Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(7/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(7/2/5/4)-(7/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/4)-(7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/4)-(7/1/5)-(11/8/6/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(11/8/6/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(11/8/6/7/2)-(5/3/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-4   WIN (11/8/6/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/8/6/7/2)-(11/8/6/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/8/6/7/2)-(11/8/6/7/2)-(11/8/6/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/8/6/7/2)-(5/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/8/6/7/2)-(5/3/4)-(9/1/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(9/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(9/1/2/4)-(3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (9/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/4)-(9/1/2/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/4)-(9/1/2/4/7)-(9/1/2/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/2/4)-(3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1/2/4)-(3/4/5)-(5/7/6/12/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/7/6)-(3/4/5/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(5/7/6/12/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(5/7/6/12/11)-(4/1/10/12/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/7/6/12/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/12/11)-(5/7/6/12/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/12/11)-(5/7/6/12/11)-(5/7/6/12/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/6/12/11)-(4/1/10/12/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/1/10/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/10/12/5)-(4/1/10/12/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/10/12/5)-(4/1/10/12/5)-(4/1/10/12/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/06/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERLAN Mar13 Feb17 Feb03 Jan26 Dec27 (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
NOTACATBUTACARD Mar13 Mar06 Feb11 Jan28 Jan14 (simone v)FERRER C 123 5.00    
LAST PROMISE Mar29 Feb28 Feb11 Jan19 Jan06 (rivera xavier )COTTO L 121 15.00    
POLITICAL RIOT Feb25 Feb14 Jan20 Jan05 Dec06 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.00    
WANDERING WEST Mar08 Feb14 Jan26 Oct14 Sep09 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 57% 0.80    
WAR NOVEL Mar17 Feb23 Feb04 Jan20 Dec30 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 17% 5.10    
GOLDEN TONE Mar17 Mar03 Feb23 Feb04 Jan20 (rivera xavier)ALVARADO JR 121 12.00    
 
TAM-2   04/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY NAME'S JEFF Mar22 Feb23 Jan07 Oct18   (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 10.00    
BOLD BLUE Mar20 Mar06 Feb21 Jan21 Dec27 (barron r)GALLARDO A 121 1.20 14% 6.10    
ETRETAT Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 Jan13 Dec29 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 121 8.00    
BAD HENRY Mar24 Mar10 Mar01 Feb09 Jan26 (wasiluk peter )LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
AMBUSHED Jan26 Jan06 Nov22 Oct28 Oct08 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00 14% 6.30    
ACTION DREAM Mar24 Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 30.00    
THAT MAGIC MOMENT Mar24 Feb28 Feb23 Feb07 Dec29 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  MO TOWN BLUES Mar10 Dec06 Nov14 Oct23 Oct10 (cascallares n)IORIO MELISSA 114 30.00    
 
TAM-3   04/06/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE FACTOR Mar10 Feb03 Dec22     (rodriguez dari)CASTANON L 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by THE FACTOR out of PRINCESS TAYLOR by SINGSPIEL)
JHIRSCH Mar02 Feb03 Nov03 Oct14   (motion h)GALLARDO A 120 2.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SABOULI by LEMON DROP KID)
FRANK JR Mar09         (danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CHECK by UNBRIDLED)
SCR  GRAN YACO Mar10 Feb17 Jan21 Dec24 Dec02 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LIKE IT HOT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
STREAMSONG Feb03 Dec28       (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SPRING RING by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  GRAND KINGDOM Nov11 Oct22 Sep30 Sep01 Aug05 (parra hern)URDANETA J 120 30.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of PAT HAND by CAPE TOWN)
GALLIC CHARM Jan21         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of DOLLY MADISON by GALILEO)
 
TAM-4   04/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUR FORTUNE COOKIE Mar15 Mar03 Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 (dye steven)DELGADO DAVID 123 30.00    
BELLA ROMANCE Mar23 Mar03 Feb18 Jan28 Dec31 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
NUCCI Mar15 Mar03 Feb03 Jan12 Dec31 (sepulveda ca)BATISTA A 123 6.00    
DIVINE ENCOUNTER Mar03 Feb03 Jul23 Jun10 Apr01 (lilly p)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 30.00    
R D BLESSING Mar23 Mar03 Feb03 Jan28 Jan14 (drake rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 30.00    
NUMERIC Mar15 Feb28 Jan25 Jan18 Dec30 (crichton roha)IORIO MELISSA 116 5.00 5% 17.30    
CHRIS'S MOTOWN GAL Mar23 Mar02 Jan24 Jan12 Dec24 (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
MISPRINT Mar22 Mar03 Jan21 Jan07   (raven kerri)FERRER C 118 6.00 25% 3.00    
G G'S DARK STAR Dec31 Oct12 May27 Jan18 Dec24 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 123 20.00    
10  POLA OF TROUBLE Mar13 Mar03 Feb16 Oct10 Sep27 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 108 20.00    
11  MADEFORSUMMER Mar03 Feb18 Jan24 Oct06 Aug13 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 123 1.60 41% 1.50    
 
TAM-5   04/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARWOMAN Mar06 Feb11 Jan26 Jan05 Nov23 (mcburney patri)CASTANON L 122 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN'S GARDEN Oct27 Sep22 Aug25 Jul13 Sep05 (mcgaughe)GALLARDO A 118 4.00    
GRAY VIXEN Mar16 Feb25 Feb01 Dec20 Oct26 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00 7% 13.70    
TIKI BAR Mar10 Feb25 Jan19 Dec29 Dec16 (carrascojr )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
STARTUP MENTALITY (IRE) Dec23 Nov11 Jul22     (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 1.20 66% 0.50    
LADY FIREFOOT Mar16 Aug20 Dec02 Oct21 Sep22 (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
DAMASO Mar16 Feb25 Jan21 Sep01 Jul16 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 4.50    
CLASSIC VINYL Feb10 Jan21 Oct13 Sep06 Dec16 (motion grah)MORALES PABLO 118 12.00    
 
TAM-6   04/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STYLISH ANNA Mar17 Mar02 Jan24 Jan07 Aug19 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 3.50 29% 2.40    
MAS VINO Mar10 Mar01 Feb09 Jan17 Dec31 (pita daniel)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00 5% 18.40    
MISS CLAUDETTE Mar17 Feb24 Feb07 Dec16 Nov24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 15.00    
BAHAMIAN HALO         (house gary)DELGADO DAVID 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
GRAND LADY INDY Mar17 Mar02 Feb18 Jan24 Jan07 (cordero anto)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
BUCCHANERA Jan10 Dec23 Jul21     (o'connell kath)MORENO ANGEL 120 30.00    
COUNTRY ECONOMICS Mar17 Feb25 Feb17 Jan28 Jan17 (munoz carlos)CASTANON L 120 4.00    
PRINCESS BU CHERRO Mar10 Feb09 Jan17     (bennett )GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
REIGN IN MY HEART         (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 113 3.00 44% 1.30    
10  TAPPING GIRL Mar22         (morales guil)MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00    
11  INVIDIA DEL COCO Feb25 Jan17       (morales guil)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
12  SHE'S GONE ROGUE Mar17         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 30.00    
SCR  ABOVE THE SKY Mar27 Mar10       (nunez mauricio)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50    
SCR  GETS ON BASE         (rodriguez da)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
 
TAM-7   04/06/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMONDS JOY Jan26 Dec23       (gulick m)CASTANON L 126 30.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DIAMONDINTHECENTER by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  NINA'S LAST GIFT Mar17         (alvarez laz)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 30.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of NINA'S GIFT by VICTORY GALLOP)
MAMAN JOON (IRE) Dec26         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 126 1.40 41% 1.40    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DORCAS LANE by NORSE DANCER (IRE))
SELF CONFIDENT Feb23 Jan20 Nov19 Oct14 Sep14 (mcgaughey cla)MORALES PABLO 126 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SABBATICAL by EXPELLED)
ANNA LUCIA Feb21 Jan05 Oct05 Jul08 May24 (clement )GALLARDO A 126 4.50 7% 14.30    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LIRA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
CIRILLA (FR) Feb11         (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of APPLAUDED by ROYAL APPLAUSE (GB))
EASTERN EMPRESS (GB)         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 126 4.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
TABOR TIME Jan26 Dec23 Nov18 Sep23   (crook-demasi)ARROYO S 126 20.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WHISKEY TAIL by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
RUE CAMBON Mar09 Dec31 Nov12 Oct18   (motion graha)ALLEN D 120 20.00    
  (by BLAME out of SONGS AND SONNETS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  FAR ABOVE Mar02 Feb09 Jan13 Dec31 Oct08 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 126 30.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MAGICA STRIPES by EQUAL STRIPES (ARG))
11  FORTUNATA Mar29 Mar15 Sep09 Aug26 Jul07 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 126 30.00    
  (by ANTHONY'S CROSS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
TAM-8   04/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZYDECEAUX Mar24 Feb16 Jan17 Dec09 Oct22 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50    
AWESOME FLAY Mar03 Feb11 Jan19 Dec29 Dec02 (smith rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 12.00    
SCR  GROUP HUG Mar20 Mar08 Feb18 Jan26 Dec27 (sepulveda ca)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
SCR  HERCULES Mar27 Mar09 Feb23 Jan06 Dec22 (james geral)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00    
IMPACTO Mar09 Feb11 Jan11 Dec22 Oct21 (bennett s)FERRER C 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
WHERE PARADISE LAY Feb21 Jan21 Dec22 Dec01 Nov01 (downing william)SPIETH S 120 10.00 7% 14.10    
CAPTURE THE TIME Feb21 Feb04 Dec24 Oct27 Oct14 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
GET EVEN Mar06 Dec15 Dec01 Oct10 Oct02 (allen lisa)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
SCR  DESERT RULER Mar17 Feb21 Jan27 Jan10 Dec16 (moysey chelse)SOSA LAUREANO 120 12.00    
10  ALABAMA SLAMMER Mar08 Jan31 Jan03 Dec09 Oct23 (rodriguez dari)CASTANON L 120 8.00    
11  SAN COSTANTINO Mar20 Feb18 Jan12 Dec27 Nov25 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  BUFF HELLO Mar17 Jan07 Dec27 Nov18 Oct24 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 6.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  FLOAT ON Feb29 Feb07 Jan13 Dec24 Oct21 (hernandez sa)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
 
TAM-9   04/06/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH VIBES Feb07 Dec30 Dec13 Nov29 Aug31 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
GLITTER BAY Jan10 Dec30 Oct17 Sep12 Aug29 (curto bever)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 30.00    
CINDY'S SONG Mar13 Feb18 Jan26 Sep22 Jul27 (gonzalez osc)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
SLIME QUEEN Feb07 Jan28 Dec30 Nov29 Jul30 (arriagada juan)CASTANON L 119 4.50 29% 2.40    
LEA RO Feb07 Dec13 Oct05 Aug31 Jul27 (campbell mi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 20.00 9% 10.70    
MOSLER'S IMAGE Mar03 Jan28 Nov04 Oct19 Sep02 (o'connell)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00    
SCR  SMART SPENDING Jul23 Jun11 Apr15 Mar15 Jan11 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
ARTIFACT (GB) Mar03 Feb10 Jul09 Jun10 May28 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 112 15.00    
DIOSA CATRINA Feb24 Feb11 Jan05 Dec07 Nov11 (wright mi)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 20.00    
10  CHARLOTTE THE BRIT Mar03 Dec13 Nov29 Oct23 Oct04 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 121 4.00 10% 9.30    
11  FALL MOON Feb07 Dec13 Sep03 Aug24 Jul20 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 30.00    
12  CLOUD STORAGE Feb24 Feb07 Jan20 Jan03 Nov16 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 9% 10.30    
13  STARRY HOPE Mar03 Dec15 Nov29 Sep09 Aug24 (mcgoey monica)MORALES PABLO 119 30.00    
SCR  DIAMONDS FOR LILY Nov23 Nov09 Oct05 Sep06 Aug23 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.