Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - August 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (2/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/4)-(6/9/3/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/4)-(6/9/3/2)-(3/2/6/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/2)-(6/9/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/9/3/2)-(6/9/3/2)-(6/9/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/3/2)-(3/2/6/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/9/3/2)-(3/2/6/7)-(8/4/1/9/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/7)-(8/4/1/9/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/7)-(8/4/1/9/7)-(3/5/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-4   WIN (8/4/1/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/9/7)-(8/4/1/9/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/9/7)-(8/4/1/9/7)-(8/4/1/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/1/9/7)-(3/5/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/9/7)-(3/5/4)-(5/8/7/4/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(5/8/7/4/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(5/8/7/4/6)-(6/5/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/8/7/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/4/6)-(5/8/7/4/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/4/6)-(5/8/7/4/6)-(5/8/7/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/7/4/6)-(6/5/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/4/6)-(6/5/3)-(3/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PID-7   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(3/4)-(7/1/5/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/1/2/7/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/1/2/7/4)-(3/1/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4)-(7/1/5/9) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
PID-9   WIN (7/1/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/9)-(7/1/5/9/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/9)-(7/1/5/9/4)-(7/1/5/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOOKY ONE Jul24 Jul03 Jun11 May24 May03 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 122 4.00    
2  THALBERG Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 Jun04 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  HOUSEBUILDER Jul30 Jun24 Jun11 Jan22 Dec11 (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 6.00    
4  DR RAGS Jul30 Jul24 Jun30 Jun09 May31 (judd cas)RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00 6% 14.80    
5  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Jul28 Jun27 Apr28 Apr05 Feb23 (brooks gerald )ALLEN D 122 10.00    
6  HENRY'S WORLD Jul24 Jul01 May28 Apr13 Apr03 (rojas eduardo )LOPEZ DERECK 115 1.80 14% 6.00    
7  EXTRA MEDIUM Jul17 Jul03 Jun18 Jun03 Nov03 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 12% 7.30    
 
PID-2   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWN TO EARTH Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 Oct25 Oct11 (ruberto )GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
2  ULTIMATE BARONESS Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 Oct10 (morrell just)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 6% 15.40    
3  RUNAWAY BREEZE Jul22 Jul02 Jun07 May04 Apr13 (stokes lance)BAYS BROOKE 115 10.00 12% 7.20    
4  EMERALD CITADELLE Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 May21 Sep25 (wilson ariane)WALKER M 122 15.00    
5  STRAIGHT MADNESS Jul22 Jul10 Jun11 Oct25 Oct11 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 30.00    
6  MOLISE Jul10 Oct04 Sep06 Aug21 Aug01 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  CHEROKEE CHATTER Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 May22 Oct12 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
8  SONG OF INDY Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 May21 Aug29 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.50    
9  UNICORN SALLY Jun04 May21 Nov18 Nov05 Oct04 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
 
PID-3   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M THE CABANA BOY Jul15 Jul02 Jun11 May29   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 10.00    
2  MALIBU'S BOSS MAN Jul10 Jun04 May04 Mar22 Mar01 (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 118 4.00 25% 3.10    
3  MAJESTIC JOHNSON Oct05 Jun23 Jul31 Jul08   (grabowsk)RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  CHANGE THE HOUR Jul24 Jul01 Jun10 May20 Oct26 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
5  DISCO CENTS Jul16 Jul09 Jun04 May22 Sep06 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
6  SPERANZAS WILL Jul22 Jun25 Jun07 May12 Jul26 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
7  TWELVETWO Jul24 Oct19 Oct02 Sep19 Sep04 (herrington cally)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-4   08/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YADI Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 Jun05 May28 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 5.00 14% 5.90    
2  RICHARD HOOTY Jul23 Jul02 Jun10 Oct19 Oct10 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.00    
3  VILLAGE PREACHER Jul23 May03 Apr26 Mar22 Feb25 (markgraf david)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
4  LOWCOUNTRY Aug01 Jun19 Oct22 Oct08 Oct02 (boucher lilith)BAYS BROOKE 115 4.50 19% 4.20    
5  PRACTICAL WAY Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 May21 Apr28 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
6  CREATIVE CHOICE Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 Jun10 May28 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 20.00    
7  BEACH HOLIDAY Jul30 Jul10 Jun24 Jun12 Feb12 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CATATUMBO Jul23 Jul02 Jun10 May28 Apr21 (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50 27% 2.80    
9  ARAK Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 Mar23 (gilmartin bre)WALKER M 122 15.00 11% 7.90    
 
PID-5   08/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Jul29 Jul16 Jun25 Jun12 Oct24 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
2  TOOLCAT Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 Dec15 Nov24 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 124 2.00    
3  CUPID'S STRIKE Jun25 Apr07 Mar16 Feb25 Jan31 (hamm tim)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  RIGHT NOW Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 May27 Apr26 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  INTO DISCO Jul16 May29 May03 Apr04 Mar08 (mott riley)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 20% 4.00    
6  LOVELY EVER AFTER Jul29 Jul04 Jun05 Oct17 Aug21 (girten tim)STANLEY O 122 10.00    
 
PID-6   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OL' NELSON Jul24 Jul08       (ruberto louis )ALLEN D 120 12.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of POTENTIAL DIVA by SUAVE)
2  NOTFANUTIN Jul07         (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 120 4.00    
  (by UPSTART out of FU PEGGI SUE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  STARGAZZERS DREAM Jul17         (danner kelsey)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of TEST MY LOVE by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  DRUNKLE Jul09         (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 120 4.50 6% 16.30    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ROCK SAPPHIRE by ROCK HARD TEN)
5  SPEIGHT THE SNOW Jul24         (potts g)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 35% 1.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LET IT SNOW by FROSTY THE SNOWMAN)
6  HIGHS N LOWS Jul24 Jul08       (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of STAR WHITE by NAEVUS)
7  BRAVADEER         (connelly tere)WALKER M 120 4.50 10% 9.40    
  (by BRAVAZO out of IRELAND by AFLEET ALEX)
8  CAPPETTA Jul09         (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
  (by WEIGELIA out of I ZOOM by BURNING ROMA)
9  RANSOM MONEY Jul24         (connelly tere)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 3.50    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of C C'S PAL by ALEX'S PAL)
 
PID-7   08/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Avery Whisman Memorial Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Jul13 Jun17 Jun05 Apr26 Mar24 (connelly teresa)MARTINEZ W 118 4.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
2  PEMAQUID PETE Jul03 Jun12 May21 Oct26 Oct16 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 118 8.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of WICKED GREAT by GREATNESS)
3  HE'S A MESS Jul22 Jun17 May31 Apr27 Apr07 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRAMEDY out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
4  ANAMNESTIC Jul13 Jun13 Jan25 Dec29 Dec09 (danner kelsey)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SELECTIVE MEMORY by MALIBU MOON)
5  HUSH OF A STORM Jul21 Jun17 Mar02 Jan05 Dec16 (cox h)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HUSH NOW by FLATTER)
6  FOREVER SOUPER Jul14 May25 Apr20 Mar24 Jan21 (trombett)GALLARDO A 125 1.80 46% 1.20    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MIGHTY SOUPER by WAR FRONT)
 
PID-8   08/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHOBIA Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May28 May01 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
2  SEA URCHIN Jul24 Jul02 Jun12 May28 Oct24 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 ★    
3  HIGH HEADED Jun17 Jun05 May27 May01 Mar20 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 118 1.80 76% 0.30    
4  THREE O ONE Jul16 Jul09 Jun10 May22 Feb17 (rice kev)GALLARDO A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  COLD PLUNGE Jul24 Jul09 Jun18 May26   (connelly teres)LOPEZ DERECK 111 20.00    
6  SNIP THE ROSES Jul24 Jun25 Jun10 May29 Oct17 (judd cassand)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
7  DUKE SKYWALKER Jul09 Jul01 Jun11 May27 Nov25 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00 ★    
8  BOOKER'S CHARM Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 May31 May09 (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 120 15.00    
SCR  INAPPROPRIATE Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 Oct25 Oct12 (khan s)AYALA J 122 10.00    
SCR  BALLINDINE Jul26 Jun22 May26 Apr07 Mar22 (dini mike)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
11  RAPA NUI Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 Nov08 (buhrow d)BAYS BROOKE 115 30.00    
 
PID-9   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEEDED Jul11 Jan11 Dec03 Nov09 Sep15 (rice linda)MORALES PABLO 120 1.80 25% 3.10    
2  ASHERAH'S RUN Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 Sep26 Sep06 (mckinley r)BAYS BROOKE 117 20.00    
SCR  NEXT DOT Aug05 Jul24 Jun03 May28 Apr25 (schneider kim)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 6.00    
4  ELLYMARIE Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 Aug05 (judd cassandra)LOPEZ DERECK 117 12.00 ★    
5  HOPE SHE COMES Jul24 Jul09 Jun26 Jun17 May27 (morrell r)FOX CHRIS 124 4.50 9% 9.80    
6  GRACE IN EXCESS Aug02 Jun21 Mar02 Feb10 Jan14 (brooks geral)AYALA J 120 10.00    
7  PRISCILLA'S COVE Jul15 Jun11 May04 Apr05 Feb16 (mott ril)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
8  SUNSET VIBES Jul16 Jul10 Jun25 May27   (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 120 20.00    
9  BUILT'IN ABILITY Jul17 Jul04 Jun25 May30 May16 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  PEDDLING HOPE Jul08 Jun12       (valdez m)RODRIGUEZ O 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.