Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - December 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(8/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(8/2/5)-(3/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (8/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/5)-(8/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/5)-(8/2/5)-(8/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/5)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5)-(3/6/5)-(1/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(5/6/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(5/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(5/6/1/7)-(2/4/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/7)-(2/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/7)-(2/4/1/6)-(4/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/6)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL SPINNER Nov18 Nov09 Jul01 Jun23 Jun02 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  WAVERLEY Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 Aug27 (butts e)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
3  PUSH Nov18 Nov11 Oct19 Sep28 Sep06 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 3.50    
4  MISS LAUREN Nov18 Oct12 Sep02 Aug03 Jul06 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
5  HERETODAYGONMANANA Nov25 Nov03 Oct18 Sep16 Aug19 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00    
6  HOW IS SHE Nov30 Oct26 Oct07 Jul20 Jun23 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
7  CHANNEL SCENT Nov30 Nov11 Aug12 Jul22 Mar18 (mcgill sylvest)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   12/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN'S THRILL Nov01 Oct12 Sep16 Aug10 Aug02 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
2  GRAN ANDREWS Nov13 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Aug12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 30% 2.40    
SCR  MYSTIFIED Sep29 Aug23 Jul05 Jun03 Mar31 (jackson l)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
4  I AM THAT I AM Nov04 Oct20 Sep20 Sep01 Aug02 (williams ab)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50    
5  GOODLUCKCHUCK Oct20 Oct06 Aug26 Aug20 Aug02 (lawrence james)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00 11% 8.10    
6  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Nov25 Nov17 Oct18 Oct06 Sep14 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00    
SCR  HOT N SPICY LOVE Nov22 Nov02 Oct12 Sep24 Sep08 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00    
8  RIDICULOUS Nov17 Oct06 Sep14 Aug18 Jul27 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
CT-3   12/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S MY RAINBOW Oct29 Aug26 Aug04 Jul16   (runco c)CULLUM W 118 5.00    
2  BROWN SUGA BABE Nov25 Oct25 Sep28 Sep01   (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 115 15.00    
3  HEY BOOTS Nov16 Sep14       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 0.40 52% 0.90    
4  STREET TOUGH Nov16 Oct14 Sep24 Aug05 Jul14 (salzman j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00    
5  CALCULATED LUV Nov10 Oct20       (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00 13% 6.60    
6  FORCE OF JUSTICE Oct08 Sep04 Aug21 Aug03 Jul16 (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 118 4.50 15% 5.80    
 
CT-4   12/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEACHINTHERELEASE Nov22 Oct28 Oct14 Sep28 Sep08 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 1.80 55% 0.80    
2  PINK DINGHY Aug18 Jul21 Jun23 Jun03 May13 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 2.00    
3  EL LUCERITO Nov17 Oct28 Oct14 Sep08 Aug17 (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 118 6.00    
4  GOLD FIBER Nov22 Oct21 Oct07 Aug17 Jul06 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 6% 16.50    
5  EPIC TIME Jul27 Jul08 Jun15 Dec16 Nov11 (kolb chris )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 6% 17.10    
6  JUBAY Nov30 Nov02 Oct05 Aug17 Jul21 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 111 20.00    
7  COLT ROCK Nov29 Oct16 Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 (tobin l)ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   12/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNCAN IDAHO Nov22 Oct28 Oct14 Sep21 Aug17 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.40 58% 0.70    
2  GUN FACTOR Nov09 Sep07 Aug09 Jul12 May16 (ceciliano misae)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
3  MALIBU COWBOY Oct22 Oct07 Sep12 Aug23 Nov20 (cuttino mari)WHITACRE GRANT 118 15.00    
4  GOLDEN ARM Sep25 Aug26 Aug05 Jul04 May29 (smith l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 4.00 17% 4.90    
5  SETTLEMENT DATE Nov30 Nov17 Oct28 Jun30 Jun15 (gomez r)LARROSA G 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  WOODLINE Oct05 Jul22 Jun03 May14 Mar26 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.50    
7  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Nov30 Nov09 Sep07 Jul29 Jul08 (straughn e)CULLUM W 118 50.00    
 
CT-6   12/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE AND CHARM Nov15 Sep22 Sep04 Aug10 Jun15 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  MYGIDGETMARIE Nov02 Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 Jul29 (huet k)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 20.00    
3  SIX THE HARD WAY Nov10 Oct29 Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
4  EMBERLY Nov25 Nov16 Nov08 Oct26 Oct13 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 15.00    
5  DIALHERUP Nov13 Oct11 Sep22 Jul29 Jul08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.80 38% 1.60    
6  DIAL HER Nov15 Sep08 Aug19 Jun16 May04 (runco c)CULLUM W 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
7  MIND YOUR OWN Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 Aug31 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  COMPLETE SURPRISE Nov25 Nov09 Oct26 Sep20 Aug12 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
SCR  DENALI D'ORO Nov04 Oct13 Sep16 Aug19 Jun30 (schlicht erika)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
10  JAMESTOWN ROAD Nov20 Oct14 Oct03 Sep22 Aug19 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   12/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Nov17 Nov02 Oct12 Aug27 Aug11 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 4.00 14% 6.20    
2  C R'S MANDATE Nov18 Oct14 Aug25 Aug04 Jun23 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50 33% 2.10    
3  ROYAL PAIN Nov17 Oct28 Jul15 Jun23 Jun03 (johnson jamey )MONTANO JOSE 120 6.00    
4  I'M THE MONEY MAN Dec01 Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 4.50 14% 6.10    
5  KRUG Nov04 Oct27 Sep30 Aug27 Aug10 (capuano p)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00    
6  PAYMENGOLD Dec01 Oct14 Sep28 Aug25 Aug04 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00 10% 8.90    
7  NEVERPOPTHECORK Dec01 Nov01 Oct12 Sep07 Aug17 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
8  MARK DID IT Nov17 Oct28 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
SCR  GAMMA SQUEEZE Nov18 Nov08 Oct18 Sep16 Aug18 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   12/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER'S GIRL Nov17 Nov03 Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 (bourne wi)BOCACHICA J 117 6.00 8% 11.90    
2  SONGTELLER Nov03 Jun10 May07 Apr28 Mar29 (baker r)MAWING A 124 3.50 ★    
3  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Dec02 Nov17 Oct27 Oct12 Sep14 (aylor l)LARROSA G 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLUE HOUR Nov03 Oct07 Aug26 Aug03 Jul06 (delaco)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 0.60 68% 0.50    
5  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Nov17 Oct27 Oct12 Sep14 Aug24 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
6  DEAREST M. A. Oct25 Oct05 Sep02 May18 Apr06 (jones y)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
7  SHESARUNAWAYTRAIN Sep01         (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 117 20.00    
8  HEY MACARENA Dec02 Nov02 Sep30 Jul22   (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 122 50.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.