 Aug28 Jul31 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00 9% 10.50    
11  WAR ON THE RIVER Apr10 Mar13 Feb08 Jan09 Dec10 (flores christi)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   06/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROPPING LEMONS Jun03 May17 Apr28 Feb28 Feb05 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 4.50 57% 0.70    
SCR  KRICKLE May10 Mar26 Dec13 Nov22 Oct24 (west m)BRACHO A 121 1.60    
SICILIAN STYLE TWO Jun04 May14 Mar19 Mar01 Feb10 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 10% 9.40    
ELKO May17 Apr28 Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
OCHO'S SECRET May19 Apr28 Apr01 Dec06 Nov13 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00    
LADY GIULIANA Jun03 May17 Jan09 Dec27 Nov27 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
GARDEN SECRETS May17 Mar10 Feb12 Jan06 Dec17 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 30.00    
URBAN DANCER Mar04 Dec12 Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 (genovese richar)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 6% 15.00    
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN May17 Apr28 Apr09 Jan27 Jan09 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00    
 
TDN-3   06/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUND CITY         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
SCR  DOIN MISCHIEF         (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DOINWHATSHELIKES by INCLUDE)
MISS ELECKTRA         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of FORCE OF PASSION by LIMEHOUSE)
SKYTREE         (hamm timoth)NUNEZ Y 118 8.00 6% 17.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
DAY NOT LIKE US         (meyers shane)RIVERA R 115 4.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of EMPIRITA by CALEB'S POSSE)
STRIKING LADY         (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 115 12.00    
  (by LORD CARLOS out of MUTTAK BAY by MUTAKDDIM)
DUNN'S RIVER         (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 115 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of I'M READY by MORE THAN READY)
 
TDN-4   06/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMASH May27 Apr11 Mar26 Mar12 Feb27 (lopez e)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
STAR SHOPPING Jun02 Apr21 Apr11 Apr03 Mar27 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 6.00 15% 5.50    
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK May22 May05 Mar28 Feb24 Feb08 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 1.60    
DEEP FAITH Jun02 May17 Apr21 Mar22 Mar12 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00    
PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON May22 Apr24 Apr07 Mar30 Mar11 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50    
BROADWAY SKY May27 Dec16 Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   06/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEED TO KNOW BASIS Jun04 May14 May05 Apr07 Feb05 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
GIFT OF OAK May21 May03 Apr03 Mar19 Mar11 (norris)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
VENTURE ON Jun07 May13 May05 Apr21 Apr10 (bailey ri)MARTINEZ L 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDSTRIKER May27 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 (morales m)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
RUMBLE STRIP RON Apr22 Mar12 Feb10 Jan23 Dec11 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
GONE IN A FLASH May12 Apr21 Apr07 Mar03 Feb10 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
TDN-6   06/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H. T. XENA May21 May03 Mar30 Mar07 Jan31 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00    
MAY MAYS CASTLE May29 May05 Apr23 Apr12 Mar22 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
DANCE STEP May20 May03 Oct19 Oct02 Sep03 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  MISS SHADY May21 Apr11 Apr02 Mar12 Feb12 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50    
OPULENT WAYS Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 May30 Oct04 (severin robert)DIAZ I 119 4.50 42% 1.40    
DULCE VICTORIA Dec03 Nov12 Sep22 Aug26 Jul28 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
EPICUREAN Apr07 Mar26 Mar13 Mar05 Feb03 (lopez e)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50    
 
TDN-7   06/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO DONT NO May28 May14 Apr30 Oct03 Sep10 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00    
MIDNIGHT WARSHIP May22 May07 Mar03 Feb10 Dec11 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 123 1.60 51% 1.00    
SUSIE'S KID May21 Apr30 Jun04 May15 Oct24 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 18.60    
RAISE THE PURSES May28 May07 Apr21 Mar19 Mar11 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 14% 6.10    
GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN May20 Apr29 Mar31 Jan27 Sep12 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50    
SCR  RED HEAD KID May03 Mar30 Mar03 Feb10 Jan09 (orantes yoni)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00    
 
TDN-8   06/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOCHER May28 Mar04 Dec23 Nov07 Oct23 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
JAC'S EMPIRE May28 May07 Apr02 Mar18 Mar03 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
REDDEN May28 May06 Jul11 Jun11 Apr30 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.00 11% 7.90    
DRILL'S BOY May28 May07 Apr23 Mar27 Mar13 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 115 15.00    
TAHLEQUAH JOE May27 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 10% 9.00    
MY HOMBRE May19 Apr30 Apr05 Mar19 Mar04 (juarez-mendoza r)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00    
JOHN FITZGERALD May07 Mar13 Mar03 Feb11 Dec12 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 2.50 27% 2.80    
DANES HEART Sep12 Aug26 Jul31 Jun19 May28 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
COLOR BEARER May28 May06 Apr23 Mar18 Mar03 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.