Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - December 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(6/3/5)-(6/9/7/1/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(6/9/7/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(6/9/7/1/5)-(4/2/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/9/7/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/7/1/5)-(6/9/7/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/7/1/5)-(6/9/7/1/5)-(6/9/7/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/7/1/5)-(4/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/7/1/5)-(4/2/6/8)-(7/9/2/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/8)-(4/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/8)-(4/2/6/8)-(4/2/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/8)-(7/9/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/8)-(7/9/2/5)-(5/2/11/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/2/5)-(7/9/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/2/5)-(7/9/2/5)-(7/9/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/2/5)-(5/2/11/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/9/2/5)-(5/2/11/9/1)-(6/1/2/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/2/11/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/11/9/1)-(5/2/11/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/11/9/1)-(5/2/11/9/1)-(5/2/11/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/11/9/1)-(6/1/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/11/9/1)-(6/1/2/5)-(1/7/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/5)-(1/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/5)-(1/7/4/5)-(5/4/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/5)-(5/4/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/5)-(5/4/3/1)-(4/10/9/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/1)-(4/10/9/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-10   WIN (4/10/9/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/9/3/8)-(4/10/9/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/9/3/8)-(4/10/9/3/8)-(4/10/9/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINGO'S GRIND Nov27 Oct11       (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  OZZY Nov30 Nov03 Oct03 Sep02 Aug15 (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80    
SCR  RANSOM MONEY Oct23 Oct07 Sep20 Aug28 Aug12 (connelly tere)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 6.00    
4  EMMETT Nov30 Oct11 Sep08 Aug09   (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.40 50% 1.00    
5  WOCKA WOCKA Nov09 Sep28 Aug31 Aug03 Jul11 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 10.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  CAJUN VENOM Sep27 Aug31       (sacco gregor)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50    
7  JUAN COLORADO Nov27 Nov02       (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00    
 
TAM-2   12/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Nov23 Nov07 Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 (richards rena)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.00    
2  SHORESY Oct16 Sep23 Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 (wasiluk peter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 30.00    
3  FABULOUS CANDY Nov27 Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 Aug01 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  VIKING QUEEN Dec13 Nov23 Nov08 Oct05 Aug28 (simone v)FERRER C 120 2.00    
5  VELOCISSIMA Dec13 Nov20 Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  LADY QUINN Nov11 Sep10 Aug21 Aug07 Jun18 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
7  AUBURN Dec11 May01 Apr19 Sep25 Sep08 (lusk brian)GONZALEZ E 110 30.00    
 
TAM-3   12/21/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY IN LOVE Nov30 Nov06 Oct24 Oct12 Oct04 (simone micha)GONZALEZ CESAR 117 20.00 6% 15.90    
2  MISS DIZ Nov20 Nov06 Sep18 Aug31 Aug24 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 124 4.50    
3  HUGE G Nov30 Jul19 May01 Apr10 Jan26 (lilly p)HESS SARA 117 15.00    
4  TOO HOT TO STOP Sep26 Aug15 Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 121 20.00    
5  BEAUTIFULLYPERFECT Nov30 May03 Apr07 Mar22 Feb18 (kutt donna)GONZALEZ E 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  VINO VELOCE Dec06 Oct05 Aug19 Aug05 Jul13 (rivera xavier )COTTO L 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
7  TARIBA DREAM Nov30 Nov10 Oct13 Sep15 Aug18 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 121 3.00 20% 4.10    
8  CHACHITA Nov30 Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 Sep02 (mckathan kevin)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00    
9  FORTUNE DREAMS Nov30 Nov15 Nov03 Sep08   (cazares lau)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
TAM-4   12/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Oct01 Sep04 Aug10 Jul21 Jun29 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 121 4.50    
2  HUMOR SENSE Nov20 Nov03 Oct13 Sep05 Aug13 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 121 8.00 16% 5.20    
3  BOLD LOOK Nov12 Oct28 Oct02 Sep04 Aug15 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
4  SHAMU Nov29 Oct16 Sep18 Sep08 Aug16 (dini mike)ALLEN D 118 3.00 24% 3.30    
SCR  WONDERFULVENEZUELA Nov29 Oct18 Sep21 Aug23 Mar28 (yanez reynaldo)GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.50    
6  THANK THE ACADEMY Nov29 Oct19 Oct06 Sep07 Aug17 (agostini arthu)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00 14% 5.90    
7  TIPHARAH Nov23 Nov02 Jan31 Dec30 Dec09 (lusk brian)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 30.00    
8  BLUE VORTEX Nov29 Sep28 Aug31 Aug17 Jul26 (cahill f)HESS SARA 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  AMERICAN PEACHES Dec11 Nov29 Oct18 Oct04 Sep18 (lopez )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 4.50    
 
TAM-5   12/21/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Nov23 Oct04 Sep08 Aug31 Aug10 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 122 2.50    
2  KING NATE Dec06 Oct15 Sep30 Sep16 Sep06 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SILENT AND VIOLENT Dec01 Nov23 Nov02 Sep14 Aug11 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 118 15.00    
4  SHIVAREE (GB) Nov27 Nov20 Aug29 Aug03 Jul05 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
5  CLEMSON TIGER Oct22 Oct08 Sep26 Sep16 Aug19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  FALCONS FURY Nov27 Oct21 Oct02 Sep14 Sep05 (ocasio osvaldo)SUAREZ JESUS 120 15.00    
7  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Nov27 Sep18 Aug23 Aug01 Jun29 (paterno rober)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
8  SMOOTH PLAYER Dec06 Oct07 Sep14 Sep08 Jul04 (avila juan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 20.00    
9  FUNKENSTEIN Nov23 Sep08 Aug17 May25 May11 (carrascojr vic)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
 
TAM-6   12/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAYFARING Mar15         (mcgaughey cla)IORIO MELISSA 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of VAGABOND by ARCH)
2  FLEETINGLY         (brown ch)GALLARDO A 121 2.50 15% 5.70    
  (by JUSTIFY out of ALICE SPRINGS by GALILEO)
3  FOREVER AGAIN Nov30 Oct24 Sep01 Aug16 Jul13 (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 121 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of FOREVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  CEFALU (FR) Nov30 Oct10 Mar03     (delacour arn)BATISTA A 121 12.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of SALVE SICILIA by SOLDIER HOLLOW)
5  ENCHANT Nov30 Nov02 Oct09 Aug11   (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 55% 0.80    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of COACHWHIP by SO YOU THINK (NZ))
6  MIT MONKEY Nov17 Jul30 Jun16     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NEVERTHESAME by SCAT DADDY)
7  FLINTSHIRES FANCY Nov30         (granitz anthony )FERRER C 121 12.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of SAVER THE WAY by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  MEEKAT         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 121 6.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  LIPOCHROME Oct24 Aug24 Apr21 Mar28 Dec21 (mcburney patri)ROCCO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CANARY DIAMOND by ALPHABET SOUP)
10  AMERICANDREAMMAKER Nov30 Sep14 Aug31 Mar15 Jan20 (hemingway mich)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CHOCOLATE SOUFFLE by TAPIT)
11  AFRICAN WATERS Nov14 Oct24 Jan13 Nov16 Sep16 (toner)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 3.00 8% 10.90    
  (by WAR FRONT out of VAULCLUSE by A.P. INDY)
SCR  INCLUDE THE MUNNY Aug28 Aug09 Jun19 May16 Apr22 (garde)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 30.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of INCLUDE THE AUSSIE by INCLUDE)
SCR  MISS BIA Dec08 Nov10 Oct20 Sep15 Aug09 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 124 20.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of WEST SIDE DANCER by GONE WEST)
SCR  ACCELERATED NEWS         (lewis l)CAMACHO SAMY 121 12.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of DISTORTED NEWS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
TAM-7   12/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATIRE VIZCAYA Oct05 Sep14 Jul19 Jun24 Apr27 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
2  SAM STORMY Dec04 Sep28 Sep11 Aug29 Jul27 (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00 12% 7.70    
3  BAHAMIAN NATIVE Aug14 Jul18 Jun23 May27 May07 (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 118 6.00    
4  GENERAL BATTLE AXE Sep19 Sep02 Aug10 Jul13 Jul03 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00    
5  CANTARO Nov28 Nov01 Sep20 Aug18 Jun27 (garoffal)GALLARDO A 120 10.00 11% 8.00    
6  LACE UP Nov22 Oct27 Sep13 Aug24 Jul26 (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 29% 2.50    
7  EVERDOIT Dec11 Nov20 Oct24 Sep11 Aug17 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 4.50    
 
TAM-8   12/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP VOYAGER         (smull)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 4.00 56% 0.80    
2  CAJUN GEM Nov30 Jul02       (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 119 5.00    
3  SHARON'S PRINCE Sep17 Aug27 Aug08 Jul06 May30 (granitz anth)BATISTA A 116 3.50    
4  FREE RAMBLING MAN Nov29 Oct23 Oct03 Sep06 Aug10 (orantes yon)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNCAPTURED STAR Oct13 Sep29 Sep06 Jul26 Jul05 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SOUTH AMERICA Nov01 Aug23 Jul20 Jun23 Jul19 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 116 3.00    
7  THE BIG CALICO Mar16 Feb23 Feb11 Jan24 Jan07 (drake )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00 11% 8.20    
8  DIVEMASTER Nov27 Jul21 Jun26     (lightner)GALLARDO A 119 5.00    
 
TAM-9   12/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP BONNET         (gulic)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00 10% 8.90    
2  CHOSEN FACTOR         (gulick jame)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 12.00    
3  MT. D'ORO         (hamm timothy)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
4  MISS EMILY Dec07         (romero rafael)GIL CIPRIANO 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  SWEET PAYNE         (hamm timothy)FERRER C 119 4.50 25% 3.10    
6  BETTER HAVE CASH Nov02 Sep26       (alessi james)HESS SARA 112 15.00    
SCR  MS KENDRICK B. Dec07         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00    
8  GOPHERS AXE Nov29 Sep26 Sep12     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
 
TAM-10   12/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HYPER VENOM Nov27 Nov10 Oct12 Sep07   (manchan be)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 12.00    
2  NEW PLEX Nov27 Sep07 Aug24     (gardea)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 6.00    
3  BAD MAMMER JAMMER Nov23 Oct25 Sep04 Aug04   (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TAKE YOUR MEDICINE         (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 38% 1.60    
5  BITTERLY Dec07         (gulic)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00    
6  DIGNIFIED RESPONSE Oct03 Aug30       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 4.50    
7  NEW YORK FOG Nov27 Oct04 Sep01     (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 10.00    
8  VINO COURAGIO Oct16 Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 (connelly teresa)LEON SONNY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  CALVIN'S RIDE Nov03 Oct03 Aug30     (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 13% 6.60    
10  WOLF BEACH Oct24 Sep28 Sep01 Aug18 Jul27 (delgado h)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  GAP TO GAP Nov30 Oct11 Sep07     (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.00    
SCR  BABY ANTONIO Dec07 Sep14 Aug17 Jul18   (lopez mario)OCASIO JONATHAN 119 30.00    
SCR  MY LITTLE CAIBO Dec07         (agostini )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
SCR  OZ Nov09         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.