Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - March 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/4)-(3/1/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/4)-(3/1/8/6)-(3/1/4/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-2   WIN (3/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/6)-(3/1/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/6)-(3/1/4/7)-(1/3/5/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/7)-(3/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/7)-(3/1/4/7)-(3/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/7)-(1/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/7)-(1/3/5/4)-(2/7/6/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-4   WIN (1/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/4)-(2/7/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(1/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-5   WIN (2/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/4)-(1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/4)-(1/5/8)-(8/6/2/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-6   WIN (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/8)-(1/5/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/8)-(1/5/3/8)-(1/5/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/8)-(8/6/2/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8)-(8/6/2/1/3)-(2/4/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-7   WIN (8/6/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/1/3)-(8/6/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/1/3)-(8/6/2/1/3)-(8/6/2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/2/1/3)-(2/4/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/1/3)-(2/4/5/1)-(2/4/1/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-8   WIN (2/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-9   WIN (2/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   03/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FAVORITE SONG Feb10 Jan20 Nov09 Oct19 Sep29 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 123 4.00    
2  BLINGO Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 Nov13 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 0.80 38% 1.60    
SCR  TEXAS GOLD RUSH Feb25 Feb02 Jun16 May27 Apr29 (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 121 15.00    
4  G E H GIANTS WAY Feb11 Jan20 Dec20 Dec08 Nov09 (west henry)BRACHO A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  HARD GOLD Feb11 Jan28 Jan06 Jun25 Jun02 (caldwell r)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
6  INFINITE MORO Feb02 Aug12 Jul01 Jun15 May14 (k)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 20.00 15% 5.90    
7  PROUD TO SERVE Feb11 Aug13 Jun15 May06 Mar10 (uriegas he)MORALES X 121 30.00    
 
HOU-2   03/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET RIPPED         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 20% 3.90    
  (by GET STORMY out of PURPLE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
2  GWYNETH'S MALIBU Jan20 May06 Mar11     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MYSTIC MIRACLE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  ONE LAST BID Feb11         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by KINGMAN out of ACOMA by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  BOBULINSKI Feb17         (pearson m)BRACHO A 123 20.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of SOFT N' LOUD by RUN SOFTLY)
5  COWBOY BRODY Feb11 Nov18 Sep21     (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 123 1.60    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of R LADY HANSEN by HANSEN)
6  MR INSENSITIVE Feb11 Jan28 Oct18 Oct02 Sep03 (silva miguel)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00 5% 18.60    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BLUE GARTER by U S RANGER)
SCR  F FOURFIFTY Feb17         (ashford ray)JARA FERNANDO 123 12.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of ACADEMY ROAD by LEMON DROP KID)
8  STORM MAN         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 15.00 16% 5.30    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of OCEAN SPRAY TOO by MR. GREELEY)
 
HOU-3   03/03/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROFESSIONAL GRADE Feb18 Jan12 Dec15 Nov04 Sep13 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00 11% 8.50    
2  THE OX Feb18 Jun18       (whitton mark)SALAZAR TERESA 117 20.00    
3  QUAIL Jan19 Dec21 Nov30 Oct21 Aug19 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
4  DOCS DUTY Feb18 Jan19 Nov30     (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 3.50 5% 17.90    
5  FIRST CAPE Feb18 Feb03       (govea cesar)BRACHO A 122 15.00    
6  DREAM TIME Feb18 Dec01 Sep12 Aug11   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.50    
7  CONNOR TALKSTRASH Feb03 Jan19 Dec16     (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CAT CODE Feb10 Jan27       (p)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
 
HOU-4   03/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAND FOR FREEDOM Feb17 Jan26 Nov26 Nov05 Oct14 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 0.80 48% 1.10    
2  BREW CREW Dec29 Dec15 Nov21 Nov03 Sep09 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
3  AXEL STEEL Jan28 Dec04 Oct08 Jul30 Jun25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.50 17% 5.00    
4  MY LITTLE PRINCE Feb03 Jan12 Dec05 Jun08 May13 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 15.00 6% 14.70    
5  SAINT PIO Feb17 Feb09 Jan28 Nov11 Oct27 (caldwell r)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50 8% 11.20    
6  CADDO FOX Feb11 Dec02 Nov09 Oct28 Sep09 (c)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
7  LANGUAGE BARRIER Feb23 Feb11 Sep24 Sep15 Sep03 (sayre d)BENAVIDES D 121 8.00    
 
HOU-5   03/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMMA GOING TO WIN Nov21 Oct11 Sep16 Sep01   (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 120 20.00    
2  CITY GHOST Nov03 Jul02 May30     (johnson b)DIAZ RENE 120 1.00 40% 1.50    
3  DULCE AMANECER YG Feb17 Feb04 Jan21 Jan07 Sep16 (mendoza edgar)JARA FERNANDO 122 15.00    
4  BRINGONTHEBUBBLY Jan27 Jul22 Jul02 Jun16   (silva miguel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  TEXAS MOON Jan27 Nov21 Oct25 Jul24   (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.50    
6  UPTOWN GOLDENGOODS Jan21 Jan07 Oct28     (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 4.50 10% 9.30    
7  ANTIFREEZE Feb10 Jan05 Aug31 Aug14   (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 27% 2.80    
 
HOU-6   03/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYVIEW DRIVE Feb16 Nov08 Oct16 Sep28 May29 (hebert )GONCALVES R 123 1.60 53% 0.90    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LA CLOCHE by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  PLATINUM PHANTOM Feb03 Jan21 Jan07 Jul23 Jul03 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 20.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  TIZ A KNOCKOUT Feb16 Feb03 Jan07 Jun08 May18 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 123 6.00 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
4  GIRLS GOT GAME Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 May19 Apr08 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 12.00    
  (by WILBURN out of GIANTESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  UTSIRA Feb16 Feb03 Dec13 Feb19 Feb05 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of FLOUNCE by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
6  PALACSINTA Oct12 Sep09 Aug26 Aug03 Jul15 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 15.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WHOOPI by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  PERCEPTIVE Feb16 Feb03 Nov17 Oct22 Sep22 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 4.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of HONE IN by SMART STRIKE)
8  LEONE Feb19 Feb11 Jul31 Jul03   (willis mindy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of TERRIFEE by MENIFEE)
 
HOU-7   03/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED DRAW Feb17 Jan12 Jun22 Jun10 May13 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  EAGLEFORD Feb08 Jul31 Jul16 Jun24 Jun16 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 121 20.00 16% 5.30    
3  FANDO Aug26 Jul02 Jun18 May28 Apr22 (uriegas he)MORALES X 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SLIM JIMMY Feb17 Jan12 Jul22 Jun22 Jun10 (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 15.00    
SCR  HYPERION NORTH Feb17 Jan12 Jun22 Apr15 Mar17 (t)DE CRUZ 123 3.50    
6  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD Feb17 Jan26 Jan06 Aug27 Jul16 (schneider eric )GLASS DERBE 116 4.50 20% 4.00    
7  HOLIDAY RUN Feb10 Jan13 Dec15 Nov17 Oct18 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
8  DOC'S BOLERO Feb10 Jan12 Nov30 Nov10 Oct06 (willis mi)TRIANA JR 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
9  MORO LEGEND Oct06 Sep03 Jul22 Jul08 May28 (hurl)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 30.00    
10  RICHARD'S TX BLING Feb10 Jun22 Jun09 May06 Apr21 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 121 8.00    
11  SPARRA Feb10 Jan26 Jun18 Jun04 May07 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 8.00    
 
HOU-8   03/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANDERA BLING Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Aug29 Aug12 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  FLOTATION STATION Feb18 Jan27 Nov12 Sep22 Aug20 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  SHAKIN LOOSE Jan13 Nov19 Aug27 Aug06 Jul01 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.00    
4  CLASSIC RICK Feb10 Oct13 Sep24 Jul01 May21 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
5  HONOR AND FIRE Jun22         (whitton mark)SALAZAR TERESA 112 20.00 9% 9.70    
6  FOO FLIGHTER Jan27 Jan06 Nov24 Nov13 Sep29 (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 30.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BLING Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Nov17 Oct21 (caldwell r)JARA FERNANDO 122 15.00    
8  LUCKY APPEAL Feb09 Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 Nov24 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 15.00    
9  THIRD STREET Jan27 Dec15 Nov17 Oct27 Sep24 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 3.50    
 
HOU-9   03/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEAK SOFTLY Jan27 Jan05 Nov10 Oct12 Sep09 (calhoun willi)JARA FERNANDO 120 4.50 8% 11.90    
2  CONTOUR Feb10 Jan28 Jan12 Nov25   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  KRIK TAK Dec15 Nov10 Sep30 Aug31   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 4.00    
4  CHAINSAW CITY Feb10 Oct25 Sep22 Sep01 Jul04 (davis)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  JUST ADORABLE Feb19 Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 Nov14 (davidson )TRIANA JR 120 30.00    
6  BLUE HEAVENLY Feb10 Jan27 Jan07     (govea c)GONCALVES R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MIDNIGHT LADY Feb10 Jan21 Dec15 Nov18 Nov08 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 20.00    
8  KENTUCKY ANGEL Feb04 Nov10 Jul04     (young bob)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.