Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - October 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (3/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/8)-(3/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/8)-(4/5/1/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/1/3)-(7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/3)-(7/2/3)-(5/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-3   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/8/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/1)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/8/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MNR-6   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(4/1/3)-(4/3/7/10/1) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(4/3/7/10/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-8   WIN (4/3/7/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/10/1)-(4/3/7/10/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/10/1)-(4/3/7/10/1)-(4/3/7/10/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGENDARY STAR Sep24 Sep11 Aug15     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 17% 5.10    
  (by MOBIL out of GIRLIANO by PAULIANO)
STREETLIGHT PEOPLE Sep24 Mar04 Feb19 Jan21 Dec17 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of PEGASTORM by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
PAYNTER CITY Sep11 Aug21       (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by PAYNTER out of JAZZ IN THE CITY by TEMPLE CITY)
ROCK ON JOE         (dalton miche)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HONOR AND TRUST by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
SWIFT DANCER Sep24 Aug29 Aug17 Jul25 May26 (tumblin andre)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of AMERICAN SWAGGER by MR. SEKIGUCHI)
BALLOT BOX Sep18 Aug26 Aug11 Jul16 Jun19 (pizzur)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
GUARDIANSOF AUTISM Sep24 Sep11 Aug21 Aug11 Jul29 (kocijan m)HERNANDEZ H 123 4.50 8% 11.40    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FOR SURE FOR SURE by OLD TOPPER)
JUSTCUZIFEELLIKEIT Sep24 Sep11 Aug27 Nov12 Oct23 (cook devin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of NANETTE'S SPIRIT by WAR PASS)
 
MNR-2   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN RULER Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Oct11 Sep19 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  IN HONOR OF AUTISM Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 (clouston edward)TAPARA LUIS 120 6.00    
GENIUS Sep29 Sep11 Sep03 Aug25 Aug19 (inman l)WHITACRE B 123 12.00 5% 17.80    
AMIGO'S AFFAIR Sep16 Jul23 Jun24 May13 Apr10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.00 27% 2.80    
DYRDEK Sep04 Aug21 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 (poole c)BRACHO A 120 8.00 20% 4.00    
SECRET SANCTUARY Aug11 Apr30 Dec05 Nov19 Sep03 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 10.00    
JULIE'S FERRARI Sep10 Aug11 Jul14 Jun17 May07 (welsh r)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00    
UNCLE EARL Sep23 Sep10 Aug18 Aug06 Jul16 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Sep16 Sep03 Aug11 Jul14 Jun30 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 4.00    
 
MNR-3   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOL OF VAQUERO Apr11 Mar27 Mar13 Feb21 Jan23 (campbell )HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00    
BE ON NOTICE Oct01 Sep11 Sep01 Aug12 Jul29 (ramgeet ti)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
THIRTYEIGHT WISHES Sep16 Mar08 Jan04 Nov29   (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RAMBLIN CHROME Sep25 Sep11 Aug22 Jul27 Jul08 (mauro julia)HEBERT LINDSEY 120 20.00    
TIZAWHITEFACECAT Sep11 Aug14 Jul30 Jul07 May29 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 2.50    
AFTER SUNRISE Sep24 Sep11 Aug21 Jul01 Jun12 (langley s)WHITACRE B 121 4.50    
AMBULANTE Oct01 Sep04 Aug21 Aug11 Jul22 (barbaran hor)TAPARA BRANDON 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
MNR-4   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR SCHUSTER Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Aug14 Aug05 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 121 8.00 25% 2.90    
CROW'S NEST Sep01 Aug05 Jul06 Jun14 Jun10 (crago terry)WHITACRE B 120 6.00    
SCR  THE ILLUSIONIST Jun29 Jun20 May16 Apr05 Jan25 (brown ronn)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 8.00    
ETRETAT Sep15 Sep01 Aug14 Jul17 Jun29 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
SPERANZAS WILL Sep25 Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 Jun25 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
COLOR ME LEGENDARY Sep29 Sep19 Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00    
PERJURY Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 May23 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
PUNCTUALITY Sep25 Sep09 Aug27 Aug18 Aug07 (cordero-lopez a)VEGA L 123 6.00    
 
MNR-5   10/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFEND May28 Apr22 Dec05 Nov20 Nov01 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 6.00    
CASH CUSTOMER Aug26 Aug11 Jul24 Jul14 Jul01 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 4.50 59% 0.70    
GATES OF HEAVEN Sep29 Sep04 Jul14 May28 May12 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
ALFIE SOLOMONS Sep23 Aug25 Jul21 Jun17 May26 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROYAL'D Aug21 Jul25 Jul03 May27 Apr29 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 120 3.50    
HENRY'S WORLD Sep18 Aug27 Aug12 Jul24 Jul01 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.00    
CITY HUMOR Sep11 Aug19 Jul24 Jul10 Jun01 (ortiz-)RODRIGUEZ A 110 30.00    
UNYIELDING Sep17 Sep04 Jul07 Jun25 May28 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
 
MNR-6   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILAC LACE Sep11 Aug20 Jul09 Jun13 May22 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 3.50    
SCR  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Sep03 Aug07 Jul09 May28 May12 (poole c)BRACHO A 120 8.00    
SHOW ME THE BEST Sep03 Aug07 Jul09 Jun23 Jun03 (jenkins wa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 8.00    
ONE NIGHT STAND Sep24 Sep03 Aug07 Jul17 Jun23 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
ORBIT MARS Aug11 Jun04 May12 Apr22 Jan23 (logston christo)VEGA L 120 10.00 5% 18.80    
LIL BUT DELICIOUS Sep22 Sep03 May14 Apr22 Jan03 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
TEAM GOLD DIGGER Sep24 Sep15 Sep03 Aug27 Jul16 (ramgee)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00    
 
MNR-7   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOADED ONCE MORE Sep29 Aug25 Aug11 Jun25 Jun17 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
CASTLE REVIEW Sep09 Aug27 Aug06 Jul22 Jun23 (shuler)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 15.00    
LATER DAYS Jul17 Jun10 May21 May14 May05 (treharne da)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
LARIMAR Sep29 Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 Jun25 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.00 45% 1.20    
A KISS FOR KHOZAN Sep10 Aug19 Jul17 Jul02 Jun18 (hetrick krist)BRACHO A 120 4.00    
SCR  CARLY HUSTLE Sep22 Aug28 Aug21 Aug08 Jul19 (salinas jose)PAUCAR E 120 15.00    
 
MNR-8   10/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMICUS BRIEF Sep22 Sep01 Aug13 Jul23 Jun26 (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
DESERT HIGHWAY Sep05 Aug16 Aug01 Jul12 Jun26 (aguirre juan)TAPARA BRANDON 120 15.00    
SECRET PATH Sep23 Aug28 Jul23 Jun24 May28 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
SMASH Sep23 Aug28 Aug13 Jun02 May13 (bernardini jay )TAPARA LUIS 120 6.00 35% 1.80    
EXALTED JOY Sep23 Aug15 Jul24 Jul02 Apr09 (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 120 1.80    
SCR  KETTLE KING Sep25 Sep06 Aug23 Aug07 Jul01 (mauro julia)HEBERT LINDSEY 120 20.00    
ZERO GRAVITY Sep23 Sep11 Sep01 Aug20 Aug04 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 12.00 14% 5.90    
MR HOOVER Sep22 Sep11 Aug20 Jul24 Jul05 (sanders melinda)VEGA L 120 20.00    
DOCTOR NASH Aug27 Jun26 Jun07 May12 Mar30 (cannon steve)BUSH V 120 2.50    
10  KANTPAYTHETOLL Sep22 Sep01 Aug06 Jul03 Jun11 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUGSY MALONE Sep24 Aug27 Jul29 Jul02 May20 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 120 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.