Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - August 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(1/8/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(1/8/6)-(1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(1/3)-(6/5/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(6/5/2/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(6/5/2/7)-(5/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/2/7)-(5/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/7)-(5/3/8)-(5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-5   WIN (5/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8)-(5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/8)-(5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8)-(5/3)-(1/12/10/5/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/12/10/5/8) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/12/10/5/8)-(11/3/6/10/9) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/12/10/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/12/10/5/8)-(1/12/10/5/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/12/10/5/8)-(1/12/10/5/8)-(1/12/10/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/12/10/5/8)-(11/3/6/10/9) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
PID-8   WIN (11/3/6/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/6/10/9)-(11/3/6/10/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (11/3/6/10/9)-(11/3/6/10/9)-(11/3/6/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKING FOR LOVE Aug14 Jul10 Jun07 May23 Oct24 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 6.00    
2  DOWN TO EARTH Aug09 Aug02 Jul12 Jun13 May16 (ruberto )GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
3  SONG OF INDY Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 Jun07 Oct24 (rogers mic)AYALA J 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
4  WILD LOOKER Aug09 Jul19 Jun19 Nov21 Nov08 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
5  PROPER MANNERS Aug02 Jul17 Jul04 Jun14 May22 (potts g)ALLEN D 124 1.80 27% 2.80    
6  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jun26 Jun19 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
PID-2   08/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPTY ENVELOPE Aug14 Jul17 Jun21 Jun13 May17 (rice kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 112 5.00 42% 1.40    
2  BABY BLUE Aug15 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 May30 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 12.00    
3  TEST YOUR FAITH Aug14 Jul19 Jul09 Jun21 May29 (wade justin)FOX CHRIS 124 20.00    
4  CEREAL I D Aug15 Jul11 Jun19 May30 Apr26 (miller d)WALES GARY 124 8.00    
5  BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE Jul31 Jul11 Jun20 Jun13 May16 (clarke dyl)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 4.00    
6  DERBY DAY GOLD         (martin n)RIQUELME J 124 10.00 10% 8.60    
7  MULSANNE (IRE) Aug14 Jul31 Jul12 Sep15 Aug27 (hendriks)GALLARDO A null      
8  HOLY SKULL Jul30 Jul07 Jun25 Apr22   (bennett geral)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 13% 6.50    
 
PID-3   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR'S MISS Jul24 Jun22 May25 May12 Apr26 (girten t)GALLARDO A 117 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  MO NIGHEAN DONN Jul26 Jun20 May15 Nov21 Nov01 (tasso mark)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
3  FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Aug04 Jul14 Jun02 Apr14 Feb18 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 117 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  LORI'S EYES Aug14 Jul01 Jun03 Apr21 Apr14 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
5  LIGHTNING FIRE Aug08 Dec29 Nov30 Oct06 Sep22 (martin wil)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00    
6  RAINAS ROLLIN Aug10 Aug01 Jul24 Jun27 Jun06 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.00    
 
PID-4   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEATHER'S GOLD Aug14 Jul12 Jun20 May15 Nov20 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50    
2  POLLOCK Dec17 Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 Aug30 (guciardo john)ALLEN D 124 8.00 15% 5.60    
3  LEBASI Aug01 Jul19 Oct13 Sep20 Sep14 (grace john)AYALA J 124 12.00    
4  KUMAR Aug17 Aug02 Jun26 Jun11 Apr21 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 8.00    
5  K'S LITTLE BILL Aug14 Oct26 Oct12 Sep13 Aug01 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
6  JARETH Aug14 Jul26 Jul12 Jun20 Jun05 (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  BALTIC FLEET Aug22 Jun11 Jun04 May14 May02 (gomez alejandro)WALES GARY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  KICKS ON SIXTY SIX Aug08 Jul26 Jul19 Jun20 Oct13 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 124 3.50    
 
PID-5   08/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORBOTHOR Aug22 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 Jun20 (roman ma)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
2  ORAZIO Aug10 Jul11 Jun27 May31 May23 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 12.00    
3  SIDE TRACKED Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 Jul04 Jun13 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
4  TEXAS GANO Aug15 Jul19 Jun27 May25 Mar09 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 5.00    
5  FLAWLESS BOURBON Jul31 Jul18 Jun21 Nov23 Oct25 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
6  REGAL SPEAKER Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 Jun12 May16 (rogers mich)MORALES PABLO 124 3.00    
SCR  SURF AND TURF Aug15 Jul20 Jun26 Jun06 May10 (winters mic)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 8.00    
8  BATTLE CREEK Aug15 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-6   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME FOR AN ANGEL Aug10 Jul10 Jun19 May19 Sep11 (bourke john)STANLEY O 119 6.00    
SCR  POSH PLAYDAY Jun26 Mar24 Jan14 Oct06 Sep14 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 8.00    
3  HALF BIRTHDAY Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 Jun06 Oct18 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  WILD DELIGHT Aug16 Jul24 Jun21 Jul20 May02 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00    
5  NIGHT CAP May28 Mar24 Feb18 Jan14 Jun07 (bennett geral)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 30% 2.30    
6  DANA'S BEAUTY Aug08 Jul11 Jun19 May22 Oct26 (rogers j)GALLARDO A 122 3.50    
 
PID-7   08/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET EVEN Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 Jun12 May15 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Aug09 Jul04 Jun12 May30 May17 (rice kevin)AYALA J 117 3.50    
3  AMERICA'S GUEST Aug10 Jul24 Jul10 Jul04 Jun14 (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 117 8.00    
SCR  WILLIE WANDO Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun07 May17 (pappada michael )MARTINEZ W 117 12.00    
5  TRAPPEZOID Aug15 Jul31 May20 Apr05 Mar19 (guciardo john)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  LAST COOKIE Aug15 Jul26 Jul10 Jun24 Jun05 (urieta johanna)SPIETH S 117 15.00    
7  TEMPUS Aug08 Jul15 May23 Oct13 Oct04 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 10.00    
8  GREY INVASION Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 May31 May15 (lecesse micha)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  COLONEL POPPY Aug07 Jul10 Jun27 Jun05 May15 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 117 12.00    
10  HEY PADRE Aug09 Jul05 Oct20 Sep29 Sep03 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 5% 17.90    
11  VAN Aug09 Aug02 Jul19 Jul04 Jun12 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 6.00    
12  E MINOR Aug09 Jul19 Jun26 Jan28 Jan07 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 117 3.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  BASSANIO (GB) Aug02 Jun25 May31 Apr15 Mar22 (delacour)GALLARDO A null      
 
PID-8   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS JONES Feb10 Jan25       (miller d)ALLEN D 119 15.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of QUEEN OFTHE CASTLE by DONERAILE COURT)
2  OVERTIME CHARLIE Aug07         (depasquale kimb)STANLEY O 119 6.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of OVERTIME GOAL by CITY PLACE)
3  HUMBLE JOE Aug07         (white f)RIQUELME J 119 5.00 16% 5.30    
  (by AMIRA'S PRINCE out of ROYALLY SWEET by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
4  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Jul13 Jun22       (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 12.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of EASY WAY OUT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  MR. REDOLFO Mar03 Feb16 Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 (weaver cas)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 10.00    
  (by RED VINE out of PRINCESS GANDOLFO by CASTLE GANDOLFO)
6  CALL ME NOW Aug07         (girten tim)AYALA J 119 4.00 7% 14.10    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of CALL ME SWIFT by BERNARDINI)
SCR  HURRICANES ABLOWIN         (winters mic)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 15.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of BAD MOON RISING by MALIBU MOON)
8  CHIEF CRAZY MOON Aug07 Jul18 Jul03     (russell randall)ALLEN M 119 15.00    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of SEPTEMBERSHALFMOON by MISNOMER)
9  GRUIT Aug07 Jul18       (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 124 15.00 6% 15.10    
  (by EQUALITY out of MYSTERY DATE by DEHERE)
10  DONAHUE Jul03         (reust megan)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 6% 15.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of GADWALL by ESKENDEREYA)
11  REELED IN Apr23 Apr08 Mar11 Oct29 Oct13 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by DIALED IN out of GRACIE'S WAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.