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Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

TDN-3			WIN	(4/1/2)						3	$2.00	$6.00	1		$7.40			$1.40				23%
			EXA	(4/1/2)-(4/1/2)						6	$1.00	$6.00	1-2		$11.60			$5.60				93%
			TRI	(4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2)						6	$0.50	$3.00	1-2-4		$19.90			$16.90				563%
			DD	(7/2/6)-(4/1/2)						9	$1.00	$9.00	7-1		$30.70			$21.70				241%
			PK3	(3/6/4/2)-(7/2/6)-(4/1/2)						36	$0.50	$18.00	6-7-1		$23.30			$5.30				29%
TDN-7			WIN	(1/3/6/4)						4	$2.00	$8.00	1		$10.20			$2.20				28%
			DD	(1/6/3)-(1/3/6/4)						12	$1.00	$12.00	1-1		$12.60			$0.60				5%

Simulator Race results


TDN-1			05/17/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($12.2K)			3UP		M/F		PT-12:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	BEAUTIFUL MANDATE									(erdel john)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123						2.00		25%		3.00		1.30	W
3	DROPPING LEMONS									(vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119						1.80		36%		1.80		1.90	P
8	LADY GIULIANA									(skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119						15.00						38.20
7	ELKO									(vecchio )FERNANDEZ R 119						6.00						9.20
2	JACK'S YACHT QUEEN									(faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119						15.00		5%		19.00		16.00
1	MANGORITA									(vlaun manue)NUNEZ Y 119						20.00						62.50
4	ISLANDINTHESTREAM									(pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119						12.00		15%		5.80		3.40
5	GARDEN SECRETS									(faulkner rod)TAVARES JAVIER 119						4.00						24.30

TDN-2			05/17/2025		3630ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($12.2K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	CAPTURE MI									(vlaun manu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119						2.50		38%		1.70		1.40	W
2	SAGE RUNNER									(vecchio )FERNANDEZ R 121						6.00		25%		3.00		2.50	P
3	AURA OF GOLD									(madrigal rod)TAVARES JAVIER 119						10.00						4.70
4	BANG A RANG									(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121						4.00						3.90
6	CLOAK AND DAGGER									(skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119						8.00		5%		19.00		6.30
5	EL BANDIDO									(genovese )MARTINEZ L 119						20.00						49.70
SCR	THE RIDGE									(rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 119						1.60

TDN-3			05/17/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($7.5K)					Purse ($22.4K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	STONE COLD CAT									(calderon i)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121						5.00		20%		4.00		2.70	W
2	WATCHOUTFORWEAVER									(juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119						6.00		5%		19.00		1.00	P
4	WEEKEND BUZZ									(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119						3.00		52%		0.90		14.50	S
5	NAMBITI									(juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123						1.80						4.20
3	HARTSTEIN									(juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 121						2.00						3.80

TDN-4			05/17/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($12.6K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	DEEP FAITH									(morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 121						1.80						3.00
2	FOOD FOODIE									(sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123						5.00						1.60
5	HAD RIGHT									(huffman can)NUNEZ Y 119						10.00						26.30
3	CANDY CRUSHEM									(sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 119						2.00		36%		1.80		7.20
4	SEE SPOT RUN									(radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119						3.00		22%		3.50		1.80
1	BOSS BEAR									(skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119						15.00		5%		19.00		11.30

TDN-5			05/17/2025		3630ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($12.5K)					Purse ($15.5K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	THANKS FRANK									(rone mike)RIVERA R 119						3.00						1.10
4	LIBERTANGO									(skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119						1.80		44%		1.30		1.40	P
1	HEART OF AN ANGEL									(rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119						2.00		13%		6.60		8.50	S
3	A BIT OF CAPTAIN									(sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119						8.00		8%		10.90		6.30
5	REASON TO BELIEVE									(urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 115						6.00						10.70
2	WILLIE WANDO									(pizzurro jo)NUNEZ Y 119						15.00						44.40

TDN-6			05/17/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($29.7K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:37
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	WITHOUT OBJECTION									(puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121						2.00		31%		2.20		1.40	W
2	GEAUX YOSHKA									(rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 119						3.50						9.10
3	SWEET AS SIN									(puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123						6.00		5%		19.00		2.40	S
6	EKATI'S WAY									(cline robert )BRACHO A 119						2.50		27%		2.70		2.50
5	SPECIALIZED									(gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119						4.50						6.20
SCR	SAMMY AND SHORTY									(winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121						10.00

TDN-7			05/17/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($28K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	TIER ONE									(fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119						2.50		40%		1.50		4.10	W
2	MAGICAL MONARCH									(rivera nestor )DIAZ I 121						2.00						1.80
4	THUNDERIAN									(meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119						8.00		5%		17.30		2.60	S
3	BIG POPPER									(romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 121						3.50		20%		4.10		4.80
6	K KID									(zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119						4.50		7%		12.90		5.70
7	COUNTEVERYBLESSING									(vazquez ivan)STOKES J 119						12.00						15.90
5	SWING STATE									(gonzalez ric)TAVARES JAVIER 119						15.00						35.10

TDN-8			05/17/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($33.9K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	FAST AND FRIENDLY									(radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119						6.00						3.60
		(by VEKOMA out of MY FAST FRIEND by FRIENDS LAKE)
4	RUNAWAY POWER									(cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119						4.00		26%		2.80		3.40	P
		(by HIGHER POWER out of RUNAWAY'S VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
8	MOR STORMY									(cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119						2.50		47%		1.10		2.50	S
		(by MOR SPIRIT out of STORMY JUSTICE by REGAL RANSOM)
2	FINALLY FRIDAY									(crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119						3.50						4.50
		(by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BROOKLYN BITES by GRAYDAR)
9	OHIO FIRST									(szczepanski em)DIAZ I 119						8.00						9.70
		(by TAPWRIT out of FIRST SERVICE by GHOSTZAPPER)
1	BALKI BARTOKOMOUS									(meyers shane)RIVERA R 119						8.00		5%		19.00		6.40
		(by MITOLE out of TOUCH OF EMMA by MIDAS TOUCH (GB))
3	HE'S MY BOY									(faulkner rod)TAVARES JAVIER 119						15.00		5%		19.00		19.50
		(by RUNHAPPY out of SHES MY GIRL by KING OF THE ROXY)
6	AFFAIR TO REMEMBER									(genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123						15.00						21.30
		(by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PERIPHERIQUE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
SCR	DYNAMIC VICTORY									(gonzalez)MARTINEZ A 119						10.00
		(by VICTORY GALLOP out of DYNACO by DYNAFORMER)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.