Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Friday - July 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (9/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/1)-(9/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/4/1)-(9/4/1)-(9/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/4/1)-(2/3/8/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/4/1)-(2/3/8/6/7)-(10/1/6/9/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
EVD-2   WIN (2/3/8/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/6/7)-(2/3/8/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/6/7)-(2/3/8/6/7)-(2/3/8/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/8/6/7)-(10/1/6/9/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/6/7)-(10/1/6/9/4)-(9/7/3/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-3   WIN (10/1/6/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/6/9/4)-(10/1/6/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/6/9/4)-(10/1/6/9/4)-(10/1/6/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/6/9/4)-(9/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/1/6/9/4)-(9/7/3/6)-(7/5/2/12/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-4   WIN (9/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/3/6)-(9/7/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/3/6)-(9/7/3/5/6)-(9/7/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/3/6)-(7/5/2/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/7/3/6)-(7/5/2/12/4)-(6/5/8/1/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-5   WIN (7/5/2/12/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/12/4)-(7/5/2/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/12/4)-(7/5/2/12/4)-(7/5/2/12/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/2/12/4)-(6/5/8/1/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/12/4)-(6/5/8/1/4)-(6/5) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
EVD-6   WIN (6/5/8/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/1/4)-(6/5/8/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/1/4)-(6/5/8/1/4)-(6/5/8/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/8/1/4)-(6/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8/1/4)-(6/5)-(3/6/10) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
EVD-7   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(3/6/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(3/6/10)-(7/2/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-8   WIN (3/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/10)-(3/6/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/10)-(3/6/10)-(3/6/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/10)-(7/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-9   WIN (7/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   07/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPRY CHARLIE Jul05 Mar03 Oct07 Sep02 Aug05 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  VOYANT Jul05 Jun08 May15 Apr20 Mar20 (tillis e)STOKES J 124 4.00    
SCR  COUNTRY CHOICE May23 Apr25 Apr12 Mar10 Feb15 (pennino fran)MURRAY M 117 20.00    
4  FATHER MARK Jun08 May16 Apr24 Apr28 Apr08 (david b)BARRERA J 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  STRUTTIN APRIORITY Jun27 Jun15 May16 Sep09 Aug10 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 121 12.00    
SCR  TRIPLE RED ACES Jun27 Jun15 May16 Apr27 Feb01 (landry allen)MAGNON H 124 5.00    
7  GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Jul05 Aug05 Jul08 Jun12 May20 (mouton chadwick )ROSIER R 124 20.00    
8  REGINALD AURELIUS Jun08 May23 Apr25 Apr06 Feb24 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 121 8.00    
9  EMPIRE KID Jul05 Jun15 May03 Jul15 Feb04 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
EVD-2   07/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO CREDO Jun06 May18 Mar06 Jan27 Nov30 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.00    
2  INDIMAAJ Jul06 May25 Apr24 Mar14 Feb16 (knudsen kent)CARRENO J 121 4.00 30% 2.40    
3  MINT Jun26 May28 May10 Mar04 Feb21 (hewitt michae)VARGAS P 121 10.00 23% 3.40    
4  DEALIN' STELEN May30 May03 Feb21 Feb09 Jan04 (toups brent)LOZADA CARLOS 121 20.00    
5  BIZZY LEGS Jun27 May27 May18 May04 Apr21 (hewitt michael)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 3.50    
6  YAK May17 Apr27 Dec15 Sep27 Sep11 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 15.00 10% 9.20    
7  SILENT POWER May30 Apr27 Mar14 Feb01 Jan05 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  JAZZY JUSTIN May03 Apr11 Feb17 Dec29 Nov18 (toups brent)POMPELL L 121 15.00 12% 7.40    
9  CHARLIE'S CREED Jun21 May17 Apr19 Mar08 Feb18 (bourgeois keith)FUSILIER C 124 5.00    
10  FIRST LINE Jun11 May21 May07 Apr13 Mar10 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
 
EVD-3   07/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAWFISH BURL         (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 115 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of SPARTANBURG by SHARP HUMOR)
2  HOT BLAST         (calhoun will)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MISCHIEVOUS CHAMP by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  ARMALEESE         (courville ricky)STOKES J 118 12.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of DOUBLE DOSE by DEVON LANE)
4  SOUTHERNBELLEBETTY         (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of BETTY'S BLOSSOM by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  FRET NO MORE         (ducoing sturg)VARGAS P 115 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of AMERICAN HONOR by AMERICAN DAY)
SCR  SIMONEAUX STORM Jul05 Jun14       (alberto anto)BARRERA J 115 8.00 17% 4.80    
  (by GET STORMY out of DOUBLE DOWN BRITT by GOOD AND TOUGH)
7  FACTOR OF TIME         (castille carro)THORNTON G 115 5.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SWEET DREAMS DIVA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
8  INSIPID         (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 6.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of DANCE AWAY CAPOTE by CAPOTE)
9  MY LIL POKER FACE Jul05         (zenon charle)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.50 7% 13.20    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of WILD EMBRACE by BAYERN)
10  TRIPLE L'S SHADOW Jun28         (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 115 3.50 34% 2.00    
  (by ENTICED out of TEMPLE SHADOW by TEMPLE CITY)
 
EVD-4   07/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SUGAR FIX Jun22 Jun06 May25 May01 Feb29 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 124 10.00    
2  OAK HILL SENIORITA Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 Mar16 Feb02 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00    
3  HOT GOLDEN GIRL Jun22 Jun08 Mar08 Feb16 Jan05 (david b)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 8.00 17% 4.80    
4  NICE LIKE MICHELLE Jul06 Jun15 May30 May11 Feb02 (cormier card)QUILES ANTONIO 120 12.00    
5  SUM CHARM Jul06 May30 May15 Apr24 Mar09 (ney john)VARGAS P 124 3.00 ★    
6  COZY COURTNEY Jun15 Apr24 Feb24 Jan19 Dec27 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  REAL DEAL RYAN Jul06 Jun22 May22 Apr25 Feb29 (cormier cardel)CARRENO J 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
8  SPARKLE CITY Jun22 Jun04 May22 May04 Apr24 (zeno benjamin)STOKES J 124 15.00    
9  RIPTIDE ROSE Jul03 Jun11 Dec09 Sep11 Jul21 (silva walter)BARRERA J 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
EVD-5   07/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVOLVEDNTERACTION Jun07 May18 Apr25 Apr06 Feb01 (ducoing stur)BARRERA J 120 8.00    
2  MEASURE OF FAITH Jul05 Jun07 May09 Apr17 Mar21 (lee don)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 10.00 8% 11.50    
3  THE FACT IS Jun15 May29 Nov30 Nov19   (marechal mer)QUILES ANTONIO 124 15.00    
4  UNCLE CHAN Apr06 Mar15 Feb25 Jan19 Dec15 (laday ashton)DEONAUTH P 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SMOKEY G Jul05 Jan13 Dec02 Nov17   (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 11% 8.10    
6  MUNCLE Jul04 Mar21 Mar06 Jan25 Jan04 (david b)VARGAS P 120 5.00    
7  DYNAMIC MOON Jun13 May24 Apr17 Mar22 Jan12 (briley lonnie)STOKES J 124 3.00 54% 0.90    
8  IRON FORTUNE Jun07 Feb08 Jan18 Dec01 Jul02 (zenon charles)FLORIAN JOSE 119 20.00    
9  ASTROLOGY WONOWON Jul06 Jun13 May24 May08 Apr11 (patt roland )NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
10  MAGIC BIND Jun28 Jul07 May10     (broussard vi)MURRAY M 124 15.00    
11  THE LAST CAT Jul05 Jun13 May29 May09 Oct12 (delahoussaye t)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 20.00    
12  WITCHOLOGY Jul05         (gelner scot)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-6   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERDELIVER Jun13 May22 Dec19 Nov24 Nov01 (clark p)BARRERA J 121 12.00 7% 13.70    
2  MISTS OF TIME Mar09 Feb02 Jan19 Dec29 Dec06 (knudsen kent)CARRENO J 121 20.00    
3  MISCHIEF'S MACHINE Jun27 Jun08 Apr19 Mar03 Feb13 (bourgeois keith)FUSILIER C 121 15.00    
4  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Jul06 Jun27 Jun08 May08 Mar01 (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEARTTHROB HALO Jun08 May25 May15 Apr13 Feb08 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 118 4.00 13% 6.90    
6  TEE BURNS Jun24 May03 Mar22 Feb23 Jan05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
7  OVERTAXED May15 Apr27 Feb24 Jan18 Dec21 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 6.00    
8  HALF OURS N STORMY May15 Apr19 Feb03 Jan04 Oct11 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 118 12.00 9% 9.90    
9  SCHNELL Jul06 Jun06 May22 May01 Apr05 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 10.00    
10  STATE OF THE UNION Jun20 May30 May09 Apr11 Mar06 (bruno roland)MAGNON H 121 20.00    
11  OUR FREDDIE MAC May25 May15 Apr13 Mar14 Mar06 (hoda danny)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 20.00    
12  SECRET VISTA Jun27 May10 Apr20 Feb15 Jan13 (west henry)STOKES J 118 5.00    
 
EVD-7   07/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHITE ICE Jun29 Jun06 May02 Mar22 Feb22 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 120 3.00    
SCR  GRAY DANE Jul06 Jun14 May30 May08 Apr25 (senegal jr)CARRENO J 124 5.00    
3  TRIPPIN ON BEAUTY Jun28 Jun01 May09 Apr17 Feb22 (gomez rafael )VARGAS P 124 3.50 ★    
4  AVERY'S GEM Jun21 May22       (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00    
5  BOBBY BOY Jul05 Jun14 Dec01 Oct28 Oct13 (noel dane)ROSIER R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CITY OF LOVE Feb02 Jan06 Dec16 Nov09 Oct08 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 124 1.80 69% 0.50    
7  ALL COUNTRY Mar24 Feb10 Jan12 Dec20 Dec02 (laday ashton)DEONAUTH P 124 15.00    
 
EVD-8   07/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CREEKSIDE Jun29 Dec30 Nov24 Oct20 Aug11 (klanfer alan)POMPELL L 118 4.50    
SCR  MR MIDWAY Jun06 May11 Apr24 Mar03 Feb03 (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 121 6.00    
3  DEVIL'S HARVEST Jun06 Apr27 Mar23 Feb16 Jan28 (knudsen kent)CARRENO J 121 2.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  MR. FOUR SEVENS Jul04 May22 May11 Apr18 Feb16 (dison philli)MURRAY M 118 20.00    
SCR  SEVEN CHANNELS Jul11 Jun07 May22 May11 Apr13 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.50    
6  EL ORIENTE (CHI) Jun27 Jun10 May18 Apr24 Apr11 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 121 10.00 12% 7.60    
7  TOUCHDOWN JOE May31 May22 May02 Jan13 Dec17 (noel dane)ROSIER R 118 8.00    
SCR  MOMENT OF STARDOM May11 Mar23 Feb08 Jan13 Dec09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
9  CHAOSMOS Jun29 Jun07 Apr12 Feb13 Jan21 (richard russel)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 15.00    
10  BENOIT Jun01 Mar02 Feb04 Dec29 Mar25 (claire alexi)BARRERA J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SKI PATROL Mar10 Feb10 Dec31 Dec10 Nov16 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00    
SCR  SMOKEY HARBOR Jun15 Apr18 Feb13 Jan07 Jun24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00    
 
EVD-9   07/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINALLOVERDRINKEN Mar13 Feb01 Dec12 Sep10 Jul28 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 121 12.00    
2  FIREY EMBLEM Mar02 Nov21 Oct11 Sep22 Aug18 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  LADY HOPPER Jun20 May17 May11 Apr12 Mar26 (ludwig b)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 12% 7.50    
4  SAY WHAT Jun28 May17 Feb08 Jan26 Dec28 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRAVE OLLIE Jun20 May15 Feb22 Jan26 Dec27 (mojica edith)QUILES ANTONIO 118 8.00    
6  KNIGHTS SWORD Apr13 Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 (toups brent)LOZADA CARLOS 118 5.00    
7  GIRL AFRAID Jun21 May22 Apr25 Feb24 Dec03 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 1.80 33% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.