Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(5/3)-(1/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(6/1/2)-(7/1/5/4/2) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-7   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(7/1/5/4/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-8   WIN (7/1/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/4/2)-(7/1/5/4/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/4/2)-(7/1/5/4/2)-(7/1/5/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   08/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY NOGUEZ Aug13 Jul18 Jul03 May09 Mar08 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 4.00    
BELLE BREZING Jul19 Jul12 Jul02 Jun21 May30 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
SCR  VINTAGE SPARKLE Jul19 Jul05 Jun26 Jun05 May23 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 5.00    
SCR  WHO U GONNA CALL Aug02 May04 Nov02 Sep02   (gotera c)TOLEDO S 120 10.00    
CURIOSITY KILLS Aug08 Jul11 Jun13 Jun05 May16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00    
KITTEN BY THE SEA Aug09 Aug01 Jul09 Jun25 May30 (blankenship)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 22% 3.60    
ADULTING May02 Mar29 Oct03 Sep07 Aug24 (gotera carlo)BAEZ JOSE 120 12.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  SHES THE NORTH Aug09 Aug01 Jul02 May18 Apr22 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00    
 
MNR-2   08/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TURESKIS Jul26 Apr23 Mar25 Mar04 Dec09 (wolfe greg)LEON A 119 12.00    
ZERO FOR CONDUCT Jul26 Jul12 Jul03 May30 May21 (withero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
DEVILS RED Aug06 Jun30 Jun15 May13 Apr26 (jenkins a)PAUCAR E 116 1.60 42% 1.40    
SCR  VELOCIMO Jul18 May30 May21 Apr19 Mar17 (sharp marc )STEINEMAN JAMES 106 12.00    
HARTEL Aug02 Jul26 Jul10 May30 May21 (sipp burton)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 5.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  QUANTUM THEORY Jul16 Jul10 Jun05 Apr02 Mar10 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50    
SCR  WILD WINE Jul05 Jun21 May30 Oct11 Aug15 (pizzur)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
CHEEKY CHAPS Aug02 May30 Dec13 Nov07 Oct11 (sipp burton )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
 
MNR-3   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRACE ESTATE Jul24 Jun01 May20 Apr20 Mar23 (ewell sr)LEON A 123 8.00    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of RUNNING A TRACE by STAR TRACE)
PORTIA'S HOPE Aug07 Jul24 Jun25 Jun06   (dixon geoffr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 1.20    
  (by BALLADO'S GOLD out of LEGENDARY RIDGE by CACTUS RIDGE)
S S CASINO GIRL Jun17 May25 May04 Apr07 Mar23 (cain cr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 4.00 5% 18.30    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of SANDMAN'S GIRL by MONTBROOK)
SCR  S S COSMOPOLITAN         (jimenez mig)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 10.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of SMART TRADE by SMART STRIKE)
D'FUNNY GIRL         (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 116 3.50 65% 0.50    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of CANADIAN QUEEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
BABY BONNIE Aug09 Jul16 May29 May21 Dec13 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 116 5.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of EXECUTIVE BONNIE by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
 
MNR-4   08/20/2023 1320ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REJUVENATE Jul12 Dec05 Nov22 Nov09 Oct17 (larue steve)OLIVEROS CHARLE 127 1.40 44% 1.30    
SOMERSET BAY Jul12 Jun18 May15 Nov08 Oct14 (stanoszek s)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 20.00    
PERFECT GENTLEMAN Jul12 May29 May14 Dec05 Nov22 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 127 2.00 17% 4.80    
FREE SPEECH Aug08 Jul12 Jun13 May21 May01 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  AVENIDA MANANA Aug09 Aug01 Jul17 Jul09 Jun25 (larue ste)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 30.00    
SKYLAS GOLD Jul12 May29 May14 Dec05 Nov22 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 125 4.50    
 
MNR-5   08/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEAN THE HAMMER Aug09 Jul27 Jul21 Jun18 Apr21 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
VASY SAYS NYET Aug02 Jul16 Jul02 Jun19 Jun05 (hebert juli)STEINEMAN JAMES 106 8.00    
VERRAZANO LEGACY Jul17 Jul03 Jun13 May23 Dec06 (sanders melinda)DAVILA M 120 30.00    
CAJUN BAYOU Jul30 Jul05 Jun19 Apr03 Mar20 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
PITMAN Jun20 May21 May01 Nov30 Oct11 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 10.00    
SCR  PRIMETIME JET Jul14 May26 Apr21 Apr01 Mar10 (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.40    
FIFTY PESOS Jun25 May29 May21 May07 May01 (silva pabl)LEON A 116 8.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  BRAVE HILARIO Mar11 Feb11 Feb03 Jan27 Dec31 (stansbury julie)PAUCAR E 120 20.00    
 
MNR-6   08/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TREAT Aug04 Jul16 Jul02 Nov04 Sep09 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
FIRST IMPRESSION Jun13 May16 May02 Feb18 Jan31 (wolfe greg)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
HIALEAH HOTTIE Jul09 Jun09 May12 Mar26 Jan29 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 6.00    
SCR  GORMLEYESQUE Jul26 Jul10 May12 May02 Apr19 (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
SCR  BRODY'S JESSICA Aug08 Jul24 Jul02 Jun13 Apr16 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 5.00    
WICKED LUNA May10 Mar11       (smith fra)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00 23% 3.40    
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Jul26 Jul04 Jun20 May10 Apr25 (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  BALLYKEEN Aug01 Jul23 Jun20 May28 May07 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
 
MNR-7   08/20/2023 1320ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE MISS CAT Jul11 Jun13 May28 Apr30 Oct12 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.00 17% 4.90    
TEL AVIV Jul11 Dec14 Oct26 Sep26 Aug14 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 129 2.50 15% 5.50    
CAN SHE SCOOT Jul11 Jun13 May29 May14 Dec14 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 127 5.00    
MS HEADLEY Aug01 Jul11 Jun18 Jun04 May05 (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 10.00    
RED ROCKET GIRL Jul11 Jun13 Apr30 Dec12 Nov30 (norris step)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00    
PROMINENT HENNY Jul11 Jun13 May14 Jan18 Dec14 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 127 3.00 41% 1.50    
 
MNR-8   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOATSWAIN Jul10 Jun13 May15 May01 Dec27 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
COLOMBARD Jul25 May22 May02 Jan23 Jan03 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
RUM ON THE ROCKS Aug02 Jul10 Jun20 Nov29 Oct09 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00    
CZECHMIGHT Jul26 Jul09 Jun26 Jun11 May29 (wolfe greg)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 7% 13.60    
LAUTREC Jul31 Jul16 Jun21 Feb08 Jan26 (walker ch)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
BULLION Aug13 Jul25 Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 (montano wilfri)JURADO EDDIE 120 30.00    
HONOR LIFE Jul11 Jun05 May22 Feb09 Dec12 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 May30 May15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 4.50    
SAVAGE NATION Jul24 Jul12 May01 Apr03 Mar13 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 5.00    
10  MACHINIST Aug09 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (bell brenda)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.