Handicappers' Racing Form

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Hawthorne
Sunday - September 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HAW-1   Win (7/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-2   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-3   Win (2/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-4   Win (1/5/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-5   Win (6/8/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-6   Win (2/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-7   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-8   Win (6/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
HAW-1   09/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKES CHANNEL Aug17 Jun29 May11 Feb03 Dec30 (rednour john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 30.00 5% 19.00    
PONCHO ATTACK Aug17 Jun07 Sep13 Aug16 Jul29 (childers vance)ORM CORY 124 20.00    
LONE RETURN Aug17 Aug06       (witthauer )RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
TEMPLE FOOL Jul29 Jul15       (essenpreis edw)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 6.00    
SMOOTH ATTACK Aug17 Jun14 May20 Apr13 Mar26 (childers va)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
HAWAIIAN HIDE AWAY         (young r)GILES EMMANUEL 115 5.00 12% 7.50    
J J'S SOLUTION Aug17 Aug06 Jul23 Jun29 Jun15 (rednour joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
FLYING CRICKET Aug17 Aug06 Jul30 Jul06 Jun07 (witthauer k)REYES FRANK 124 12.00    
 
HAW-2   09/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLURT Aug09 Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 May31 (rodriguez )RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.00    
GOLD BUCKLE Aug20 Aug09 Jun29 Jun01 May06 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
MEMPHIS PRAYER Aug20 Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 May25 (witthauer john)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50    
AVIANO Aug20 Jul23 May14 Apr27 Mar31 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
IOYA AGAIN Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 Jun11 May21 (cook brian)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
BIG BLUE Aug13 Jul26 Jul09 Jun11 Apr27 (hernandez javie)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 8% 10.80    
CAIRO SUMMER Aug10 Jul16 Jun25 Jun07 May25 (rosas rigo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 109 10.00    
 
HAW-3   09/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARRINGTON Aug27 Jul20 Jun29 May30 May14 (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 120 15.00    
QUICK AND DIRTY Jun20         (campbell joel)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00 28% 2.50    
LADY WHITE SOX Aug27 Aug10 Jul20 Jul11 Jun25 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 124 10.00    
LIMANI May12 Apr08 Feb10 Apr10 Feb13 (childers v)RODRIGUEZ A 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
IN OPEN COURT Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun13   (kendall eli)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
DEE DEE B Aug01 Jun30 May24 Apr28 Mar09 (reavis michael)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Aug24 Aug02 Jul23 Jul06 Jun21 (ramirez carl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00    
TEXAS PRINCESS Jul23 Jun29 Jun04 Mar30 Mar15 (cristel j)FELIX E 120 2.50 5% 18.20    
 
HAW-4   09/03/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 4:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAVEL         (rivelli la)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
JET FLIGHT Aug27         (perez manny)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
MAXIMUM COLOR         (robertson h)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 5.00 6% 15.70    
SCR  ROCK TO FAME Aug20         (divito p)GILES EMMANUEL 114 2.50    
LAST MINUTE         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 119 4.50 12% 7.10    
STEELER MISCHIEF         (gutierrez faust)HERNANDEZ K 119 6.00    
MALIBU BRAD         (robertson hug)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 8.00    
BANANA PLAN Aug20         (perez manny)REYES FRANK 119 30.00    
MIDTERM         (miller r)COLON H 119 12.00 6% 16.80    
 
HAW-5   09/03/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 5:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED MOSCATO Aug13         (lopez elias)WEATHERLY BAILEY 109 12.00    
BAXLEY         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 119 5.00    
KING ANTHONY         (hernandez a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 8.00    
MATRIX CODE         (perez manny)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
METRONOME Aug07         (harty eoin)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 6.00    
NEON DEION Aug20         (rivelli la)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
POND Aug13         (perez manny)REYES FRANK 119 20.00    
EXCITABLE BOY Aug13         (robertson hug)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 6.00 23% 3.30    
BERABERABERA         (robertson hug)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  QUEBRANCHO         (gutierrez faust)HERNANDEZ K 119 4.50 18% 4.70    
 
HAW-6   09/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRIL'S GEM Aug23 Jul30 Jul12 Jun11 May25 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
COMMAND POINT Aug23 Jul27 Jun18 Jun04 May18 (block chris)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
BLOODY MARY MORNIN Aug03 May29 Mar25 Mar04 Dec17 (reid r)COLON H 122 8.00 6% 14.70    
TAPERINEA Aug19 Jul27 Jun21 May29 Mar11 (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
PRANCIPANTS Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 Jul12 Jun18 (witthauer k)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
STACK SHACK Aug23 Dec04 Nov25 Nov13 Oct16 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
MIZZEN ASH Aug23 Jul27 Jun21 Jun06 May29 (granitz j)FELIX E 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
WAY TOO SMARTE Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 Jun21 Jun11 (pompell rob)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
 
HAW-7   09/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMARITA Aug03 Jul26 Jul12 Jun11 May31 (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.00 21% 3.90    
MISS WINDY SLEW Aug15 Jul25 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 (bahena fern)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Aug23 Jul26 Jun18 Jun08 May31 (rodriguez eduar)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
LONG TALL WOMAN Jul26 Jul15 Jun11 May31 May07 (hernandez a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  SEAWARD Aug16 Aug05 Jul26 Jun22 Jun11 (hernandez javier)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
STORMY EMPIRE Aug06 Jun01 May14 Apr23 Apr02 (kirby j)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00    
FIRST KITTEN Aug17 Jul26 Jul12 Jun11 May31 (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50 38% 1.70    
CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 May26 Mar12 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 8.00    
 
HAW-8   09/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDEA MAN Aug16 Aug02 Jul05 Jun18 May28 (reid r)COLON H 122 10.00    
GREELEYS ICE Aug10 Jul16 Jul05 Jun25 Jun14 (reyes martin)GILES EMMANUEL 117 30.00    
HONEST TO GOODNESS Apr16 Nov20 Nov06 Oct28 Sep23 (ramirez carl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 30.00    
FOLLOW THE SIGNS Jul30 Jul16 Jun14 May18 Apr23 (reavis michael)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 5% 18.00    
MALPAIS Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 Jun15 May25 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 12.00    
LYRICAL POET Aug02 Oct23 Sep14 Jul29 Apr21 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
D'ARCHER Aug06 Jul16 Jun18 May11 Apr06 (childers va)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXPROMPT (FR) Aug23 Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 Jul10 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00    
DRAGON DREW Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 Jun14 May28 (cook brian)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 4.50 11% 8.10    
10  AZRAEL Jul19 Jul05 Nov18 Oct22 Jul01 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.