Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - November 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(2/6/5)-(1/9/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(1/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(1/9/5/8)-(3/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/8)-(1/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/8)-(1/9/5/8)-(1/9/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/5/8)-(3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/5/8)-(3/1/7)-(9/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(9/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7)-(9/7/2)-(3/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/2)-(9/7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/7/2)-(9/7/3/2)-(9/7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/7/2)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/7/2)-(3/1/2)-(2/1/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(2/1/5/4)-(7/9/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/4)-(7/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/6)-(7/9/10/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/9/6)-(7/9/10/6)-(7/9/10/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCKDOWN VANNA Oct06 Aug26 Jun17 May25 Apr29 (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of FLUVANNA by GHOSTLY MINISTER)
2  OUR BREW Oct13 Sep15 Aug26 Aug03   (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 2.50    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of MISS BREW by GATTOPARDO)
3  FAR MORE Oct13 Sep15 Aug04 Jun23 May12 (groves janice)BATISTA C 124 3.00 15% 5.60    
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  TAPTAP Oct25 Oct05 Sep18 Aug25 Aug12 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of STEAL THE APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  KAALA Sep02         (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 2.00 13% 6.80    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
6  PRINCESS MARGARET Oct13         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
 
CT-2   11/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEFFERSON SECURITY Oct19 Aug19 May20 Apr22 Apr06 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 5.00    
2  ELEANORS JACK Oct19 Sep08 Aug17 Jun23 Apr14 (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00 32% 2.20    
3  JUBAY Oct05 Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 115 2.00    
4  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Oct19 Aug17 Aug05 Jul21 May11 (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 120 1.20    
5  HE'S ON THE LINE Oct19 May20 May14 Mar16   (racanelli mark)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00 11% 8.00    
6  BEAR'S ESTATE Oct16 Aug19 Jul08 Jun20 May20 (lane j)ADAMS L 113 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
CT-3   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Oct12 Sep16 Aug26 Aug11 Jun30 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by RACE DAY out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  ROBBIELIKESHIM Oct13         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of HARBIN ICE by FIRST DUDE)
3  RUDD'S ROCKET         (gillespie a)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of CLASSY DI by CHARITABLE MAN)
4  GOGO GADGET Sep16         (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of LITTLEMISSGOGO by WAR FRONT)
5  LOVE IS WICKED Oct14 Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 Jul21 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 5% 17.30    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  MR. DUMBLEDORE Oct13         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 6.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of ROCK N' GOLD by MEDALLIST)
7  YES MY PRINCE Sep22         (mckee cyn)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LONGWOOD LADY by IS IT TRUE)
8  SARAH'S CANDY CAMP Oct13         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of SARAH MELISSA by A. P. WARRIOR)
9  YACHTSMEN Oct12 Sep16       (runco c)BATISTA A 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of HELLUVA HUNCH by TAPIT)
 
CT-4   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL EXPRESS Oct13 Sep29 Aug26 Jul30 Mar13 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
2  SKILLFUL Sep27 Sep11 Jul12 Jul04 Jun15 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00    
3  FOX RED Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 Jul18 Jul03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 46% 1.20    
SCR  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Oct03 Jul05 Jun19 May31 Apr18 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 1.60    
5  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Sep01 Aug12 May20 May06 Apr27 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 50.00    
6  FORT FORTITUDE Oct21 Sep14 Aug17 Aug05 Jun15 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00    
7  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Oct25 Aug12 Jul30 Jul14 Jul01 (penaloza migu)SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   11/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL KAYLEE Sep21         (kopecki e)ARAUJO DENIS 120 20.00    
  (by GANDHI out of FIRST COLONY by PROUD CITIZEN)
2  JLODIAMOND         (rangel ricardo)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of HASTYPUDDINDIAMOND by CITISLIPPER)
3  MY LUCKY DEIA         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50 ★    
  (by LEA out of QUILT by TWILIGHT AGENDA)
SCR  SIMPLY EVIL         (kopecki sar)ESQUILIN J 120 15.00    
  (by GUNNERSIDE out of WITH CLASS by WITH DISTINCTION)
5  LITTLEBOURBONGIRL         (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 5.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of ROCK OF WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
6  GHOSTLY ANNA Oct22         (atkins willia)BATISTA C 120 15.00    
  (by GHOSTLY MINISTER out of ADDING ALPHA by EVEN THE SCORE)
7  POUR ME A DRINK         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by BULLSBAY out of INTOXICATING BELLE by STAY THIRSTY)
8  SING ME TO SLEEP Oct12         (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LUYU by INDIAN CHARLIE)
9  MISS BEE BOP Oct12         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of KENZIE by GRAYDAR)
10  SWIPE THAT CANDY         (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of SWIPE RIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
 
CT-6   11/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN GOOD TROUBLE Sep06 Aug13 Jul13 Jun20 Jun09 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  CHEROKEE CASTLE Sep07 Jul06 May19 Apr21 Apr15 (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 20% 4.10    
3  SHUTUPN'KISSME Oct05 Sep14 Jul27 Apr29 Mar23 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.40 28% 2.60    
4  GOT YOUR NUMBER Jul28 Jun15 May25 Feb10 Jan28 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 15.00    
5  LOLA FLO Oct21 Sep26 Sep06 Aug12 Jun22 (ginter ra)BETANCOURT R 120 5.00    
6  JUBA'S HOUSE Oct14 Sep21 Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50    
7  MY SISTER CLURRIE Sep21 Aug31 Aug04 Jul01 Jun02 (williams l)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
 
CT-7   11/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMENDE CHARLIE Oct13         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
2  ROYAL MAHOGANY Oct21 Sep15 Aug18 Jun17 Feb18 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
3  BALI'S SHADE Oct18 Sep01 Aug17 Jul12 Jun28 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 120 20.00    
4  LION OF THE SEA Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jun17 Jun03 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DAN THE MAN CAN Sep21 Aug25 Aug10 Jun30 May19 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 7% 13.70    
6  PURE NONSENSE Sep15 Aug26 Jul20 Jul07 May18 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 115 10.00    
7  THE ILLUSIONIST Sep28 Aug31 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 (kravets bruce )ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.00    
8  MYGIDGETMARIE Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 Jul29 Jul08 (huet terr)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 20.00    
 
CT-8   11/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I LOVE MARIA Oct26 Sep30 Sep13 Dec14 Nov23 (ovando melv)VILLASMIL EDGAR 124 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of OLGA PAYNE by E DUBAI)
2  HEY MACARENA Sep30 Jul22       (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 114 50.00    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of EXOTIC PRIDE by DESERT GOD)
3  LILY THE KID Oct25 Sep15 Aug27 Aug20 Jun09 (penaloza migu)SIMPSON JASON 121 20.00    
  (by ALI out of WAYTOOEASY by WILL'S WAY)
SCR  LINDA'S TAJ Oct13 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 Jun22 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of R B'S LINDA by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
5  HERECOMESPUDD Sep06 Aug02 Jul13 Apr27 Jan14 (oxendin)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 50.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of HARPETH by SADLER'S WELLS)
6  DASHING LASS Oct18 Sep21 Sep02 Aug11 Jul30 (shanley tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of DIBBLE DASH by JUMP START)
7  CREOLE Oct05 Aug24 Aug02 Jun15 May24 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 1.40 66% 0.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of LUTETIA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
8  CHEYENNE SPRING Oct13         (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 30.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of IT'S CLOSING TIME by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
9  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Oct18 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 Jul22 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 3.50 11% 8.30    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
10  PLANET FROLIC Oct18 Sep29 Jun04 Apr15 Jan26 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.50 ★    
  (by BLAME out of FROLIC TO THE WIRE by ROMAN RULER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.