Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - November 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(2/6/7)-(7/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(7/6/3)-(5/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(5/7/6)-(7/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(7/1/3)-(5/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(5/2/6)-(5/6/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(5/6/7)-(2/6/8/10/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(2/6/8/10/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/6/8/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/10/3)-(2/6/8/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/10/3)-(2/6/8/10/3)-(2/6/8/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE BAD Jan26         (wilhelm tabith)CHILO MAXIMO 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
2  THUNDERINREADYRICK Oct25 Sep28 Sep07 Jul21 Jun03 (bass curt)BOCACHICA J 117 8.00    
3  BABY QUINN Aug26 Jul14 May29 May21 Apr12 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50    
4  DOC ELM Oct19 Sep07 Aug03 Jul14 May20 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  SWEET SYNTAX Oct06 Sep29 Sep01 Aug20 Aug04 (robb j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50    
SCR  HELL'S KITTEN Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 Jun22 Apr15 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
 
CT-2   11/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISHING FOR SPRING Oct28 Oct12 Sep16 Aug26 Jul20 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
2  SING A LULLABYE Oct21 Aug05 Jul20 Oct21 Oct06 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 0.80 50% 1.00    
3  C TWO Oct26 Oct05 Sep02 May27 Mar04 (atkins)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
4  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW Oct26 Sep09 Aug26 Jul14 May12 (atkins michael)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00    
5  I'M A TOTAL DIVA Oct26 Aug26 Jul14 Apr29 Jul01 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00    
6  EMBERLY Nov08 Oct26 Oct13 Sep28 Sep15 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 4.50 26% 2.80    
7  MOIRAINE Oct26 Oct12 Aug26 Aug12 May25 (spriggs toschia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   11/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD PUNCH Oct19 Sep28 May13 Mar31   (armstrong b)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 3.00    
2  KING OF LUCK Oct27 Oct05 Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 120 4.00    
3  JUST JUBA Oct27 Sep15 Aug31 Aug13 Jul31 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOP ZAPPER Nov10 Oct27 Oct05 Sep22 Aug31 (huet k)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
5  ROCKING TO HOME Oct27 Oct05 Aug31 Aug04 Jul13 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
6  EVANESCO Nov26 Nov09 Oct20 Sep29 Aug19 (wilhelm tabith)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
7  WINDSOR'S STAR Oct27 Oct05 Sep07 Aug03 Jul13 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
CT-4   11/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 2 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERED BY LOVE Oct14 Sep29 Jul21 Jun30   (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 10.00    
2  STREET TOUGH Oct14 Sep24 Aug05 Jul14 May26 (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 118 8.00    
3  YEAH TAKE THAT Oct29 Aug16 Jul19 Jul03   (brooks geral)BATISTA A 118 20.00    
4  GRUMPY BROOKSIE Nov06 Sep02 Aug26 Aug17 Jul27 (brooks gera)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 10.00    
5  HEY BOOTS Sep14         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
6  MON GATEAU Sep27 Sep02       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 12% 7.70    
7  FROSTY THE GIANT Oct29 Oct08 Sep02 Jun11 May11 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 118 1.60 13% 6.90    
 
CT-5   11/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Oct20 Sep08 Aug03 Jul13 Jun16 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 1.40 21% 3.80    
2  ARYA CHARMING Oct27 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08   (wilhelm tabitha)RODRIGUEZ V 121 6.00    
3  S S MIRAGE         (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 121 10.00 20% 4.00    
4  RAISE A RUCKUS Oct19 Sep30 Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.50    
5  GETTIN SPICY Nov08 Nov01 Sep30 Sep07 Aug17 (boykins kevin)ADAMS L 114 30.00    
SCR  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Nov10 Oct20 Oct13 Sep29 Sep08 (boykins)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 15.00    
7  METALLIC CAT Oct25 Sep07 Aug17 Aug03   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
CT-6   11/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN KEY Oct14 Aug25 Jul13 Jun17 May11 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
2  PENGUIN POWER Oct14 Aug25 Jul13 Jun17 May11 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
3  AMIDSHIPS Aug17 May19 Apr07 Mar17 Feb23 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00    
4  JEFFERSON NATIVE Oct14 Aug25 Aug17 Jul08 Jun22 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 5.00    
5  LITTLE ROO ROO Oct28 Oct14 Sep21 Aug25 Jul22 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 47% 1.10    
6  NICO Oct14 Sep21 Aug18 Jun17 May19 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
 
CT-7   11/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONITA LASSIE Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 Jul21 Jun21 (kulp brand)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
SCR  SOME IS NINE Oct14 Sep15 Aug27 Aug03 Jul13 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
3  UNCAPTURED RUBY Oct20 Jun23 May27 May07 Apr16 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 120 15.00    
SCR  MYGIDGETMARIE Nov02 Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 Jul29 (huet k)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
5  DIVINE FASHION Oct14 Oct06 Jul29 Jul01 Jun17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 64% 0.60    
6  I HAVE COURAGE Oct01 Sep01 Aug25 Aug03 Jul14 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 8% 11.00    
7  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Oct05 Sep16 Aug19 May18 Mar26 (viands st)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 5% 17.60    
8  SECRET CASTLE Oct27 Oct05 Aug31 Aug19 Aug10 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
9  BETCHA BY GOLLY Oct06 Sep16 Sep04 Jul29 Jul16 (andrea)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50    
 
CT-8   11/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY CUT Sep01 Oct06 Aug17 Jul19 May12 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
2  DEVIN ON EARTH Oct26 Oct05 Sep03 Aug24 Jul28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 38% 1.60    
3  GREAT DEVOTION Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CURLIN'S DOVE Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Jul29 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
SCR  EXCLUSIVE ROSE Oct26 Sep14 Sep02 Jul08 Jun18 (juarez ca)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
6  DAPHNE'S FIRE Oct26 Oct13 Sep01 Jul30 Jul02 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
7  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Oct27 Oct12 Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 20.00    
8  TOUGH ENOUGH Oct18 Sep30 Sep22 Sep02   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 7% 12.60    
9  MIDNIGHT PASS Oct05 Sep14 Aug03 Jul14 Jul08 (racanelli mark)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
10  MASHUA Oct27 Sep17 Sep03 Aug27 Aug05 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 5% 18.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.