Handicappers' Racing Form
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Charles Town
Thursday - November 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CT-1   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-2   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-3   Win (1/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-4   Win (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-5   Win (9/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-6   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-7   Win (2/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-8   Win (7/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CT-1   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCKDOWN VANNA Oct06 Aug26 Jun17 May25 Apr29 (locklear )NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 12.00    
2  OUR BREW Oct13 Sep15 Aug26 Aug03   (rawlings ama)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 2.50    
3  FAR MORE Oct13 Sep15 Aug04 Jun23 May12 (groves janice)BATISTA C 124 3.00 15% 5.60    
4  TAPTAP Oct25 Oct05 Sep18 Aug25 Aug12 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
5  KAALA Sep02         (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 2.00 13% 6.80    
6  PRINCESS MARGARET Oct13         (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
CT-2   11/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEFFERSON SECURITY Oct19 Aug19 May20 Apr22 Apr06 (grams c)REYNOLDS C 122 5.00    
2  ELEANORS JACK Oct19 Sep08 Aug17 Jun23 Apr14 (jackson angelo )RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00 32% 2.20    
3  JUBAY Oct05 Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (petty krist)BOCACHICA J 115 2.00    
4  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Oct19 Aug17 Aug05 Jul21 May11 (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 120 1.20    
5  HE'S ON THE LINE Oct19 May20 May14 Mar16   (racanelli j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00 11% 8.00    
6  BEAR'S ESTATE Oct16 Aug19 Jul08 Jun20 May20 (lane j)ADAMS L 113 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
CT-3   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Oct12 Sep16 Aug26 Aug11 Jun30 (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  ROBBIELIKESHIM Oct13         (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50    
3  RUDD'S ROCKET         (gillespie a)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
4  GOGO GADGET Sep16         (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
5  LOVE IS WICKED Oct14 Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 Jul21 (johnson dewa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 5% 17.30    
6  MR. DUMBLEDORE Oct13         (grams c)REYNOLDS C 122 6.00    
7  YES MY PRINCE Sep22         (mckee cynth)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
8  SARAH'S CANDY CAMP Oct13         (sigler g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  YACHTSMEN Oct12 Sep16       (runco c)BATISTA A 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
 
CT-4   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL EXPRESS Oct13 Sep29 Aug26 Jul30 Mar13 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
2  SKILLFUL Sep27 Sep11 Jul12 Jul04 Jun15 (jones micha)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00    
3  FOX RED Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 Jul18 Jul03 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 46% 1.20    
SCR  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Oct03 Jul05 Jun19 May31 Apr18 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 1.60    
5  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Sep01 Aug12 May20 May06 Apr27 (pennella m)ADAMS L 115 50.00    
6  FORT FORTITUDE Oct21 Sep14 Aug17 Aug05 Jun15 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00    
7  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Oct25 Aug12 Jul30 Jul14 Jul01 (penaloza miguel)SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   11/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL KAYLEE Sep21         (kopecki e)ARAUJO DENIS 120 20.00    
2  JLODIAMOND         (rangel ricardo)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MY LUCKY DEIA         (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  SIMPLY EVIL         (kopecki sara )ESQUILIN J 120 15.00    
5  LITTLEBOURBONGIRL         (grams timot)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 5.00    
6  GHOSTLY ANNA Oct22         (atkins william )BATISTA C 120 15.00    
7  POUR ME A DRINK         (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
8  SING ME TO SLEEP Oct12         (peltroche vanessa)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
9  MISS BEE BOP Oct12         (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
10  SWIPE THAT CANDY         (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
 
CT-6   11/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN GOOD TROUBLE Sep06 Aug13 Jul13 Jun20 Jun09 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  CHEROKEE CASTLE Sep07 Jul06 May19 Apr21 Apr15 (locklear )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 20% 4.10    
3  SHUTUPN'KISSME Oct05 Sep14 Jul27 Apr29 Mar23 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.40 28% 2.60    
4  GOT YOUR NUMBER Jul28 Jun15 May25 Feb10 Jan28 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 124 15.00    
5  LOLA FLO Oct21 Sep26 Sep06 Aug12 Jun22 (ginter raym)BETANCOURT R 120 5.00    
6  JUBA'S HOUSE Oct14 Sep21 Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 (boggs joann)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50    
7  MY SISTER CLURRIE Sep21 Aug31 Aug04 Jul01 Jun02 (williams l)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
 
CT-7   11/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMENDE CHARLIE Oct13         (mckee cynthia)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
2  ROYAL MAHOGANY Oct21 Sep15 Aug18 Jun17 Feb18 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
3  BALI'S SHADE Oct18 Sep01 Aug17 Jul12 Jun28 (murtaugh andrew)BATISTA C 120 20.00    
4  LION OF THE SEA Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jun17 Jun03 (grams c)MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DAN THE MAN CAN Sep21 Aug25 Aug10 Jun30 May19 (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 7% 13.70    
6  PURE NONSENSE Sep15 Aug26 Jul20 Jul07 May18 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 115 10.00    
7  THE ILLUSIONIST Sep28 Aug31 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 (kravets m)ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.00    
8  MYGIDGETMARIE Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 Jul29 Jul08 (huet terry )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 20.00    
 
CT-8   11/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I LOVE MARIA Oct26 Sep30 Sep13 Dec14 Nov23 (ovando melvin)VILLASMIL EDGAR 124 15.00    
2  HEY MACARENA Sep30 Jul22       (pennella m)ADAMS L 114 50.00    
3  LILY THE KID Oct25 Sep15 Aug27 Aug20 Jun09 (penaloza miguel)SIMPSON JASON 121 20.00    
SCR  LINDA'S TAJ Oct13 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 Jun22 (dollinger-sthr )RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00    
5  HERECOMESPUDD Sep06 Aug02 Jul13 Apr27 Jan14 (oxendine )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 50.00    
6  DASHING LASS Oct18 Sep21 Sep02 Aug11 Jul30 (shanley timot)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CREOLE Oct05 Aug24 Aug02 Jun15 May24 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 1.40 66% 0.50    
8  CHEYENNE SPRING Oct13         (malgarini t)MAWING A 124 30.00    
9  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Oct18 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 Jul22 (peltroche vanessa)PELTROCHE F 124 3.50 11% 8.30    
10  PLANET FROLIC Oct18 Sep29 Jun04 Apr15 Jan26 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.