Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Friday - July 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(3/1)-(4/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CNL-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(4/1/3)-(6/1/3/8/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CNL-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(6/1/3/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(6/1/3/8/2)-(4/2/9/11/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-4   WIN (6/1/3/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/8/2)-(6/1/3/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/8/2)-(6/1/3/8/2)-(6/1/3/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/3/8/2)-(4/2/9/11/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/8/2)-(4/2/9/11/3)-(6/2/5/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-5   WIN (4/2/9/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/11/3)-(4/2/9/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/11/3)-(4/2/9/11/3)-(4/2/9/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/9/11/3)-(6/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9/11/3)-(6/2/5/3)-(6/4/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-6   WIN (6/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/3)-(6/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/3)-(6/2/5/3)-(6/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/3)-(6/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/3)-(6/4/5/7)-(8/1/10/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-7   WIN (6/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/7)-(8/1/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/7)-(8/1/10/9)-(6/2/8/3/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-8   WIN (8/1/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/10/9)-(8/1/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/10/9)-(8/1/10/9)-(8/1/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/10/9)-(6/2/8/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-9   WIN (6/2/8/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/3/1)-(6/2/8/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/3/1)-(6/2/8/3/1)-(6/2/8/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME MOON Jan12 Jul20 Jul07 Jun17 May26 (huffman kenne)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAJUN EXPECTATION Jul11 Jun09 May18 May03 Apr21 (hester leann)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 10.00    
3  DANCING NANCY Jun01 Apr17 Mar13 Feb15 Dec31 (brion keri)CURTIS BEN 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  SHUT IT CALI Jun29 Jun07 Mar16 Mar02 Jan12 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 1.20 40% 1.50    
5  FLINNY TIN TIN Jun16 Jun01 Feb29 Dec22 Nov17 (allen a )GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
6  BACHELORETTE Jan24 Jan12 Dec16 Nov25 Oct18 (mccutchen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00    
 
CNL-2   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE SOUL Jun08 Apr27 Mar31 Feb17 Jan21 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ABSOLUTE GRIT Jul05 Jun22 Apr13 Mar23 Feb21 (crichton rohan)CURTIS BEN 121 2.50    
3  GREELEY AND BEN Feb17 Feb03 Dec30 Dec23 Dec02 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 1.80 69% 0.50    
4  TRIPLE ELVIS Jun16 Mar22 Feb11 Aug19 Jul21 (blair jo)GALLARDO A 121 3.50    
5  ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE Jun07 May17 Apr14 Mar16 Mar01 (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 121 3.00 ★    
6  JOHN THE BEAR Jun29 May17 Feb11 Nov23 Oct19 (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00    
 
CNL-3   07/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARLIFTER Jul06 Jun14 May24 Dec16 Nov11 (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by FIRST MONDAYS out of DEEDS NOT WORDS by STREET SENSE)
2  INCISIVE KITTEN Jun08         (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 114 5.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ATHENIAN by ACCLAMATION)
3  LAST OF BAD BOYS Jun28 Nov19 Oct27 Sep06 Jul06 (hamlin)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MISS BAD GIRL by FRIENDS LAKE)
4  COME RAIN OR SHINE Jun14 May24 Apr20 Feb18 Feb04 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 1.20 47% 1.10    
  (by NYQUIST out of THUNDEROUS LADY by THUNDER GULCH)
5  MASTER OF MALICE Jun29 May18 Jun15     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PRAGMATICAL by MORE THAN READY)
6  NOBLE GEM Jul07 Oct19       (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of FILIA by FOREVER SPARKLE)
 
CNL-4   07/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINGLE LADY Jul08 Apr24 Apr03 Mar11 Feb13 (vitali m)GALLARDO A 123 5.00 13% 6.70    
2  GIRL BYE Jun30 Jun09 May14 Apr30 Apr22 (zook w)LEON A 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  INANNA'S QUEST Jun27 Jun01 Mar30 Feb24 Jan20 (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00 8% 12.00    
4  HUMOR SENSE Jun08 May23 Mar02 Dec29 Nov25 (ochoa gerard)LUGO JR 123 30.00    
5  CLOCKSTRIKESTWELVE Jun29 Jun01 Apr19 Feb10 Jan18 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 20.00    
6  PAPER MANSION Jun01 Mar30 Feb24 Jan20 Dec30 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 1.80 48% 1.10    
7  BALI KUTA Mar13 Feb14 Jan18 Dec06 Nov04 (brion keri)ASHTON GAVIN 123 10.00    
8  CAT ONE Jun17 May22 Nov10 Oct13 Sep11 (mott riley)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00 6% 14.70    
9  GOLD DIGGING BROAD Jun09 May17 Jan06 Dec16 Nov19 (vera miguel)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50    
 
CNL-5   07/19/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURNER ACCOUNT Jun21         (casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00    
2  LIL SWEEZEY Jun01         (sweezey j )SANCHEZ J 119 4.50 15% 5.60    
3  VONGOLE Jun29 May19       (gutierrez fa)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GLAMOURCENTS Jun09 May19       (lightner)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  LIZ DREAMIN Jul11 Jun06       (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 119 30.00    
6  MISTY SUNDAY Apr11         (chapman james )ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00    
SCR  NEW WAY         (ochoa gerard)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00    
8  JUDY'S FLYER Jul11         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 10.00    
9  ROCIO         (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  BAYTOWN SHINJUKU Jun17 May10 Apr18     (mcentee paul)HO WESLEY 119 10.00    
11  SUZIES PRIDE         (hester leanne)FUENTES MARIO 119 12.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  QUEEN IN THE DECK         (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00    
 
CNL-6   07/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRUM AND DRUMMER Jul05 May31 Apr28 Apr14 Mar24 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 30.00    
2  ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN Jun30 May31 Nov19 Oct01 Sep08 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
3  BELTANE Jul04 Jun09 May18 Apr27 Oct27 (aguirre ant)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  FREESTANDING Jul05 May31 Feb03 Dec01 Nov12 (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00    
5  INDICATOR May11 Apr11 Mar21 Feb24   (clement roland)BOYCE FOREST 118 8.00 9% 9.80    
6  EASTBOSTONBENNY Jun28 May31 Apr26 Mar16 Feb17 (klesaris steve)RUIZ JORGE 118 1.80 51% 1.00    
7  WILD WEST JUSTICE Jul03 May11 Aug05     (caramori)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
8  LOTHARIO Jun09 Oct01 Aug19 Aug05   (nagle sara)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50    
 
CNL-7   07/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUDDY BUDDY Jun18 Oct28 Aug25 Aug04 Jul15 (collins tim)LEWIS M 125 6.00    
2  SPEAKERIT Jun14 May24 Jan11 Dec07 Oct28 (kee wil)BRICENO GREGOR 125 20.00    
3  CAJUN'S MAGIC Jul07 Sep23 Aug05 Jul02 Jun04 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 125 5.00    
4  BACKWOODS BOOGIE May04 Apr05 Mar20 Feb28 Feb09 (eppler e)RUIZ JORGE 125 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  SLIPPIN JIMMY Nov04 Oct28 Sep01 Jul22 May25 (mccutchen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00 18% 4.70    
6  GOODLUCKCHUCK Jun29 May15 Feb08 Dec27 Dec08 (lawrence jame)KARAMANOS A 125 1.40 34% 2.00    
7  RAGTIME BLUES May30 May04 Mar20 Feb01 Jan06 (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BIG RED ROCKS Apr10 Mar16 Feb04 Nov29 Oct13 (rivera xavier)ALVARADO JR 125 12.00    
9  ELEVATED FOREVER Jun23 Jun01 Jan04 Dec15 Nov08 (garrido raul)LEON A 125 30.00    
 
CNL-8   07/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYRD OF EDEN Jun16 May25 Jan10 Nov09 Sep15 (allen fer)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 8% 12.00    
2  DELIZIOSA Jul11 Apr03 Mar20 Feb09 Dec31 (ochoa gerard)LUGO JR 123 20.00    
SCR  MRS. RIP Jun21 May31 Apr17 Jul01   (tomlinson mich)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00    
4  WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR Jun22 Nov19 Oct15 Sep06 Aug19 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 123 2.50    
5  VIENNA'S TWIRL Jun21 May10 Apr20 Mar23 Mar02 (keller christo)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00    
SCR  INSTPARTY Jun13 May30 May08 Apr04 Feb17 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 30.00    
SCR  LUSTY May26 May24 Apr16     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.80    
8  LITA Jun23 May25 Aug05 Jul14 May27 (klesaris steve)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00 63% 0.60    
9  PASS THE CASH Jul06 Jun15 May30 Mar27 Feb14 (cruz jesus)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  MOONSHINING Jun30 Feb11 Jan19 Dec17 Oct06 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OUTFACTORED Jun30 Jun18 Jun11 May27 Jan12 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 120 20.00    
 
CNL-9   07/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARCHED Jun15 May17 Apr28 Apr14 Dec01 (kee j)KARAMANOS A 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  DEE JAY Jun26 May31 May11 Mar20 Mar01 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00 12% 7.40    
3  PICO D'ORO Jun16 Jun05 May18 Feb25 Feb15 (caramori)GALLARDO A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  FROGGY THE GREMLIN May25 May03 Apr18 Feb24 Nov09 (locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 30.00    
SCR  JUPITER BLUES Apr06 Mar09 Feb04 Jan12 Sep22 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00    
6  WHERE'S RAY Jul05 Jun08 May18 Apr21 Apr05 (salzman timot)ROJAS MARTINA 116 3.50 59% 0.70    
7  GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) Jun22 May09 Mar29 Mar15 Feb09 (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00    
8  SWITZER Jun14 May24 May05 Nov17 Oct22 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  SMALL FIELD Apr18 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Aug03 (huffman kenne)FUENTES MARIO 123 15.00    
10  BRADITUDE Jun13 May20 Oct18 Oct02 Sep13 (rogers rona)INIRIO J 123 8.00    
SCR  BOSS IS A PAL Jun30 May27 Apr21 Nov19 Oct28 (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 123 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.