Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - April 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(1/4/2)-(5/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(5/4/3)-(3/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(3/5/1)-(7/8/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(7/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(7/8/1)-(5/8/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/1)-(7/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/1)-(7/8/1)-(7/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/8/1)-(5/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1)-(5/8/4/2)-(8/12/10/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/2)-(8/12/10/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/2)-(8/12/10/2/5)-(5/8/3/6/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-7   WIN (8/12/10/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/12/10/2/5)-(8/12/10/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/12/10/2/5)-(8/12/10/2/5)-(8/12/10/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/12/10/2/5)-(5/8/3/6/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/8/3/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/6/4)-(5/8/3/6/4/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/6/4)-(5/8/3/6/4/11)-(5/8/3/6/4/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA BANQUERA Mar29 Mar14 Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 0.60 53% 0.90    
SCR  SAVE US MELANIA Mar29 Mar15 Mar02 Dec27 Dec13 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 123 0.60    
2  MAJESTIC RETURN Mar22 Aug16 Jun23 May26 Apr18 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
3  PROUD FOOT Mar22 Feb01 Jan12 Dec12 Aug04 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
4  WILL BE FAMOUS Apr11 Mar29 Mar09 Feb13 Jan23 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
5  CARESS Mar22 Jun29 May12 Apr14 Mar15 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   04/25/2025 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLING AN AUDIBLE Apr06 Feb28 Jan31 Dec13 Aug24 (barker edw)RIVERA R 126 1.80 48% 1.10    
2  IMMIGRATION LAW Mar23 Oct17 Sep20     (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GLOBAL CHARMER Feb15 Jan30       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50    
4  AH CA IRA Apr03 Feb28 Feb01 Jan01 Nov23 (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 118 1.40 30% 2.30    
5  ESTHER'S SALAD Mar29 Feb28 Feb07 Jan19 Dec29 (jimenez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 12.00    
6  STAGED CONFLICT Apr03 Mar07 Nov19 Oct28 Oct07 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
 
AQU-3   04/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($76K) 3 ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEKINDA Mar23 Mar01 Feb08 Jan11 Dec08 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50    
SCR  VILLAGE PERSON Mar13         (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00    
3  GIVEMEMYTHEMEMUSIC Mar08 Jan25       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  KENNY BE Feb23 Jan12 Nov16 Oct26 Sep21 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
5  NAIVE MELODY Feb08 Dec28       (ward wesley )MONCADA IRVING 112 2.50 51% 1.00    
6  SCHEDULING DUDE Mar23 Jan25 Dec15 Oct27 Sep14 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
7  THREE B'S Mar23 Feb23 Nov16 Oct06 Sep02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
 
AQU-4   04/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCH THE SMOKE Apr05 Mar02 Jan14 Apr10 Feb27 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  VALENZAN DAY Apr05 Jan19 Dec08 Nov16 Nov02 (chatterp)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.00    
3  ICE ROAD Apr12 Mar08 Feb14 Jan18 Jan01 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.60 29% 2.50    
4  PRINCE OF JOY Apr05 Mar02 Feb15 Jan23 Jan02 (legall ricardo )DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00    
5  EMPTY TOMB Apr05 Jan03 Sep19 Jul11 May03 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 26% 2.90    
6  CO CONSPIRATOR Apr12 Apr06 Mar08 Feb15 Jan18 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00    
 
AQU-5   04/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUMENIQUE Apr17 Feb28 Feb13 Apr19 Mar10 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAJUNETTE Apr06 Mar02 Feb13 Dec19 Nov29 (barker edw)RIVERA R 125 8.00    
SCR  MELANCIA Apr06 Mar09 Feb23 Jan24 Dec29 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 118 5.00    
SCR  CUSTOM         (rice li)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 8.00    
SCR  GOULDIAN Mar07 Feb13 Jan24 Jan03 Oct25 (barrera os)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
6  LAST MANGO Feb23         (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50    
7  SOLVE THE PUZZLE Jan10 Nov16 Sep23 Aug09   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.50 41% 1.40    
8  GOOD MISSION Mar23 Feb27 Feb07 Jan10 Dec13 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 25% 3.10    
 
AQU-6   04/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYING TRICKS         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STELLABYMOONLIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
2  ORGONITE         (donk david)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HESSONITE by FREUD)
3  TACTICAL TRACKSTAR         (cox h)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of TACTFUL LADY by LANGFUHR)
4  PROTECTED Jul06         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of EVER ALWAYS by MR. NUGGET)
5  GYPSY DREAMING Mar29 Mar01 Dec13 Nov22   (duggan dav)RIVERA R 118 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DRESSED UP GYPSY by LIAM'S MAP)
6  DRAFT RIOTS         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BOXER REBELLION by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  CHOWSER Jan03         (duarte)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WHISPER NUMBER by FIRST SAMURAI)
8  VOW OF SECRECY Mar29 Mar01       (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00 25% 2.90    
  (by GAME WINNER out of DISTORTED LIES by SMART STRIKE)
 
AQU-7   04/25/2025 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAZZEI Nov03 Sep19 Aug11 Jul20 May26 (bond kevin)CASTELLANO J 124 30.00    
SCR  ON THE HILL Mar15 Feb08 Jan11 Nov20 Aug21 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 126 30.00    
2  LI'L LANG Nov03 Oct04 Aug21 Jun23 May25 (abreu r)SILVERA RUBEN 124 10.00 7% 13.40    
3  LEO'S REWARD Apr05 Mar08 Feb14 Jan05 Dec29 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 126 15.00    
SCR  MIRACLE MIKE Nov16 Oct18 Aug24 Jul28 Jun30 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00    
5  MASTER FREUD Feb23 Jan17 Dec15 Nov03 Oct04 (klesaris robert)DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SIR PALACE PRINCE Apr05 Mar15 Feb26 Dec18 Nov11 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 126 30.00    
7  FRIEND OFTHE DEVIL Dec15 Oct31 Sep02 Aug03   (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00    
8  BOSUN Mar19 May10 Apr04     (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  KING PHOENIX Mar23 Feb23 Jan17 Nov23   (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
10  ATTORNEY WADE Mar14 Jan11       (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
11  MO FOR THE KING Apr11 Feb21       (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
12  NOT FOR HIRE Nov16 Oct27       (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
13  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Apr10 Feb13 Jan19 Jan03 Nov29 (friedman mi)GONZALEZ MELVIS 119 30.00    
SCR  CAMM' DUKE Apr04 Mar09 Feb13 Jan19 Dec27 (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 124 15.00    
 
AQU-8   04/25/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G FIVE Nov03         (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of CHUBOFFTHEOLDBLOCK by HEY CHUB)
2  HOME INVASION Mar02         (lawrence james)ADORNO ABNER 118 20.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CLASS E HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  COCO SUN Feb27         (pringle edm)GONZALEZ MELVIS 121 15.00 16% 5.30    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of CO CO HEART by DR. BLUM)
4  ATATURK         (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of OWL MOON by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  COACH CASE         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 35% 1.80    
  (by SLUMBER out of INTO THE SOUTH by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  FREE DANCE Mar13 Feb14 Jan11 Dec08 Nov02 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 7% 12.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of PIROUETTE by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR  SIR OSCAR Mar14 Feb08       (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MY SASSY SARAH by SUMMER FRONT)
8  VITALIZE Feb14 Jan05 Dec29 Dec01 Nov07 (donk david)LUZZI J 126 5.00 20% 3.90    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TAKE IT ALL BACK by FLASHBACK)
9  ALAN TURING Mar01         (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HONORIA by SADLER'S WELLS)
10  TIZTIMONIAL Oct31         (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 12.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of ADRIATIC DREAM by WILD DESERT (IRE))
11  HELLO NEWMAN         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 ★    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SO N SO by FREUD)
12  KISMEHOLDMETHRLME Mar23 Mar02 Feb21 Feb08   (arriaga antonio)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MOOLAH SCHMOOLAH by UNION RAGS)
13  POWERED BY COAL Feb22 Jan04 Nov03 Oct19 Aug30 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SHARED DREAMS by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  VIKING WARRIOR Dec07 Nov03 Oct05     (dutrow richar)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of ESTHER THE QUEEN by PURIM)
SCR  MOZAMBIQUE Nov02 Sep02       (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
SCR  UNDISPUTED Mar29         (antonucci m)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of THIN DISGUISE by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.