Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (3/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/8/4)-(8/7/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/8/4)-(8/7/9/3)-(11/12/4/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-2   WIN (8/7/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/3)-(8/7/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/3)-(8/7/9/3)-(8/7/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/9/3)-(11/12/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/9/3)-(11/12/4/5)-(8/6/3/7/12) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-3   WIN (11/12/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/12/4/5)-(11/12/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/12/4/5)-(11/12/4/5)-(11/12/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/12/4/5)-(8/6/3/7/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/12/4/5)-(8/6/3/7/12)-(4/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-4   WIN (8/6/3/7/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/7/12)-(8/6/3/7/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/7/12)-(8/6/3/7/12)-(8/6/3/7/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/3/7/12)-(4/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/7/12)-(4/2/7)-(4/9/2/3/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-5   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(4/9/2/3/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(4/9/2/3/8)-(1/9/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-6   WIN (4/9/2/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/3/8)-(4/9/2/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/3/8)-(4/9/2/3/8)-(4/9/2/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/2/3/8)-(1/9/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LAD-7   WIN (1/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/2)-(1/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9/2)-(1/9/2)-(1/9/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAGO Jun24 Mar26 Feb26 Jul22 Jul02 (adcock charl)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00    
2  ICONIC BONNET Jun17 May30 Apr28 Apr15 Mar17 (gonzalez jai)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 12.00 20% 4.00    
3  ROSALIE'S DESTINY Jun17 May30 May13 Apr30 Mar03 (gonzalez jaime)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50 49% 1.00    
4  ZEEROCK Jun25 Jun17 May29 May15 Mar19 (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHEZA CAT Jun25 Jun10 May13 May05 Apr22 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50    
6  PEACEFUL MOMENT Jun25 May13 Apr14 Mar05 Jan13 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50    
7  OAK HILL SENIORITA Mar11 Feb26 Feb03 Jan13   (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 121 5.00    
8  WATCH OUT NOW May20 Apr14 Mar10 Feb05 Dec14 (rossi j)CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   07/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG SHOT LOUISE Jun04 May14 Apr15 Mar18 Feb03 (dods)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
2  SHEWASN'TEASY Oct27 Oct12       (player fletche)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00    
3  SHE'S WAYNE'S Jun09 May19 Feb11 Jan27 Dec20 (devereux patr)VARGAS P 124 3.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY FLOWERS Jun19 May28       (ingram steve)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
SCR  SASSY SPRY Feb22         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00    
6  TRIPLE THE GOLD Apr15         (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
7  LUYV Jun23 May28       (goins garl)ALBERT S 115 4.50 19% 4.30    
8  BRIELLE EVANGELINE         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 39% 1.50    
9  JENNYSBIGBABY Jun18 May28       (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
10  JESSOLOGY Jul15         (del eric)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
 
LAD-3   07/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CHARGE IT Jun18         (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
SCR  QUARANTINED Apr30 Apr14 Mar03 Feb19 Jan14 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 5.00 33% 2.10    
3  BABY YOUR PERFECT Feb25 Feb04 Dec18     (schmidt denise)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
4  OUR HALLIE         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  E R'S MIREYA Sep19 Jul26 Jun27 Jun05 May10 (ramirez jul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BEAUCLAIRE Jun25 May27 Feb24     (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 112 4.50    
7  SENSING GOLD Jun17 May20 May07 Apr19 Feb10 (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 30.00    
8  THE X FACTOR Jun19 Jun02 May04 Apr15 Mar16 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00    
SCR  CALICO TABBY Mar17 Feb25       (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 25.00    
10  WA WA WEE WA Aug04 Jul23       (del erick)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
11  GLITZ AND GLAMOUR Jul01 Jun15 Apr29 Apr15 Mar19 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
12  SWEET N SALTY Jun11 May27 Apr21 Mar16   (villafranco mart)MELANCON G 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IZEADISTORTEDLADY Jun17 Nov18 Nov08 Oct22 Oct01 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00    
SCR  LADY KRISTEN Jul01 Jun11 May30 May06   (romero alvin )LOZADA CARLOS 121 30.00    
 
LAD-4   07/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIND ON MY MONEY Jun23 May29 May13 Apr26 Jan14 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 116 15.00    
2  LEMON KICK Jan14 Nov12 Oct26 Sep11 Aug14 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00    
3  MINT May29 May15 Feb17 Dec30 Nov23 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
4  HAIL SOUTHERN Jun24 May29 Aug27 Aug11 Jul08 (del cid )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
5  AFRICAN WARRIOR May05 Apr08 Mar02 Jan08 Sep03 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 124 30.00    
6  STANS HOME RUN Jun16 May13 Apr29 Mar17 Jul24 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
7  BREW CREW May30 May06 Apr21 Mar24 Mar11 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  QUICK TO BLAME Jun11 May08 Apr29 Mar31 Feb17 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 5.00 37% 1.70    
9  SHANGHAI'S DREAM May07 Apr27 Apr14 Mar19 Sep05 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00    
SCR  SECOND OF JULY Jun24 Jan08 Oct15 Sep08 Aug13 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 10.00    
SCR  OKUDAH Jun19 May21 Mar05 Jan22 Jan01 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 124 25.00    
12  SWEET RACHEL Feb28 Feb03 Jan05 Dec14 Oct26 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
13  ROBTADI STORM Sep20 Aug09 Jul17 Jun25 Jun06 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 121 20.00    
 
LAD-5   07/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG SCULLY May20 Feb23 Feb11 Jan08 Dec17 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50    
2  A MILLION STARS May06 Feb22 Feb04 Dec19 Oct14 (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.50 14% 6.40    
3  THROWIN' SHADE Jun17 Jun04 May05 Apr14 Feb11 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 8.00    
4  KINGS WAGER Jun25 May30 Apr27 Mar08 Feb03 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 119 5.00 57% 0.80    
5  HALF A BUCK Jun18 May26 Apr20 Feb18 Jan27 (pedigo randy)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
6  PAYNTED LOVER Jul01 Jun11 May29 May07 Feb11 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 10.00    
7  MR. TIN MAN Jun17 Jun05 Nov26 Sep17 Aug15 (romero gerald)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS Mar15 Jan01 Sep24 Sep05 Jul09 (duhon jose)ALBERT S 117 12.00    
SCR  GUITARTUITION PLZZ May27 Apr14 Mar22 Mar03 Feb16 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50    
 
LAD-6   07/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SUCCESS Jun11 May06 Apr15 Mar04 Feb19 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00    
2  KID SHELLEEN Jun05 Apr16 Apr02 Feb19 Dec09 (borel renay)BOREL H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHIEF CHEETAH Jun25 Jun11 Jul06 Jun04 May25 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BUTLER CABIN Jun11 May25 Apr28 Apr08 Mar09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
5  HAPPY BOY ROCKET Apr30 Mar09 Feb20 Feb12 Dec17 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
6  DINNER AT CRUMPIES May27 May06 Apr15 Feb19 Feb10 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
7  PHANTOM RIDE Jun10 Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 Jan01 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.00    
8  NAMESAKE Jun19 Apr08 Mar17 Mar03 Feb17 (swearingen tom)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  EFFICIENCY Jun04 Apr23 Apr01 Feb24 Feb10 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 32% 2.20    
 
LAD-7   07/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THINKITASADONATION Jul01 Jun18 May27 May07 Apr29 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  TELLING THYME Jun02 Apr30 Mar18 Aug26 Jul10 (hatcher natha)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 13% 6.40    
3  REBECCA G May20 May07 Apr21 Jan28 Jan14 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 114 12.00    
4  LIGHTNING HART Jun18 May15 May01 Apr03 Mar14 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00    
5  LOVIN LIVIN Mar05 Feb03 Dec26 Nov27 Oct28 (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 30.00    
SCR  JOANIE GAL Jun12 May22 Jan25 Dec29 Aug21 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
SCR  FLY CONDOR Jun18 Jun03 May11 Apr02 Mar10 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 4.00    
SCR  COLD NIGHT AIR May28 Apr21 Mar26 Feb20 Jan27 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 15.00    
9  FETCHING Mar12 Jun25 Jun11 May12 May01 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 120 15.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  THE MISSING PIECE May29 May06 Mar23 Feb26 Jan05 (hargrave ke)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 25.00    
SCR  CHARLIE'S PEAK Jun01 May06 Jan16 Dec29 Dec10 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 20.00    
SCR  AMARDINE Jun01 Mar18 Apr02 Feb19 Jan29 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.