Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - April 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(7/1/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-2   WIN (7/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/3)-(1/5/2)-(6/5/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-4   WIN (6/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (7/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/6)-(5/3/8/2)-(6/7/2/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FON-6   WIN (5/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/2)-(5/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/2)-(5/3/8/2)-(5/3/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-7   WIN (6/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/3)-(6/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/3)-(6/7/2/3)-(6/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-8   WIN (7/2/3/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/1/5)-(7/2/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/1/5)-(7/2/3/1/5)-(7/2/3/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/1/5)-(8/6/7/1)-(7/8/9/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FON-9   WIN (8/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/7/1)-(7/8/9/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-10   WIN (7/8/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/10)-(7/8/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/10)-(7/8/9/10)-(7/8/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B L'S CONCERTO Sep03 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jun11 (donlin larry )BACON W 120 20.00    
2  MY BUDDY MEL Apr07 Mar17 Jan27 Dec15 Oct27 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 121 1.60 9% 10.00    
3  UNCLE SINGH Apr07 Mar23 Sep30 Sep18 Aug27 (donlin d)ROMAN KEVIN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MINISTER MAZ Apr14 Mar08 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
5  COPANELLO BAY Apr07 Mar23 Mar09 Dec02 Nov17 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  SHIPS LOG Apr07 Mar23 Mar16 Feb24 May14 (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 125 2.50    
 
FON-2   04/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYNTER'S BOY Apr06 Mar23 Mar16 Oct21 Oct08 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  NATE'S REVENGE Apr06 Mar15 Feb18 Dec29 Dec14 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 125 15.00    
3  DILLON ROCKS Apr13 Mar16 Mar02 Feb25 Sep24 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  OUTLAW X. Apr13 Apr06 Mar23 Mar16 Feb18 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 18% 4.70    
5  GINGER RULES Apr13 Mar29 Mar09 Oct27 Oct21 (schutz pam)BACON W 120 8.00    
6  GETCHA Apr06 Mar23 Mar15 Feb09 Jan06 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
7  CELERITY Apr06 Mar17 Mar03 Feb18 Dec14 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
FON-3   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEY'S VALENTINE Mar23 Mar16 Feb24 Apr29 Apr15 (rivera p)DELORME L 125 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  FOR REEL Mar23 Feb24 Oct27 Sep30 Jun29 (stivers r)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUCKWOULDHAVEIT Apr06 Mar23 Mar02 May20 May05 (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00    
4  TIZ BRIGHTER Apr06 Mar02 May14 Apr21 Apr02 (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
5  JUDGE'S BRIBE Apr07 Mar16 Feb24 Nov25 Sep30 (compton jesse)BACON W 120 12.00 29% 2.50    
6  B T'S BAD BOY Apr07 Mar02 Apr30 Mar31 Mar18 (hall l)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00    
7  BARTENDERS MISTAKE Mar23 Mar16 Oct27 Sep30 May05 (moss deb)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50    
 
FON-4   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST WARPATH Mar23 Dec08 Nov17 Oct03 Aug02 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00    
2  SISAWAY NOW Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Jul14 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SENOR JOBIM Apr06 Feb28 Feb10 Jan31 Jan12 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 125 8.00 6% 16.70    
4  BIRDIE MACHINE Aug17 Jul27 Jun28 May27 May14 (donlin larry )BACON W 120 12.00    
5  FAYETTE WARRIOR Apr07 Mar15 Oct29 Oct21 Sep23 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.50 7% 12.60    
6  HASTINGS SUNRISE Mar23 Mar09 Dec13 Oct08 Sep17 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 61% 0.60    
7  VERRAZANO FIRST Apr07 Mar23 Mar09 Jan11 Dec21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
 
FON-5   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL JEFE COBB Mar23 Feb17 Feb10 Jan12 Dec15 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 15.00    
2  LEVEL Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Oct08 Sep30 (thompson grady)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
3  MOJITO Apr06 Mar23 Mar03 Aug05 Jul09 (compton jesse)DELORME L 125 1.80 12% 7.10    
4  IN THE MIDST Apr05 Mar23 Feb24 Aug09 Jun15 (hoffman rober)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00    
5  BUMPER POOL Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Feb17 Oct07 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 2.00 23% 3.40    
6  KAL EL Oct21 Oct07 Sep16 Sep04 Aug24 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 Feb25 Feb09 (gourneau )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
8  ASTERN BANKER Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Feb08 Dec19 (condon schuyl)BACON W 120 12.00    
 
FON-6   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARYATCANTERBURY Mar23 Mar02 Oct28 Oct21 Sep30 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
2  SCHMOOZE Apr05 Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Oct28 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 10.00 5% 17.70    
3  RING TAILED TOOTER Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 Feb25 Oct27 (hoffman rober)BACON W 120 6.00 13% 7.00    
4  SUGAR SHANE Apr06 Mar17 Mar03 Feb17 Sep10 (bunn shawn)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00    
5  EXOTIC'S BEAR Apr05 Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Feb18 (gourneau )MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.60 54% 0.90    
6  JAMES'S MOONSHINE Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Feb17 (schindler kyle)DELORME L 125 3.50    
7  GERDY'S BOY Apr06 Oct28 May20 Apr28 Apr08 (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
8  RIVERSPORT Apr06 Mar16 Oct27 Oct08 Aug26 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 12.00 7% 13.40    
 
FON-7   04/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE CONNECTION Feb25 Dec19 Nov16 Nov01 Oct06 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
2  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Mar24 Oct29 Oct21 Sep09 Jul30 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00 12% 7.60    
3  MINE MY TIME Mar24 Mar16 Oct29 Oct22 Oct07 (lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GREY ROGUE Apr05 Mar22 Mar16 Mar02 Jan04 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00    
5  CHIEF TY HE Apr06 Mar08 Oct30 Oct29 Oct08 (hemmer terrel)BACON W 120 4.00    
6  STEPHEN'S ANSWER Mar16 Mar01 Jan27 Jan04 Dec14 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.40 33% 2.00    
7  LIBERTARIAN Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 Oct27 Oct21 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 5.00 32% 2.10    
8  R T'S IRON MAN Apr06 Mar17 Mar08 Feb23 Jan25 (ibanez alberto)DELORME L 125 20.00    
 
FON-8   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEHAVIN MYSELF Oct22 Sep11 Aug30 Aug08 Jul15 (cavanaugh per)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 8% 11.70    
2  TOO LATE Apr06 Aug21 Aug14 Jul10 Jun24 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 19% 4.30    
3  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Mar30 Mar09 Feb24 Oct27 Oct08 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 13% 6.40    
4  OPTIMAL Apr06 Sep10 Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
5  NO LIMITATION Mar17 Mar02 Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  REVIVAL Apr06 Dec11 Nov06 Sep11 Aug12 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50    
7  RAFAEL'S SURPRISE Apr06 Mar24 Mar09 Feb24 Feb17 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
8  FREE MAKER Mar30 Mar16 Mar04 Feb19 Jan13 (gourneau jer)BETHKE A 125 6.00    
SCR  PREACHER Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Feb17 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00    
10  DOGE OF VENICE Mar30 Mar23 Mar09 Oct07 Sep10 (thompson grad)BACON W 120 15.00    
 
FON-9   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Pepsi Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY MAMA Sep09 Aug09 Jul19 Jul09   (bethke a)FACKLER CHRIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SASSY MOLLY by MINESHAFT)
SCR  PRINCESS VANELLOPE Apr05         (ramaekers eri)BACON W 116 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of AVA RAE by SOARING EMPIRE)
3  RICHIE'S GAL Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 Feb17 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 118 12.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of RAVIN'S RICH GIRL by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
4  MASTER JANE Apr05 Mar24 Mar03 Sep04 Aug19 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 116 12.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of QUEENIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  MISCHIEVOUS MISS Apr05 Mar22 Feb22 Oct20 Sep28 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 118 5.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PORT OF INDY by CONGRATS)
6  TAKE CHARGE BABY Mar15 Feb25       (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of NO MORE BABIES by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  LADY MAZATLAN Apr07 Mar24 Feb25     (anderson c)MARTINEZ R 118 6.00 9% 9.80    
  (by KLIMT out of LADY LUCY by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  CREDITOR Mar30 Mar02 Feb17 Feb04 Dec31 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 122 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by COLLECTED out of DEBIT by TAPIT)
 
FON-10   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GANGSTER AMERICANO Mar29 Mar22 Jan13 Nov15 Oct25 (arceo salvado)BACON W 120 8.00    
SCR  PRAIRIE FIREBALL Mar30 Mar15 Mar03 Oct22 Oct01 (lemburg mark)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
SCR  CZECHITOUT Apr06 Mar22 Mar10 Dec08 Nov10 (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
SCR  OVER BLINGED Mar30 Mar15 Mar01 Nov17 Nov01 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 121 6.00    
5  SAENGER STAR Mar29 Mar22 Mar10 Feb25 May19 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50    
6  I CAME TO SHAME Mar22 Mar03 Sep07 Aug27 Aug18 (smith r)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00    
7  EXTRA INDY Apr12 Mar29 Nov17 Oct29 Oct06 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 44% 1.30    
8  OUR HALLIE Mar15 Feb07 Jan04 Dec16 Dec02 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50 18% 4.60    
9  JANIS Mar30 Mar03 Dec28 Nov30 Nov02 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 6.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  I GUESS NOT Mar22 Mar15 Oct28 Oct21 Sep08 (stivers ryan)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.