Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-3   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.40 $1.40 23%
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $11.60 $5.60 93%
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-2-4 $19.90 $16.90 563%
    DD (7/2/6)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-1 $30.70 $21.70 241%
    PK3 (3/6/4/2)-(7/2/6)-(4/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-7-1 $23.30 $5.30 29%
TDN-7   WIN (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $10.20 $2.20 28%
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-1 $12.60 $0.60 5%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:242 :501 1:162     1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL MANDATE 6 3 4 3 1nk 1 1 (erdel john)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.00 25% 3.00 1.30 W
DROPPING LEMONS 3 4 1 1½ 2nk 2 2 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 1.80 36% 1.80 1.90 P
LADY GIULIANA 8 1 2 2½ 3 3 311¼ (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119 15.00 38.20  
ELKO 7 5 8 6 77 511 413¼ (vecchio )FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 9.20  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 2 2 3 42 4 49 514 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
MANGORITA 1 7 5 7 66 613 618¾ (vlaun manue)NUNEZ Y 119 20.00 62.50  
ISLANDINTHESTREAM 4 8 6 53 5 715 726½ (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 15% 5.80 3.40  
GARDEN SECRETS 5 6 7 86 811½ 819 829¾ (faulkner rod)TAVARES JAVIER 119 4.00 24.30  
 
TDN-2   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:231 :474 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTURE MI 6 1 22 2   1½ 12 (vlaun manu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 38% 1.70 1.40 W
SAGE RUNNER 1 6 33 33   3½ 22 (vecchio )FERNANDEZ R 121 6.00 25% 3.00 2.50 P
AURA OF GOLD 2 4 12 1   2½ 3 (madrigal rod)TAVARES JAVIER 119 10.00 4.70  
BANG A RANG 3 2 45 47   44 44 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.00 3.90  
CLOAK AND DAGGER 5 3 59 511   6 57 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
EL BANDIDO 4 5 6 612½   56 6 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 119 20.00 49.70  
SCR  THE RIDGE               (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.60    
 
TDN-3   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:01     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONE COLD CAT 1 5 5 3½   12 1 (calderon i)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 5.00 20% 4.00 2.70 W
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 2 3 3 4   3 2 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00 1.00 P
WEEKEND BUZZ 4 2 1nk 1nk   22 38 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.00 52% 0.90 14.50 S
NAMBITI 5 1 2nk 2nk   4 49 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 1.80 4.20  
HARTSTEIN 3 4 42 53   5 520 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 3.80  
 
TDN-4   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:252 :504 1:161     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEEP FAITH 6 2 11 1 12 1 1nk (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 1.80 3.00  
FOOD FOODIE 2 6 6 6 6 3 2nk (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 1.60  
HAD RIGHT 5 1 21 2 22 2 31 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 119 10.00 26.30  
CANDY CRUSHEM 3 5 5 33 3 45 4 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 36% 1.80 7.20  
SEE SPOT RUN 4 4 42 5 5 5 5 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 22% 3.50 1.80  
BOSS BEAR 1 3 32 4 4 6 6 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
 
TDN-5   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THANKS FRANK 6 1 2nk 2nk   1 12 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 1.10  
LIBERTANGO 4 2 3 3   3 22 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 44% 1.30 1.40 P
HEART OF AN ANGEL 1 4 5 4   4 34 (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 2.00 13% 6.60 8.50 S
A BIT OF CAPTAIN 3 3 1nk 1nk   2 4 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 8% 10.90 6.30  
REASON TO BELIEVE 5 6 612¼ 612   6 511¾ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 10.70  
WILLIE WANDO 2 5 43 53   5 615 (pizzurro jo)NUNEZ Y 119 15.00 44.40  
 
TDN-6   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:223 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITHOUT OBJECTION 1 1 1 16   16 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 31% 2.20 1.40 W
GEAUX YOSHKA 2 5 42 26   26 2 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 119 3.50 9.10  
SWEET AS SIN 3 4 3 58   310½ 3 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 5% 19.00 2.40 S
EKATI'S WAY 5 2 53 47   411½ 410½ (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 2.50 27% 2.70 2.50  
SPECIALIZED 4 3 2 36   512½ 518 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 6.20  
SCR  SAMMY AND SHORTY               (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
 
TDN-7   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:141     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIER ONE 1 5 32 3½ 31 3.2 1 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 2.50 40% 1.50 4.10 W
MAGICAL MONARCH 2 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 2 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 121 2.00 1.80  
THUNDERIAN 4 3 2 41 2nk 2nk 3 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 5% 17.30 2.60 S
BIG POPPER 3 4 6 2½ 5 4 4 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.50 20% 4.10 4.80  
K KID 6 7 7 7 6 5 5 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 4.50 7% 12.90 5.70  
COUNTEVERYBLESSING 7 6 5 5 4 6 69 (vazquez ivan)STOKES J 119 12.00 15.90  
SWING STATE 5 2 42 6 7 7 7 (gonzalez ric)TAVARES JAVIER 119 15.00 35.10  
 
TDN-8   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:011     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST AND FRIENDLY 6 3 11 11   14 1 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 6.00 3.60  
  (by VEKOMA out of MY FAST FRIEND by FRIENDS LAKE)
RUNAWAY POWER 4 5 3 3   24 2 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 26% 2.80 3.40 P
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RUNAWAY'S VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
MOR STORMY 7 1 21 21   34 3 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50 47% 1.10 2.50 S
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STORMY JUSTICE by REGAL RANSOM)
FINALLY FRIDAY 2 8 76 5   410 414 (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 4.50  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BROOKLYN BITES by GRAYDAR)
OHIO FIRST 8 2 87 711   615½ 518¼ (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 119 8.00 9.70  
  (by TAPWRIT out of FIRST SERVICE by GHOSTZAPPER)
BALKI BARTOKOMOUS 1 6 4 4   515 624½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
  (by MITOLE out of TOUCH OF EMMA by MIDAS TOUCH (GB))
HE'S MY BOY 3 7 53 69   719½ 730¾ (faulkner rod)TAVARES JAVIER 119 15.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SHES MY GIRL by KING OF THE ROXY)
AFFAIR TO REMEMBER 5 4 65 8100   8100 8100 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 21.30  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PERIPHERIQUE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
SCR  DYNAMIC VICTORY               (gonzalez)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00    
  (by VICTORY GALLOP out of DYNACO by DYNAFORMER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.