Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - August 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (4/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/2)-(4/8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/2)-(4/8/6/2)-(4/8/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/2)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(6/5/1)-(1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(1/3)-(2/10/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/10/9)-(5/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/9)-(2/10/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/10/9)-(2/10/9)-(2/10/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/5/3)-(1/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLIN MY WAY Jul31 Jul06 Jun27 Oct31   (riley barbara)OUZTS W 119 4.50    
LINO'S KID Jul19 Jun27 Jun08 May22 Feb24 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RADIO SILENT Jun26 Jun01 May15 May01 Oct28 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 15.00    
FACTUM'S STAR Aug02 Jul11 Jun19 May18 Feb17 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 2.50 39% 1.50    
STORMED OUT Jul19 Jun27 May31 Apr27 Mar28 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 123 10.00    
MR. BALI Jul19 Jun27 May31 Feb14 Jan25 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 5.00    
GOT ZIP Jul19 Jun27 Jun14 May22 May04 (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 6.00    
CRAFTED Jul31 Jul06 Jun09 May26 Apr27 (short thomas)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  NOAH MY BABY Jul18 Jun18 May07 Mar28 Mar14 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 15.00    
 
BTP-2   08/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL VIRGINIA DARE Aug01 Jul11 Jun15 Jun01 May17 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 3.00    
YEHAWMEMAW Jul26 Jul12 Jun15 May30 May16 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00    
SCR  LITTLE MUSIC Jun21 Jun06 May18 May11 Feb21 (cross r)MCKEE J 118 2.50    
PERFECTLY WICKED Jul15 Jun19 May22 Apr11 Mar22 (fletcher kevi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00 44% 1.30    
CASTELMOLA May18 Mar16 Feb29 Feb08 Jan10 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
MOON PARTY Jul20 Jun15 Jun01 May25 May04 (haehn r)BUSH V 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP HAT TIGRESS Jul11 Jul05 Jun01 May16 May03 (adams l)SERPA ANGEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
RED JAG Jul18 Jun21 May24 May02 Feb15 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 2.50    
C C GRAND Jul18 Jun29 May18 Apr27 Mar29 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 4.50    
SONHO DE VERAO Aug07 Jul17 Jul03 Jun13 May22 (orantes yoni )SOSA LAUREANO 117 3.00    
LAST CHANCE DANCE Jul27 Jul05 Jun19 May29 May16 (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
IN A PEACH Jul17 Jun01 May18 May02 Mar16 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
BTP-4   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OOPSIE DOOPSIE Jul26 Jun06 May23 Apr10 Mar17 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
YOGURT Aug01 Jul12 Jun28 Jun05 Jan03 (short billy)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.00    
ABOUNDING Jul31 Jun15 Jun01 May18 May04 (cook k)MURGIA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAMITA LINDA Aug01 Jul03 Jun20 May02 Mar21 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 122 8.00    
WHISKEY SIS Jul31 Jul17 Jun29 Jun06 May23 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50    
C C'S WORLD Jul31 Jul11 Jun21 Jun08 Jun01 (gonzalez j)BUSH V 122 10.00    
MARKET OF STOCKS Jul25 Jul17 Jul03 Jun20 Dec04 (rodak geraldi)SOSA LAUREANO 122 4.50    
SCR  CANA GRIS Aug01 May31 May13 Apr24 Mar16 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 10.00    
 
BTP-5   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOUNDER Aug06 Jul03 May27 Mar22 Mar13 (valdez moises)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.00    
TONALTALITARIAN Jul31 Jul13 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 5.00 50% 1.00    
MAN DOWN Jul24 Nov19 Nov02 Oct24 Sep19 (chain pearl)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 20.00    
SCR  P K WOOD Jul31 Jun27 May30 May15 Mar21 (bahena ism)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 3.50    
SCR  SAILOR'S CHANCE Jul31 Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 Mar14 (donjuan sergio)MURGIA A 123 8.00    
SCR  MACHO RONNIE Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 May20 Apr28 (mcgovern shan)LEBRON VICTOR 123 15.00    
SCR  KID MARVELOUS Jul31 Jun27 Apr26 Mar30 Feb23 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 8.00    
SCR  PICKFORD Jul10 Jun20 Oct16 Oct02 Sep10 (conto kevin)BUSH V 123 2.50    
DESERT HIGHWAY Aug01 Jul12 Jun26 Jun12 May18 (aguirre jua)JIMENEZ J 123 12.00 5% 18.60    
10  AGADOR SPARTACUS Aug08 Jul13 Jul03 Jun05 May15 (adams l)SOSA LAUREANO 123 6.00 11% 8.50    
11  NOT YET CHARLIE Jul10 Jun12 Jun01 Apr26 Mar20 (cline c)OUZTS W 123 4.50    
12  SARGEANT BARGER Jul26 May29 May16 Apr26 Mar22 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 8.00    
 
BTP-6   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERHAUL Jul13 Jun29 Jun19 May11 May26 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 6.00 24% 3.10    
ENJOYMENT Jul10 Apr24 Mar27 Mar14 Feb17 (gorostieta cirilo)MCKEE J 123 3.00    
FOLLOW YOUR DREAM Jul27 Jul13 Dec13 Nov03 Oct03 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
PALACE TEMPTATION Aug02 Jul18 Feb28 Feb14 Jan30 (chain pearl)SOSA LAUREANO 121 10.00    
FAMILY FACTOR Jun26 Jun08 May17 Apr24 Mar08 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 3.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  SWAYBACK JACK Aug02 Jul13 Jun08 May23 May10 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 119 2.50    
 
BTP-7   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNA DITTY Jul20 Jun21 May14 Apr25 Mar06 (greenhi)DE CRUZ 119 3.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SONG OF SOLOMON by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
KATE'S CONCERTO Aug02 Jul20 Jul06 Jun19 May14 (lucas way)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 5.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ALLUDE by ORIENTATE (GB))
DAME STRAIGHT Jul26 May31 May16 Mar14   (ladd erin)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of ISSUED by U S RANGER)
TWO LUCYS Jul14 May29 Apr17 Mar28 Dec13 (mckeever andrew)MURGIA A 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BETHAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
HAMPTON YARD Jul20 Jun21 Jun06 May09 Apr21 (oliver victor)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00 19% 4.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
XAYAH         (kenneally eddi)ELLIOTT JANE 119 5.00    
  (by CURLIN out of LET FAITH ARISE by KAFWAIN)
E B ZOOM BABY Jul14 May19       (gutierrez f)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 4.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BRUNA by FARMA WAY)
 
BTP-8   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAVORABLE RETURN Aug01 Sep25 Sep11 Jul18 May25 (ocasio osv)BATISTA X 123 2.50 67% 0.50    
CAJUN CRACKER Jul24 Jul11 May06 Apr29 Apr12 (ashmore colee)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
PAST IMPERATIVE Jul19 Jun29 Jun01 Feb17 Jan11 (sandy s)MURGIA A 123 4.00    
KOBE BEACH Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 May04 Apr26 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 123 8.00    
SCR  WORKINFROMHOME May31 May06 Apr13 Mar17 Feb17 (guerrero sal)SERPA ANGEL 123 3.50 6% 15.80    
MANSION PARTY Aug01 Jul05 Jun12 May10 Apr25 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 5.00    
ONE FOR MY BROTHER Jul24 Nov20 Oct24 Oct11 Sep27 (vosler eugene)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00    
CONSTITUTION COAL Aug01 Jul20 Jul05 Jun19 Jan25 (chain pearl)SOSA LAUREANO 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.