Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/2)-(7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/2)-(7/2/6)-(4/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(4/1/2)-(3/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(3/4/1)-(4/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(4/1/3)-(1/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(1/3/6/4)-(8/4/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/4)-(8/4/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (8/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/1)-(8/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/1)-(8/4/3/1)-(8/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANGORITA Apr28 Mar24 Jan27 Jan09 Dec18 (vlaun manue)NUNEZ Y 119 20.00    
2  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Apr28 Apr09 Jan27 Jan09 Dec18 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DROPPING LEMONS Apr28 Feb28 Feb05 Dec17 Nov28 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
4  ISLANDINTHESTREAM Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Jan24 Nov14 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 15% 5.80    
5  GARDEN SECRETS Mar10 Feb12 Jan06 Dec17 Dec04 (faulkner rod)TAVARES JAVIER 119 4.00    
6  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Apr28 Apr08 Mar25 Feb12 Jan29 (erdel john)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
7  ELKO Apr28 Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Jan27 (vecchio )FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
8  LADY GIULIANA Jan09 Dec27 Nov27 Nov05 Oct01 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
 
TDN-2   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE RIDGE Aug08 Jul14 May09 Apr27 Apr07 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.60    
2  SAGE RUNNER Apr24 Apr01 Mar20 Mar11 Feb03 (vecchio )FERNANDEZ R 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
3  AURA OF GOLD Apr24 Mar17 Feb13 Jan28 Jan13 (madrigal rod)TAVARES JAVIER 119 10.00    
4  BANG A RANG Apr30 Apr05 Mar20 Feb23 Jan25 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.00    
5  EL BANDIDO Apr30 Mar25 Mar06 Feb26 Feb13 (genovese r)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 20.00    
6  CLOAK AND DAGGER Apr30 Feb26 Feb12 Jan23 Dec12 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CAPTURE MI Apr30 Apr01 Mar17 Feb26 Feb08 (vlaun manu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
TDN-3   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE COLD CAT May03 Apr10 Mar25 Mar12 Feb12 (calderon i)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
2  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER May03 Apr02 Mar06 Feb03 Dec05 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  HARTSTEIN Apr24 Apr03 Mar19 Mar03 Feb10 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00    
4  WEEKEND BUZZ Apr24 Apr10 Mar22 Mar11 Feb11 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.00 52% 0.90    
5  NAMBITI Apr24 Dec05 Nov13 Nov02 Sep17 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 1.80    
 
TDN-4   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS BEAR Mar27 Mar01 Feb06 Jan16 Dec03 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  FOOD FOODIE Apr24 Apr07 Feb05 Jan24 Jan06 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00    
3  CANDY CRUSHEM Apr29 Mar25 Mar06 Feb08 Jul29 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  SEE SPOT RUN Apr21 Apr03 Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  HAD RIGHT May06 Mar27 Mar01 Feb06 Jan16 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 119 10.00    
6  DEEP FAITH Apr21 Mar22 Mar12 Mar03 Dec26 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 1.80    
 
TDN-5   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART OF AN ANGEL Nov14 Oct21 Aug27 Aug05 Jul10 (rettele richard)STOKES J 119 2.00 13% 6.60    
2  WILLIE WANDO Nov20 Sep18 Sep09 Aug11 Jul28 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 15.00    
3  A BIT OF CAPTAIN Apr23 Mar05 Jan24 Jul24 Jun29 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 8% 10.90    
4  LIBERTANGO Mar05 Dec28 Nov21 Oct22 Oct07 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 44% 1.30    
5  REASON TO BELIEVE Mar24 Feb28 Jan30 Dec12 Oct30 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00    
6  THANKS FRANK Apr18 Jan24 Dec20 Nov29 Jul06 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
 
TDN-6   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHOUT OBJECTION Apr06 Mar23 Feb28 Feb16 Jan31 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  GEAUX YOSHKA Feb05 Jan27 Jan09 Sep18 Aug28 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 119 3.50    
3  SWEET AS SIN May06 Apr06 Mar08 Feb16 Jan04 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAMMY AND SHORTY May03 Apr01 Mar11 Feb10 Jan24 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
5  SPECIALIZED Mar31 Aug10 Jul16 Jun07 May18 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
6  EKATI'S WAY Oct26 Oct03 Sep17 Aug21 Jul23 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
TDN-7   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIER ONE Apr28 Apr07 Mar24 Feb27 Jan24 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  MAGICAL MONARCH Apr28 Apr07 Mar26 Mar13 Feb27 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 121 2.00    
3  BIG POPPER May03 Apr11 Mar26 Mar01 Jan29 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
4  THUNDERIAN Apr07 Mar05 Feb15 Feb01 Nov24 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 5% 17.30    
5  SWING STATE Apr28 Apr12 Apr01 Jan11 Dec30 (gonzalez ric)TAVARES JAVIER 119 15.00    
6  K KID Apr28 Apr07 Mar24 Feb27 Feb03 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 4.50 7% 12.90    
7  COUNTEVERYBLESSING May03 Mar19 Feb27 Feb04 Jan24 (vazquez ivan)STOKES J 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALKI BARTOKOMOUS         (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of TOUCH OF EMMA by MIDAS TOUCH (GB))
2  FINALLY FRIDAY Apr30 Apr02       (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BROOKLYN BITES by GRAYDAR)
3  HE'S MY BOY         (faulkner rod)TAVARES JAVIER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SHES MY GIRL by KING OF THE ROXY)
4  RUNAWAY POWER Apr30 Mar30 Mar13 Aug10   (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RUNAWAY'S VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
SCR  DYNAMIC VICTORY         (gonzalez)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00    
  (by VICTORY GALLOP out of DYNACO by DYNAFORMER)
6  AFFAIR TO REMEMBER Jun12 May30 May06 Dec19 Nov16 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PERIPHERIQUE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
7  FAST AND FRIENDLY Apr30         (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of MY FAST FRIEND by FRIENDS LAKE)
8  MOR STORMY Apr30 Mar30 Mar13 Oct29 Oct10 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STORMY JUSTICE by REGAL RANSOM)
9  OHIO FIRST         (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of FIRST SERVICE by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.