Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - March 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/7)-(6/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/7)-(6/2/3/4)-(6/7/4/9/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-2   WIN (6/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/4)-(6/7/4/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/4)-(6/7/4/9/1)-(9/3/7/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-3   WIN (6/7/4/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/9/1)-(6/7/4/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/9/1)-(6/7/4/9/1)-(6/7/4/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/4/9/1)-(9/3/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/9/1)-(9/3/7/4)-(9/7/6/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-4   WIN (9/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/7/4)-(9/3/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/7/4)-(9/3/7/4/1)-(9/3/7/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/7/4)-(9/7/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/3/7/4)-(9/7/6/4)-(6/3/5/8/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-5   WIN (9/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/4)-(9/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/4)-(9/7/6/4)-(9/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/6/4)-(6/3/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/7/6/4)-(6/3/5/8/9)-(9/10/2/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/3/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/8/9)-(6/3/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/8/9)-(6/3/5/8/9)-(6/3/5/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/5/8/9)-(9/10/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/8/9)-(9/10/2/4)-(5/3/2/6/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-7   WIN (9/10/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/2/4)-(9/10/7/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/2/4)-(9/10/7/2/4)-(9/10/7/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/10/2/4)-(5/3/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/10/2/4)-(5/3/2/6/8)-(2/5/10/11/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-8   WIN (5/3/2/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/6/8)-(5/3/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/6/8)-(5/3/2/6/8)-(5/3/2/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/2/6/8)-(2/5/10/11/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FG-9   WIN (2/5/10/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/10/11/9)-(2/5/10/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/10/11/9)-(2/5/10/11/9)-(2/5/10/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MORE SLEEP Feb20 Dec28 Nov07 Oct10 Sep24 (robbins ray)MCMAHON J 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
2  ITS WILD AGAIN Feb21 Jan17 Jan04 Dec07 Aug27 (peterson )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAXIMUM GRACE Feb21 Jan30 Jan02 Dec08 Nov05 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 3.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  GARFISH Feb27 Jan10 Dec21 Nov28 Nov14 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 2.50    
5  LOST MY BAG Feb21 Jan10 Dec12 Nov24 Sep16 (ney john)WELLINGTON KYLIE 122 5.00    
6  REBIND Mar04 Feb21 Feb07 Jan02 Dec14 (tillis je)TROXTELL BRITTANY 109 15.00    
7  CALL ME RIP Feb07 Jan11 Dec18 Nov14 Nov05 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MINE YOUR BIZ Dec07 Sep24 Aug27 Jul27 Jun15 (peterson je)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 30.00    
9  B D PRIMARY OURS Feb12 Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 Nov22 (larrosa juan)TORRES A 122 10.00    
 
FG-2   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KISSTER Jan28 Dec21 Nov13 Oct16 Jul25 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
2  RADIANT REBEL Feb21 Feb06 Jan12 Dec26 Dec06 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
3  FAST MEDICINE Feb06 Aug31 Jul27 Jun29 Jun14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 10.00 13% 6.50    
4  LULU'S MAGIC Feb06 Jan12 Dec26 Nov30 Dec08 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 122 10.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  MISS CHEESE BREAD Jan29 Jan04 Nov22 Oct25 Aug09 (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 114 8.00    
6  MIKA ELLA PIKA Feb21 Feb07 Jan17     (ney john)MURRAY M 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
7  D'BUSKER Feb15 Dec18 Jun08 May08 Apr24 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 125 6.00    
8  RUN AWAY SAMARI Mar04 Jan31 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 122 20.00    
9  HONOR HIS HALF Feb21 Feb06 Jan16 Dec07   (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 4.00    
 
FG-3   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM SURGE Feb19 Jan25 Jan03     (faul jaso)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BECKY'SGOTTAHAVEIT Feb17 Feb06 Jan02 Dec12   (david sam)HERNANDEZ J 117 5.00    
3  WICKED SAILOR Feb22 Feb05 Jan24     (lorefice matt)SINGH R 117 20.00    
4  THUNDERING DESIRE Feb06 Jan18 Jan01 Nov22 Oct12 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00 9% 9.70    
5  LASSIE BEE Feb15 Jan10 Nov26 Oct29 Aug24 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 10.00    
6  SHE'S A BANDIT Feb01 Jan03 Dec06 Nov22 Oct25 (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 117 5.00 30% 2.40    
7  THE RAIN IS GONE Feb15 Jan18 Dec29     (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 117 4.00 26% 2.80    
8  WILLIAM'S LEGACY Jan16 Dec20 Nov29 Oct16   (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 125 3.50    
9  A WICKED NUMBER Feb17 Jan18 Dec12     (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 117 5.00 8% 11.00    
 
FG-4   03/14/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREWMANIA Feb19 Feb02 Jan04 Dec14 Nov01 (briley lonnie)MCMAHON J 120 15.00 ★    
2  SPANISH WELLS Jul18 Jun29 Jun09 Apr27 Feb06 (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
SCR  MONSIEUR CANDY Jun16 Apr19 Mar10 Nov03 Oct20 (cohn g)TORRES A 117 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  SASSI D Feb27 Feb19 Dec28 Dec07 Nov21 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOLT FROM ABOVE Dec21 Aug29 Jul28 Jun22 May31 (brinkman bre)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00    
6  FROST MOUNTAIN Feb15 Jan05 Dec22 Mar02 Feb03 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
7  PRINCIP Jan05 Nov02 Sep26 Jul15 Jun27 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MARCUS GIFT Mar01 Jan24 Nov05 Sep14 Jul27 (devaux ad)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
9  CIGARETTE BOAT Feb01 Jan03 Sep27 Sep01 Jul12 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
FG-5   03/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICO D'ORO Feb14 Jan17 Dec29 Oct16 Oct07 (govea cesar)TORRES A 121 5.00    
2  ROWDY JESS Feb21 Jan15 Dec22 Nov24 Nov01 (tillis jerr)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 30.00    
3  IMPECCABILITY Feb14 Jan24 Jan11 Dec27 Jul19 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00    
4  CONFUCIUS Feb22 Feb08 Jan10 Dec28 Dec04 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  CASCADE CRUISER Jan11 Dec07 Aug24 Jul06 May19 (simpson da)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00    
6  TREATY Feb14 Feb16 Jan15 Dec16 Oct12 (casse w)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
7  RED ROAD Jan17 Dec27 Nov28 Sep30 Aug03 (ducoing st)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
8  GREAT RUNNER Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 Dec08 Oct25 (hartman chris)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
9  RUNNIN MUNNIN Feb14 Jan11 Nov28 Sep14 Aug15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
FG-6   03/14/2025 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROBLEM SOLVED Feb20 Feb01 Dec29 Oct25   (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
2  NOTHINGBUTBLUESKY         (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
3  RETEKO Feb13 Dec22 Nov10 Oct03 Aug21 (morley thoma)TORRES A 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  LEMON SOHN Feb13 Jan20 Dec22 Nov28   (schultz l)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
5  EL MUHEET Jan20 Nov28 Oct12     (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
6  DIAMOND EYED JACK Feb20 Jan11 Dec07     (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 122 6.00 38% 1.60    
7  TOUGH CUSTOMER Feb14         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50    
8  TESTED Feb20 Jan27 Dec22 Nov22 Oct17 (schultz li)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 4.50 9% 9.70    
9  MR. COLOSSAL Feb20 Aug24 Jul22     (rice adam)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  TRAITOUR Nov30         (leonard i)RIQUELME J 122 20.00    
11  EXTRAVAGANT PRINCE Mar06 Feb13 Dec01 Nov15   (forster t)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00    
SCR  WINNING SONG Feb01 Aug26       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
SCR  M L BRODY'S GEM Feb22 Feb06 Jan27 Jan02 Dec13 (lorefice m)RAMIREZ JR 114 20.00    
 
FG-7   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERCULES N LOVE Feb12 Jan18 Aug12 Jul18 Jun01 (tillis je)TROXTELL BRITTANY 120 30.00    
2  CAJUN CRUISER Aug21 Jun28 Jun16 May26 May04 (husak gary )ASTUDILLO FELIX 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  DAN D'ORO Jan10 Dec22 Dec06 Nov24   (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 117 10.00    
4  U RASCAL U Dec08 Nov24 Aug22 Apr26 Mar22 (ladner herman)GRAHAM J 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNBRIDLED PLEASURE Mar01 Feb02 Jan05 May18   (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 125 3.50    
6  TROUBLE SHOW Feb17         (foley greg)WELLINGTON KYLIE 125 15.00    
7  C F CANTGOFORTHAT Feb21 Apr06       (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 125 3.50 ★    
SCR  MO COURAGE Feb14         (romero j)FLORIAN JOSE 117 20.00    
9  KNOCK'EM OUT JERRY Feb21 Jan07 Jul24 May13 Mar23 (duhon jos)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 3.00 48% 1.10    
10  JACK RABBIT         (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 8.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  LA PERFECT BEE Jul14 Jun29 Jun22 Jun02   (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 125 10.00    
 
FG-8   03/14/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON SNIPER Oct06 Sep25 Sep04     (miller darri)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
2  JOEJOE GO Feb17 Jan16 Dec19     (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  INNOVA Feb17 Jan12 Dec16 Nov02 Oct03 (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
4  CAN'T DENY IT Feb17 Jan18 Dec19     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
5  LIL MUGGS Feb08 Jan11 Nov30 Oct27 Sep28 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00 35% 1.80    
6  BRIDLE A BUTTERFLY Nov02 Oct11 Sep01 Jul28   (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CORMAN Jan12 Dec16 Nov05 Sep25   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
8  SPAMALOT Jan24 Nov20 Nov01     (brinkman brett)MCMAHON J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  MEGA MAGIC Feb13         (stall albert)MURRAY M 119 6.00    
 
FG-9   03/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WOSIEMAKS Feb23 Feb06 Jan18     (david b)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00    
2  GLAMOUR POWER         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
3  AVIE CAKES Feb15 Jan24       (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
4  SIR SAWYER Feb12 Jan24 Jan02     (arey anthony)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 5.00    
5  PRIOR QUEEN         (david b)BARRERA J 120 12.00 19% 4.40    
6  TAKE MY CANDY Feb28         (larrosa ju)RAMIREZ JR 115 20.00    
7  FULLY BLESSED Feb19 Jan15 Dec19     (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
8  LARYSLITTLERACER Feb21 Jan30 Sep17     (mouton chadwick)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
9  LITTLE MILLIE         (thompson k)ALBERT S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  CLASSY MIMI Feb19         (delhomme )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 19% 4.40    
11  LOVE IN THE DARK Feb17 Jan31 Jan01 Dec06 Aug09 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHOW' EM NOLA Feb19 Jan11 Dec07 Nov22 Sep07 (courville rick)PEREZ CARLOS 115 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.