Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (7/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/5)-(7/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/5)-(7/2/8/5)-(7/2/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (3/9/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/6/5)-(3/9/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/6/5)-(3/9/6/5)-(3/9/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-7   WIN (5/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/9)-(5/4/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/9)-(5/4/6/3/9)-(5/4/6/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-8   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/07/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY THOR Jun19 May27 Oct19 Sep24 Sep07 (servis john )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00    
2  NEVER (IRE) May27 Apr28 Mar02 Jan05 Dec09 (ciamei)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.00 10% 8.50    
3  DELIGHTFUL DIXIE         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 6.00    
4  JERSEY JOYCE         (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 123 8.00    
5  BOURBON MISS Jun30 Oct11 Sep30 Sep14 Jul29 (jennings j)RIVERA R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MRS WHISTLER May27 Mar03 Feb03 Jan06 Jul15 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.00    
7  NICE BABY Jun11 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24   (rodriguez)VARGAS A 118 4.00 62% 0.60    
8  TICKLE MY FANCY Jun10 May07 Apr09 Feb03   (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISS SENSIBLE May20 Apr22       (delgado jorge)FERRER C 118 5.00    
10  TWO SIDES OF LOVE Jun12 May19       (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ A 123 5.00    
SCR  SHE'S AWESOME Jun12 May13 Apr21 Mar16 Jan06 (klesaris steve)JUAREZ NIK 123 4.50    
 
MTH-2   07/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELIKA Jun25 Jun11 Oct16 Sep17   (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  HOLY SKULL Jun25 Apr22       (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
3  NANASQUAN Jun25 May28 Mar08 Feb10 Dec27 (spina charles)IORIO MELISSA 111 5.00    
SCR  WILL BE NOW Feb08 Jan10 Dec05     (avila juan)RIVERA R 113 3.50    
5  DUSTED Jun25 Jun11 Sep23 Sep10 Aug20 (ortega leopo)BATISTA A 123 15.00    
6  WELCOMETOMYWORLD Jun17 May18 Apr20 Apr02 Dec18 (david ca)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.50 36% 1.80    
7  LA DE PELUCHE May28 Sep10       (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 8.00 9% 9.70    
 
MTH-3   07/07/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($22K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENFORCER Jun16 May10 Mar27 Mar15 Feb01 (brown how)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00    
2  ARTIE'S ANGEL Oct23 Sep24 Aug29 Aug17 Jul23 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00    
3  KING OF DREAMS May29 Jan30 Jan15 Oct07 Sep10 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 4.50 50% 1.00    
4  CORKMAN Jun16 May27 Apr29 Apr14 Oct21 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00    
5  SMILE BRYAN May29 May13 Apr08 Mar10 Dec02 (ryan s)LUZZI J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BURNING MAN Jun24 Jun04 Apr30 Mar05 Jan29 (ciamei)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INITFORTHELOVE May29 Mar25 Feb25 Feb11 Jan21 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50    
8  THE PENINSULA May29 Apr30 Apr08 Jan05 Dec24 (delgado jorg)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00    
9  CATATUMBO Jun16 May20 Apr16 Mar26 Feb17 (wilson tony)RENDON JAIRO 120 12.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  DEEP FAITH Jun02 May13 Dec21 Nov30 Oct26 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
SCR  SWING LOW May27 May04 Mar05 Feb08 Jan29 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 120 4.50    
 
MTH-4   07/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOY JIM Jun18 Oct18 Sep18     (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of C M VICTORIA ROSE by THUNDER GULCH)
2  CRUPI Apr08 Feb18 Jan21 Nov20 Oct14 (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.20 46% 1.20    
  (by CURLIN out of DON'TFORGETABOUTME by MALIBU MOON)
3  LIFE ON THE NILE Jun10 May21 Mar23 Mar02 Feb20 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIFE IS SWEET by STORM CAT)
4  SHERIFF RONNIE Jun16 May20 May14 Apr06 Mar19 (sanchez-salomon )FERRER C 118 5.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HEART LAKE by UNBRIDLED)
5  KAW LIGA Sep25         (brown c)RENDON JAIRO 118 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of SWEET TALKIN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  OCCASIONAL MOON Jun21 May29 May05 Mar31 Feb26 (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 118 4.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of OCCASIONALLY by TIZNOW)
 
MTH-5   07/07/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILARDI Jun09 May14 Apr07 Mar08 Feb15 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00    
2  FULL DISCLOSURE Jun18 May27 Apr29 Mar18 Feb18 (dobles eliza)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
3  UNPRECEDENTED Mar25 Feb26 Jan30     (russo fran)RIVERA R 115 6.00 8% 11.00    
4  IKIGAI Jun11 May19 Apr20 Mar04 Feb11 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
5  TALENTED MAN May31 May08 Aug22 Aug04 Jul25 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 8.00    
6  MAMBA ON THREE May28 Apr08 Mar04 Jan19 Nov27 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
7  BAHAMIAN MOON Apr19 Mar11 Feb18 Jan14 Dec15 (david carl)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  ADMIRAL ABE Jun14 May28 Nov23 Nov08 Oct24 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 10.00    
SCR  FEAST May29 Apr26 Feb18 Jan13 Dec08 (bennett s)FERRER C 120 4.00    
SCR  WILD MULE May14 Mar23 Feb19 Jan20 Dec09 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 117 4.50    
SCR  SPUN AND WON Jun06 May02 Feb25 Sep04 Jul10 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50    
SCR  LIKE WHAT I SEE Jun23 Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 Jun17 (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00    
 
MTH-6   07/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR KONG Jun18 May27 May05 Apr14 Mar24 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 124 4.50    
2  LIL COMMISSIONER Jun18 May27 Apr14 Mar05 Feb25 (d'angelo jose )RENDON JAIRO 122 5.00 43% 1.30    
3  MAXIMUS MIDANI Jun16 Apr01 Mar10 May28 Apr10 (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  MUSICAL HEART Jun16 Jun03 May18 Apr28 Apr19 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00    
SCR  HONOR THE FLEET Jun19 May29 May04 Apr15 Mar03 (d'ange)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 10.00    
6  SAILOR SPEED May20 May04 Apr06 Mar25 Mar15 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
7  WILLY MC May30 May09 Apr17 Mar20 Feb14 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 117 5.00    
 
MTH-7   07/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WOLFE 'N HAWKE Oct21 Sep10 Aug28 Jul24 Jun18 (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 20.00    
2  MAGICAL MARRIAGE May29 Mar19 Sep24 Sep11 Aug19 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
3  SIR SAFFER May27 Apr29 Mar26 Mar05 Feb05 (stephens shari)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 ★    
4  DOMINATE THEMOMENT May27 Apr23 Feb15 Dec22 Oct27 (brown how)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00 15% 5.90    
5  KINGMAX (IRE) Jun10         (delgado jorg)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.50 58% 0.70    
6  MEGACITY May04 Mar31 Feb26 Jan20 Oct15 (dobles eliza)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 ★    
7  CLEAR VISION May27 Sep03 Aug04 Jul15 May21 (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.50    
8  MONTAUK SUMMER May27 Dec30 Dec07 Sep18 Sep03 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
9  MT SURIBACHI May28 Nov06 Oct08 Oct03 Sep23 (smylie timot)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CASTLE CHAOS Jun03 Jun02 Apr07 Mar05 Feb05 (falcone robert)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.50    
SCR  SENATE CHAMBER Jun10 Nov22 Oct12 Sep03 Aug07 (ward dan)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00    
SCR  IRISH MEADOW Jun25 Jun11 May21 Nov24 Sep17 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  IT CAN BE DONE Nov19 Oct27 Aug19 Jun26 May29 (sacco d)FERRER C 120 8.00    
14  KYGO (GER) Apr29 Mar31 May12 Apr14 Mar05 (dobles eliza)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00    
 
MTH-8   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY CAKES Jun23 Sep11 Aug28 Aug21 Jul22 (ortega leopo)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.50    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HIGH FLYING FLAG by OUR EMBLEM)
2  TWYLA Jun09 May20 May03 Feb22 Jan24 (carang)GONZALEZ JR 124 20.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VINDYS MIGHTY QUIK by VINDICATION)
3  AURALIA         (paterno ro)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 15.00 7% 14.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of BLUFFING QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  KATE'S CUBAN KISS Jun20 May31       (krebs steven)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 6.00    
  (by CUBA out of KATE'S COZY KISS by COZY DELL)
5  TOOT YOUR HORN         (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 119 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of POOCHY by OFFLEE WILD)
6  CARATS FOREVER Jun09 Jun24 Jun04     (owens jr)MARIN SAMUEL 119 0.80 56% 0.80    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of CARATS NOT CARROTS by HIT THE TRAIL)
7  FOOLS COLLIDE         (huston k)FERRER C 124 5.00 7% 13.30    
  (by KING PUMA out of I'M JULIE by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.