Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(1/6/5)-(4/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(4/1/6)-(2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(2/4)-(7/4/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(7/4/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(7/4/6/1)-(6/1/7/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/1)-(6/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/1)-(6/1/7/4)-(8/1/9/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/4)-(6/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/4)-(6/1/7/4)-(6/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/7/4)-(8/1/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/4)-(8/1/9/2)-(8/3/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/1/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/2)-(8/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/2)-(8/1/9/2)-(8/1/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/9/2)-(8/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-8   WIN (8/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/5)-(8/3/4/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/5)-(8/3/4/5/9)-(8/3/4/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/07/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE ELEGANCE Dec15 Oct16 Oct02 Sep09 Aug18 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 2.50    
2  SUWANNEE CHICK Dec16 Sep09 Aug17 Aug04 Jul01 (parra hernan)MORELOS E 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRESSLY'S HOPE Dec13 Nov15 Oct26 Sep21 Aug31 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 58% 0.70    
4  R D BLESSING Dec15 Dec09 Nov24 Jul01 Apr22 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
5  CALENDULA Dec06 Nov13 Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 (mendieta alej)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.50 12% 7.30    
6  CHILD PROOF Dec29 Dec06 Nov22 Oct04 Sep02 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 122 3.00 ★    
7  TWISTED TREASURE Oct16 Sep28 Sep13 Aug17 Aug01 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 10.00    
 
TAM-2   01/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOPHIA'S PRINCE Jun21 Apr30 Apr12 Mar15 Oct17 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
2  READIER Oct15         (lightner mary)CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00    
3  UNCAPTURED BOY Dec24 Nov25 Sep22 Sep01 Jul29 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 8.00    
4  KADAR INDY Dec23 Nov29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
5  VICTORY LINE Mar23 Feb10 Jan12 Dec17   (morey wi)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 12% 7.70    
6  THE BIG CALICO Dec16 Nov25 May06 Apr21 Mar15 (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 115 4.00 24% 3.20    
7  BARFLY Dec24 Dec01 Oct05 Sep16 Aug13 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 115 4.00 ★    
 
TAM-3   01/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALCAZABA (IRE) Dec16 Nov25 Oct20 Sep02 Jul22 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  MIA'S CAT Nov03         (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 117 20.00    
3  HEZMORETHANREADY Dec20 Nov01 Sep29 Sep06 Aug18 (house gary)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
4  SWING SAMMY Dec06 Nov19 Oct28 Aug25 Aug11 (sacco gregory)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.50 41% 1.50    
5  REDISUR Dec02 Nov12 Oct20 Oct01 Jun09 (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 12.00    
6  MAGIC HOOH Dec16 Oct27 Aug26     (pompay terri)MORELOS E 122 2.00 8% 10.90    
7  FOREVER SAUCY Dec06 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jun24 (ochoa gerard)DELGADO DAVID 122 5.00 ★    
 
TAM-4   01/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PENUMBRAS MAKER Dec26 Nov01 Sep27 Aug24 Jul16 (gutierrez fa)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
2  EASY COME EASY GO Dec09 Oct15 Aug07 Jul16 Jun17 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
3  FROSTY O TOOLE Dec15 Oct27 Oct04 Aug12 Jun09 (dini mik)GALLARDO A 119 2.50    
4  SEQUIN LADY Sep02 Jul14 Jun17 May12 Apr06 (richards re)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00 22% 3.50    
5  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Dec15 Nov24 Oct04 Aug22 Jul22 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00    
6  MOLLY'S ANGEL Nov24 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul15 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 2.00 ★    
 
TAM-5   01/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Dec27 Nov25 Nov03 Oct21 Oct04 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  AZTEC LEGEND Sep19 Aug26 Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 111 10.00    
3  LORD BARNA Dec30 Dec15 Jul05 Jun13 May31 (simone micha)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
4  SIX WHIPS Dec16 Oct25 Oct07 Jul15 Jun21 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 2.50 25% 3.10    
5  TAPSOLUTION Dec13 Oct18 Oct02 Sep05 Aug08 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 15.00    
6  BUSTINUPISHARDTODO Oct21 Oct09 Sep20 Aug26 Jul29 (rodriguez dar)SOSA LAUREANO 111 3.50 9% 10.60    
7  GRAND VALLEY Nov17 Aug11 Jul22 Jul01 Apr30 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 3.00 43% 1.40    
8  RUNAWAY TOM Nov24 Aug19 Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 118 8.00    
 
TAM-6   01/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Dec16 Nov04 Oct11 Sep29 Sep16 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 119 2.50 13% 6.70    
2  PRACTICAL WAY Dec16 Dec01 Nov22 Oct27 Oct07 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50    
3  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Dec15 Dec08 Nov24 Jun30 Mar18 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
4  GOLDEN TONE Dec27 Dec15 Dec01 Oct23 Oct09 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  GREAT FACES Dec27 Nov25 Oct20 Oct04 Sep07 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 119 4.00    
6  SHANE'S JEWEL Dec01 Nov01 Oct20 Oct04 Sep26 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 2.00 62% 0.60    
7  FURY KAP Dec16 Jul29 Jul02 Jun14 May06 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  GUINESSEY Dec01 Oct12 Sep29 Aug31 Jun29 (rhone bernell)FERRER C 119 10.00    
 
TAM-7   01/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU BACK         (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  TIZART         (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 120 12.00 8% 11.20    
3  CALL EM KARL Dec06 Nov14 Oct24     (ryan s)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00    
4  KAPRIZOV Dec22 Aug27 Aug13     (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00    
5  SUPER BUSTER Oct20         (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00    
SCR  INDIO MARA Dec20 Nov24       (crichton roh)ARROYO S 120 2.50    
7  HORSESHOE PATSY Dec20 Oct07       (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 10.00    
8  MY NAME'S JEFF Oct18         (bennett )GALLARDO A 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
9  D LOVER         (jones dou)HERRERA R 120 15.00 8% 10.90    
 
TAM-8   01/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STYLISH ANNA Aug19         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 5.00    
2  LUCY THE GOOSE Nov09 Oct23 Sep28 Aug19   (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 30.00    
3  MISPRINT         (morey e)CENTENO E 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
4  R FIREBIRD Nov18         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 6% 15.70    
5  GRAND LADY INDY Sep16         (cordero a)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 10.00 5% 17.40    
6  MACHO GIRL Dec23 Dec08       (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 120 30.00    
7  MORNING REFLECTION Nov09 Sep28       (rarick ly)RODRIGUEZ A 120 30.00    
8  WEDDING BLISS         (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
9  RAICHU Aug25 Jul20 Jun02     (avila juan)ALONSO LUIS 120 4.00 ★    
10  AUSTRIAN KITTY Nov17         (minguet )GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 12.00    
11  APRIL APRIL Jun16 May25       (casca)DOMINGUEZ G 120 10.00    
12  SAHISH Sep06 Aug25       (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.