Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (1/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/5/2)-(10/1/6/8/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-2   WIN (10/1/6/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/6/8/7)-(10/1/6/8/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (10/1/6/8/7)-(10/1/6/8/7)-(10/1/6/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (10/1/6/8/7)-(3/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/1/6/8/7)-(3/2/4/5)-(2/1/5/7) 80 $2.00 $160 
MNR-3   WIN (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/4/5)-(2/1/5/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-4   WIN (2/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (8/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/3)-(6/4/8/10)-(2/1/7/10) 64 $2.00 $128 
MNR-7   WIN (6/4/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/10)-(6/4/8/10) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/10)-(4/6/8/10)-(4/6/8/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/8/10)-(2/1/7/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (2/1/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/10)-(2/1/7/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/10)-(2/1/7/10)-(2/1/7/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   07/23/2023 4950ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME IT ON EDDIE Jul10 Jun01 May17 May09 Apr04 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
GENERAL DIRECTION Jun26 Nov08 Oct24 Oct12 Jul13 (conto kevin)JURADO EDDIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
PAPA HONOR Jun06 Oct20 Oct09 Sep18 Aug20 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
HONKY TONK HERO Jun26 Jun19 Jun09 May18 Feb04 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00    
PIONEER DANCER Jun25 Feb21 Feb02 Nov14 Oct31 (logston chr)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PERFETTO Jul10 Jun25 May08 Apr15 Mar14 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50    
PALACE PRINCE Jul17 Jul03 Jun27 May30 May22 (silva pabl)LEON A 123 3.00    
KITCHI Jul11 Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 May14 (gomez alejandro)YARANGA Y 120 30.00    
 
MNR-2   07/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT OF INFINITY Jul09 Jun08 May26 May08 Mar23 (bright derrick)CULLUM W 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
KIKI'S LULU ROSE Oct19 Oct10 Sep28 Jun22 Jun13 (gotera carlo)YARANGA Y 120 50.00    
SCR  CAPETOWN CANDY Jun17 May20 Mar26 Mar03 Feb11 (montano wilfri)JURADO EDDIE 120 4.50    
TERRIFIC LADY Jun11 May08 Mar27 Mar13 Dec05 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 20.00    
CONSTITUTIONALIST Jul02 Jun18 May13 Apr23 Apr02 (bernardini )SEVERINO VICTOR 116 6.00    
PINK CHANNEL Jul03 Jun04 May02 Feb02 Jan10 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
CONNECT IT Jun25 Sep29 Sep22 Sep03 Jul30 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
PARISIAN SUMMER Jul03 Jun20 May25 Mar01 Jan27 (pizzurro jessica)WHITACRE B 119 12.00 14% 6.10    
FRANCIA (PER) Jul09 May15 Mar08 Feb22 Jan30 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 30.00    
10  MILLIONDOLARMONKEY Jun04 Feb15 Dec28 Sep30 Jun29 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  SPRING MAGIC Jun16 Sep19 Aug24 Jul08 May30 (reed r)PAUCAR E 120 1.40    
 
MNR-3   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUVTHEONEURWITH Jul10 Jun18 Jun06 May21 May02 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
KHOPILOT Jul10 May30 May15 Apr15 Mar06 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
AGADOR SPARTACUS Jul05 Jun20 Jun05 Apr04 Mar12 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 0.80 44% 1.30    
CHOPPED Jul10 Jun04 May21 May09 Nov29 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50 6% 16.70    
MIDNIGHT ALIBI Jul10 Jun26 May21 May02 Dec12 (langley car)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLEVELAND POWER Jun26 May21 May02 Dec06 Nov06 (dixon geo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 15.00    
FARTLEK Jun26 Jun06 May21 May02 Apr14 (fiesman l)WHITACRE B 116 12.00    
 
MNR-4   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAILOR'S CHANCE Jul10 Jun17 May30 May09 Feb17 (jenkins a)PAUCAR E 116 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of EXCEPTIONAL CHANCE by AMERICAN CHANCE)
TIME TO MEDDLE Jun16 May18 Mar26 Jun04 May03 (forster grant )JURADO EDDIE 123 1.40 27% 2.70    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of BACK IN TIME by EMPIRE MAKER)
UNKEMPT Jun19 May15 May09 Nov14   (mcdonald )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 30.00    
  (by KLIMT out of IZZY IZZY by MIZZEN MAST)
MR MAYHEM Jul10 Jun26 Jun19     (inirio carl)STEINEMAN JAMES 113 12.00    
  (by TWO STEP SALSA out of MOUNTAIN FIRE by FIRE SLAM)
HURRY ON OUT Jun15 Nov22 Oct26 Apr04 Feb19 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 15% 5.70    
  (by FLAT OUT out of BIG HURRY by RED RANSOM)
BLACK BULL Jul10 Jun19 Jun04 May15 Apr30 (knowles luci)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
  (by DONE TALKING out of RUNAWAY LIZ by YONAGUSKA)
MR YETTIE May09         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 7% 13.20    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of HOLIDAY HOSTESS by LANGFUHR)
JOHN'S KID Jul12 Jul02 Jun05 May15 May09 (silva l)LEON A 116 4.50    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of MEMO FROM PAT by GREY MEMO)
 
MNR-5   07/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT FOR MYSELF Jul11 Jun04 May22 May15 Apr08 (gotera car)LEON A 116 4.00 15% 5.80    
FINAL EPISODE Jul11 Apr28 Apr06 Mar19 Mar01 (cascallares n)LUGO D 116 1.60 20% 3.90    
SCR  EVENING BIRD Jun20 Jun05 May22     (ewell devan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
BAY OF ANGELS Jun25 Jun04 Jun22 Jun06 May17 (sipp burton )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 12% 7.50    
W H LITTLE MISS GO Jul02 Jun21 Jun12 May29 Apr26 (cain crysta)STEINEMAN JAMES 120 10.00    
HOT TAKE Jun21 Jun04 May14 May01 Jul20 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50 13% 7.00    
DEL MAR WOMAN Jul16 Jun11 May15 Apr21 Mar26 (silva pabl)VEGA L 116 6.00    
THATS ALL SHEWROTE Jun21 Jun04 May21 May08 Apr30 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
 
MNR-6   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHOVILLE Jun21 May02 Mar07 Feb16 Jan11 (montano wilf)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  WHAT A TART May02 Dec13 Nov27 Nov15 Nov01 (ewell dev)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 30.00    
UNTOUCHED ELEGANCE Jun27 Jun13 Nov24 Nov04 Oct09 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 3.50 7% 14.40    
LUCKY TO HAVE ME Jul10 Jun20 May22 May02 Mar07 (inirio carl)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50 24% 3.10    
CASSIE'S RAINBOW Jul10 Jun20 May30 May16 May09 (inman l)LEON A 123 20.00    
SCR  LADY VALENTINA Jun18 Jun06 May23 Apr30 Nov30 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00    
SCR  BELLA BASORA Jul09 Jun25 May28 May09 May01 (gotera ju)BRICENO M 116 12.00    
UNDETECTED Jul10 Jun26 May30 May15 May01 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 28% 2.60    
ILLUSIONS OF LOVE Jul10 Aug22 Aug07 Jun07 May03 (crago terry)JURADO EDDIE 123 12.00    
 
MNR-7   07/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBIL MAGIC Jul28 Jun30       (king l)WHITACRE B 120 30.00    
TRINNI VALANTINE Jul02 Apr18 Mar28 Mar07 Feb11 (fearon johnathon)CCAMAQUE M 120 12.00    
CUPID'S NUMBER Jul01 May26 May11 Apr28 Mar17 (donjuan ser)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 3.00    
PAUL DRAKE Jun19 May09 Apr30 Aug07 May29 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
BORN FOR VICTORY Jul10 Jun20 May30 Mar24 Feb23 (cordero-lop)STEINEMAN JAMES 110 12.00    
BAYTOWN JAKESTER Jun06 Apr15 Mar25 Feb22 Feb04 (ewell devan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  STRASBOURG Jul04 Jun12 May29 Apr21 Apr08 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00    
OFFUTT COLE Jun05 May21 Jan19 Dec17 Dec08 (barker james)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  RED HURRICANE Jun14 Mar10 Feb11 Dec28 Dec03 (bernardini )SEVERINO VICTOR 120 4.00    
10  SHINING THROUGH Sep26 Sep14 Sep06 Aug17 Jul24 (van denni)LEON A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-8   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM SATURDAY Nov07 Jun12 May02 Apr04 Feb15 (van denni)LEON A 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
BEYOND GONE Jul02 Jun11 May22 Dec14 Dec04 (zook w)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  FLIMFLAM MAN Jun26 Jun13 May23 May15 Aug26 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00    
CHATTERMAN Jun13 May30 May09 Dec12 Nov16 (snatchko pau)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
DOCTOR LEE Jun26 Nov22 Oct30 Oct17 Sep27 (crago terry)WHITACRE B 123 4.50    
CAVALLOTTO         (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 30.00    
PROFESSIONAL Jul10 May30 May15 May01 Jan18 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TREVILION Jun26 Dec14 Nov29 Nov06 Oct18 (knowles luc)STEINEMAN JAMES 123 30.00    
SCR  SKYSCANNER Jul10 Oct19 Oct09 Sep26 Sep05 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
10  MACHINIST Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 May30 May15 (bell brenda)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.