Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - February 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (2/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/3)-(6/7/5/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/3)-(6/7/5/8/4)-(4/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-3   WIN (6/7/5/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/8/4)-(6/7/5/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/8/4)-(6/7/5/8/4)-(6/7/5/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/5/8/4)-(4/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/8/4)-(4/3/1)-(6/8/1/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(6/8/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(6/8/1/10)-(6/7/9/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-5   WIN (6/8/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/10)-(6/8/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/10)-(6/8/1/10)-(6/8/1/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/1/10)-(6/7/9/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/10)-(6/7/9/3/1)-(1/6/10/7/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-6   WIN (6/7/9/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/9/3/1)-(6/7/9/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/9/3/1)-(6/7/9/3/1)-(6/7/9/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/9/3/1)-(1/6/10/7/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/7/9/3/1)-(1/6/10/7/5)-(9/5/10/2/1) 125 $1.00 $125 
HOU-7   WIN (1/6/10/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/10/7/5)-(1/6/10/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/10/7/5)-(1/6/10/7/5)-(1/6/10/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/10/7/5)-(9/5/10/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/6/10/7/5)-(9/5/10/2/1)-(10/4/9/12/8) 125 $1.00 $125 
HOU-8   WIN (9/5/10/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/10/2/1)-(9/5/10/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/10/2/1)-(9/5/10/2/1)-(9/5/10/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/10/2/1)-(10/4/9/12/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
HOU-9   WIN (10/4/9/12/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/9/12/8)-(10/4/9/12/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/9/12/8)-(10/4/9/12/8)-(10/4/9/12/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   02/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASKET CASE Jan21 Jan13 Nov29 Nov09 Sep21 (davidson sara)JARA FERNANDO 121 10.00 16% 5.40    
2  WATCH THIS MUNNY Jan12 Oct25 Sep28 Sep02 Aug20 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  BETYAR AZETS Nov09 Oct05 Sep13 Aug30 Jul12 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPECIAL TREASURE Dec19 Sep22 Aug31 May27 Apr02 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 12.00    
5  HONOR GIVEN Jan13 Jun15 May20 Apr01 Mar05 (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 121 10.00 22% 3.60    
6  POETIC UNION Jan13 Nov29 Nov03 Oct25 Oct04 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 121 15.00    
SCR  KEEP THE BLING Jan13 Nov09 Oct05 Sep08 Jul31 (gustafs)GONCALVES R 121 6.00    
8  PONDERED Dec13 Nov08 Sep30 Sep21 Sep05 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 4.00    
9  NORDIC QUEEN Nov08 Sep22 May29 Apr11 Mar21 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 123 4.50    
SCR  HAILEY'S JEWEL Jan07 Jul03 Jun09 May29 May13 (g)DE CRUZ 121 4.50    
SCR  GRASS QUEEN Jan13 Nov03 Sep08 Jun15 Mar05 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 3.50    
 
HOU-3   02/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALL AROUND COWBOY Jan05 Dec16       (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 122 20.00    
2  FLAT OUT PERFECT         (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 15.00    
3  TEXANO HERO         (uriegas )ALVIZO RAFAEL 122 30.00    
4  WILLIE'S POSSE Jan05         (clary r)SANCHEZ OBED 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  COWTOWN FLYER Jan05         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
6  BAYOU BOY Jan21         (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 122 2.00 25% 3.10    
7  FIRST CAPE         (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
8  UPTOWN TWOUNDERPAR         (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 12.00 9% 10.50    
9  CONNOR TALKSTRASH Jan19 Dec16       (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00    
10  TOO MUCH LONG LEGS Jan05         (govea cesar)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
 
HOU-4   02/03/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCOVERY PEAK Jan13 Dec16 Nov24 Nov11 Nov04 (ashford trist)JARA FERNANDO 123 4.50 14% 6.40    
2  PREFERITO DA BARBI Jan26 Jan13 Nov24 Sep05 Jun10 (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 15.00    
3  CREATIVE MIRACLE Jan05 Dec19 Oct11 Sep16 Aug19 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 6.00 15% 5.50    
4  SPECIAL MOMENT Jan12 Nov08 Oct19 Sep30 Sep13 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 1.80 32% 2.10    
5  DISCO DANZING Jan13 Dec15 Nov18 Oct26 Oct12 (young e)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.00    
6  COMPUTATION Jan13 Dec09 Nov17 Oct28 Sep22 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 123 2.50    
 
HOU-5   02/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEA ME BE Jan06 Dec18 Nov09 Oct19 Sep24 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 10.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  INTERSTELLAR Jan12 Nov01 Aug25 Aug11 Apr08 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 1.60    
3  PRINCE SIMBA Jan19 Nov16 Oct18 Aug05 Jul19 (govea c)GONCALVES R 123 20.00    
4  VICTOR VALENTINO Jul03 Jun22 Jun16 Jun10 May29 (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 20.00    
SCR  BRAZIL NUT Jan19 Jan06 Jun16 Apr30 Mar17 (k)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 3.50    
6  VARSITY Jan07 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Nov15 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 35% 1.90    
7  MOROLICIOUS Jan21 Jan06 Oct12 Sep23 Sep07 (davidson sar)GILES EMMANUEL 118 10.00    
8  SPIN WHEEL Jan12 Dec02 Nov17 Oct21 Sep23 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 26% 2.80    
9  HUMOR ME PLEASE Dec17 Nov30 Oct12 Sep14 Aug25 (govea ces)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 123 30.00    
10  TOP COP Nov24 Nov11 Sep30 Sep14 Jun25 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-6   02/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEARLESS PRINCE Jan12 Dec15 Nov13 Oct06 Sep02 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  JR'S PACIFICO Jul24 Jun17 Jun02 May21 May05 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 121 20.00    
3  RECKLESS RED Jan05 Dec02 Nov21 Sep27 Aug18 (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 123 2.50 14% 6.20    
4  TEXAS TITAN Jan12 Nov22 Oct18 Sep03 Aug07 (payne d)GONCALVES R 121 12.00    
5  FORT HOOD Jan12 Nov13 Oct27 Oct07 Jul04 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 121 15.00    
6  STANS HOME RUN Jan12 Dec07 Oct28 Sep09 Aug26 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 27% 2.70    
7  MY LITTLE PRINCE Jan12 Dec05 Jun08 May13 Apr23 (young e)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00 20% 4.10    
8  SR. BI BI Jan19 Dec02 Nov09 Oct27 Sep29 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 123 4.50    
9  SUNDAY BLING Jan12 Dec19 Nov20 Oct07 Mar25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
HOU-7   02/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THICK HAZE Aug30 Aug06 Jul12 Jun24 May27 (rengstorf tony)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  TAG ME Jan07 Dec15 Dec07 Nov09 Oct13 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 12.00    
3  BIG POWER RED Jan19 Jan07 Dec16 Sep01 Jul23 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 6.00    
4  EXETER Jan19 Jan07 Dec02 Oct28 Oct06 (cravens ronn)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00    
5  COLOR FAST Dec16 Dec07 Oct28 Sep01 Jul20 (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ZOFFA Jan19 Dec14 Nov29 Nov11 Oct12 (hodgson)GONCALVES R 121 4.50 13% 6.70    
7  TAM'S TIME Dec08 Nov17 Oct30 Oct13 Sep25 (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 4.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  VIM AND VIGOR Jan27 Dec15 Nov23 Oct21 Sep02 (bryant ge)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 30.00    
9  LITTLE AVENGER Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 Apr01 Mar18 (camacho jose)GILES EMMANUEL 116 20.00    
10  ROYALLY Jan07 Dec16 Dec09 Nov20 Nov11 (davidson n)BRACHO A 123 3.00 12% 7.00    
 
HOU-8   02/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOKE JOKE Dec16 Nov21 Nov03 Oct05   (davidson sar)GILES EMMANUEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of ZETA ZODY by OMEGA CODE)
2  TALKIN CADEE Dec16         (y)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAISON out of TALKIN TAYLOR by ORATORY)
SCR  SKYVIEW DRIVE Nov08 Oct16 Sep28 May29 Mar26 (hebert )GONCALVES R 123 4.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LA CLOCHE by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  PLATINUM PHANTOM Jan21 Jan07 Jul23 Jul03 Jun16 (willis mind)BARANDELA SOFIA 123 15.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  CONCEAL Jan07 Apr16 May28     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00 8% 11.10    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TEMPTRESS by TAPIT)
6  LIGHTNING MELODY Jan07 Oct19 Sep01     (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MUSIC THUNDER by CISCO ROAD)
7  UTSIRA Dec13 Feb19 Feb05 Jan07 Nov25 (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 123 20.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of FLOUNCE by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
8  PERCEPTIVE Nov17 Oct22 Sep22 Jun02   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 5.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of HONE IN by SMART STRIKE)
9  VIEWERS DISCRETION Nov18 Oct20 Sep01 Jul29 Apr28 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 1.60 67% 0.50    
  (by OUTWORK out of MINESTRONE by FORESTRY)
10  TIZ A KNOCKOUT Jan07 Jun08 May18 Apr14 Mar31 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
11  DRIVING Apr30 Mar30 Mar09 Feb18   (pish dann)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 123 30.00    
  (by FIVE IRON out of UNBRIDLED PRAISE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  GIRLS GOT GAME Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 May19 Apr08 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
  (by WILBURN out of GIANTESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
HOU-9   02/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 45 M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZZ FACTOR Dec07         (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIZZ CAT C S by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  PATRONA GOLD         (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 12.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PATRONA MARGARITA by SPECIAL RATE)
3  GOLDEN SLEW Aug19 Jun03 May12 May19   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 8.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SEEKING SIMPLICITY by SEEKING THE GOLD)
4  BALI GIRLEE Nov25 Nov10 Oct04     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of LISALISALEE by DISCO RICO)
5  EXPECT LAVENDER Jun23 Feb25 Feb10 Jan08   (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 123 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
6  HIGINIA Jul03 Jun18 Jan27 Jan06   (bravene)GONCALVES R 123 20.00    
  (by FALL OF TROY out of TROUBLEINABAG by FIVE DEMON BAG)
7  BLAME JULIA         (benavides chris)BENAVIDES D 123 30.00    
  (by NUBLADO BLING out of BLAME FREE by BLAME)
8  RIVER'S END Jul03 Jun11 Jun03 May12 Apr27 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONGAREE out of PACK YOUR P J'S by GOLD LEGEND)
9  LIBBIES BABY Jul23 Jun03 Apr30 Apr16 Mar26 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 123 6.00 13% 6.60    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of LIBBIES MISSION by GLOBAL MISSION)
10  SOARING LADY Nov08 Sep29       (castellanos)BARANDELA SOFIA 123 1.60 35% 1.80    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of BROADWAY BABY by GILDED TIME)
11  SOLECITA Apr22         (c)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
  (by LIAISON out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
12  BUBBLES AND BLING Feb18 Jan28       (clary r)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00 5% 17.60    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MISS PHOTOGENIC by YOU AND I)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.