Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - November 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(3/2)-(6/4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6/4/5)-(2/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(9/1/12/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-6   WIN (9/1/12/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/12/4/2)-(9/1/12/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/12/4/2)-(9/1/12/4/2)-(9/1/12/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/12/4/2)-(10/5/3/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/1/12/4/2)-(10/5/3/2/1)-(6/2/1/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
FL-7   WIN (10/5/3/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/3/2/1)-(10/5/3/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/3/2/1)-(10/5/3/2/1)-(10/5/3/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/3/2/1)-(6/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-8   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   11/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BON FIRE DIVA Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (williams omani)FRET STEVEN 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
2  PALS ALLY Oct24 Oct11 Oct02 Sep18 Sep05 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 8.00    
3  QUIET HORIZON Oct23 Oct11 Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 (cabrera jose)HARKIE K 122 1.60    
4  E Z TOLL Oct18 Oct03 Aug02 Jul05 Jun20 (ronen assaf)VENTURA JOSE 121 1.80 55% 0.80    
SCR  RENNINAS ROSE Oct24 Oct11 Aug30 Aug09 Aug01 (falk jac)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
6  IOVA Oct24 Oct11 Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 122 4.00    
 
FL-2   11/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALARRA Oct23 Sep27 Aug15 Aug01 Jul12 (clarke dylan)FRET STEVEN 124 1.50 25% 3.00    
2  DONS LAST CALL Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 1.60 44% 1.30    
3  FRANKIE C Oct25 Sep27 Sep13 Aug15 Aug02 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 5.00    
4  NAUGHTY PUMPKIN Oct23 Oct10       (gutterson kat)DAVILA A 121 12.00    
5  INDYAN PENNY Oct25 Sep27 Aug30 Aug15 Aug02 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 121 6.00    
6  SARAH'S PRIDE Oct25 Aug16 Jul19 Apr06 Mar12 (henry ortis )BERRIOS C 124 15.00 5% 17.60    
 
FL-3   11/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEYBIGNOSE Oct05 Sep04 Jun18 May18 Apr16 (breed j)COA J 121 3.50    
2  WHO ASKED YOU Sep12 Aug15       (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
3  SPECIAL PAL Sep26 Sep12       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 3.00 54% 0.80    
4  ADMIRE MY CROWN Aug29 Jul22 May04 Apr08 Nov17 (barrow paul)ROHENA M 124 2.50    
SCR  MS HAYLEY May20 May03 Apr08 Mar11 Feb19 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00    
6  MA MI JO DREAMS Oct04 Sep12 Aug29 Jul25 Jul04 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00    
 
FL-4   11/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA LIMA Oct24 Oct10 Sep13 Oct09 Sep27 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
2  SHE'S NOT BLUFFING Oct24 Dec08 Nov29 Nov16 Oct18 (maver eduardo)ALVARADO R 124 4.00    
3  KAUFY FUTURES Oct24 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 124 12.00    
4  A DAB WILL DO Sep11 Jul24 Jul04 Nov21 Oct26 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
5  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Oct23 Oct10 Aug30 May17 Apr20 (lecesse michael)DIAZ J 117 6.00 11% 7.90    
6  SABREEN Oct24 Oct09 Sep26 Sep06 Jul24 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  CAT GLASSES KATHY Oct24 Oct10 Sep12 Aug15 Jul24 (loaiza ilmar)DAVILA A 124 5.00    
 
FL-5   11/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Tin Cup Chalice Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANGER BLUE Sep24 Sep04 Aug17     (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of SINGLE MALT FEMALE by SKIP TO THE STONE)
2  CRUZIN FOR CHAOS Oct11         (viands grego)BATISTA A 116 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SHE'S TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  BENJI BROWN Oct18         (babcock )DAVIS A 118 8.00 33% 2.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MISS RUBYCUBES by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
4  ONE WITHEVERYTHING Oct19 Oct04 Aug18     (murphy timot)HARKIE K 114 10.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of DERWIN'S LADY by LANGFUHR)
5  LOVE THAT BIRD Oct09 Sep04 Aug18 Jul28   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 118 5.00    
  (by STEPHANOATSEE out of ASPREE by FREUD)
6  CABLE READY Oct30 Oct09 Sep25     (dixon k)ALVARADO R 114 4.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of CABLE by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  ENTICING PROSPECT Sep27         (ferraro anth)COA J 118 2.00    
  (by ENTICED out of FERRITTO by SUAVE)
 
FL-6   11/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUTCH Oct24 Oct10 Sep18 Aug22 Aug09 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.00 10% 8.50    
2  B C GLORY DAYS Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 Sep12 Aug22 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  DANCINWITHJAKE Oct25 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
4  KOBE'S LEGACY Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Nov23 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HANGOUT Oct10 Sep20 Sep12 Aug21 Jul31 (mastin kathleen)ROHENA M 124 20.00    
6  THIRTY OYSTERS Oct24 Oct10 Sep27 Sep11 Aug22 (d'alessandr)CAMILO D 121 20.00    
7  NOAH'S DESTINY Oct24 Sep27 Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00    
8  THUNDERING MARCH Oct24 Sep26 Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 10.00    
9  MATT DOYLE Oct24 Sep27 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 (grusmark)DAVIS A 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
10  ERIDROMOS Oct18 Sep25 Sep06 Aug04 Jul09 (lugovich lisa )COA J 124 5.00    
11  M. C. DOUBLE R Oct24 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 121 20.00    
12  SUPERB SURPRISE Aug28 Aug07 Jun21 May24 Apr24 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00 7% 13.60    
 
FL-7   11/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOKERS RUN Oct16 Aug23 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 (buckley jonathan )BAEZ JOSE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  OUCH THAT HURT Sep20 Jul19 Jul04 Nov21 Oct31 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
3  BAYOU MELODY Oct09 Sep20 Aug23 Jul24 Jul04 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
4  SWEET INVASION Oct09 Sep26 Sep06 Aug14 Jul31 (acquilano jame)COA J 122 8.00    
5  MAKEAJOYFULNOISE Jul31 Jul19 Jul04 Jun19 Oct31 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
6  COUPS DE PARTY Sep20 Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 122 20.00    
SCR  SMART BROAD Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
8  BETTY'S SMILE Oct24 Oct09 May30 May09 Mar05 (grusmark)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
9  INVESTMENT GRADE Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 (morales)NAVARRO J 122 15.00    
10  TREATHERLIKESTAR Oct24 Oct10 Sep11 Aug21 Jul24 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  SWEET SHALLOTS Oct16 Sep18 Aug21 Aug08 Jul05 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.00    
12  KATERI EMPIRE Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep18 Aug29 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
 
FL-8   11/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL STORY Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 (torelli )DAVIS A 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
2  PRODUCTION CREDIT Oct25 Oct09 Aug29 Aug16 Aug08 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00 16% 5.40    
3  MASSEY HALL Oct25 Oct09 Sep26 Sep05 Aug21 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 6.00    
4  WAPITI WAY Oct19 Sep20 Aug30 Aug22 Aug08 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 10.00    
5  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Oct25 Oct03 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
6  MIAMI CHROME Oct25 Oct11 Sep20 Sep05 Aug28 (loaiza ilmar)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  HARRISON KNOWS Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 (morales)NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
8  MARGARITA SUNRISE Oct25 Oct03 Sep19 Sep04 Aug22 (tasso mark)COA J 124 15.00    
9  SMOKIN' ALONE Oct25 Oct17 Sep05 Aug16 Jul24 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 12.00    
10  MAGNIFICENT CHROME Oct25 Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 Jun20 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.