Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(3/6/2)-(3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(3/4)-(5/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(5/4/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/4/2/6)-(4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-4   WIN (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/6)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/6)-(4/1/3)-(9/7/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(9/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(9/7/1/2)-(2/7/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-6   WIN (9/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/2)-(9/7/8/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/2)-(9/7/8/1/2)-(9/7/8/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/1/2)-(2/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/7/1/2)-(2/7/4/6)-(6/4/5/10) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-7   WIN (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/6)-(6/4/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/6)-(6/4/5/10)-(2/7/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-8   WIN (6/4/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/10)-(6/4/5/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/10)-(6/4/5/2/10)-(6/4/5/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/5/10)-(2/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FG-9   WIN (2/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/4)-(2/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/4)-(2/7/3/4)-(2/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMILYHASHERTURN Nov28 Nov09 Oct18 Sep02 Aug01 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.40 51% 1.00    
2  ONE LINE RULER Dec08 Nov20 Aug16 Jul26 Jun27 (henry eric)MCMAHON J 119 4.50    
SCR  STEAL ME OVER Nov28 Sep18 Sep03 Aug13 Jul29 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 119 20.00    
4  COPPER MOON Nov28 Aug16 Aug02 Jun28 May31 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00    
5  ANSLIE'S GUMDROP Aug10 Jul18 Jun27 May22 Feb04 (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  STARSHIP JAMBALAYA Dec08 Oct19 Sep04 Aug16 Jun21 (gelner sc)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 14% 6.00    
7  BITSY PERFECTMATCH Nov29 Jun08 May28 May08 Apr06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.50    
 
FG-2   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIGHT SPOT Nov30 Oct04       (scherer t)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00    
2  CARAMBASO Nov09 Sep21 Aug03 Jul07   (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 6.00 8% 11.60    
3  ONE TRUE SHANCE Nov07 Oct05       (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 117 1.60 47% 1.10    
4  SEASONAL LOVE Nov14 Oct25       (brinkman b)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 3.50    
5  AMERICAN CITY Oct31 Sep04 Aug17 May18 May09 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00    
6  SMOOTH N SILKY Oct22 Sep18 Sep01 Jul29   (maker michae)TORRES A 117 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
FG-3   12/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISING KANE Dec07         (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00    
2  ROYAL COACH Oct23         (calhoun will)TORRES A 120 4.50 ★    
3  SOUTH BEND TOM Nov20 Nov01       (stall m)GRAHAM J 120 1.60 49% 1.10    
4  GRAND ACADEMIC Nov30 Nov08       (husak gar)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
5  RAGNOW Sep20         (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00    
6  REIGNITE Oct22 Oct01       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
 
FG-4   12/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREAKING ALONE Nov29 Nov02 Oct06 Sep14 Aug11 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
2  RIGHTANDJUST Nov29 Sep14 Jun18 Jun07 Apr27 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  RISK MANAGER Nov29 Oct24 Aug29 Jun19 May02 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00    
4  GENTLE SOUL Nov28 Oct24 Sep30 Aug29 Jul14 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 5% 17.30    
5  BATTLE SCARS Oct13 Sep12 May25 Mar23 Feb25 (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 64% 0.60    
6  SIVAKO Nov24 Oct13 Aug25 Jun28 May19 (rodriguez eduar)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SABI Oct16 Sep19 Aug14 Jul25 Jun02 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00    
8  PROWLING TIGER Nov08 Jul08 May19 Mar24 Jan08 (russell britta)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
 
FG-5   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUISIANA NATIVE Sep16         (dandridge cou)CANNON DECLAN 117 10.00 29% 2.50    
2  HESPER Nov23         (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
3  HAWIJA Nov22 Oct10 Aug03 Jun23   (calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  DAPPER MOON Nov30 Oct27 Oct05 Aug31 Jul20 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 117 0.60 36% 1.80    
5  GIFT GIVER Oct11 Aug31 Aug10     (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 4.50    
6  JOSH G Nov05 Aug31 Aug10     (west g)MCMAHON J 117 10.00    
 
FG-6   12/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TODO MEN         (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOLDEN CROWN by T. H. APPROVAL)
2  BIG VINCE         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  JOEJOE GO         (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of MOON RAINBOW by SMART STRIKE)
4  TIME TO COLLECT Nov22 Oct25       (amoss thomas )CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TOO GOOD TO B TRUE by MIZZEN MAST)
5  CLEARLY STARDOM         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of MINIT TO STARDOM by STAR GUITAR)
6  NOT BEHAVIN         (catalano way)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HERMAJESTYCOMMANDS by WAR FRONT)
7  CAN'T DENY IT         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by JUSTIFY out of MOTH by GALILEO (ARG))
8  ONE IMPROBABLE Nov05 Oct19       (black d)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 ★    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of REAL SISTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  RESTORE (FR) Oct19 Aug31 Jul27     (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 57% 0.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOLLY CORBIN by WAR FRONT)
SCR  CHASES MAGIC Nov28         (amoss tho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of NARROW SEA by BODEMEISTER)
 
FG-7   12/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($59K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORA'S LEGACY Oct19 Aug20 Jul09 Jun14 May04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 15.00    
2  ZADORSKY Nov03 Aug31 Aug03 Jun28 May25 (beckman whit)ORTIZ L 118 1.40 55% 0.80    
3  MIDSUMMER MARCH Oct17 Sep20 Sep05 Apr25 Mar23 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
4  CERTIFIED GEM Sep17 Aug31 Aug19 Jul29 Jun17 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 4.50 7% 13.20    
5  SILK Nov03 Apr25 Feb28 Jan17 Dec20 (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.00    
6  CINCY'S ANNA Nov21 Nov01 Aug10 Jul04 Jun08 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 17.80    
7  HUNTLEIGH Nov21 Aug22 Jul12 May29 May10 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 120 4.50 8% 11.50    
 
FG-8   12/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONTINUANCE         (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BAFFLING by MONTBROOK)
2  ALWAYS PRACTICAL Oct20 Sep07 Aug04 Jul06   (maker michae)TORRES A 120 6.00 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ALWAYS RIGHT by ARCH)
3  TUTTA BELLA         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BIRKENHEAD by MIZZEN MAST)
4  MAKE A MILLION Oct13 Sep01 Aug10     (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 7% 12.60    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RAINBOW DREAMS by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  GIVE HER ANOTHER Nov23 Jun26       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of DALSAROS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  LOVELY EMMA Oct20 Sep07 Aug10     (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SALSA DIAVOLA by MINESHAFT)
7  MANAGE XPECTATIONS         (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TWO DOZEN ROSES by SUPER SAVER)
8  CHELL JAE         (schmidt denise)RIQUELME J 120 30.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of SILVER CALLING by SILVER DEPUTY)
9  SEARCHING SPIRIT Nov29         (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ELSA by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
10  KISSIN RICHES Nov23         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of KISS N SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
 
FG-9   12/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAU MAU (BRZ) Nov24 Oct04 Aug07 Jun26 May18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00    
2  KEYS INCLUDED Nov09 Oct19 Aug26 Aug09 Jul06 (larrosa jua)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 1.80 46% 1.20    
3  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Dec05 Nov23 Oct30 Jul19 Jul06 (govea ces)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROOSTER RUN Dec05 Sep10 Jun05 Feb10 Dec14 (munoz yova)ALBERT S 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  FABLED RULER Dec05 Oct12 Sep26 Sep09 Aug27 (hargrave k)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
6  SPECTRIER Nov24 Oct03 Sep20 Sep07 Aug28 (husak j)RIQUELME J 121 6.00    
7  GUITAR BOY Dec05 Nov02 Sep25 Sep09 Jul31 (schwandt emile)COHEN DAVID 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.