Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - July 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (6/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/3/2)-(1/4/6/5/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-2   WIN (1/4/6/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/5/7)-(1/4/6/5/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/5/7)-(1/4/6/5/7)-(1/4/6/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (1/4/6/5/7)-(5/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/5/7)-(5/3/6)-(2/5/7/1) 60 $2.00 $120 
MNR-3   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/5/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (2/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/7/1)-(5/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(5/1/6/7)-(4/1/8/5) 32 $2.00 $64.00 
MNR-7   WIN (5/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/6/7)-(4/1/8/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (4/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   07/26/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLEDSELECTION Jul03 Jun19 Oct09 Sep14 Aug15 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.50    
MASKED Oct24 Oct09 Jun28 Jun21 Jun08 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOTTAGETITBACK Jul02 Jun13 May28 May16 May01 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 14% 5.90    
FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 Jun06 May28 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
CZECHMIGHT Jul09 Jun26 Jun11 May29 Mar04 (crago t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00    
SPEEDY MOONLITE Jun27 Jun13 May12 Mar29 Feb23 (albrig)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
JULIE'S FERRARI Jul02 Jun06 May23 May09 Apr11 (welsh r)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
SCR  CON ON THE RUN Jun27 May21 Apr30 Jan18 Dec28 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 2.50    
 
MNR-2   07/26/2023 4620ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTTON BOX Jun19 Aug22 Aug14 Jul27 Jul11 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
HARTEL Jul10 May30 May21 Aug02 Jun21 (sipp k)LEON A 120 8.00    
SCR  LIGHT CRUISER Mar07 Feb25 Feb09 Jan30 Jan07 (crago t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00    
AMICUS BRIEF Jul11 Jun21 May28 Dec14 Nov22 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
TRIGZ TOO Jul05 Jun21 May22 May08 Mar30 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 8% 11.30    
FEDERALE Jun13 Sep13 Aug30 Jul11 Jun21 (pease harry)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
ELVIRUS Jun15 May20 Apr27 Apr07 Mar11 (gazzier kris)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 6% 15.50    
PANORAMA TRUCK Jun27 Jun06 May11 Apr19 Mar15 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
GOTTSACKER Feb16 Feb02 Oct20 Oct09 Aug16 (bailey joe)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
10  ZERO FOR CONDUCT Jul12 Jul03 May30 May21 Nov23 (witherow sandr)DIAZ I 120 20.00    
SCR  TAMANRASSETT Jul16 Jul05 Jun19 Jun11 Jun04 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 10.00    
SCR  EL GAVILAN Dec28 Nov14 Nov02 Sep08 Jun01 (fernandez a)DIAZ R 119 5.00    
SCR  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May12 Apr27 (sprig)MONSERRATE A 120 10.00    
SCR  FOREVER POE Jul11 Jul05 Jun06     (sipp k)VEGA L 120 4.50    
 
MNR-3   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KELSEY'S ANGEL Jul06 Jun09 May25 May07 Apr08 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 3.00    
RUN KITTY Jul10 Oct25 Oct10 Jun22 May10 (erdel john)DIAZ I 120 4.50    
MAYSVILLE MISS Jul16 Jul02 Jun06 May16 Feb11 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 3.50 32% 2.20    
TEQUILA SUNSET Jul16 Nov15 Oct31 Oct26 Sep16 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
WEDDING BOURBON Jul02 Jun13 Dec04 Nov16 Oct21 (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.40 44% 1.30    
QUITCHERSNIVELIN Jul16 Nov16 Oct16 Sep24 Sep11 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-4   07/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIANNA HILLS Jul18 May21 Nov21 Nov08 Oct25 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
CARLIE Q BLUE Nov02 Sep28 Aug16 Apr25 Mar08 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
MANHATTAN LADY Jun18 May09 Jan12 Dec27 Dec08 (brown t)VIGIL NOEL 120 3.50    
FLECK Jul18 May28 Mar20 Mar01 Feb14 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
MALIBU MARLEE Jul05 Jun18 May29 May15 Mar04 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 29% 2.50    
COURTED Jul17 Jun27 Jun06 May28 Dec29 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 5.00    
LOVE TO ZOOM May12 Mar31 Mar10 Feb16 Feb01 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
MNR-5   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCKOUT GUY Jul16 Jul10 Jun26 Jun04 May06 (fearon johnathon)VEGA JOSE 118 8.00 19% 4.30    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of KNOCKOUT BERTIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ANGELA'S ANGEL Jul16 Jul02 Jun05 Dec08 Nov25 (silva pa)NELSON TYRONE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SHEILA'S ANGEL by STORM OF ANGELS)
ANDYLITHIC Jul16 May29 Mar18 Mar08 Feb02 (cady khali)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 3.50    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TEQUILA LIGHT by COLONY LIGHT)
MOON OVER DUBAI Jul09 May29 Apr30 Mar19 Feb17 (hetric)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TIZCOOL by TIZNOW)
DANG IT CAIN Jul12 Jul02 May20 Apr27 Mar23 (si)DA FAUSTO 118 1.40 38% 1.60    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of ZIPPERINI by CITY ZIP)
CALIFORNIA EMERALD Jul16 Jul02       (sipp k)LEON A 118 10.00    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of CALIFORNIA RUBY by SMILING TIGER)
TURESKIS Apr23 Mar25 Mar04 Dec09   (crago t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LUXURIOUS by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
MNR-6   07/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL AHEAD May06 Apr13 Mar16 Mar09 Jan15 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.00 59% 0.70    
STORIED FELLA Jul05 Jun19 May31 Apr05 Feb12 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  STRONG SAFETY May29 May07 Dec13 Nov30 Nov07 (pizzurro je)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 8.00    
SCR  KAPHAVATA Jul12 May29 May07 Apr04 Mar16 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 2.50    
SCR  ELUSIVE MOTION Jul17 Jun20 Jun05 May21 May07 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 4.00    
FIFTEEN TO VEGAS         (hamilton beverly)CCAMAQUE M 120 20.00    
 
MNR-7   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEAM GOLD DIGGER Jul17 Jul04 Jun10 May23 Apr26 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
CHRISTINA ANN Jan23 Dec13 Nov04     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 6.00    
GORMLEYESQUE Jul10 May12 May02 Apr19 Mar25 (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
SCR  WORTH A PEEK Jul02 Jun13 Dec04 Nov15 Oct26 (delong ben)WHITACRE B 120 5.00    
MIZZEN Jun26 May29 May14 May05 Apr08 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
VALERIE FIRST Jul10 Jun28 May23 May15 Apr19 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00 20% 4.10    
MISS BETTE LUTE Jun14 May23 Apr25 Oct04 Aug29 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 4.50 7% 14.10    
IRON BERTIE Jul16 Jun11 Jun04 May02 Apr11 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
 
MNR-8   07/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SUNSHINE POWER Jul10 Jun05 May22     (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 9% 10.50    
FIRST TIME PLAYER Nov01 Oct26 Oct14 Oct07 Sep10 (silva pabl)LEON A 123 3.50    
ADRIANA ES BONITA Jul09 May30 May15 May01 Feb22 (cordero-lop)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 5.00    
NYSSA Jul17 Jul03 May30 May15 May02 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 123 2.00 68% 0.50    
BLUEBERRY QUEEN Jul17 Jul10 May25 Mar30 Mar16 (larue steve)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
HELLO PERFECT Jun20         (spiess m)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
SECRET SEDUCTION Jul09 Jun05 May22 Oct05 Sep14 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 20.00    
GIO'S MY DAD Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 Dec04 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.