Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - April 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(7/6/2)-(6/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(6/3/4)-(1/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(1/4/5)-(3/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(3/2/5)-(5/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(5/2/4)-(7/6/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(7/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(7/6/1/4)-(4/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (7/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/4)-(4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/1/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/1/7/8/5)-(4/1/7/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   04/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASK ISAAC Nov11 Nov02 Oct20 Oct10 Jun30 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BRIO Mar27 Mar14 Mar01 Feb08 Jan26 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CLASSIC RICHIE Apr08 Feb26 Feb08 Dec28 Nov20 (tumblin andrew)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
4  VINNY AND LEO Apr08 Sep30 Sep10 Aug15 Jul24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 ★    
5  COOL COUPLE Apr05 Mar19       (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 2.50 74% 0.40    
6  BLAKE JAMES Mar19 Nov01 Oct17 Sep20 Jul27 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.00    
7  ACTION MAN Apr05 Mar22 Feb28 Dec11 Nov25 (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 115 20.00    
8  BROTHER LAD Jul11 Mar03 Feb11 Dec31   (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
SCR  STREETS OF WAR Apr05 Mar22 Mar14 Feb28 Feb08 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 115 6.00    
 
TDN-2   04/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOSEY POWER Apr08 Mar31 Jan27 Dec17 Oct27 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
2  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Apr02 Mar10 Jan30 Jan02 Dec17 (poole m)AVILES YAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BAD BOY BOOGIE Apr02 Mar10 Jun27 Jun12 May22 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
4  RUMBLE STRIP RON Mar12 Feb10 Jan23 Dec11 Nov04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00    
SCR  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Mar25 Jan23 Jan13 Dec04 May29 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
6  SPIN DOCTOR Apr02 Mar25 Mar10 Feb11 Jan25 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 10% 8.90    
7  BEAT THE DEALER Apr02 Mar10 Feb11 Jan23 Nov19 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 55% 0.80    
 
TDN-3   04/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORREFACTOR Mar30 Mar11 Mar01 Feb03 Jan07 (musarro josep)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
2  LITTLE VAQUERO Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 Feb13 (gonzalez donac)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
3  DR SCHUSTER Apr11 Mar26 Mar17 Mar06 Feb26 (schuster r)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 27% 2.80    
4  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 Mar04 Feb12 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LAW OF THE JUNGLE Mar26 Mar11 Mar01 Jan29 Dec28 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
6  MASTER OF THE NITE Mar26 Mar11 Feb05 Jan07 Dec09 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
TDN-4   04/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VILLAGE CAT Apr09 Mar10 Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
2  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Mar24 Feb28 Feb05 Jan15 May04 (szczepanski)NUNEZ Y 119 15.00    
3  FABULOUS CLOWN Oct29 Oct11 Aug29 Aug07 Jul17 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
4  NATIONAL DIAMOND Apr03 Mar24 Mar05 Feb10 Jan29 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 1.60 15% 5.50    
5  BOSSY LADY Apr03 Mar10 Jan29 Jan07 Dec19 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CITY SIGNS Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Feb28 Feb10 (castillo j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50    
 
TDN-5   04/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADIE THE GOAT Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 Dec29 Dec14 (rivera r)FELICIANO R 121 2.50    
2  FLOWER MOUND Apr08 Mar17 Mar05 Jan25 Jan18 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  MISS FUSSY PANTS Apr05 Mar27 Mar13 Jan24 Jan03 (rivera r)RIVERA R 121 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  KEY TO SUCCESS Apr06 Mar14 Jan31 Dec27 Dec07 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
5  KINGDOM QUEEN Mar26 Mar13 Feb10 Jan25 Dec28 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 9% 9.80    
6  MALICED Mar26 Mar05 Feb26 Feb04 Dec23 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   04/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IAN GLASS Apr13 Mar22 Mar08 Jan19 Dec27 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
2  LOGICO Apr01 Mar13 Jan27 Dec28 Dec11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  DOCTOR WU Mar13 Mar01 Jan29 Jan09 Dec16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00    
4  P H FACTOR Mar29 Mar13 Feb28 Feb15 Jan04 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  INSIDE STUNT Apr05 Mar20 Mar10 Feb28 Feb11 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
6  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Apr08 Mar19 Mar01 Feb03 Dec11 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   04/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICCA WISDOM Mar24 Feb28 Feb12 Jan27 Jan06 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 17% 5.00    
2  LATE NITE LIZZIE Apr08 Mar24 Mar05 Feb13 Nov10 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50    
3  RIGHT TRAPPE Apr12 Mar30 Mar16 Jan31 Dec22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
4  SACRED CONNECTION Apr09 Mar30 Mar10 Mar01 Feb06 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  KANTBACKOFF Apr12 Mar31 Mar22 Mar10 Feb28 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00    
6  SPECIAL BEACH Apr11 Apr03 Mar04 Jan27 Jan08 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
7  TIZZY JOJO Mar27 Mar08 Feb05 Jan15 Dec27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
TDN-8   04/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICKSTART Feb27 Oct10 Sep18     (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 3.00 ★    
2  RAMBLER Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 Jul03 May30 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
3  LITTLE SHANCE Mar30 Feb09       (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50    
4  BIGPICLITTLEPIC Apr03 Mar03 Jan15 Dec02 Nov14 (poole m)BRACHO A 115 5.00 68% 0.50    
5  OBI KENOBI Apr03 Mar03 Feb13 Nov13 Oct23 (barker w)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  PAYMASTER GENERAL Oct02 Sep14 Jul19 Jun27 Jun07 (schuster robin)FELICIANO R 119 20.00    
7  HIDDEN RANSOM Oct29 Sep23 Aug29 May13 Apr23 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 ★    
8  FULL SPECTRUM Oct26 Oct10 Sep18 Aug28 Aug10 (jackson r)RIVERA R 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  VERNON'S BEST Apr10 Mar12 Dec26 Dec10 Nov02 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.