Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - January 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(4/5/1)-(5/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(5/2/4)-(2/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(2/5/4)-(3/2/4/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(3/2/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(3/2/4/9)-(1/2/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/9)-(3/2/4/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/9)-(3/2/4/9/1)-(3/2/4/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/4/9)-(1/2/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/9)-(1/2/8/7)-(2/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/7)-(1/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/7)-(1/2/8/7)-(1/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/8/7)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/7)-(2/3/4)-(4/8/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(4/8/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/10)-(4/8/10/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/10)-(4/8/10/9)-(4/8/10/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUBBA G Nov24 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Aug18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
INSIDE RISK Dec14 Nov29 Nov03 Oct21 Sep30 (caison l)MAWING A 120 15.00    
GOLDEN G Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 Oct20 Sep30 (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
COWBOY AT HEART Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 Jul28 Jul07 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 15.00    
ADVANCE CASH Dec01 Nov22 Oct28 Oct20 Sep30 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 1.80 28% 2.60    
MR TINGLES Dec14 Nov17 Nov03 Oct20 Sep30 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00    
ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Dec13 Dec01 Nov02 Oct20 Aug05 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 124 1.60 27% 2.80    
 
CT-2   01/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURT TUDOR Dec02 Jun01 May13 Apr22 Mar30 (kirlew g)LARROSA G 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
THEIRREGISTRDIMNOT Dec13 Nov30 Nov03 Oct13 Sep29 (carlisle )SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 8.00    
COLONIAL ROAD Dec13 Nov11 Oct20 Sep30 Aug17 (campbe)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 15.00    
LOVETHEBAND May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 0.60 66% 0.50    
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Dec13 Nov16 Oct20 Sep08 Aug03 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  LORD CLANCY Dec13 Nov11 Oct19 Sep30 Sep22 (figgins ollie)CHILO JACINTO 124 6.00    
CRUSH 'N RUN Apr22 Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb15 (lewis r)MAWING A 124 20.00    
 
CT-3   01/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEARNOUGHT Dec07 Nov22 Nov01 Oct07 Sep16 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
MASAI MAN Nov15 Oct23 Sep28 Sep15 Sep03 (ginter ra)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00 23% 3.40    
HAGLER Dec10 Nov27 Nov06 Oct31 Oct23 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
PIT STOP MAN Dec14 Oct06 Sep09 Sep02 Aug27 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 120 15.00 16% 5.30    
RIDICULOUS Dec08 Nov17 Oct06 Sep14 Aug18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60 35% 1.90    
BACKATYA Dec06 Nov21 Oct22 Aug27 Jul14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40    
SCR  INDIANA RED Dec16 Nov29 Nov01 Oct12 Sep29 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00    
 
CT-4   01/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROWWOOD Nov03 Aug19 Aug12 Jul22 May25 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 15.00    
THE SKY IS FALLING Oct14 Aug25 Jul20 Jul01 Apr15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 45% 1.20    
LIGHTNIN RUNNER Dec16 Nov15 Oct17 Sep30 Aug25 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.00    
COACH RUBE Dec16 Nov24 Oct14 Oct02 Aug25 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 9% 9.80    
MOONLIT SHADOW Dec16 Nov11 Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
AZZURRA Dec16 Nov11 Oct14 Aug30 Aug12 (barber do)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00    
 
CT-5   01/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN ROCKY RUN Dec13 Nov10 Oct14 Oct07 Sep01 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
SCR  RUM CUP Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Sep01 Oct30 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
MACHISTO Mar19 Jan21       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 57% 0.80    
CAIRO BREEZE Oct21 Oct05 Jun09 May19 Apr22 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 6% 14.60    
J G JETT Dec01 Oct28 Sep28 Sep01   (comi w)HO WESLEY 118 20.00    
AGAIN WE MEET Dec13 Nov10 Oct20 Aug19   (sewell lenwort)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
LET'S EAT Dec13 Nov22 Oct05 Aug23 Aug08 (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 30.00    
SOUTHERN SAINT Dec06 Nov15 Nov02     (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 124 30.00    
RAINBOW DAY Dec01 Nov09 Oct20     (runco c)CULLUM W 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   01/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKYSINTHECASTLE Dec14 Dec06 Nov09 Oct26 Sep30 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
BLUE MOUNTAIN Dec14 Nov08 Oct21 Sep16 Aug26 (adorno je)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00 23% 3.30    
PRINCESS HALO Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 Oct13 Sep16 (craig lewis)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
WOODSONG'S CASTLE Nov30 Nov18 Nov09 Oct19 Oct07 (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00    
LADY SPARROW Dec06 Nov09 Oct07 Aug26 Aug04 (conn p)MAWING A 122 20.00    
GLOBAL EMPRESS Dec06 Nov09 Oct21 May19 Apr21 (couchenour lee)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
LEMONSONDESURPRISE Dec14 Nov08 Oct21 Apr21 Mar25 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 13% 6.70    
DIVA ROSE Dec06 Nov08 Sep16 Aug05 Jul20 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
 
CT-7   01/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEROKEE CASTLE Dec04 Nov10 Nov02 Sep07 Jul06 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Sep07 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 Jan11 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
XANTHE Dec14 Nov25 Nov10 Oct18 Jun02 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
DREAMY SONDE Nov10 Sep07 Jul06 May18 Apr01 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Dec09 Nov17 Nov01 Oct19 Aug18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
XTENDED STREAK Dec14 Nov17 Nov01 Oct19 Sep02 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50    
POLISH THE DIAMOND Nov25 Oct14 Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   01/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AKINGISALWAYSKING Dec13 Dec02 Nov15 Oct28 Oct18 (murtaugh andrew )MAWING A 122 10.00    
SCR  SIR SMOAK Dec13 Nov25 Nov15 Oct21 Oct05 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 8.00    
STAVANGER Dec02 Nov15 Oct28 Aug03 Jul13 (racanelli mark)CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
SURF CITY GOLD Dec07 Nov23 Nov09 Oct19 Oct06 (mckenz)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.00 35% 1.80    
SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND Dec07 Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 May11 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 4.50    
SCR  SUPERSTITIEUX Jan06 Dec13 Nov23 Nov15 Oct05 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 6.00    
SCR  T VILLE Dec02 Oct07 Sep08 Aug12 Jul16 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
SCHMEAR Dec07 Nov08 Oct19 Sep28 Aug25 (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00 24% 3.20    
TUNNEL VISION Dec13 Oct24 Sep27 Aug21 Jul24 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50    
10  STARSTREET Nov04 Oct05 Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 (rodriguez jose )RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 10% 9.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.