Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland Turf Pick 3
Friday - October 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EQD-1   10/04/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 KEE Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING OF MO Sep02 Aug08 Jun28 May30 Apr27 (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCHOOL DANCE Jun02 May03 Apr04 Feb25 Aug12 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00    
PAINT ME PERFECT Aug26 Jul28 Jun20 May03 Mar21 (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEACH WALKN Aug26 Jan18 Dec21 Nov24 Oct18 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SANCTIFY Sep11 Aug24 Aug04 Jun29 Jun07 (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
GOOD AMERICAN (GB) Sep18 Feb25 Dec26 Oct15 Sep10 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00    
FOR THE BISCUIT Sep25 Aug24 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 (sherman jus)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 115 30.00    
SELF CONFIDENT Sep02 Jul05 May18 Apr06 Feb23 (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 9% 9.50    
STYLISH SUE Aug29 Jul13 Jun21 May28 May04 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00    
10  OLIVIA MARALDA (IRE) Sep05 Jul20 May27 Apr20   (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
11  YARBOROUGH Aug26 Jul16 Jun13 May04 Apr04 (reed r)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
12  EXCELLENT QUESTION Aug31 Aug04 Jul07 Jun02 Apr26 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
 
EQD-2   10/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 Jessamine Purse ($350K) 2 F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZAFUNKYDRUMMER Sep08 Jul05 Jun02     (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 17% 5.00    
ISLE OF CAPRI Sep11         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 15% 5.70    
SASHAY AWAY Sep08 Jul21       (medina robe)TORRES A 118 20.00    
SOMETHINABOUTHER Sep08 Aug04 Jun14     (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
MECHAYA Aug29         (divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
DESTINO D'ORO Aug31         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 14% 6.00    
BALLERINA D'ORO Sep08 Aug04       (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
MAY DAY READY Sep08 Aug04       (lee joseph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 8.00 13% 6.60    
TOTALLY JUSTIFIED Aug28 Jul29 Jun28     (arnold r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
10  ITALIAN SOIREE Sep14 Aug04 Jul04     (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
11  MISS LONELLE Sep07 Aug12       (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  CORRETO Sep01         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00    
13  GIVE LIFE Sep08 Aug15       (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
14  SHE'S GOT WILL Sep08 Aug15       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
15  VIRGIN COLADA Aug28 Jul21       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
16  DAISY FLYER Sep05 Jul21       (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
 
EQD-3   10/04/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 KEE Purse ($130K) 3 F PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST CUPCAKE Aug21 Jul31 Jul06 Jun04 May03 (lauer michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00    
ETRURIAN Sep13 Aug02 Jul05 Aug05   (orseno f)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 24% 3.10    
MOONLIT LADY Aug12 Jul28 Jul06 Jun09 May16 (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
TAMBO Aug11 Jun09 Apr21 Feb23 Jan07 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SHARE THE BLESSING Aug13 May22 Apr20 Mar20 Mar03 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00    
BARAYE Aug10 May26 Apr20 Jan26 Dec23 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
CLOUDWALKER Sep13 Jul12 Jun15 May11 Apr20 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
NIKI NINE DOORS Aug12 Jul06 Jun15 May11 Apr18 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50    
INDEPENDENCEAVENUE Aug04 Jul07 May12 Jan06 Nov29 (delacour arnaud)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  ZO LEE Aug05 Jun22 May29 May04 Mar30 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
11  AMIDST WAVES Sep07 Jun16 May12 Nov03 Oct08 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
12  XTREME DIVA Aug31 Aug10 Jul13 Mar16 Feb17 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
13  DOROTHY CROWFOOT Jul25 Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 Oct06 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.