Handicappers' Racing Form

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Lone Star Park
Friday - May 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LS-1   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
LS-2   Win (6/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LS-3   Win (6/3/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LS-4   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LS-5   Win (6/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LS-6   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LS-7   Win (9/8/5/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LS-8   Win (7/9/6/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LS-1   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BREW CREW Mar30 Mar03 Dec29 Dec15 Nov21 (jacks e)SANCHEZ OBED 121 15.00    
SCR  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Apr19 Jan28 Dec29 Sep09 May25 (diodoro robertino)DIAZ RENE 121 5.00    
CARBON STRYKER Apr28 Mar09 Dec29 Nov18 Nov04 (bry)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 3.50    
POMEROY HAZE Apr05 Mar14 Jan26 Jan06 Nov30 (govea )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
PUDDING Apr07 Jul28 Jul08 Jun06 Oct02 (jacks e)WETHEY JR 124 4.00 34% 1.90    
LOVE MY JIMMY Mar14 Feb13 Jan29 Dec04 Nov14 (diodoro rober)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 0.80    
 
LS-2   05/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINCO MAJESTIC Apr18 Mar09 Mar01 Jan19 Jan12 (silva miguel)DIAZ RENE 118 4.50    
DARYLSKLIMTOMANIAC Apr21         (castellanos jai)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00 9% 9.90    
PURE MALICE Feb09 Nov23 Nov02 Oct07 Sep28 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
CAJUN WARRIOR Mar30 Feb09       (rangel )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 15.00    
LEMON MERINGUE Feb18 Dec22 Oct24 Oct03 Sep11 (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 118 12.00    
AMERICAN ICON Apr12 Mar22 Mar09 Feb23 Feb02 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 1.60 39% 1.60    
CASINO MO Mar16 Feb09 Jan21 Dec08 Nov20 (eoff terr)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY APPEAL Mar03 Feb09 Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 (young )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 12.00    
 
LS-3   05/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARRY ON Apr07 Mar09 Feb19 Feb03 Dec30 (pearson p)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 12.00    
ROSES ARE GRAY Apr27 Apr05 Mar17 Mar02 Feb15 (gar)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
MATH MYSTERY Mar17 Feb16 Jan19 Dec01 Oct28 (craddock )GONCALVES R 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
TOOTIE Apr28 Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 (dupuy )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
GANGSTER RAP Apr19 Apr07 Mar17 Feb23 Jan13 (hur)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 12.00    
YVONNE'S MISS Apr28 Apr15 Mar01 Feb19 Feb04 (davidson sara)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
MISS DISTINCTIVE Mar24 Mar08 Feb17 Feb04 Nov29 (broberg karl)WETHEY JR 121 6.00    
POET LAUREATE Apr26 Apr07 Mar17 Jan20 Dec08 (davidson n)SANCHEZ OBED 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
YOLANDA WHO Apr28 Apr07 Mar02 Feb16 Jan13 (govea cesar)CABRERA DAVID 121 5.00 6% 16.30    
10  LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE Mar17 Feb10 Jan13 Nov02 Jul15 (broberg karl)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 10.00    
 
LS-4   05/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHINE GUN MAN Apr06 Mar02 Feb03 Nov23 Oct13 (sanchez c)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.00    
IT MAKES SENSE Apr06 Feb04 Nov24 Sep24 Aug24 (davis h)ALVAREZ L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
MINE THAT STAR Apr07 Feb18 Nov28 Oct21 Oct01 (ashfor)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
SILENCE D'ORO Sep15 Aug24 Jul04 Jun16 Mar03 (willis mindy)ERAMIA E 120 12.00    
SCR  HOLDEN THE LUTE Feb29 Feb15 Dec20 Nov03 Sep07 (diodoro rober)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 3.50    
ETHICAL JUDGEMENT Apr06 Feb09 Jan26 Jan13 Nov15 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 5.00 9% 10.30    
RUNWAY MAGIC Mar21 Feb15 Jan13 Dec02 Oct28 (villafr)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 20.00    
SCR  DON'TCROSSTHEDEVIL May03 Apr06 Mar01 Feb04 Nov14 (cla)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 6.00    
 
LS-5   05/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP LORENZO Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Jan15 Dec30 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 15.00 15% 5.80    
MIND BOLT Mar24 Jan12       (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 122 5.00    
NO TROUBLE (IRE) Apr07 Feb18 Jan18 Dec11 Aug27 (cappellucci d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00    
SPONGE BATH Feb16 Dec22 Oct08 Aug31 Jul30 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LAST ATTACK Mar22 Mar06 Jan20 Dec30 Nov18 (gelner jayde )WETHEY JR 122 6.00    
LOUIS THE CHAMP Feb25 Dec30       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
ILLUSTRATOR Mar01 Jan27 Nov03 Oct21 Sep28 (ashford ray)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.50 27% 2.80    
KENTUCKY DAWN Mar01 Feb04 Jan07 Sep28 Aug31 (eoff terr)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 3.00    
SCR  RUSTY Feb09 Nov13 Oct21 Sep19   (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 122 15.00    
 
LS-6   05/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIZELESS Apr28 Mar06 Feb17 Feb03 Jan12 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 72% 0.40    
LITTLE AVENGER Apr05 Feb23 Feb03 Aug26 Aug13 (camacho dolore)DIEGO V 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
HARRY Mar10 Feb11 Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 (rou)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 30.00    
SR. BI BI Apr05 Feb18 Feb03 Jan19 Dec02 (chacaltana doming)BENAVIDES D 124 8.00    
GENTLEMAN'S SECRET May03 Mar17 Feb24 Jan27 Dec29 (brober)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SAINT PIO Apr28 Apr05 Mar03 Feb17 Feb09 (young bob)ALVAREZ L 124 3.50    
MONET'S DEVIL Apr05 Mar17 Feb23 Sep29 Sep02 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00    
LANGUAGE BARRIER Apr19 Apr05 Mar03 Feb23 Feb11 (say)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
FLASHY BOY GOES Sep09 Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 Jun15 (cumbie cora)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00    
 
LS-7   05/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HYPERION NORTH Apr05 Mar24 Feb17 Jan12 Jun22 (torrez)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMER HELP Mar24 Mar16 Mar01 Feb02 Jan12 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
CREDIT RATING Mar29 Mar02 Feb11 Feb02 Jan26 (triana ju)GONCALVES R 124 8.00    
AMERICAN FOREST Mar09 Jun02 May13 Apr13 Mar31 (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 120 12.00    
DOC'S BOLERO Apr26 Apr07 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 (hibdon n)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 15.00 9% 10.20    
LUCKY PROMISE Apr18 Mar09 Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 (gustafson austi)CABRERA DAVID 120 3.50    
FORT HOOD Mar09 Feb17 Feb03 Jan12 Nov13 (davidson br)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 6.00    
BLINGO Apr18 Mar03 Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.50 14% 6.10    
RECKLESS RED Apr07 Mar09 Feb17 Feb03 Jan05 (davidson nico)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
10  HELLO HELLO MISTER Apr18 Apr05 Jun03 May13 Apr29 (gar)DE CRUZ 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-8   05/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-10:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE BOON Apr07 Mar08 Feb11 Jan06 Dec15 (ashford ray)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.50    
SPECIAL MOMENT Apr28 Mar22 Feb25 Feb03 Jan12 (sauced)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
MINT Mar04 Feb21 Jan19 Dec08 Nov20 (hewitt )MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 15.00    
VARNISHED Apr21 Apr07 Mar16 Feb18 Feb10 (chacaltana doming)BENAVIDES D 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRULY DANZIG Mar23 Sep29 Sep09 Jul01 Jun03 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 120 3.50    
MUFFIN NUTS Apr28 Mar15 Feb16 Feb03 Dec29 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 19% 4.30    
OPTIMUS KAT Mar14 Feb13 Feb01 Jan05 Dec08 (villafranco frederi)DIEGO V 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
HARD LOVE Apr07 Feb18 May29 May11 Apr19 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 10.00 15% 5.70    
EASTER SNAP Apr12 Mar23 Feb17 Dec29 Nov17 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
10  GO SPEED RACER GO Apr19 Feb24 Feb11 Jan06 Nov03 (davidson sara)WETHEY JR 120 15.00    
11  COLOR FAST Feb22 Feb03 Dec16 Dec07 Oct28 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.