Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - February 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(7/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(7/3/5/6)-(6/3/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/6)-(6/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/6)-(6/3/1/5)-(4/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/5)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/5)-(4/5/2)-(9/5/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(9/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(9/5/2/4)-(8/6/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/4)-(9/5/2/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/4)-(9/5/2/4/8)-(9/5/2/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/5/2/4)-(8/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/5/2/4)-(8/6/1/7)-(7/8/4/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/7)-(7/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/7)-(7/8/4/6)-(5/2/3/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/4/6)-(5/2/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/8)-(5/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/8)-(5/2/3/8)-(5/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHUTUPN'KISSME Jan18 Dec13 Nov02 Oct05 Sep14 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 124 6.00 7% 12.80    
2  MEETMEATTHEBEACH Dec29 Dec14 Dec02 Nov17 Nov09 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 2.50    
3  SPARE A DIME Jul12 Jun21 Jun09 May12 Apr28 (johnston r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00    
4  PINK PARTY PANTS Nov13 Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep15 (sanchez emma )CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  SING A LULLABYE Jan18 Nov16 Oct21 Aug05 Jul20 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 1.80 70% 0.40    
6  GREAT DEVOTION Jan11 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 8.00    
 
CT-2   02/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOG TOWN ALLEN Jan12 Dec06 Nov08 Oct19 Sep28 (harrison gle)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00    
2  ARYA CHARMING Jan05 Nov16 Oct27 Oct20 Sep29 (wilhelm tabitha)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
3  WATCHING SNOW FLY Dec09 Nov14 Oct25 Sep18 Sep04 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
4  DONNIE B Jan12 Nov29 Oct07 Aug26 Aug05 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00    
5  EVANESCO Jan12 Dec14 Nov25 Nov16 Nov26 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 7% 12.40    
6  MONKEY WRENCH Jan12 Dec09 Nov24 Oct27 Oct06 (barahona isaac)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  S S MIRAGE Dec16 Nov29 Nov16     (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.40 37% 1.70    
 
CT-3   02/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Jan18 Dec13 Dec06 Oct21 Oct12 (smith osborne)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  FIRST HOMESTEAD Jan18 Nov01 Sep05 Aug22 Jul25 (meyers sh)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50    
3  MAGNETRON Jan18 Dec27 Dec16 Nov22 Nov01 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
4  MUSICAL AMERICA Jan24 Jan04 Feb17 Jan22 Jan12 (hillega)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 50.00    
5  HAPPY CHARLIE Jan24 Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 Sep27 (adorno jea)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MARK DID IT Jan18 Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Oct06 (brown ronney )CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 1.40 51% 1.00    
7  NOBLE CONQUEST Dec29 Nov18 Oct12 Sep07 Aug11 (allen f)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
8  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Jan18 Dec29 Dec13 Nov18 Oct28 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
 
CT-4   02/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Dec07 Oct28 Oct14 Aug25 Jun11 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00    
2  DONTMESAWITHME Dec20 Oct17 Sep09 Aug03 Jul23 (stites w)MONTANO JOSE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ZAPPINIT Nov01 Oct12 Sep06 Aug09 Jul05 (sanchez emma )CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 20.00    
4  SOCIAL CHIC Nov18 Nov04 Oct14 Aug25 Aug03 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 42% 1.40    
5  OVERLY CRITICAL Jan05 Dec16 Dec05 Nov22 Oct28 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.20 30% 2.30    
 
CT-5   02/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERETODAYGONMANANA Jan03 Dec08 Nov25 Nov03 Oct18 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
2  KATALIMA Jan03 Dec13 Nov18 Oct28 Oct12 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 6% 14.70    
3  PUSH Jan26 Dec08 Nov18 Nov11 Oct19 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
4  WHISKEY TALKING Dec10 Nov14 Oct16 Oct02 Aug30 (shuler jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  IN TO THE NIGHT Dec12 Nov14 Oct17 Sep24 Sep12 (shuler r)HO WESLEY 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
6  GOODBYE KYLE Dec22 Oct17 Oct03 Sep15 Aug25 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 15.00    
7  DESTINED TO DANCE Jan13 Jan03 Dec09 Nov23 Oct28 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 10.00    
8  APPEALING ROAD Dec06 Nov09 Oct26 Oct07 Sep16 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 ★    
9  MISS LAUREN Jan03 Dec08 Nov18 Oct12 Sep02 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
SCR  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Feb01 Jan10 Nov30 Nov18 Nov09 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00    
 
CT-6   02/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS E BOOGS Jan12 Dec01 Oct28 Sep28 Sep02 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 1.80 20% 4.10    
2  MY HANDSOME MAN Jan25 Dec09 Nov18 Nov01 Oct04 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
SCR  MACHEN'S RIDGE Dec09 Nov29 Nov18 Oct27 Sep21 (ovando me)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00    
4  JUMPSTER Oct28 Oct12 Aug06 Jun03 May20 (hillegass alexa)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
5  URGENT FURY Jan11 Jul28 Aug28 Jul30   (stahlin john)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
SCR  HOT FUDGE SONDE Jan25 Jan12 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
7  SPRITZER Jan05 Dec13 Nov01 Oct25 Oct07 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Dec16 Dec08 Nov17 Nov02 Oct12 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
CT-7   02/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY INVASION Dec06 Nov18 Oct14 Sep21 Aug25 (joy ke)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.50    
2  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Jan25 Nov22 Oct18 Sep29 Sep16 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
3  ROCKET APPEAL Dec14 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 May19 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
4  NEVER COMPROMISE Dec16 Nov22 Nov08 Sep29 Aug31 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  MAC DADDY Oct31 Oct16 Sep25 Aug07   (shuler jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
6  REMYS SHOWTIME Jan25 Jan12 Dec16 Dec07 Nov29 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MUAD'DIB Nov18 Oct14 Aug25 Jul21 Jun16 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 63% 0.60    
8  ALLEN CAN DO IT Jan25 Nov29 Nov04 Oct12 Sep13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 8% 11.90    
 
CT-8   02/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWISS HORIZON Jan13 Nov24 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 (pyke joseph)BATISTA A 122 20.00    
2  CREME DE LA QUEEN Jan27 Jan13 Dec14 Dec07   (brown kelton)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00 8% 11.30    
3  UNALTERED Jan13 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 (stehr j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 5% 17.90    
4  PALACIO Jan27 Jan11 Dec07 Nov04 Oct13 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00    
5  THETA Jan11 Dec06 Nov08     (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 0.80 66% 0.50    
SCR  MSSNAP Jan11 Dec07 Nov24     (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
SCR  VIESTE Feb01 Jan11 Jan05 Dec02 Nov24 (tobin l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
8  OUR BREW Jan27 Jan11 Dec16 Dec09 Nov02 (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  RUMORGOINGAROUND Jan27 Jan11 Dec14 Nov24 Nov15 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 117 20.00    
10  FROSTY RIA Jan13         (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.