Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Friday - August 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/6)-(8/5/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/6)-(8/5/9/6)-(8/5/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (2/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-5   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-7   WIN (9/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/2/3)-(9/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/2/3)-(9/7/2/3)-(9/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (8/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/6)-(8/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/6)-(8/4/2/6)-(8/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   08/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWIRLING EXPRESS Aug13 Jul28 Jun30 May20 Apr23 (martin ramon)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 3.50 7% 13.90    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RUTHVILLE by AFLEET ALEX)
CALIBRACHOAMATTERS Jul14         (came)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 6.00    
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of KATRINA'S FURY by INCLUDE)
GABAGOOL Jun10         (margotta anthony)JUAREZ NIK 118 10.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of KENTUCKY WHISPER by SOUTHERN HALO)
SCR  EGYPTIAN QUEST Jul14         (crook-de)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of EGYPTIAN MAGIC by ESKENDEREYA)
TATUM Aug02 Jun21 May14 May03 Mar28 (servis c)RENDON JAIRO 118 10.00 15% 5.70    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CROON by INDIAN CHARLIE)
NO QUIT Jun11         (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of BLUSHING JUSTINE by JUSTIN PHILLIP)
SCR  CLASSIC PERFORMER Aug18 Jul08 Jun11 May27   (camejo m)CAMACHO SAMY 113 3.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HIGH PERFORMER by CANDY RIDE)
ITALIAN SYMPHONY Jul14 Jun06 May17     (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of POWER OF SNUNNER by POWER BY FAR)
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Aug05 Jul14 Jun11 May21 Apr14 (potts wayne)IORIO MELISSA 111 3.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of STRIKE FIRST by SMART STRIKE)
 
MTH-2   08/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS OMAHA Jul09         (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
FAMILY GAL Aug05 Jul14 May25 May05   (gonzalez)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00    
SCR  MONEYSLOT         (avil)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
R FASHIONABLY LATE Jul29 Jul14       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
GRACE REFORMED         (catalano l)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 12.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  FOREST FUEL         (ward dan)OLVER MADISON 111 3.50 34% 1.90    
LISA'S PALACE Jul19         (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
RAICHU Jul20 Jun02       (avila c)BATISTA A 118 3.00    
 
MTH-3   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACELOVENKARMA Jul30 Jul16 Nov25 Oct04 Aug02 (ward dan)RIVERA R 119 3.50 13% 6.60    
NINJA ABARRIO Jul23 Jan13 Dec26 Dec08 Nov19 (perez car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN Jul12 Jun13 Mar21 Feb08 Dec12 (catalano l)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00    
SCR  PARISIAN VIBE Aug11 Jun30 Jun24 Jun09 May27 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.00 14% 5.90    
STARSHIP REINA Jul30 Jul01 Jun14 May27 May12 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00    
TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE Aug19 Jul23 Jul16 Jul01 May19 (king clarence)IORIO MELISSA 113 20.00    
KASHAN Jul23 Jul01 Jun10 Apr01 Jan20 (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50 9% 9.80    
NOTHINS FREE Jun02 Mar28 Feb14 Jan24 Jan09 (pino michae)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 6.00 7% 13.20    
 
MTH-4   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY JAMES Aug05 Sep18       (frangella )ROWLAND MADELINE 118 30.00    
LIOTTA Aug12 Jul23 Jul01 Jun04 Feb18 (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 118 2.50    
KEEP DEM TALKING Aug13 Jul23 Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 (king clarence)IORIO MELISSA 111 6.00    
DR. ROGER         (avila c)BATISTA A 123 4.00 61% 0.60    
WEST STAR Aug05 Jun11 May05 Apr16 Mar18 (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00 16% 5.10    
LITERUN Jul23 Jun18 May21     (came)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 8.00    
CIRO THE BOSS Aug13 Jul30 Sep18     (frangella )RIVERA R 113 20.00    
M B'S MUNNING Aug13 Nov11       (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
NEW JERSEY HEIST Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 May21 Sep05 (margotta anthony)FERRER C 118 10.00    
 
MTH-5   08/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIFE ON THE NILE Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 May21 Mar23 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 123 3.00 54% 0.90    
THAT SUN OF A GUN Jul14 Jun10 May14 Oct29 Sep18 (mcburney)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
INTERSTELLAR Aug11 Apr08 Dec10     (breen kel)VARGAS A 118 3.50 14% 6.10    
BEAR'S CORRECT May26 May14 Apr16 Mar26 Mar03 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 111 20.00    
SCR  EDITOR'S CHOICE Jul14 Jun03 May21 Nov13 Sep30 (cash russell )MARTIN MATTIE 111 5.00    
EQUALJUSTICEFORALL Jul14 Jun11 May27 Nov10 Oct14 (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 123 6.00    
AMERICAN DAY Jul14 Jun11 May14 Mar14 Oct14 (potts wayne)RENDON JAIRO 123 4.50 8% 12.30    
SCR  WHENLOVETAKESOVER Jul07 Jun03 Apr13 Mar04 Feb11 (lakeman andrew)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
MOMENT AT SEA Jul15 Jun28 May30 Sep27   (foglia ant)RIVERA R 113 30.00    
 
MTH-6   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETITGOTOVOICEMAIL Jul14 Feb09 Jan01 Oct28   (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 117 5.00    
MADELINE'S GROGU Jul14 Jun09 May27 Mar30 Mar08 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 4.00 9% 10.60    
TURN ON THE CHARM Jul29 Jul14 Jun25 May27 Mar29 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 110 2.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  PROUD MULE Aug11 Jul14 Jun25 Jun02 May13 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
SISTREN Jul08 Jun25 May27 Apr29 Mar29 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  OSCAR GAZE Jul14 Jun25 May14 Apr29 Apr15 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 117 12.00    
RAW POWER Jul22 Jun30 Jun18 Sep10 Aug21 (spina charles)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
 
MTH-7   08/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRINDISI Jul23 Jul03 May23 May09 Apr03 (gomez pompeyo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
KABOD Jul21 Mar26 Feb27     (gonzalez oscar )OLIVERO A 121 10.00 7% 12.90    
SOUPER ROYAL MOON Aug18 Jul28 Apr21 Apr08 Mar18 (perez carl)RIVERA R 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GONNA BE EPIC Jul23 Jul08 Jul08 Apr30 Apr03 (ortega le)RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00 9% 9.90    
MAJOR CAM Aug04 Jun09 May16 Apr10 Mar08 (martin ramon )OLVER MADISON 112 20.00    
SCR  FOOD BANK HELPER Jul30 Jul08 May28 Apr28 Mar22 (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 121 5.00 6% 15.90    
TITLE SHOT Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 Jun16 May14 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  SHIMMERING LEROID Aug04 Jul08 May29 Apr22 Apr02 (dini mike)FERRER C 121 6.00 8% 11.20    
MORE THAN WORK Aug10 Jul14 Jul01 Jun04 May21 (crook-de)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
MTH-8   08/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIPANDAPUTT Aug04         (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
JESUS' DREAM         (servis tyler)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00 7% 13.40    
RUNNING LUCKY Aug04 Jul16       (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 116 20.00    
PEACE NOT WAR Jul16 Jul02       (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 27% 2.80    
DR SCHUSTER Aug06 Jun23       (avila c)BATISTA A 118 4.00    
DARK VICTORY Aug12 Jul23 Jul01 Jun03   (spina ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
REAL SENSATION Aug06 Jul16       (sacco greg)RIVERA R 113 5.00    
CATALINA KID Aug04         (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.