Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - September 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (7/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/1)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/1)-(4/5/6)-(2/4/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(2/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(2/4/6/8)-(1/5/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (2/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/8)-(2/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/8)-(2/4/6/8)-(2/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/8)-(1/5/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/8)-(1/5/3/9)-(6/8/10/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-4   WIN (1/5/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/9)-(1/5/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/9)-(1/5/3/9)-(1/5/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/9)-(6/8/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/9)-(6/8/10/9)-(2/7/5/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/8/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/10/9)-(6/8/10/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/10/9)-(6/8/10/2/9)-(6/8/10/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/10/9)-(2/7/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/10/9)-(2/7/5/3)-(7/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (2/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/3)-(7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/3)-(7/4/1)-(6/9/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-7   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(6/9/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (6/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/7)-(6/9/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/7)-(6/9/4/7)-(6/9/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   09/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAKES CHANNEL Aug17 Jun29 May11 Feb03 Dec30 (rednour jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SETTLING IN by GREEN DESERT)
2  PONCHO ATTACK Aug17 Jun07 Sep13 Aug16 Jul29 (childers vance)ORM CORY 124 20.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MISS GIGI by CRIMSON CLASSIC)
3  LONE RETURN Aug17 Aug06       (witthaue)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SLIGO ROSE by SHORE BREEZE)
4  TEMPLE FOOL Jul29 Jul15       (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of DUEL FOOL by U S RANGER)
5  SMOOTH ATTACK Aug17 Jun14 May20 Apr13 Mar26 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MAGGIE BEE by BERNSTEIN)
6  HAWAIIAN HIDE AWAY         (young terry )GILES EMMANUEL 115 5.00 12% 7.50    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of HAWAIIAN CONCH by STROLL)
7  J J'S SOLUTION Aug17 Aug06 Jul23 Jun29 Jun15 (rednour j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
8  FLYING CRICKET Aug17 Aug06 Jul30 Jul06 Jun07 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 124 12.00    
  (by WEST RANGER out of FLYER'S FANTASY by EARLY FLYER)
 
HAW-2   09/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLURT Aug09 Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 May31 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.00    
2  GOLD BUCKLE Aug20 Aug09 Jun29 Jun01 May06 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
3  MEMPHIS PRAYER Aug20 Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 May25 (witthauer jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50    
4  AVIANO Aug20 Jul23 May14 Apr27 Mar31 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
5  IOYA AGAIN Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 Jun11 May21 (cook bria)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
6  BIG BLUE Aug13 Jul26 Jul09 Jun11 Apr27 (hernandez jav)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 8% 10.80    
7  CAIRO SUMMER Aug10 Jul16 Jun25 Jun07 May25 (rosas rigo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 109 10.00    
 
HAW-3   09/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARRINGTON Aug27 Jul20 Jun29 May30 May14 (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 120 15.00    
2  QUICK AND DIRTY Jun20         (campbell jo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00 28% 2.50    
3  LADY WHITE SOX Aug27 Aug10 Jul20 Jul11 Jun25 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 124 10.00    
4  LIMANI May12 Apr08 Feb10 Apr10 Feb13 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
5  IN OPEN COURT Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun13   (kendall e)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
6  DEE DEE B Aug01 Jun30 May24 Apr28 Mar09 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
7  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Aug24 Aug02 Jul23 Jul06 Jun21 (ramirez ca)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00    
8  TEXAS PRINCESS Jul23 Jun29 Jun04 Mar30 Mar15 (cristel j)FELIX E 120 2.50 5% 18.20    
 
HAW-4   09/03/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAVEL         (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONQUERING by WAR FRONT)
2  JET FLIGHT Aug27         (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
  (by ACHIKULAK out of KALUGA by UNCLE MO)
3  MAXIMUM COLOR         (robertson)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 5.00 6% 15.70    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COLORFUL IMAGE by READY'S IMAGE)
SCR  ROCK TO FAME Aug20         (divito james)GILES EMMANUEL 114 2.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ROSE TO FAME by GEMOLOGIST)
5  LAST MINUTE         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 119 4.50 12% 7.10    
  (by THE FACTOR out of IMPROV by FLY SO FREE)
6  STEELER MISCHIEF         (gutierrez fau)HERNANDEZ K 119 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of HEART UNION by DIXIE UNION)
7  MALIBU BRAD         (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SHE'S A RAINBOW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  BANANA PLAN Aug20         (perez manny)REYES FRANK 119 30.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MONTANA NATIVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
9  MIDTERM         (miller r)COLON H 119 12.00 6% 16.80    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BETRUETOYOURSCHOOL by SILVER TREE)
 
HAW-5   09/03/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED MOSCATO Aug13         (lopez elia)WEATHERLY BAILEY 109 12.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of EMMA'S SMIDDY by CONCORD POINT)
2  BAXLEY         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 119 5.00 ★    
  (by KLIMT out of CURLAMOROUS by CURLIN)
3  KING ANTHONY         (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of GEM GEM by TAPIT)
4  MATRIX CODE         (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of AWESTRUCK by TAPIT)
5  METRONOME Aug07         (harty eoin)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of WIDGET by STREET CRY)
6  NEON DEION Aug20         (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of HIGH STEP ARCH by ARCH)
7  POND Aug13         (perez manny)REYES FRANK 119 20.00    
  (by FROSTED out of DIVINE RULE by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  EXCITABLE BOY Aug13         (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by LAOBAN out of ANNA'S ANGEL by RAISED SOCIALLY)
9  BERABERABERA         (robertson h)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of PROUD MOVER by PROUD CITIZEN)
10  QUEBRANCHO         (gutierrez fau)HERNANDEZ K 119 4.50 18% 4.70    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of OCEAN BERTIE by POSSE)
 
HAW-6   09/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRIL'S GEM Aug23 Jul30 Jul12 Jun11 May25 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
2  COMMAND POINT Aug23 Jul27 Jun18 Jun04 May18 (block chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
3  BLOODY MARY MORNIN Aug03 May29 Mar25 Mar04 Dec17 (reid r)COLON H 122 8.00 6% 14.70    
4  TAPERINEA Aug19 Jul27 Jun21 May29 Mar11 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
5  PRANCIPANTS Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 Jul12 Jun18 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
6  STACK SHACK Aug23 Dec04 Nov25 Nov13 Oct16 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
7  MIZZEN ASH Aug23 Jul27 Jun21 Jun06 May29 (granitz j)FELIX E 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
8  WAY TOO SMARTE Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 Jun21 Jun11 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
 
HAW-7   09/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMARITA Aug03 Jul26 Jul12 Jun11 May31 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.00 21% 3.90    
2  MISS WINDY SLEW Aug15 Jul25 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 (bahena fe)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
3  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Aug23 Jul26 Jun18 Jun08 May31 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
4  LONG TALL WOMAN Jul26 Jul15 Jun11 May31 May07 (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  SEAWARD Aug16 Aug05 Jul26 Jun22 Jun11 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
6  STORMY EMPIRE Aug06 Jun01 May14 Apr23 Apr02 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00    
7  FIRST KITTEN Aug17 Jul26 Jul12 Jun11 May31 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50 38% 1.70    
8  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 May26 Mar12 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 8.00    
 
HAW-8   09/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDEA MAN Aug16 Aug02 Jul05 Jun18 May28 (reid r)COLON H 122 10.00    
2  GREELEYS ICE Aug10 Jul16 Jul05 Jun25 Jun14 (reyes martin)GILES EMMANUEL 117 30.00    
3  HONEST TO GOODNESS Apr16 Nov20 Nov06 Oct28 Sep23 (ramirez ca)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 30.00    
4  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Jul30 Jul16 Jun14 May18 Apr23 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 5% 18.00    
5  MALPAIS Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 Jun15 May25 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 12.00    
6  LYRICAL POET Aug02 Oct23 Sep14 Jul29 Apr21 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
7  D'ARCHER Aug06 Jul16 Jun18 May11 Apr06 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXPROMPT (FR) Aug23 Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 Jul10 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00    
9  DRAGON DREW Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 Jun14 May28 (cook bria)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 4.50 11% 8.10    
10  AZRAEL Jul19 Jul05 Nov18 Oct22 Jul01 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.