Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - July 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(2/3/5)-(4/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(4/5/2)-(3/8/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(3/8/5)-(3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/5)-(3/8/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/5)-(3/8/2/5)-(3/8/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(3/1/4)-(6/11/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(6/11/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/11/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/11/10/9)-(6/11/10/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/11/10/9)-(6/11/10/2/9)-(6/11/10/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRYPTO CRUSH Jun24 May30 Apr24 Aug05 Jun24 (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.00    
TOP HAT TIGRESS Jul05 Jun01 May16 May03 Apr25 (adams l)SERPA ANGEL 124 3.50    
SATIS Jun13 May23 May03 Mar27 Mar06 (beck rowena)LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.00 30% 2.40    
KENTE KLARKE Jun28 Jun14 Aug19 Aug04 Jul21 (jones phil)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
VOSTRA Jul05 Jun13 May22 May12 May02 (jones s)SOSA LAUREANO 124 5.00    
CORTADO Jul05 Jun20 Jul13 Jun21 May26 (salas felip)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00 21% 3.80    
 
BTP-2   07/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOODY'S CHOICE Mar10 Jan20 Dec13 Nov04 Oct07 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 3.50    
  (by BIRD SONG out of MA PETITE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
DRIP D'ORO Jun13 May21 Sep25 Aug31   (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 3.00 73% 0.40    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of WICKED WISH by GOLD CASE)
WARRING THUNDER Jun28 Jun13 May29 May15 Mar16 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of ESTHER RISING by CONCORD POINT)
SCR  HAROLD'S JOY May29 Apr24 Mar01     (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 1.80    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of MARISSA'S JOY by CEE'S TIZZY)
MONTY'SWORTHYCAJUN Jun28 May24 May11 Apr26 Mar14 (raines lindse)SOSA LAUREANO 125 6.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of BECAUSEI'MWORTHIT by INDIAN EXPRESS (GB))
 
BTP-3   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD TO MUSIC CITY Sep30 Aug29 Aug11 Jun24 Jun09 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 5.00    
LUCK OF THE CAT Dec14 Aug29 Oct07 Jul26   (drury jr)MCKEE J 123 3.00 27% 2.60    
FACTUM'S STAR Jun19 May18 Feb17 Jan11 Oct02 (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 125 3.50 27% 2.70    
MISSION CONTROL Jun27 May22 May04 Apr01 Mar09 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 121 1.80    
MAN'S CHOICE Jun19 May31 May15 Apr27 Nov27 (fernandez edward)OUZTS W 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-4   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYLERVILLE Jun25 May21 Mar21 Jan27 Jan04 (klopp randy)COLON H 122 4.50    
WILL VIRGINIA DARE Jun15 Jun01 May17 Apr23 Jan27 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCOOP Jun05 Mar16 Feb15 Jan19 Dec31 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 117 8.00    
TALL GIRL Jun13 Mar22 Feb10 Jan25 Jan03 (klopp randy)MCKEE J 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
TABOO HOO Jun15 May16 Mar28 Feb15 Jan10 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
STARRY MIDNIGHT Jun13 Apr28 Apr04 Mar28 Mar03 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 2.00    
 
BTP-5   07/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTEN'S TEMPER May31 May04 Mar30 Mar06 Feb21 (beck rowena)LEBRON VICTOR 119 6.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DYNO TEMPER by DYNAFORMER)
BREEZING ALONG Jul04 Jun06 Apr06 Mar10 Feb11 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 114 4.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of MATA MUA by ARCH)
COLORMECAIRO Jun08 May08 Mar28     (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of WATERCOLORS by THEATRICAL (IRE))
JANKA Jun08 May04 Mar29 Sep02 Aug04 (danner kelsey)MOJICA JR 119 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SMARTLY AGREE by SMART STRIKE)
JOYFUL CROWN (IRE)         (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  JAMMER INSURANCE Jun18         (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 5.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BOOS by DREAM AHEAD)
OLD FASHIONED GIRL Jun19 May31 Jan24 Dec30 Dec02 (mcentee paul)CANUTO THIAGO 119 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CREATIVE DESIGN by STRAVINSKY)
ORDERLY TRANSITION (GB) Jun08 May04 Apr13 Mar30 Mar09 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
CAT'S SYMPHONY Jun04 May04 Apr13 Feb14   (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CATRAGEOUS by D. J. CAT)
 
BTP-6   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOLO CHARLOTTE Jun26 Mar01 Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 3.00 13% 6.70    
FRANGO ELECTRICO May23 May11 Apr07 Mar20 Feb08 (bahe)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 3.50    
SILVIA Apr28 Apr30 Apr01 Mar16 Feb18 (van thomas)MCKEE J 122 1.80 54% 0.90    
SCR  MAOTAI Jan13 Dec21 Nov30 Oct14 Feb23 (peach a)OUZTS W 122 4.00    
SECRET GLENDA Jun06 May16 Mar21 Mar01 Jan26 (west m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.50    
 
BTP-7   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAL COPPERHEADROAD Jun08 May22 May10 Jan11 Mar24 (bush s)BUSH V 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCHOOLMASTER (GER) Jun19 Oct19 Oct08 Sep29 Sep20 (manning john )CANUTO THIAGO 123 5.00    
MONJE SOLAIA Jun29 May23       (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 4.50 43% 1.30    
CAJUN CRACKER May06 Apr29 Apr12 Jan11 Dec16 (ashmore colee)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SIXWILLBERICH Jun19 May26 Dec07 Oct22 Aug23 (sims matthe)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 2.00    
ROAD MINISTER Jun29 Jun08 Nov14 Oct22 Aug10 (chain pear)BATISTA X 123 4.00    
 
BTP-8   07/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADE PURSE Jul03 Jun23 Jun15 Jun01 May19 (james gerald)SOSA LAUREANO 124 15.00    
LITTLE GIA Jun25 Feb11 Jan17 Dec08 Sep05 (vaccarezza carlo)MCKEE J 122 3.50    
SCR  AFFICIONADO (FR) Jun28 Jun14 Jun09 Apr01 Mar05 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 20.00    
C C'S WORLD Jun21 Jun08 Jun01 May05 Apr04 (gonzalez j)BUSH V 124 15.00    
KATIE GOT LUCKY Jun22 May24 May04 Mar15 Feb28 (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.50    
LUNAR ICE Jun28 Jun15 Mar29 Mar13 Feb24 (evans michael)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00 57% 0.70    
MAGESTAL BASTIDA May30 May16 May02 Mar27 Mar06 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 15.00    
SHEWILLGHOSTU Jun14 May09 Apr25 Mar29 Mar02 (wittek karyn)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 5.00    
CHICA DE ORO Jun22 May16 Mar09 Feb10 Dec21 (adams l)SERPA ANGEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  LUCKY SHORE Jun28 Jun13 Mar21 Mar09 Feb08 (sturgeon robert)MOJICA JR 124 10.00 10% 9.20    
11  CARIBBEAN NIGHT Jun22 Jun13 May18 Mar21 Mar09 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 122 6.00 12% 7.40    
12  AUNT RUTH Jun13 May30 May02 Mar29 Feb24 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 122 2.50    
SCR  HEBRIDES Jun22 Jun12 May25 Mar01 Jan13 (orantes yoni )ZONETT KEYNER 122 20.00    
SCR  ADDISON Jun28 Jun15 Mar29 Mar09 Feb24 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.