Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/8)-(7/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/8)-(7/1/8)-(7/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/8)-(2/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8)-(2/1/3/7)-(2/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7/6)-(2/1/3/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/3/7)-(2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/7)-(2/8/3)-(2/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/3)-(2/8/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3)-(2/8/1/3/6)-(2/8/1/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/8/3)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3)-(2/6/5)-(1/7/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(1/7/2/6)-(6/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/6)-(6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/6)-(6/2/7)-(4/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE SHORTLIST Jun18 May31 Nov11 Oct01 Jul24 (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.00 16% 5.10    
2  MY THOUGHTS May24 Sep16 Aug04 Jul12 Jul01 (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00    
SCR  AFANDI Jun28 Jun02 Nov04 Oct13 Jul27 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 121 3.50    
4  LOVELY EVER AFTER Jun05 Oct17 Aug21 Jul24 Jul11 (girten tim)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00    
SCR  DATE NIGHT KISSES May24 Mar09 Feb01 Dec20 Jul14 (allen ferris)MENA E 121 8.00    
SCR  IRIE EMPRESS Jun04 May20 Apr17 Feb27 Feb05 (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 20.00    
7  LADY OUTOFTHE BLUE May31 Feb17 Jan19 Dec26 Oct19 (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  EIGHT DANZAS Jun24 Dec20 Nov15 Oct27 Sep16 (bedard a)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SIDESWIPED Jun20 Nov25 Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 (stites flin)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00    
 
PEN-2   07/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIREN Jun25 Jun18       (albright am)INIRIO J 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
2  MAJOR THOMAS Jun11 May24 May02 Mar15 Feb08 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 53% 0.90    
3  SACHMO Jun11 May16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep15 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.50 6% 15.90    
4  LACCO AMENO May31 Nov12 Oct14 Sep23 Aug31 (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 121 10.00    
5  KEEN LOOKIN May25 Feb16 Jan24 Dec13 Nov17 (caiazzo corby)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00    
6  FLETCHER May31 May16 Nov18 Oct14 Jun02 (lawrenc)BRICENO GREGOR 123 6.00 ★    
7  LAKE NAKURU Jun19 Jun04 May17 May09 Apr16 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  EASTER BET May29 May08 Apr09 Mar20 Mar07 (zalalas michael)CORA D 119 10.00    
9  SHAKE THE GOLD Jun13 May24 May09 Dec15 Nov28 (graci a)AGUILAR M 119 15.00    
SCR  BOURBON CURRENCY Jun19 May31 Feb29 Feb01 Dec22 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00    
SCR  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Jun17 May16 May04 Apr09 Mar21 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.00    
SCR  EGOT A POKER FACE Jun17 May16 Jan10 Dec06 Nov22 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 10.00    
 
PEN-3   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHALICE Jun12 May31 May10 Sep17 Aug10 (merryman eliza)TORREALBA JG 123 2.50 ★    
2  BULLITINA Jun27 Jun13 May23 May08 Apr12 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 123 3.00 53% 0.90    
3  WARRIORS JEWEL May30 May09       (kravets m)MENA E 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY HUNNY BUNNY Jun04 Oct13 Sep13 Aug04 Jul10 (pattershall a)CORA D 125 8.00    
5  FIRST FORAY Jun12         (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 15.00    
6  SMART SHERYL LEE Jun12         (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 123 10.00 ★    
7  ERA         (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00    
8  LAUGHING FIT Jun06 Mar17 Feb18 Jan19 Dec13 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
9  BUILT'IN ABILITY Jun25 May30 May16     (mcclellan c)FLORES E 125 15.00    
10  LITTLE LAMB CHOP Jun12 May02 Apr01 Feb21 Dec13 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00    
11  COWGIRL PALACE         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 125 12.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA WIND Jun06 Mar27 Jan04 Nov09 Aug10 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 125 8.00    
 
PEN-4   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROSSELMOON May30 Mar22 Mar08 Jan12 Dec07 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50    
2  SASSY LAD Jun13 May24 May10 Mar07 Mar23 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  HASHTAG WINNING Jun13 May24 Mar21 Feb16 Jan25 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 123 4.50    
4  SAPONARA Jun12 May29 May12 Apr30 Apr10 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 116 5.00    
5  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Jun11 May29 May02 Apr12 May11 (fields kevin)CHIAPPE R 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  FIRE DOWN BELOW Jun11 May29 Aug30 Mar11 Jan27 (albright am)INIRIO J 125 3.00 12% 7.20    
 
PEN-5   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICTOR May30 May15 May02 Mar27 Mar13 (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Jun19 May04 Mar27 Mar13 Feb23 (moreno tito)RAMOS C 121 12.00 16% 5.10    
3  BRETT'S WORLD Jun20 May15 May01 Apr15 Mar01 (kreiser c)CORA D 123 3.50    
4  YES IT'S ROO Jun20 Jun12 May24 May15 May02 (rideout ronal)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 4.00    
5  NEON SIGN Jun15 May22 Apr30 Apr12 Jun09 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 3.00    
6  UPSTATE AND BACK Oct09 Aug09 Jul27 Jul07 Jun02 (o'callahan car)TORRES JOMAR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MR PHIL Jun12 May24 May05 Apr27 Apr13 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 121 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-6   07/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FILTERED LIGHT Jun18 May29 May15 Apr22 Apr01 (moreno ti)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
2  FAYTASTIC Jun12 May01 Apr17 Mar19 Mar08 (iannotti thoma)HIRALDO JOHN 119 4.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Jun12 May15 May01 Apr10 Mar06 (meister wil)INIRIO J 121 5.00    
SCR  MARY'S REWARD May09 Apr10 Mar15 Dec27 Dec13 (crane clovis)BEATO INOEL 119 12.00    
5  DUST BUNNY Jun12 May30 May15 Apr22 Mar22 (stites w)CORA D 123 8.00    
6  GIRVINIZED May15 Apr25 Mar14 Feb08 Jan24 (allen ferris)MENA E 123 1.60 59% 0.70    
7  CREATIVE COPY Apr17 Apr10 Mar19 Feb19 Jan10 (moore michael )ADORNO ABNER 121 4.50 6% 15.90    
 
PEN-7   07/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Jun19 Jun08 May08 Feb10 Feb03 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.00    
2  HIGHWAY QUEEN Jun04 May17 May03 Apr05 Mar21 (miller a)AGUILAR M 121 4.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  BIG SIS NIC Jun18 May30 May22 May03 Mar06 (murtough st)INIRIO J 121 1.60    
4  GORMLEY GIRL Jun26 Jun11 May14 May01 Apr01 (martinez)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  LIL H Jun11 May17 May03 Mar13 Mar07 (cifarelli fr)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 15.00 7% 13.50    
6  KESTENNA (GB) Jun26 Jun10 May27 Apr23 Mar14 (morzan e)CORA D 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.