Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(2/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(2/6/3/4)-(1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/4)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/4)-(1/2/3)-(4/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/2/6)-(8/2/12/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(8/2/12/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(8/2/12/5)-(8/2/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/2/12/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/12/5)-(8/2/12/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/12/5)-(8/2/12/5)-(8/2/12/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/12/5)-(8/2/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/12/5)-(8/2/6/5)-(3/2/5/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (8/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/5)-(8/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/5)-(8/2/6/5)-(8/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/5)-(3/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/5)-(3/2/5/4)-(6/10/3/9/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/11/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/11/4)-(3/2/5/11/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/5/4)-(6/10/3/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/4)-(6/10/3/9/7)-(4/13/10/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/10/3/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/3/9/7)-(6/10/3/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/3/9/7)-(6/10/3/9/7)-(6/10/3/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/3/9/7)-(4/13/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/13/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/13/10/3)-(4/13/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/13/10/3)-(4/13/10/3)-(4/13/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/21/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELTA RIDGE Jan10 Sep15 Aug19 Jul22 Jun30 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 119 15.00    
2  JAY'S DELIGHT Feb07 Jan21 Dec31 Dec13 Nov22 (richards ren)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.50    
3  MR JACK Jan26 Jan10 Jan05 Dec15 Nov03 (sepulveda ca)BATISTA A 119 1.60 49% 1.00    
4  BRUCE BANNER Feb07 Jan10 Dec24 Oct28 Sep09 (campbell micha)CASTANON L 119 10.00 11% 7.80    
5  REDISUR Jan21 Jan07 Dec02 Nov12 Oct20 (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 4.50    
6  REINVEST Jan10 Jul10 Jun11 Apr15 Mar22 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
TAM-2   02/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALISUE Feb04 Dec15 Dec08 Nov22 Feb24 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.00    
2  UNWHIRLED Feb04 Jan17 Dec29 Nov29 Oct03 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
3  AMAZINGNESS Jan28 Dec16 Dec09 Nov17 Oct31 (rodriguez dar)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 11% 7.90    
4  KILLARGUE'S GIRL Jan31 Dec31 Dec15 Nov24 Oct06 (miranda l)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  PEACE FIRE Jan26 Jan14 Dec29 Dec08 Nov22 (simone mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 4.50    
6  LIGEIA Jan05 Dec29 Sep28 Aug31 Aug05 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 12% 7.20    
7  BELLA MIURA Feb04 Jan17 Dec16 Oct13 Sep17 (harney heather)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 12.00    
 
TAM-3   02/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARFLY Feb02 Jan07 Dec24 Dec01 Oct05 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 115 1.60 48% 1.10    
2  MR LEO AND JOSE Aug10 Jul29 Jul04 May27   (gonzalez ja)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00 22% 3.60    
3  HEZMORETHANREADY Jan27 Jan07 Dec20 Nov01 Sep29 (house gary)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ALCAZABA (IRE) Jan27 Jan07 Dec16 Nov25 Oct20 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 3.00 ★    
5  COMMANDER BIZ Feb11 Dec01 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 12.00    
6  FIRST PLACE G Feb07 Dec29 Nov25 Apr21 Jan19 (smith rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 2.00    
7  HOLLYWOOD HERO Jan13 Dec13 Feb01 Jan12 Dec02 (mcgoey monica)DIAZ S 122 30.00    
 
TAM-4   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE PARADISE LAY Jan21 Dec22 Dec01 Nov01 Aug30 (downing william)SPIETH S 118 15.00    
2  SPIKEZONE Jan06 Dec16 Nov17 Jan18 Dec13 (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 1.40 27% 2.70    
3  CAPTURE THE TIME Feb04 Dec24 Oct27 Oct14 Aug20 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00    
4  ABSOLUTE GRIT Feb07 May27 Mar08 Feb11 Jan21 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
5  FIGURETI (CHI) Jan19 Dec27 Nov05 Oct14 Sep02 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50    
6  DESERT RULER Jan27 Jan10 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
 
TAM-5   02/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOBLE HERO Feb02 Jan10 Dec23 Dec06   (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
2  GUN RIGHT Feb02 Jan10 Dec23 Dec06 May20 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 115 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  RAGMAN Jan24 Dec23 Oct08 Sep25 Aug26 (collins john)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 20.00    
SCR  TWO MINUTES APART Feb02 Dec23 Dec06 Oct13 Aug23 (crook-demasi k)CASTANON L 122 4.50    
5  GUT INSTINCT         (smith ro)HIRALDO JOHN 122 12.00 6% 17.20    
SCR  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Feb02 Jan24 Dec09 Jul02 Jun04 (paragallo je)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
SCR  MINTENON Feb02 Dec23 Dec06 Oct13 Sep29 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 122 6.00    
8  BRAGGADOCIOUS Feb02 Jan12 Dec26 Nov24 Oct22 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 5.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  JOINT RESOLUTION Jan18 Dec07 Nov04 May06 Nov20 (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.40    
SCR  SHADY BOY Feb07 Dec16       (charlton ros)MENESES MARCOS 122 30.00    
11  ADIOS JOE Dec23 Jan07 Sep24     (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 122 30.00    
12  NANGA PARBAT (GB) Aug05 Jul13 Jul07 Jun16 May25 (saville niall)CENTENO E 122 8.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  SWIFT DANCER Feb07 Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 May04 (munoz carlos)MORELOS E 122 20.00    
14  MOBOT Jan24 Jan17 Dec31 Dec05 Nov01 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 30.00    
 
TAM-6   02/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCREET DEVIL Dec13 Dec01 Nov12 Oct05 Sep16 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
2  SKYHOOPER Jan27 Dec08 Oct29 Aug26 Jul16 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 4.00 15% 5.50    
3  JEST ABOVE Feb10 Jan13 Jan06 Dec23 Sep06 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 20.00    
4  EL DE CHIREL Jan17 Jul30 Jul09 Jul02 May28 (potts wayne)FERRER C 122 5.00    
5  VEGAS PLAYBOY Jan06 Dec27 Nov22 Oct14 Sep29 (buffalo marvin)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOME SICK Jul13 Jun17 May31     (cahill steven)IORIO MELISSA 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ONE AMERICA Feb02 Jan17 Oct29 Sep17 Aug20 (breen j)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00    
8  BURN JAKEY BURN Feb02 Dec30 Dec01 Nov16 Nov02 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
TAM-7   02/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JERSEY FACTOR Jan24 Jan03 Dec02     (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 113 12.00    
2  TOURIST STYLE Feb07 Dec29 Dec02 Nov05 Oct08 (mcgoey monica)DIAZ S 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
3  TURBO MILLIE Jan14 Jan03 Nov09 Oct12 Sep09 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  BLACK BULLET Jan31 Dec22 Nov22     (roque elis)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HIPATIA Feb02 Jan05 Dec29 Dec08 Sep29 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 8% 10.90    
6  WEDDING BLISS Feb07 Jan07       (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
7  PINK ROSE Jan03         (vanwinkle dav)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.00    
SCR  WORTH THE SUM Jan31         (gonzalez javi)LUGO D 120 10.00    
9  MOBINAH Jan14 Dec15 Sep07     (parra hernan)MORELOS E 120 30.00    
10  TINS Jan05 Dec15 Sep08     (ochoa gerar)VILLASMIL EDGAR 120 20.00    
11  A ROSE FOR TINA Oct16 Sep21 Sep04 Aug21   (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  LITERATI Jan31 Jan13 Dec22 Dec02   (morey william )CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00    
SCR  BOCCABELLA Jan31         (rodriguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 5.00    
SCR  LET'S CONNECT Feb02 Jan05 Nov24 Oct20   (carvajal luis)IORIO MELISSA 113 4.00    
 
TAM-8   02/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD BLUE Jan21 Dec27 Dec16 Mar15 Feb04 (barron rory)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00    
2  UNXPECTED TIGER Feb02 Jan17 Dec31 Dec13 Nov29 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 15.00    
3  MAGIC HOOH Feb02 Jan07 Dec16 Oct27 Aug26 (pompay terri)MORELOS E 122 6.00 9% 10.50    
4  STAR KANOO Jan12 Dec24 Dec01 Feb04   (smith rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 6.00    
5  RULE IT Feb09 Jan06 Nov29 Nov12 Oct22 (simone michael)CASTANON L 118 10.00    
6  RANSEUR Feb07 Jan21 Oct19 Sep14 Aug18 (carvajal luis)IORIO MELISSA 111 5.00 37% 1.70    
7  FROSTY THE SOLDIER Feb09 Jan10 Dec22 Dec06 Nov25 (mendieta aleja)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  VIVA VICTORY Jun18 May14 Apr15 Mar13 Feb19 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 118 10.00    
9  MALIBU MIKE Feb07 Jan12 Dec31 Dec15 Mar04 (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 118 6.00 5% 18.30    
10  SILVER STYLE Jan17 Dec27 Dec16 Nov22 Sep02 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
TAM-9   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOBLE WAVE Feb07 Dec17 Nov11 Sep22 Aug06 (weaver george)CENTENO E 120 4.00    
2  JIGGERY POKERY Jan24 Nov24 Nov03 Oct13 Aug24 (seale)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 20.00    
3  SHEER DELIGHT Jan19 Dec22 Oct29     (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOU THE BODY Dec15 Nov30 Sep20     (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  PIRATE RADIO Feb01 Jan06 Dec22 Nov03 Sep01 (d'angelo jose )CEDENO CAROL 118 8.00    
SCR  THE HONEYMAN Jan28 Dec27 Dec01 Nov18 Oct27 (d'angelo jos)MORELOS E 118 10.00    
7  ALOHA MAN Jan28 Jan03 Dec22 Oct27 Sep04 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00    
SCR  JAILHOUSE JUSTICE Dec22 Nov14 Oct11 Sep08   (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
SCR  NOBLE STAR Jan28 Jan10 Dec22 Dec02 Nov04 (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 118 15.00    
10  LATE NIGHT LIVING Feb02 Jan12 Jan03 Dec13 May31 (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 115 6.00 11% 8.30    
11  GRATED COCONUT Feb09 Dec31 Oct22 Oct14 Aug25 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00    
12  STYLE ME ROYAL Dec27 Dec01 Nov22 Sep07   (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.50    
13  LE MISTRAL Jan10 Dec03 Oct08     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.