Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - November 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(5/2/3)-(2/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/4/1)-(4/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(4/3/2)-(7/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(7/2)-(7/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/2)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(7/6/1)-(6/7/8/10/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(6/7/8/10/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(6/7/8/10/2)-(3/1/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/7/8/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/10/2)-(6/7/8/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/10/2)-(6/7/8/10/2)-(6/7/8/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/8/10/2)-(3/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'LLTAKECAREOFIT Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Aug11 Jun30 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 1.40    
2  NEVERPOPTHECORK Oct12 Sep07 Aug17 Jul15 Jun03 (petty kristy)ARAUJO DENIS 118 5.00    
3  JAZZ WITH DENIS Oct14 Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 6.00    
4  MAKIN' GOLD Oct21 Sep28 Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  HAZEDNCONFUSED Oct16 Sep15 Aug19 Jun16 May25 (lane j)CULLUM W 118 15.00 17% 4.80    
6  HARDLY EVER BETTER Oct21 Sep28 Sep08 Aug05 Aug19 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
CT-2   11/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN HERO Oct12 Sep10 Sep01 Jun09 May20 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
2  MOON OVER MONTANA Oct21 Sep21 Sep14 Aug26 May06 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
3  MR HOOVER Oct11 Sep21 Aug11 Jul14 Mar09 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 9% 9.60    
4  MAKE WAY Oct12 Sep21 Aug26 Aug04 Jul14 (barber donald )REYNOLDS C 122 30.00    
5  ROYAL CRUSADER Oct01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 Jun13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
6  CURLIN'S THRILL Oct12 Sep16 Aug10 Aug02 Jul12 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 115 5.00    
7  PRACTICALLY THERE Oct20 Oct05 Aug24 Jul29 Apr27 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 112 20.00    
 
CT-3   11/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUM CUP Sep01 Oct30 Oct16     (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 12.00 17% 4.80    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ONE ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
2  KASIMBA Oct20 Oct01 Sep04 Aug10 Jul09 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CLEVERNESS by STREET SENSE)
3  LUNAR MISSION Sep08 Jul22 May19 Sep29 Aug22 (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of JUST DESSERTS by OUTFLANKER)
4  TEMPESTIVO Aug11 Jul21 Jun16 May05 Apr13 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.80 21% 3.90    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of AFFEZIONAMENTE by FLATTER)
5  GETTIN SPICY Sep30 Sep07 Aug17 Jul28 Jul01 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 121 50.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of CEDAR'SGREATNOTION by GREAT NOTION)
6  KNOWWHATIMEAN Oct20         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BOURBON'S RECOLETA by NOT BOURBON)
7  FAST FORWARD Jul26 Jul06 May29 May08 Apr22 (bright derrick)CULLUM W 121 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
 
CT-4   11/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUE LOVES BARBADOS Oct19 Oct01 Aug04 Jul13 Jun09 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60    
2  SCOTTSDALE Oct06 Sep21 Sep02 Aug26 Aug05 (tobin l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MARTINKELLY Oct12 Sep22 Jul07 Jun20 May17 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
4  RAD PAISLEY Oct11 Sep04 Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
5  CLASSY AMERICAN Oct12 Sep21 Aug23 Jun20 Jun05 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 12.00    
6  FEARNOUGHT Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 Aug18 Jul27 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
 
CT-5   11/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW AGE BAD GIRL Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Mar11 Jan19 (hamlin e)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
2  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Oct19 Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ESSENTIAL MAGIC Oct19 Jun24 Jun10 May19   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.50 ★    
4  LIL BOUGIE Oct19 Aug29 Jul27 Jul01 Jun01 (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00 ★    
5  OFFICER CALLY Dec07 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 May21 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00    
6  XTENDED STREAK Oct19 Sep02 Aug12 Aug04 Jul14 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 5.00    
7  O K SMARTY PANTS         (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 1.80 73% 0.40    
8  SCARLET REBEL Sep23 Aug25 Aug12 Jul22   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
 
CT-6   11/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIANA RED Oct12 Sep29 Aug26 Aug05 May20 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00 21% 3.90    
2  CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Sep29 Aug18 Jul07 Jun24 Jun03 (schottr)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
3  CANTAKEITANYMORE Sep21 Aug04 Jul16 May05 Apr08 (keller christo)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
4  MAGNETRON Oct09 Sep26 Sep11 Aug30 Aug06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
5  LOKOYA ROAD Sep29 Aug11 Jul27 Jun23 Jun09 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
6  HONOR THE FLEET Oct20 Sep04 Aug11 Jul28 Jun19 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50 28% 2.50    
7  WHAT'S TO BLAME Sep29 Sep07 Aug10 Jul19 Jun19 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.00 29% 2.50    
 
CT-7   11/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Oct18 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
2  O'RIGSBY Oct18 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MY BUDDY DUANE Oct18 Sep22 Sep01     (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 111 10.00    
4  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Oct14 Sep15 Sep04 Aug18 Jul07 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
5  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Sep30 Sep14 Aug19 Aug03 Jul07 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00    
6  VAGABOND VIRGIN Oct18 Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 Jul22 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 56% 0.80    
7  SUMMONING DENIS Oct14 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul20 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 9% 10.00    
8  LEG UP Oct12 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 7% 12.50    
9  REY O REYES Sep15 Aug18 Jul21 Jun15 May18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
10  CHASE LIL ME Oct11 Sep07 Aug18 Jul07 Jun22 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GET OFF MY CLOUD Oct25 Oct07 Sep07 Aug03 Jul07 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   11/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST ASK ME Jul08 Jun17 Sep28 Sep07 Jun02 (williams sab)BATISTA A 124 15.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  JUNIPER GRACE Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 Nov24   (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 2.00    
3  BIT OF BLESSINGS Oct03 Sep18 Sep03 Aug25 Aug12 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 1.60 63% 0.60    
4  VIESTE Oct20 Oct06 Aug26 Aug04 Jul27 (tobin l)REYNOLDS C 121 12.00    
5  STORMI VANNA Sep15 Aug18 Feb24     (locklear james)CHILO MAXIMO 124 12.00    
6  MIRACLE SONDE Aug26 Jul08       (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 10.00    
7  LIME STAR Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 May11 Apr20 (conn linda )MCKENZIE CONNIE 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FANTASY FROST         (martinez josep)RIOS-CONDE A 121 8.00    
9  VERITAS LUX MEA Sep23 Sep02       (wilhelm tabitha)RODRIGUEZ V 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.