Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Monday - March 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-3   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (9/5/7/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-6   Win (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (7/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (1/7/5/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-9   Win (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-3   03/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS JOANNIE Mar05 Feb21 Feb07 Nov20 Sep13 (silva-martinez ale)PENA BRYAN 122 12.00 5% 18.60    
2  HAUGHTY KITTY Mar18 Feb13 Jan31 Dec06 Nov19 (simpson shan)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00    
3  HOT LIL MESS Mar05 Jan05 Dec12 Dec05 Oct18 (guerrero or)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 12.00    
4  GYPSY ROSIE Mar05 Feb06 Dec05 Nov13 Sep20 (barraza rafa)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
5  PRINCESS AMANDA Jan06 Dec02 Nov12 Sep30 Sep02 (chambers mi)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  GET MY POINT Mar05 Feb15 Jan06 Dec17 Nov26 (caraman michael)CRUZ M 122 1.00    
 
TUP-4   03/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 5:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHILSHOLE BAY Mar05 Feb13 Jan31 Oct08 Sep18 (lawrence he)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  LUPITA Mar04 Feb13 Feb06 Jan29 Jan12 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00    
3  KARMA DE VILLE Jul08         (martinez a)RADKE K 121 10.00    
4  PRINCESS K Mar05 Jan05 Dec09 Oct21 Sep10 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  SILVER MATY Mar05 Feb04 Jan15 Jan01 Dec08 (silva jos)BRAVO MISAEL 116 2.00 39% 1.60    
6  MY QUIET PLACE Mar13 Feb21 Jan29     (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50    
 
TUP-5   03/25/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT NOW I'M BIZZIE Sep30 Sep04 Aug26 Jun30 Jun09 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
2  UPTOWN RHAPSODY Feb28 Feb15 Apr25 Apr01 Mar12 (perkins fra)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
3  MEAN ELENITA Feb28 Feb07 Dec12 Dec06 Nov22 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PANCAKES AND BEER Mar04 Feb20 May01 Apr19 Apr08 (grissom w)MAWING A 124 6.00    
5  M G BIG MARIA Feb15 Jan29 Dec11 Nov13 Oct14 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
6  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Mar12 Feb14 Jan31 Apr19 Mar27 (silva jos)BRAVO MISAEL 119 5.00 7% 12.50    
7  FINNLEY'S KITTEN Jan20 Jan01 Nov12 Oct22 Jun23 (rosales jorge)OROZCO IRVING 124 4.50 9% 10.00    
8  HELLO BABY Feb28 Feb15 Jan29 Nov13 Oct25 (ackerman t)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
9  DORITA'S HAPPY Mar11 Feb19 Jun26 May08 Apr10 (hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00 50% 1.00    
 
TUP-6   03/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE CHARGE CURLY Mar10 Feb03 Dec17 Nov25 Oct28 (perren a)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00    
2  PAID IN FULL Mar05 Feb20 Feb05 Nov18 Oct14 (person a)CRUZ M 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
3  BODEMONSTER Mar12 Feb27 Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 (hedg)DA FAUSTO 122 15.00    
SCR  QUALITY RAGS Feb26 Feb05       (story chad)CORBETT W 122 2.50    
5  CREATIVE BID Mar14 Feb20 Nov06 Oct04 Sep03 (hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  CLASSICAL Feb20 Jan31 Dec17 Nov18 Oct27 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00    
7  DE LA LUNA Mar05 Dec29 Dec02 Nov05 Oct21 (barraza s)PENA BRYAN 122 4.50 12% 7.40    
 
TUP-7   03/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVALON KING Mar13 Feb22 Feb06 Dec20 Dec04 (o'brien debbie)CRUZ M 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
2  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Mar13 Feb22 Jan29 Dec15 Nov29 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
3  SUMMER SHANDEE Mar01 Jan21 May12 Apr15 Mar05 (fuentes rube)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00    
4  MONGOLIAN MOON Mar04 Feb14 Jan30 Jan13 Jan06 (tubbs scott)RADKE K 124 8.00    
5  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Mar14 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 Dec18 (christian billy)PENA BRYAN 124 12.00    
6  BEL RAGAZZO Mar04 Feb14 Jan13 Jan05 Nov12 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 ★    
7  BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Feb28 Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 Nov24 (woolley b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
8  MR NAVIGATOR Mar13 Sep01 Aug05 Jul16 Jul03 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   03/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUDMOUTHSOUP Mar04 Nov14 Mar11 Feb18 Jan29 (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  ARIMONY Feb21 Jan30 Jan19 Jan12 Dec19 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DAD BOD Mar11 Dec08 Nov03 Oct13 Sep18 (caraman m)BRAVO MISAEL 119 12.00    
4  SMOOTH PAPA Mar13 Feb12 Jan31 Dec04 Nov07 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
5  MORE HONOR Mar13 Feb21 Oct25 Sep02 May06 (tate mary)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  A LATE ONE Mar11 Jul11 Jun25 May21 Apr27 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHARP WARNING Feb26 Jan30 Dec18 Oct20 Sep30 (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 35% 1.90    
8  CAJUN FIRE Feb29 Jan30 Nov20 Oct20 Sep17 (kereluk edward)CORBETT W 124 20.00    
9  FIGHT ME Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Jan30 Oct27 (figueroa ju)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00    
10  SURPRISE FASHION Mar08 Feb18 Dec03 Nov23 Oct30 (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-9   03/25/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Mar04 Feb06 Jan04 Oct02 Aug18 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00    
2  INVINCIBELLA (GB) Mar18 Feb17 Jan20 Dec16 Nov25 (martinez es)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Feb26 Jan31 Jan01 Dec17 Dec01 (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
4  RIVETING SPIRIT Mar06 Feb02 Jan05 Dec03 Nov12 (silva jr)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
SCR  LOOPY Mar06 Feb19 Aug30 Aug22 Aug06 (silva jos)BRAVO MISAEL 117 3.50    
6  OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) Mar06 Feb26 Jan30 Dec05 Oct08 (villamar candelari)PENA BRYAN 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  SHOWGIRL LYNNE B Nov09 Oct13 Sep24 Jun17 May20 (evans justin)REYES R 122 4.00    
8  HIGH GUNNER Mar04 Feb06 Dec05 Nov20 Oct08 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 10.00 65% 0.50    
9  DIRT FLIRT Mar06 Feb26 Feb07 Dec11 Oct18 (silva jr)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.