Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Thursday - March 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/3/4/1)-(1/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GP-2   WIN (6/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/5/1)-(6/3/4/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/4/1)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/1)-(1/4/3)-(4/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GP-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(4/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(4/7/6)-(7/6/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GP-4   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(7/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(7/6/2/8)-(5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GP-5   WIN (7/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/8)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/8)-(5/1)-(8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GP-6   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(8/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(8/3/2)-(3/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GP-7   WIN (8/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/2)-(8/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/2)-(8/3/2)-(8/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/3/2)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/2)-(3/4/5/6)-(2/1/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GP-8   WIN (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/6)-(2/1/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-9   WIN (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   03/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI AMORE Feb25 Jan13 Dec09 Sep08 Aug20 (cordero eniel)EGAN DAVID 118 3.50 ★    
2  SPIRIT OF VICTORY Feb29 Feb02 Jan04 Nov25 Sep21 (klesaris ste)CASTELLANO J 118 2.00 39% 1.50    
3  OUR MAGIC PRINCESS Jan01 Nov04       (romero rafael)PEREZ EDGAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  INABLINK Feb29 Feb01 Jan12 Dec16 Dec01 (mckanas j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  MY LITTLE SECRET Feb16 Jan21       (stormfelt julie)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.50    
6  JESS'S MOMENT Mar07 Feb09 Jan21 Dec15 Oct20 (alvarez laza)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
7  AFFECTIONATE Jun29         (caramori caio)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00    
 
GP-2   03/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($89K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS CAIRO Dec23 Nov19 Apr13 Feb12 Dec30 (o'dwyer jeremiah)EGAN DAVID 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SAIDA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  JUST THE SKY Mar12 Jan22       (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of FACT FILE by DIXIE UNION)
3  GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE) Mar11 Feb16 Nov04     (dutrow anthony )JARAMILLO E 125 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  VERSIFY Feb21 Jan14 Aug29 Aug01 Jul05 (stormfelt julie)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50 7% 12.60    
  (by JUSTIFY out of HALO'S VERSE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  JUSTICE JULIA Aug30         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DREAMING OF JULIA by A.P. INDY)
6  LOOKINFORBARGAINS Feb23 Jul28 Oct14     (brown c)ORTIZ L 125 1.00 43% 1.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MIXED UP KID by LEMON DROP KID)
7  MS LADY DE VEGA (IRE)         (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  TENACIOUS EMPRESS Feb21         (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 125 30.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MEMENTO D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  Z TRAIN (IRE) Feb16 Nov04 Sep02     (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
  (by CHURCHILL out of MNEMONIC ALEXANDER by KODIAC (GB))
SCR  RISK THRESHOLD (IRE) Feb23         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 125 2.00    
  (by DUBAWI out of PRICELESS by EXCEED AND EXCEL)
SCR  LA FANTASMA Jan20 Dec17 Nov19 Oct07   (matz r)RUIZ JORGE 125 30.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SPECIAL EVENT by ARCH)
 
GP-3   03/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOSEA Feb16 Feb07 Jan10 Dec14 Nov11 (mongeon p)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
2  LINNY KATE Oct06 Aug19 Jul23 Jul16 Jun23 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 123 1.60    
3  A RING THING Mar01 Feb16 Feb08 Jan11 Nov11 (romero rafae)ZAYAS J 123 2.50 12% 7.30    
4  NANA FANNY Feb16 Jan28 Jan01 Nov18 Oct13 (orseno f)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
5  RUNAWAY BREEZE Mar07 Feb16 Jan20 Dec07 Oct28 (o'connell k)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00    
6  TAPPLE CIDER Jan10 Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 May18 (lerman michael)JARAMILLO E 123 8.00    
 
GP-4   03/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LTE STARK WINTER Feb28 Feb08 Jan14 Nov25 Nov10 (orseno f)RUIZ JORGE 125 4.50    
SCR  SPANISH GIRL Mar07 Feb18 Jan21 Dec03 Nov05 (garcia r)RIVERA JON 111 30.00    
3  ITRIEDSELLINGHER Feb28 Feb08 Jan21 Dec31 Dec15 (o'connell ka)THOMAS ANTHONY 125 8.00    
4  SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES Feb28 Jan18 Oct15 Sep01 Jun23 (falcone ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  MISS HOLLY Feb28 Apr09 Mar23 Feb11 Dec28 (rodriguez ang)MORALES ANGEL 125 10.00    
6  TAKE IT SOUTH Aug01 May24 Feb11 Jan26 Jan05 (hess b)PEREZ EDGAR 125 3.00 11% 8.30    
7  BATTLING BUBBLES Feb08 Jan18 Dec28 Nov12 Feb18 (hiles a)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
GP-5   03/21/2024 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEHLEK Feb15 Jan18 Oct13 Sep09 Aug13 (tharrenos will)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
2  EYES ON TARGET Feb08 Jan05 Dec08 Oct06 Jul27 (hernandez sandi)JARAMILLO E 120 8.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Jan26 Dec08 Nov29 Oct13 Sep09 (delgad)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 30.00    
4  ROUGH DRAFT Mar07 Jan25 Jan05 Nov10 Sep15 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
5  WICKED FINN Dec02 Nov12 Sep04 Aug11 Jul14 (kelly blake)PEREZ EDGAR 118 4.50    
6  BORDER TOWN Jan27 Dec10 Nov18 Oct01 Aug20 (drexler ma)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
7  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) Feb29 Feb03 Dec21 Dec10 Oct03 (stormfelt julie)BRAVO J 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
8  FIGHTER IN THE WIN Feb04 Dec28 Dec08 Oct28 Oct04 (drexler martin)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-6   03/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONICUS Feb09 Dec26 Nov19 Oct21 Sep17 (fawkes david)JARAMILLO E 120 2.50 9% 10.40    
2  PEACH COBBLER Feb17 Feb07 Jan13 Dec15 Oct21 (begg bentl)RUIZ JORGE 118 15.00    
3  NIKEE KAN Feb23 Jan14 Sep08 Jul21 Jul14 (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
4  ADMIRAL HOPPER Jan13 Jan18 Nov20 Sep25 Aug28 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 ★    
5  DAVID'S ROSE Feb23 Jan01 Sep30 Sep17 Aug20 (plesa edward)ZAYAS J 118 3.00 58% 0.70    
6  CANADIANSWEETHEART Feb23 Feb11 Sep10 Aug19 Jul15 (lafond renic)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 20.00    
 
GP-7   03/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGUEL'S BELLE Mar01 Feb04 Jan14 Dec26 Dec07 (david car)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 6.00    
2  PARTY SHAKER Feb21 Jan11 Dec09 Dec01 Nov11 (jehaludi mohamed)RUIZ JORGE 118 5.00 11% 8.30    
3  DEVIL AT MIDNIGHT Feb21 Jan17 Dec15 Oct08 Aug28 (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 2.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  SWEET MISS Feb21 Jan05 Dec07 Nov11 Oct07 (williams ma)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
5  SOFSTER Mar13 Feb10 Jan28 Dec23 Dec02 (maragh colli)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
6  HALEY'S HAPPY GIRL Feb14 Jan25 Dec26 Nov19 Oct10 (hiles jeff)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  REASSESS Mar06 Feb14 Jan13     (preciado guada)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
8  MYWIFEKNOWSITALL Feb04         (hernandez sandi)JARAMILLO E 118 3.50 53% 0.90    
 
GP-8   03/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINT EDITION Mar09 Dec28 Dec02 Oct18 Sep18 (wilkes r)JARAMILLO E 121 15.00    
2  QUEEN MACHA Mar03 Jan26 Dec28 Nov18 Oct20 (perez carlos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 1.80    
3  ALYBAER Feb14 Jan17 Dec14 Jan27   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  WICKED MERCURY Mar06 Feb07 Dec02 Nov11 Sep30 (drexler martin)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  MISCREANT Jan17 Dec21 Oct28 Sep03 Jul13 (serpe phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
6  STARSHIP PIONEER Feb09         (dwoskin steven)PANICI LUCA 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  OKAY FINE Feb21 Jan19 Dec28 Nov17 Oct27 (david a)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
 
GP-9   03/21/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SEA COTTAGE (IRE) Feb03 Oct01 Sep16 Aug12 Jul13 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  ENGLISH BEE Mar02 Oct07 Aug31 Jul15 Jun01 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  RUSE Feb03 Jan06 Dec14 Oct29 Oct04 (hills a)BRAVO J 121 10.00    
4  J P HELLISH Mar02 Jan27 Dec17 Nov19 Oct29 (drexler mart)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 13% 6.90    
5  STAT Feb08 Dec02 Oct14 Sep07 Jul23 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 121 4.00    
6  BLUEBIRDS OVER Jan27 Jan01 Dec02 Mar25 Mar04 (joseph sa)HAZELWOOD TESHAWN 121 20.00    
7  AMERICAN SPEED Feb03 Dec30 May20 Mar04 Jan21 (o'dwyer jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DETERMINEDLY Oct25 Sep23 Jul23 Jun04 Apr07 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 15.00    
9  BURNIN TURF Feb08 Jan19 Aug13 Aug03 Jun16 (hernandez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.