Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - April 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/6)-(3/7/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/6)-(3/7/4/8)-(7/2/8/5/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/8)-(7/2/8/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/8)-(7/2/8/5/1)-(2/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/2/8/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/5/1)-(7/2/8/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/5/1)-(7/2/8/5/1)-(7/2/8/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/8/5/1)-(2/7/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/5/1)-(2/7/1)-(3/9/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(3/9/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(3/9/6/2)-(1/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/9/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/6/2)-(3/9/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/6/2)-(3/9/6/2/7)-(3/9/6/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/6/2)-(1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/6/2)-(1/5/7)-(6/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(6/2/4)-(9/4/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(9/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/8/6)-(9/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/8/6)-(9/4/8/6)-(9/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALMARY Mar14 Mar02 Feb17 Jan27 Jan12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 41% 1.40    
2  ZUPITA Mar20 Mar06 Jan24 Dec07 Nov17 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
3  TAP THE KEG Apr04 Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan26 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 5.00    
4  SWEET FACTOR Jan24 Jan13 Nov17 Oct28 Sep30 (jones e)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
5  MUGURUZA Mar28 Mar07 Feb22 Feb14 May06 (morzan javier )CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00 12% 7.00    
6  GREAT DEVOTION Mar20 Feb23 Feb07 Jan11 Nov16 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  DEVIN ON EARTH Feb07 Jan24 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
CT-2   04/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINAS CONNECTION Oct12 Sep08 Aug19 Jul21 Jun30 (locklear jam)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
2  DON'T CROSS JACK Mar08 Feb17 Jan25 Dec28 Dec06 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
3  JUDY'S ARMY Mar21 Oct22 Sep10 Aug11 Jul15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 36% 1.80    
4  TREJO Mar21 Dec13 Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 8% 11.30    
5  AGAIN WE MEET Mar21 Feb22 Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 (sewell lenwo)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
6  COUNTRY CHARLIE Mar21 Dec14 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 (deiter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
7  KNOCKOUT WIN Feb28 Feb14 Feb07 Jan01 Dec13 (tapsas ilias)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
8  MY SLICK NICK Mar29 Aug06 Jul21 Jun22 Jun10 (conn p)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   04/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVA ROSE Mar23 Feb28 Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MADY ROSE Mar30 Aug02 Jul11 Jun25 Jun04 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 11% 7.70    
3  DASHING LASS Mar30 Mar20 Dec02 Nov15 Nov02 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00    
4  VAN HOOK Mar15 Feb24 Jan24 Mar23 Jan26 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
5  BUCKFAST ABBEY Mar27 Mar07 Feb22 Jan31   (agnew naoise)BATISTA A 118 15.00 9% 10.00    
6  GLOBAL EMPRESS Mar20 Feb29 Feb01 Jan10 Dec06 (couchenour lee)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00    
7  BRIGHT MOON Mar30 Mar20 Mar09 Sep15 Aug31 (farrior a)HERNANDEZ F 122 1.40 43% 1.30    
8  APPEALING ROAD Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Dec06 Nov09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 9% 9.80    
9  HANNAHS RED RUBY Mar02 Jan11 Nov15 Oct28 Oct05 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   04/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUT FROM CLASS Feb08 Jan26 Dec22 Nov19 Oct29 (keil s)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 21% 3.90    
2  BAHITI Apr01 Mar01 Feb07 Jan25   (albright george )ACOSTA D 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
3  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Mar22 Mar16 Mar01 Jan25 Dec23 (peltroche van)CHILO JACINTO 124 10.00    
4  LADY BOO Nov09 Oct26 Sep30 Sep14   (hillegass alexa)RODRIGUEZ V 116 15.00    
SCR  FREYDIS Mar22 Nov29 Nov03 Oct24 Oct11 (albright)DAVIS A 120 2.50    
6  OREO ANGEL Mar30 Feb08 Jan24 Jan03 Nov08 (hess jaco)BOCACHICA J 111 12.00    
7  QUEEN JELLY BEAN Mar01 Feb15 Oct12 Sep29 Jul19 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
CT-5   04/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUP'S TO TAKE Mar21         (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00    
  (by TUP TAKE' PLEASE out of BRENDAS KISS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
2  CASTLE OF CORK         (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LADY JILLET by WINDSOR CASTLE)
3  INDICATOR Mar21 Feb24       (greaves vernon)REAP E 122 1.40 35% 1.80    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of DALYA by WERBLIN)
4  KUMBAYA         (montilla carlos)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of TANGO JULIET by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  BLAZE FOR DAZE         (johnson j)BOCACHICA J 117 8.00    
  (by JUBA out of ADALZARA by TAPIZAR)
6  PRIME SHOPPING         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by TONALIST out of HOLIDAY SHOPPING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  CANO'S BABY         (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 ★    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of JENNY REDI MADE by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
8  DEFIANT GIANT Feb14         (contreras)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
  (by LOST TREASURE out of DANCE WITH GIANTS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Nov02 Oct12 Sep16 Aug26 Aug11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
  (by RACE DAY out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
CT-6   04/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HESSICA Oct14 Sep30 Aug25 Aug12 Jul22 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 1.40 28% 2.60    
2  BARBERS POINT Feb17 Jan27 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 10.00    
3  JUBA BABY Mar22 Feb29 Feb09 Jan27 Nov04 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 124 12.00    
4  NO DENYING DENIS Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 5.00    
5  JUBASLILBALLERINA Nov11 Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 Aug04 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 2.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  IHEARTRAINACOMN Mar22 Feb28 Feb01 Dec14 Nov29 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 119 12.00    
7  LUCKY BLONDE Mar30 Dec02 Nov11 Nov04 Oct14 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 19% 4.40    
 
CT-7   04/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY BOOTS Mar21 Feb28 Feb03 Dec08 Nov16 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 4.50    
2  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Mar13 Mar02 Feb23 Feb09 Jan31 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 124 3.00 10% 8.50    
3  GOLDEN G Mar13 Feb15 Feb08 Jan18 Jan10 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00    
4  WHERE IS MIKE Nov05 Jul21 Jun05 Mar04 Feb15 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 6.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  AMIDSHIPS Mar21 Mar02 Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 10.00    
6  DUNCAN IDAHO Feb08 Dec08 Nov22 Oct28 Oct14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 58% 0.70    
SCR  MATH MAN MARCO Jun17 May19 Apr28 Feb22 Dec14 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
8  TORONTOTORO Mar28 Oct25 Oct02 Jan28 Dec13 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   04/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNIPER GRACE Dec14 Nov24 Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 (bowman d)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
2  SWISS HORIZON Mar06 Feb07 Jan13 Nov24 Nov15 (pyke joseph)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
SCR  AFIRE Feb22 Nov17 Aug04 Jul14   (locklear jam)BATISTA A 124 12.00    
4  ONE LAST DRINK         (espinosa )BOCACHICA J 117 15.00 27% 2.70    
5  BLUSHING BIP BOP Mar14 Feb23 Feb14     (stehr j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 20.00    
6  OUR BREW Apr05 Mar14 Feb17 Feb07 Jan27 (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CANDY TRICKS Mar20 Feb23 Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 1.40    
8  LIZZY LOU Mar06         (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  THETA Mar14 Feb07 Jan11 Dec06 Nov08 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.