Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Saturday - November 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(8/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(8/7/1)-(1/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-2   WIN (8/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/1)-(8/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/1)-(8/7/1)-(8/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/1)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1)-(1/2/5)-(5/8/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(5/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(5/8/4/7)-(4/10/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-4   WIN (5/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/7)-(5/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/7)-(5/8/4/7)-(5/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/7)-(4/10/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/7)-(4/10/7/2)-(4/10/6/9/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DEL-5   WIN (4/10/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/7/2)-(4/10/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/7/2)-(4/10/7/2)-(4/10/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/10/7/2)-(4/10/6/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/10/7/2)-(4/10/6/9/7)-(2/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DEL-6   WIN (4/10/6/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/6/9/7)-(4/10/6/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/6/9/7)-(4/10/6/9/7)-(4/10/6/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/6/9/7)-(2/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/10/6/9/7)-(2/1/9)-(1/2/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-7   WIN (2/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/9)-(2/1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/9)-(2/1/9)-(2/1/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/9)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/9)-(1/2/5)-(3/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-8   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DEL-9   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   11/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TINY TIN Oct04 Sep20 Sep01 Aug17 Aug09 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 15.00    
SICILIA MIKE Oct27 Sep08 Aug26 Aug12 Jul27 (corrales jose)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 3.00 10% 9.30    
GIROLAMO'S ATTACK Oct20 Sep26 Aug26 Aug12 Jul04 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 5.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  GOODLUCKCHUCK Oct20 Oct06 Aug26 Aug20 Aug02 (lawrence james )GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
SCR  SECRETARY AT WAR Oct11 Aug25 Jul15 Jun04 Feb28 (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
AHSAD Oct18 Oct04 Sep27 Sep16 Sep01 (kirby t)CENTENO E 122 6.00    
OFFSHORE AFFAIR Oct07 Aug30 Aug10 Jul10 Jun20 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.00 44% 1.30    
DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Oct11 Sep29 Sep16 Aug31 Aug03 (simone micha)ARROYO S 124 6.00    
I AM THAT I AM Oct20 Sep20 Sep01 Aug02 Jul12 (williams a)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 10.00    
 
DEL-2   11/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK TIMBER Oct18 Aug27 Aug03 Jul13 Jun15 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 4.00 14% 6.40    
CREATIVE CLOUD Oct26 Oct13 Sep15 Aug26 Aug10 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 15.00    
BAZOO Oct04 Aug31 Aug05 Jul05 Jun15 (patterson kevin)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 5.00    
MY BEAU Aug23 Aug04 Jun15 Oct26 Sep16 (cronk f)CEDENO CAROL 117 15.00    
SCR  LOST IN NEWYORK Jul06 Jun17 May13 Mar02 Feb16 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00    
SCR  MISTER BANJOMAN Sep16 Aug26 Jul15 Jun02 Feb26 (robertson mc)ARROYO S 117 5.00    
REDEEM EDDIE Aug31 Aug04 May31 May05 Mar25 (simoff a)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 2.50 17% 5.00    
ARISTOCRATIC Oct06 Sep01 Jun17 May05 Apr20 (allen ferris)CENTENO E 121 3.50 42% 1.40    
 
DEL-3   11/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH ADAMS Sep03 Aug18 Jul22 Jun18 May27 (ward dan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00 59% 0.70    
LOOSE GOOSE Oct20 Sep26 Aug29 Aug12 Jul19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.00 14% 5.90    
KRUG Oct27 Sep30 Aug27 Aug10 Jul15 (capuano ph)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00    
RUNAWAY READY Oct20 Sep04 Aug09 Jul30 Jul16 (robertson mc)ARROYO S 122 8.00    
SAGRADA RAY Oct12 Sep15 Aug12 Jul14 Jun09 (capuano a)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
BROTHER BRAD Oct18 Sep16 Aug03 May31 Jul10 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 120 3.00    
PRALINE'S CAT Oct20 Sep16 Sep09 Aug16 Jul22 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 117 10.00    
 
DEL-4   11/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER ASH Oct14 Sep20 Sep06 Aug17 Jul20 (lucas bonnie)HIRALDO JOHN 125 6.00    
THE BEARRISH ONE Oct27 Oct18 Oct07 Aug04 Jul15 (simone mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
AWKWARD PAUSE Oct21 Sep20 May05 Apr19 Apr01 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 15.00    
STARSTREET Oct05 Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 May06 (rodriguez )MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00 16% 5.30    
EDWARD MADDEN Oct26 Sep20 Sep07 Aug23 Aug03 (arnold pamela)CENTENO E 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
NOTION TO TAPIT Oct20 Oct06 Sep20 Sep04 Aug23 (woodit josep)ARROYO S 123 3.00    
TOUCH CODE Sep20 Sep01 Aug16 Mar25 Mar10 (troxell kristin)MENA E 123 10.00 7% 13.20    
CALL ME MAESTRO Oct21 Oct05 Sep20 Aug23 Aug03 (nazario ped)ASTUDILLO FELIX 111 4.00 17% 5.00    
PAPA JIMMY Oct12 Sep28 Aug16 Jul15 Jun14 (wagner karin)CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00    
 
DEL-5   11/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPATERM Oct20 Sep29 Jul23 Jul15 Jun03 (gayle webs)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
STEELE MONEY Oct19 Aug10 May18 Apr16 Mar03 (sanchez-salo)ARROYO S 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
O T C WIZ Oct13 Jun02 Feb18 Jan13 Dec14 (russell bri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 6.00    
MEAN TWEETS Oct25 Oct06 Sep15 Sep06 Aug16 (posadas pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 10.00 25% 3.00    
KERANOS Oct20 Oct06 Sep20 Aug30 Aug12 (nazario ped)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 10.00    
SCR  SAAFEN Oct20 Oct06 Jul15 Jun01 Mar16 (rodriguez j)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 20.00    
SIDNEY'S BID Sep27 Aug30 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 5.00 18% 4.40    
CARICO Sep16 Aug19 Jul22 Apr30   (barboza vict)BATISTA A 117 5.00    
TUCKER ROAD Oct20 Oct06 Sep16 Aug02 Jul13 (sepulveda)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
10  CASEY'S LAW Oct04 Aug16 Jul20 Jun03 May13 (robertson mcle)EVANS CECILY 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  LOVE ME ARCHIE Sep15 Aug10 Jul19 Jul07 Apr08 (kelly blak)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 15.00    
 
DEL-6   11/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNT BY NUMBER Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Jul26 Mar15 (mcclellan erin )GOMEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
PLAYERA Oct20 Oct07 Sep20 Sep08 Jun30 (aguayo r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 125 8.00    
CHALK HILL Oct21 Oct06 Sep27 Jul26 Jun30 (ramirez jo)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 10.00    
CARTWHEEL Oct13 Aug09 Jul21 Jun24 Jun01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 4.50 28% 2.60    
PURRFECT MISTRESS Oct23 Sep20 Jul12 Jun18 May23 (perez ruperto)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 8.00    
MY BOSS LADY Oct06 Sep20 Aug19 Aug10 Jul15 (lawrence james )CENTENO E 123 3.50 9% 9.70    
CHLOE ROSE Oct21 Sep27 Sep02 Aug02 Jul19 (wagner karin)CEDENO CAROL 123 10.00 7% 12.90    
SQUARE PEG Oct25 Jul28 Jul14 Jun09   (lopez mario)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 114 15.00    
KIRBY Oct20 Oct07 Sep14 Sep02 Aug19 (neilson wa)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 5.00 9% 10.00    
10  EPICUREAN Oct25 Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 Jun23 (neilson wall)ARROYO S 121 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
DEL-7   11/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY VICTORY         (russell bri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by SKY MESA out of CAIRO CUTIE by CAIRO PRINCE)
ARCH STREET Sep08 Aug02       (matz r)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TEQUILITA by UNION RAGS)
MISS AMAZING Sep02         (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DYNAMIC DEPUTY by DEPUTY MINISTER)
WISE MISS         (robertson mcle)EVANS CECILY 119 10.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SKY WISE by SMARTY JONES)
NAMORA         (padilla-prec)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 12.00    
  (by IL VILLANO out of SPRINGINGINTHEREIN by SPRING AT LAST)
SCR  TRICK OF THE LIGHT         (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GUEST HOUSE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  BLUE EMBER         (compton greg)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of THIEVERY by CAT THIEF)
SHINING SPIRIT         (gorham michael )MENA E 119 8.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STREET TALK by STREET CRY (IRE))
CHA CHA CHUKKA Sep28         (rodriguez ru)ARROYO S 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
  (by KLIMT out of QUEEN OF SILENCE by TWIRLING CANDY)
 
DEL-8   11/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S HER TIME Oct04 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
BOSSYNESS Oct09 Sep20 Aug06 Jul12 Jul01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 4.00 23% 3.30    
MY MAGGIE MOO Oct04 Sep15 Jul15 May13 Apr23 (farro patricia)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00    
RECKLESS KELLY Oct08 Sep07 Aug04 Jan22 Jan01 (gorham michael )MENA E 117 6.00    
MAKEMEBELIEVE Oct04 Sep15 Jul22 May07 Feb23 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  PREPAREFORTAKEOFF Oct27 Oct08 Sep06 Jun23 Jun10 (elamri h)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 15.00    
HEYBACKATCHA Oct13 Aug16 Jul05 Nov08 Sep22 (bennett juanita)CENTENO E 120 12.00    
HUMOR SENSE Sep30 Jul21 Jul07 May05 Mar11 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 117 15.00    
 
DEL-9   11/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TOUGH DAME Oct21 Sep22 Sep04 Jul29 Jul08 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 122 8.00 10% 8.60    
BODACIOUS BREN Oct21 Sep30 Sep08 Dec11 Nov25 (hayford jennife)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
AVATAL HERO Oct11 Sep06 Aug03 Jul11 Jun05 (preciado gu)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00 39% 1.50    
THREE CARATS Oct18 Sep04 Aug06 Jul21 Sep17 (ward dan)CENTENO E 122 6.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  WILD ARMY BRAT Oct06 Aug04 Jun24 May25 Sep02 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 3.00    
SISTER SUPREAM Oct18 Sep06 Aug19 Jul27 Dec09 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 4.00    
MYSTIC STORM Oct21 Aug06 May14 Mar23 Feb10 (robertson mc)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.