Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - August 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (10/7/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/8/11)-(10/7/8/11/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/7/8/11)-(10/7/8/11/5)-(10/7/8/11/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (3/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (4/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (1/4/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/9)-(1/4/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/9)-(1/4/2/9)-(1/4/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (3/5/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/9)-(3/5/8/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/9)-(3/5/8/2/9)-(3/5/8/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-7   WIN (7/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (9/4/3/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/1/6)-(9/4/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/1/6)-(9/4/3/1/6)-(9/4/3/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-9   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INNOVA         (stidham michae)CAMACHO SAMY 117 10.00    
  (by FROSTED out of STAR SILVER by ALDEBARAN)
2  NOTHING BUT HEIR         (ward dan)OLVER MADISON 117 10.00    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of ALL FLATTER by FLATTER)
3  FULLY AUTHORIZED         (dini mike)TORRES JOMAR 117 12.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of STREAK OF LUCK by OLD FASHIONED)
4  FLAMINGPROPOSITION         (ryan de)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 15.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of FUNNY PROPOSITION by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  POLO DRIVE         (mcgaughey)VARGAS A 117 8.00 ★    
  (by GAME WINNER out of MEMORIAL DRIVE by SMART STRIKE)
6  STEEN         (schultz linds)IORIO MELISSA 112 12.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SNACK SHACK by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  EL MEDIANOCHE Aug03         (crowell susa)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 8.00 11% 8.10    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of DONNA D by DIXIE UNION)
8  DUAL INCOME         (orseno f)BRAVO J 117 6.00 9% 10.50    
  (by ENTICED out of CAMILLE GAREY by STREET CRY (IRE))
9  VINO VIDI VICI         (ward dan)RENDON JAIRO 117 10.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of IT'SCHEMISTRYBABY by MEADOWLAKE)
10  OKVERYGOOD Jul28         (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.50 52% 0.90    
  (by UPSTART out of LENDERS WAY by HOOK AND LADDER)
11  KNOCK KNOCK JOKE Jul13         (orseno f)JUAREZ NIK 117 5.00 8% 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SURRENDER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
12  ADONAI OF LOVE         (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 8.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of PRIVATE BEACH by MALIBU MOON)
 
MTH-2   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFORMANCEANXIETY Jul26 Jun29 Mar01 Jan31 Dec15 (sweezey kent)TORRES JOMAR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROSE E HOLIDAY Aug04 Jul12 Jun15 Feb11 Jan18 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  MATOULA Jul26 Jul14 Jun29 Jun15 May25 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 114 5.00    
4  SOFSTER Jul21 Jul13 Jun22 Jun15 May26 (gonzale)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 2.00    
5  BETWEEN DREAMS Aug15 Jul27 Jul03 Jun22 May23 (pecoraro antho)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  JOY'S PRIDE Aug04 Jul26 Mar19 Mar04 Nov13 (huston k)IORIO MELISSA 119 8.00    
SCR  ROSEMARY POTATOES Aug17 Aug11 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 (serey mario)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 12.00    
 
MTH-3   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE FAITH Aug10 Jun21 May27 Apr25 Feb19 (synnefias pan)OLVER MADISON 119 8.00 9% 10.40    
2  JOEL'S BOY Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 Jun23 Jun16 (ramire)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 6.00    
3  THE ELUSIVE DRWONG Jul21 Jun22 Mar30 Nov24 Oct22 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50 21% 3.70    
4  AVES MAKIN' WAVES Aug10 Jul21 Jul13 Jul05 Jun23 (serey j)IORIO MELISSA 114 4.00    
5  MOMENT AT SEA Aug10 Jul05 Jun23 May09 Dec20 (grullon riquelvi)JUAREZ NIK 121 15.00    
6  LOCK BARREL Jun23 Jun01 May19 Feb03   (rabadan sergio)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.50 21% 3.90    
7  JUST BE HONEST Aug03 Jun30 Apr14     (carvaja)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 8.00    
8  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT Aug07 Jun08 May12 Mar29 Mar16 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 119 3.00 19% 4.40    
 
MTH-4   08/24/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIPOCHROME Apr21 Mar28 Dec21 Nov24 Nov01 (mcburney patrick)JUAREZ NIK 123 4.00 7% 12.60    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CANARY DIAMOND by ALPHABET SOUP)
2  RISADITA Jul28         (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 123 5.00 5% 17.50    
  (by TUNWOO out of RESILIENT HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  TACTICAL JOKE Jul21 Jun14 May12 Jan27   (russell britta)RENDON JAIRO 123 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of COMPETITION by DIXIE UNION)
4  ALANI Jan24 Dec26 Nov22     (servis jo)VARGAS A 119 3.00 65% 0.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of TRI DELT GIRL by SEFAPIANO)
5  MY DREAM COME TRUE Aug11         (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MY GIFT FROM ABOVE by BODEMEISTER)
6  PARK AVENUE BETTY Jul17 Jun06       (kimmel)GRISALES DANILO 119 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of JOE'SGOLDENHOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  NICKYS NOTION Jul27 Jul14 Jun23 May25 Aug05 (martin f)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of NICK'S FUNNYBONE by D' FUNNYBONE)
8  EXPECTATIONS MET Oct18 Aug31 Aug17 Jul09 Jun04 (duarte )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MS. CORNSTALK by INDIAN CHARLIE)
9  ALAS DORADAS Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 May25 Apr20 (hernandez jo)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 5.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of FEMMEN'FORTUNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
MTH-5   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY FLY AWAY Aug17 Jul28 Jul07 Jun22 May26 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 5.00 30% 2.30    
2  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Aug17 Jul28 Jul10 Jun08 May29 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 10.00 12% 7.50    
3  CRAFTY DON Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 Jun08 May12 (perez r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 4.00    
4  FIRST DEPUTY Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 (gomez pompeyo)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  WOOD BE WILD Jul13 Jun22 May18 Apr16 Feb19 (linder j)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00    
6  MUNDO MIX Aug09 Jul26 Jun16 Jun01 May19 (cole-d)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00    
SCR  SUPERSTITIEUX Apr13 Apr04 Mar22 Feb21 Feb03 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 111 8.00    
8  MAGNIFICENT RIDE Aug16 Aug10 Jul28 Jul21 May26 (serey j)OLVER MADISON 124 8.00    
9  RECKLESS PLACE Aug03 Jul19 Jun15 May27 Apr27 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 116 15.00 6% 17.00    
SCR  MAHOMES MONEY Jul21 Mar23 Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 (captan bassam)KAY R 121 20.00    
 
MTH-6   08/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATTA WORLD Jun28 Jun02 Apr13 Mar31 Mar03 (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 112 5.00    
2  BUTTERFLY QUEEN Jul26 Jul20 Jun28 Jun15 May25 (serey mar)VARGAS A 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  MADNESS Aug04 Jul13 Jun29 Jun02 Mar30 (breen j)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
4  BAZZARINA Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 Jan25 Jan04 (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 121 8.00    
5  WOW LUCKY May26 May02 Mar31 Mar01 Feb02 (brown r)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00 27% 2.80    
6  MYSTIC DREAMS Jul19 Jun15 Jun08 Feb08 Jan31 (mazza j)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 30.00    
7  FULLMOONMAGIC Aug03 Jul08 Jun11 May20 Dec20 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
8  TAP IT UP Jul25 Mar16 Feb10 Dec22 Oct28 (ryerson james )TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00 ★    
9  RUN FOR YOUR HONEY Feb29 Jan19 Nov24 Nov02 Sep15 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  MADELINE'S GROGU Aug03 Jul17 May26 May18 Dec01 (spina c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00    
 
MTH-7   08/24/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUCULENT Jul25 May05 Apr07 Mar15 Jan27 (schultz lindsa)RENDON JAIRO 121 5.00    
2  REAL SENSATION Jul20 Jul05 Jun23 Jun01 May11 (poalucci fran)IORIO MELISSA 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUST CALL RAY Jul12 Jun01 Mar29 Mar16 Feb16 (breen kel)VARGAS A 121 3.50 16% 5.10    
4  MILES OF SMILES Jul20 Jun15 May18 Apr10 Mar20 (orseno f)JUAREZ NIK 116 4.50    
5  YOUR ANALYSIS Aug02 Jul12 Jul05 Jun19 Mar30 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00    
6  SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE Aug03 Jun17 May27 May06 Mar11 (cibelli jane)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 10.00 14% 6.10    
7  CHANGE OF COMMAND Feb10 Jan05 Dec17 Nov04 Oct01 (mcgaughey clau)MARIN SAMUEL 117 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
MTH-8   08/24/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL AFFAIR Aug04 Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 May19 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 5.00 6% 15.90    
2  KEEP IN TOUCH Aug04 Jul07 May26 Apr26 Mar02 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 112 4.00    
3  NO FAKE Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 Jun16 Mar03 (delgado h)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.50 12% 7.20    
4  DUELA DENT Aug04 Jul25 May21 May10 Mar29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 3.00 23% 3.40    
5  SASSY ANNIE Aug04 Jun29 Jun16 Oct27 Oct06 (wilson )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 8.00    
6  FLAG SONG FLYIN Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 Jun28 Jun09 (gallegos a)JUAREZ NIK 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  G G'S DARK STAR Aug11 Apr26 Apr13 Apr06 Dec31 (yanez r)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
8  KEEP ON ROCKIN Aug04 Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 May22 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00    
9  SOPHISTICATED CAT Jul27 Jun30 May26 May03   (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  NEIGHBELLINE Jun11 May21 Apr22 Mar19 Feb27 (montoya marya)IORIO MELISSA 112 12.00    
SCR  SWANS ISLAND Jul24 Jun25 Apr22 Mar19 Feb07 (montoya marya)TORRES JOMAR 115 20.00    
SCR  TABOR TIME Jul13 Jun15 May27 Apr17 Apr06 (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 121 10.00    
SCR  I LOVE VENEZUELA Aug15 Jun16 May03 Feb07 Dec01 (yanez reynald)KAY R 120 8.00    
 
MTH-9   08/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sorority Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO LIMONE Aug03         (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LISA LIMON by SCAT DADDY)
2  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY Aug11 Jul05 Jun06 May18   (mcentee paul)OLVER MADISON 116 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ATALA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  YELLOW Jul04         (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 116 3.00 17% 4.70    
  (by BERNARDINI out of INDIAN SAFARI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  HOLLYWOOD BEAUTY Jul28 Jun24       (solis j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of AMERICA'S FRIEND by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  PIGGY TALES UP Jul27         (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 25% 2.90    
  (by MITOLE out of HOPEFUL UNION by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  BAYTOWN STORM Aug17 May19 May13 Apr26 Apr11 (mcentee paul)MOYA F 116 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of CHARMING SHE IS by JOHAR)
7  SOCIAL FORTRESS Jul13         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of COLD HEARTED PEARL by PARADING)
8  ENTENTE         (servis jo)VARGAS A 116 12.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of RUPERT'S PROMISE by CAPOTE)
9  MARGO'S MARGARITA Aug02         (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 116 15.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of MAGNIFICENT MARGO by CONGRATS)
 
MTH-10   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DITHER Aug16 Jul13 Jun16 May27 Apr28 (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 116 5.00    
2  SEARCY Aug09 Jun09 Mar28 Jan28 Dec09 (schultz lindsa)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.00    
3  NEW YORK STRONG Aug16 Jul27 Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 (serey jr)RENDON JAIRO 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  MR. GEORGIE Aug10 May25 Apr19 Mar30 Mar10 (castillo michell)JUAREZ NIK 117 15.00    
5  ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND Jun23 May23 Apr24 Mar29 Mar01 (synnefias pan)OLVER MADISON 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  SOZE Aug09 Jul13 Jan12 Oct06 Aug26 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  RUN HAPPY PAPPY Jul19 May20 Nov25 Nov02 Aug27 (spina c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 12.00    
SCR  TRUMPET CALL Jul22 Jul01 Jun05 Apr29 Mar13 (mosco robert)MOYA F 117 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.