Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - December 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(6/8/3/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/3)-(6/8/3/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/3)-(6/8/3/9/5)-(3/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (6/8/3/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/9/5)-(6/8/3/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/9/5)-(6/8/3/9/5)-(6/8/3/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/3/9/5)-(3/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/9/5)-(3/5/6)-(7/2/1/10/11) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(7/2/1/10/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(7/2/1/10/11)-(5/9/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (7/2/1/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/10/11)-(7/2/1/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/10/11)-(7/2/1/10/11)-(7/2/1/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/1/10/11)-(5/9/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/10/11)-(5/9/3/8)-(3/5/1/8/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-6   WIN (5/9/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/8)-(5/9/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/8)-(5/9/3/8)-(5/9/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/3/8)-(3/5/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/3/8)-(3/5/1/8/2)-(5/12/10/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-7   WIN (3/5/1/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/8/2)-(3/5/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/8/2)-(3/5/1/8/2)-(3/5/1/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/1/8/2)-(5/12/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (5/12/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/12/10/11)-(5/12/2/10/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/12/10/11)-(5/12/2/10/11)-(5/12/2/10/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTALLY ADDICTED Nov24 Jul04 Jun07 May23 Apr10 (david b)GRAHAM J 121 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Jul10 May03 Mar22 Mar03 Feb12 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50    
3  TAKEOVER FIFTYFOUR Jul10 Jun29 May14 Mar15 Feb23 (duhon jos)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DRILLING REPORT Nov02 Jun27 May31 Apr19 Feb24 (cuccia j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00    
5  DUDE DROP KID Nov06 Oct19 Jul23 Jun11 May13 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  OAK HILL LG Nov24 Jul30 Jul09 May29 May04 (alfortish s)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.50    
 
FG-2   12/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIVERTON (GB) Dec04 Nov23 Nov13 Sep23 Sep13 (delacruz j)CURTIS BEN 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  MOONOVERMONTGOMERY Oct16 Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 May29 (sanchez c)THORNTON G 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
3  COUNTRY CUT Nov23 Sep16 Aug28 Aug19 Jun18 (burkes bobby)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  JOEYBONES Nov23 Oct22 Oct07 Sep24 Sep17 (carter angelle)RIQUELME J 118 15.00    
5  SURPRISE ROAD TRIP Nov20 Sep26 Sep09 Aug12 Jul26 (guillory hen)TORRES A 118 3.00    
6  HEXCEL Nov23 Sep16 Aug28 Aug19 Jul16 (munoz yov)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 6.00    
7  OUTWORKALLDAY Nov23 Oct03 Aug10 Jul17 Jun27 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-3   12/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GASTOWN Nov23 Sep29 Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 (govea cesar)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00    
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA Sep24 Aug10 May24 Mar24 Feb22 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 3.00    
3  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Sep16 Aug03 Jun24 Jun12 May11 (claire alexis)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00 6% 14.90    
4  ROCK STAR DOCTOR Nov29 Nov10 Sep27 Jul31 Jun05 (mouton chadw)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 20.00    
5  ROLL GYPSY ROLL Nov22 Sep25 Sep11 Jul12 Jun27 (richards co)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRUE BLUE SKY Nov02 Oct20 Oct12 Sep22 Jul02 (ramirez-r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 53% 0.90    
7  NO COST Nov22 Nov05 Sep26 Sep11 Sep02 (thompson k)WELLINGTON KYLIE 112 20.00    
8  DIFFERENTLY Dec05 Oct28 Sep26 Aug20 Jun24 (delacruz m)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 18% 4.70    
9  DRE ME LESS Sep11 Jul27 Jun27 May30 May08 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  PASTA SALAD RHONDA Oct06 Sep25 Jun29 May26 Feb11 (robertson mclean)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
11  DASHYNS DREAM Dec05 Oct30 Aug22 Jul25 Jul04 (gelner jay)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
12  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Nov27 Nov06 Sep17 Jul23 Jun23 (forster gran)TORRES A 120 12.00    
SCR  LAYLA'S SONG Nov15 Sep26 Jul25 Jul01 Jun12 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
SCR  ENGLISH CHARM Oct02 Aug05 Jun25 May23 Mar21 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
 
FG-4   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZOOM ERIN Nov24 Sep23 Sep10 Aug07 May29 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 121 12.00    
SCR  ATOMIC ROSE Nov24 Aug10 Jul09 Jun28 Jun05 (lorefice mat)MURRAY M 121 8.00    
3  BELLA BOLLE Aug20 Jul30 Jun25 Jun05 May20 (delacruz m)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 2.00 36% 1.70    
4  WA WA WEE WA Dec07 Nov21 Oct26 Sep07 Aug24 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 12.00    
5  COTTON CANDY ANNIE Dec05 Oct19 Oct10 Aug25 Aug11 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
6  BYE LOVE GOTTA GO Nov24 Sep22 Sep07 Aug18 Aug05 (guillory h)ALBERT S 121 6.00 5% 17.30    
7  SERIOUSLY SASSY Nov22 Oct23 Sep10 May13 Feb20 (singh s)SINGH R 121 10.00    
SCR  FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Nov24 Nov02 Oct06 Sep02 Jul28 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 3.50    
 
FG-5   12/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRADIVARIAN Nov17 Nov03 Sep20 Aug26 Jul21 (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 14% 6.30    
2  HIGGINSVILLE Nov29 Jul15 Jul05 Jun06 Apr07 (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00 15% 5.70    
3  B WAYNE Nov29 Sep15 Aug13     (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
4  RAYFIELD Nov24 Nov02 Oct06 Aug25 Aug15 (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 30.00    
5  SIR EXTON Nov10 Mar07 Jan21 Dec23 Nov25 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 121 8.00    
6  ITS JUST MONEY Oct13 Sep22 Sep06 Aug11 Jul21 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 8.00    
7  NUMERO SIETE Nov24 Oct29 Sep29     (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
8  IMPERIO         (casse norm )CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00    
9  PUCKSTER Sep22 Sep09 Jun23 May18 Feb29 (troiani n)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 30.00    
10  THE JIG IS UP (IRE) Nov29 Oct30 Oct09 Mar30   (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00 10% 8.60    
11  THICK AS THIEVES Nov09 Oct11 Feb01 Oct27   (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHARP STRIKE Nov24 Sep05 Aug08 Jun08 Apr13 (simpson daniel)COHEN DAVID 121 10.00    
SCR  ROSENOW Nov06 Sep20       (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 20.00    
SCR  TWO WEEKS NOTICE Nov23 Sep14 Aug13 Jul17 May14 (vincent jarvis)GREEN AUBRIE 121 30.00    
 
FG-6   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF MAGIC Jul09 Jun24 May18 Apr06 Feb18 (west g)RIQUELME J 121 8.00    
2  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Dec04 Nov23 Nov06 Oct12 Aug28 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 20.00    
3  HARD FOUR Nov24 Jun07 May10 Apr13 Mar24 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 121 5.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  VETERANS DAY Nov24 Nov09 Aug16 Jul26 May04 (husak gar)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00    
5  MAGAWILDTIME Dec05 Oct30 Oct11 Sep11 Aug23 (degeyter )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00 32% 2.10    
6  CREOLE CHARLIE Nov23 Oct17 Jul26 Jun10 May09 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 121 8.00    
7  HALF AGAIN Nov24 Nov15 Aug31 May09 Apr18 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 10.00    
8  DREWMAZING Dec05 Oct23 Aug16 Jul18 Jul05 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  RISKY PRIORITY Nov24 Oct25 Jul26 Jul09 May20 (terre david)THORNTON G 121 4.00 27% 2.60    
 
FG-7   12/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY HOUR QUEEN Nov15 Oct17 Sep28     (camejo m)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 6% 14.80    
2  ARMALEESE Nov30 Oct12 Aug17 Jul19   (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ACOUSTICAT Nov14 Sep27       (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  TACO CAT BACKWARDS Nov13 Aug29 Aug16 Jul26   (troiani nicco)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00    
5  AMADORA'S EMPIRE         (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
6  EYES ON ITALY Nov10         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
7  REIMAGINE Sep08 Aug22 Jul11     (simpson da)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
8  EMBRASSER Oct28 Oct09       (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  JAILHOUSE RELIGION Nov07 Oct06       (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 120 8.00    
10  CHEVAL B Nov04 Sep08       (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
 
FG-8   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISIONISTA Aug01 Jun16 May25 May05 Apr13 (rodriguez eduar)COHEN DAVID 120 20.00    
2  ROYAL O'HAIGAIN May03 Apr10 Mar14 Feb10 Jan15 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00 ★    
3  FOURALIVIA Nov24 Aug22 Jul12 May15 Mar24 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
4  DON'TCALLMEPATSY Nov22 Sep04 Aug16 Jul01 May11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
5  LIL CHILLY Nov24 Apr20 Mar14 Feb22 Jan18 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 118 6.00 61% 0.60    
6  PLATINUM MINIT Jun14 Mar23 Feb04 Dec31 Dec10 (ducoing st)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  WUPKAR Nov14 Oct29 Oct03 Sep04 Aug04 (jeansonne ju)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00    
SCR  COUNTRY LADY Dec05 Sep25 Aug19 Jul01 Jun07 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00    
9  A RUNNIN AFLEET Nov24 Aug23 Jun29 May22 Jan15 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
10  A MISS DEAMEANOR Nov24 Sep10 Aug17 Jul20 Jul06 (wilson shane)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  RED WHISTLE Nov24 Oct18 Aug22 Jul20 Jun29 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  SWEET ALEXIS Nov22 Oct11 Aug31 Jul18 Jun29 (devereux p)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 7% 13.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.