Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - February 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (7/3/1/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/8/6)-(7/3/1/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/8/6)-(7/3/1/8/6)-(7/3/1/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/1/8/6)-(5/2/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/8/6)-(5/2/4/3)-(2/10/11/8/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/3)-(2/10/11/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/3)-(2/10/11/8/4)-(6/1/3/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-3   WIN (2/10/11/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/11/8/4)-(2/10/11/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/11/8/4)-(2/10/11/8/4)-(2/10/11/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/11/8/4)-(6/1/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/10/11/8/4)-(6/1/3/7)-(4/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (6/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/7)-(4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/7)-(4/6/2)-(6/5/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(6/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(6/5/4/3)-(2/3/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/3)-(2/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/3)-(2/3/5/1)-(2/1/8/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-7   WIN (2/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/1)-(2/1/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FG-8   WIN (2/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/7)-(2/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/7)-(2/1/8/7)-(2/1/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/08/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOM'S CLEARED Jan18 Aug31 Jul29     (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 17% 5.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of SKY ENTRY by POINT OF ENTRY)
2  LASER CLAD         (bourgeois ke)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MI ISABELLA by TWILIGHT AGENDA)
3  BANDIDO DEAL         (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by EL DEAL out of WINSKY by SKY CLASSIC)
4  V CUT Jan18         (roberson k)RIQUELME J 120 20.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of SPECIAL BLESSING by FLAT OUT)
5  HE'S A REAL OUTFIT         (david sam )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of GIANTLY CONFUSED by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  CUSTOM RIDE         (cuccia j)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of DREAMED A DREAM by AGNES GOLD (JPN))
7  THE WICKED CAT Dec14         (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of GRANDMA'S RULES by ORIENTATE (GB))
8  RUNNING RAGGED Nov15 Oct10 Jul25 Jun29   (castille )HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 6% 16.60    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of HILARIOUS BROWN by BIG BROWN)
9  VINEAUX         (wilson shane)TORRES A 120 10.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MO ROGUE by SKY MESA)
SCR  AMERICAN GUY Jan18         (breaux samu)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of FLORENCE BAKER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  ROMEO SPIKES Jan17 Dec07 Nov08 Oct18   (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 3.50    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of MIMI'S BELLA ALARM by SOUND THE ALARM)
SCR  ANACREON Jan18         (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of ATCHATA by APRIORITY)
SCR  FIRST SAMARITAN Jan18 Jan02       (robinsjr aa)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 8.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of LAINE'S SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
FG-2   02/08/2025 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAASAI WARRIOR Jan17 Dec27 Dec07 Nov22 Jun06 (leonard geor)TORRES A 120 8.00    
2  WRITE OFF JERRY Dec20 Nov22 Oct18 Sep05 Aug24 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 14% 6.00    
3  KARLWITHANARL Jan12 Dec21 Oct08 Sep08 Aug18 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DUKE OF CARTHANIA Jan18 Jul06 Jun14 Mar10 Feb17 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 8% 11.70    
5  RISK MANAGER Dec19 Nov29 Oct24 Aug29 Jun19 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 54% 0.90    
6  AGENT CREED Jan12 Dec26 Nov29 Oct12 Sep15 (troiani nicco)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00    
7  BREAKING ALONE Jan12 Dec19 Nov29 Nov02 Oct06 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
SCR  WARRIOR RICHARD Jan12 Dec20 Nov16 Oct10 Aug30 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 1.80    
 
FG-3   02/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 7:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAMER Jan24 Dec22 Nov23     (calhoun will)MURRAY M 120 8.00    
2  SHE'S SINGLE AGAIN Jan20 Jan01 Dec12 Oct23 Sep21 (hartman ch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  CRUZIN VAN NUYS Jan20 Dec22 Dec12     (hartman chris)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00    
4  CHELL JAE Dec19         (schmidt den)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIDNIGHT MARY Jan10 Dec13       (catalano way)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 15.00    
6  GOLDEN BONITA Jan20 Jan03 Dec12 Nov30 Sep22 (guillory )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50    
SCR  ADD TO CART Jan24 Jan10       (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
8  MY BOSSY LADY Jan10 Nov07 Oct19     (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  TARTARIA Jan24 Jan09 Sep11     (leonard georg)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
10  MISS LOUISE Jan20         (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 27% 2.80    
11  ULTIMATE SACRIFICE         (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 120 15.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  GIN RUN Jan19 Jan04 Dec13     (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 12.00    
 
FG-4   02/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($59K) 3 ALL PT- 7:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TRUE SHANCE Dec19 Nov07 Oct05     (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 3.50 10% 9.50    
2  DAPPER MOON Jan18 Dec19 Nov30 Oct27 Oct05 (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 116 2.00    
3  THRILLA Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 Oct19 Sep07 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SIGHT Jan20 Nov28       (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
5  MR. WALLBANGER Dec28         (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
6  LIL MUGGS Jan11 Nov30 Oct27 Sep28   (foley greg)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 62% 0.60    
7  CONTRABANDIST Jan12 Dec21 Nov08 Oct10 Aug29 (noel dane)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-5   02/08/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMMANDED Dec22 Nov23 Oct26     (calhoun w)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 10.00    
2  CHATTANOOGA CREW Jan19 Sep14 Aug04 Jul06   (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CANDYBELLE Jan16 Dec12       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 2.00    
4  AMADORA'S EMPIRE Jan16 Dec15       (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 1.80 60% 0.70    
5  MIDNIGHT BLAZE Jan16 Dec06 Nov15 Aug12   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
6  CAROLINA SMOKESHOW Jan16 Nov21 Oct27 Sep26   (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
7  FUN TO RUN Jan16 Nov27 Oct30 Oct02 Aug31 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
 
FG-6   02/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 3 F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN BOUJEE Jan16 Nov14 Jul13 Jun09   (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
2  FACTOR OF TIME Dec29 Nov16 Oct19 Aug17 Jul19 (castille )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 12.00    
3  MAJESTIC RAGS Jan16 Nov23 Oct26 Oct12   (gelner jayd)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  INCOGNITO BURRITO Jan16 Dec29 Dec06     (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 9% 10.70    
5  WARRIOR'S JUSTICE Dec14 Nov23 Oct11 Aug14 Jul06 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 10% 8.70    
6  MARGIE'S INTENTION Jan18 Dec14       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
7  FAST FLAME Jan16 Dec14 Nov22     (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 4.00    
 
FG-7   02/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Dec29 Nov27 Nov10 Oct22 Sep29 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  STINGY Oct16 Sep12 Jul18 Jun20 May25 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
3  MALIBU BRAD Dec26 Dec05 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 (larrosa juan )CANNON DECLAN 121 3.50 25% 3.10    
4  SENDEMDOWNTHEROAD Dec29 Oct19 Sep19 Aug29 Aug11 (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00    
5  HAYHAYCAPTAIN JAC Jan04 Nov30 Nov16 Jul14 Jun27 (litfin veron)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DARYL'S BOLT Jan04 Nov30 Nov16 Oct16 Sep15 (birzer bo)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00    
7  OVER CALENDARED Jan26 Dec29 Dec16 Dec06 Nov14 (dorochenko genna)CURTIS BEN 121 4.50    
 
FG-8   02/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPLE OF PEACE Jan25 Jan03 Dec16 Sep03 Aug16 (ducoing stur)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 2.50 22% 3.60    
2  MARDI GRAS MAMBO Dec28 Dec08 Nov09 Oct10 Aug31 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.00 49% 1.00    
3  THE FACT IS Aug24 Jul19 Jun15 May29 Nov30 (thompson kevin)SMITH R 125 8.00    
4  NAME THE TIME Dec16 Nov07       (breaux sa)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 6.00    
SCR  COMPUTERIZED Jan27 Jan01 Dec12 Jul29 Jun26 (west g)GRAHAM J 125 3.50    
6  BATTLE FACE Jan27 Dec28       (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 12.00    
7  SCOOTIN' BOOTS Jan24 Dec28 Dec06     (castille )HERNANDEZ J 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  HARD CRY         (marechal me)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 12.00 6% 16.50    
9  HARD KINGS Dec16 Jan18 Nov23 Aug12 Jul13 (ladner herman)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.