Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - July 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/7)-(6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/7)-(6/2/3)-(2/4/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(2/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(2/4/5/1)-(6/2/1/5/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/1)-(6/2/1/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/1)-(6/2/1/5/8)-(7/1/4/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/2/1/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5/8)-(6/2/1/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5/8)-(6/2/1/5/8)-(6/2/1/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/1/5/8)-(7/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/5/8)-(7/1/4/9)-(6/8/2/4/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (7/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/9)-(7/1/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/9)-(7/1/4/9)-(7/1/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/9)-(6/8/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/9)-(6/8/2/4/5)-(4/6/8/1/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (6/8/2/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/4/5)-(6/8/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/4/5)-(6/8/2/4/5)-(6/8/2/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/2/4/5)-(4/6/8/1/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/4/5)-(4/6/8/1/5)-(5/3/7/2/6) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-7   WIN (4/6/8/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/1/5)-(4/6/8/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/1/5)-(4/6/8/1/5)-(4/6/8/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/8/1/5)-(5/3/7/2/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8/1/5)-(5/3/7/2/6)-(9/3/5/6/8) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-8   WIN (5/3/7/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/2/6)-(5/3/7/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/2/6)-(5/3/7/2/6)-(5/3/7/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/7/2/6)-(9/3/5/6/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-9   WIN (9/3/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/6/8)-(9/3/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/6/8)-(9/3/5/6/8)-(9/3/5/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Jun21 May31 Mar19 Mar11 Feb19 (deiter kel)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 15.00    
2  TAKE AIM May27 Apr28 Apr08 Mar11 Mar02 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 1.20 34% 2.00    
3  ASK HIM OAKEY Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 Mar31 Jan27 (joy j)ACOSTA D 118 4.50    
4  COLONEL CAPPY May27 May04 Jan11 Dec03   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  ARTHUR S GOLD Jun01 May04       (huet k)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
6  STRONG CURLIN         (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
7  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Jun10 May26 May06 Apr29 Apr01 (shanley )BUTTERFLY L 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   07/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER'S DUTY Jun16 Jun02 Apr20 Apr07 Mar17 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 120 6.00    
2  GARY DOING BIZ May25 May04 Apr13 Mar02 Nov10 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
3  CAPTAIN SAM Jun16 May26 May04 Apr14 Mar23 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
4  REAWAKENED May24 Mar08 Feb02 Jan18 Dec14 (meister wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00    
SCR  SHEMADEMELUCKY Jun17 May06 Mar24 Feb26 Feb10 (pennella rh)ESQUILIN J 120 30.00    
6  FORTES Jun16 May26 May05 Apr01 Mar23 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 1.40 23% 3.40    
7  KOBE'S GIRL Jun15 May11 Apr08 Mar31 Mar04 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 3.00    
 
CT-3   07/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE NONSENSE May18 Sep17 Aug27     (mckee e)CECIL Y 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAT WITH A NOTION May18 Apr15 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 1.40 43% 1.30    
3  POWER SONDE May18 Apr07 Jan18 Dec01 Nov16 (bourne l)BUTTERFLY L 122 20.00    
4  LIVANA Jun10 May18 Apr28 Sep17 Sep02 (figgins l)ACOSTA D 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
5  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Jun03 May11 Apr28     (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.00 5% 18.00    
6  AWESOME MOON Jun17 May26 May11 May02 Apr15 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 6.00    
7  ELLIES AT WINDSOR May19 Apr29 Mar18 Feb11 Jan06 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 108 10.00    
8  LET'S DO THIS Jun17 May18 Apr07 Mar11 Feb04 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 12.00    
 
CT-4   07/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ULTIMATE BREEZE Jun15 May06 Apr15 Mar30 Mar04 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SEEMS TO WHISPER Jun09 May28 May20 May06 Nov13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  EXTRA CRUNCHY Jun17 May14 May04 Apr07 Mar10 (perri g)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00    
4  MIDNIGHT REGRET Jun16 May04 Oct26 Oct01 Aug25 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
5  HELLUVA LADY Jun16 May11 Apr27 Feb16 Jan06 (laguna ho)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIZZY GAL May04 Feb26 Jan15 Dec03 Nov05 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00 49% 1.10    
7  IRISH SAMURAI May27 May06 Apr15 Mar31 Mar17 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00    
8  I B NASTY May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb11 (racanelli m)ESQUILIN J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  WATERLOO ROSE Jun15 Dec10 Dec03 Nov19 Nov12 (tobin l)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
 
CT-5   07/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER THIS Jun24 May20 Apr14 Mar25 Feb10 (butts e)LARROSA G 122 1.60 23% 3.30    
SCR  MUD BUG Jun10 May25 Feb09 Jan08 Oct22 (walters dav)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00    
3  ROCKY DICE May26 May04 Apr20 Oct13 Sep29 (murdock )BUTTERFLY L 122 10.00    
4  ANVIL Jun24 Apr28 Mar03 Jan20 Jan06 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BET ON BITZ Jun15 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar25 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
6  CHERRYS CROSS Jun15 May25 May04 Apr21 Mar23 (huet terry)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00    
7  STRONG HEART May26 May05 Apr14 Mar25 Jan07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 55% 0.80    
8  JOHNSELECTRICRIDE Jun11 May25 May04 Mar10 Feb05 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
9  ROCK FILE Jun22 Jun02 May11 Apr13 Oct21 (o'neill tonya)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   07/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY BEAUTY Jul22         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 20.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of BEAUTIFUL ILLUSION by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  TATOR MADE         (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAHAMIAN SQUALL out of KIREMBE by MINESHAFT)
3  POEM Jun15         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 118 6.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of ALJALELA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  DASHING LASS         (shanley )BUTTERFLY L 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of DIBBLE DASH by JUMP START)
5  ZIDORMI         (mcgill sylves)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FRAU BLUCHER by LONHRO (AUS))
6  STORMIN' ANNA Jun09 Dec08 Oct28     (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by STORM WOLF out of BEWITCHING ANNA by ALAJWAD)
7  DEVIN ON EARTH May18 Apr29 Sep16 Sep02   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50    
  (by GRAYDAR out of TRAVEL WISH by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  SHE'S A LINO Nov23 Oct11       (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of STORMY'S HONOR by CONGRATS)
9  THE MONEY MACHINE Jun15 May07 Mar10 Feb22 Jan29 (viands r)ACOSTA D 118 4.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SCORCHED EARTH by ALGORITHMS)
 
CT-7   07/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Jun24 Jun03 May18 Mar25 Mar04 (schottroffe edw)BOCACHICA O 120 2.50 13% 6.50    
2  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Jun30 Jun03 May19 Apr28 Apr08 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
3  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Jun16 Jun09 May18 Apr27 Apr08 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 120 20.00    
4  MACHEN'S RIDGE Jun23 May11 Apr22 Apr06 Mar16 (ovando melvi)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
5  CHASE LIL ME Jun22 Jun01 Apr22 Mar25 Feb25 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 7% 13.10    
6  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS May26 May05 Apr22 Apr06 Mar09 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
7  GET OFF MY CLOUD Jun22 Jun03 May11 Apr13 Feb25 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
8  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Jun16 May26 May06 Apr06 Mar11 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
9  LEG UP Jun03 May11 Apr13 Apr06 Mar25 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50    
 
CT-8   07/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNA WEST Jun17 Apr07       (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 116 6.00    
2  SENTELLA Jun15         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SNOWY JUBA CAT May27 Dec08 Nov11 Oct20 Sep21 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
4  WHALE OF A TIME Jun15 Feb01 Jan14 Dec15 Nov02 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00    
5  FANCY HER UP Jun15 May27 Nov11 Oct22 Oct08 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  BLACK PANDA May26 May05 Mar23 Jan28 Jan11 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Jun16 May26 Apr14 Feb17 Feb10 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00 10% 9.10    
8  AIM'S JUBILEE Mar09 Feb08 Jan06 Dec14 Nov30 (reggetts stephe)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
SCR  GRANDIOSELY May05 Mar01 Feb15 Feb04 Jan25 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
10  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN May11 Apr20 Mar15 Feb12 Jan21 (brown keith)RAMGEET R 120 20.00    
 
CT-9   07/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESUMMER Apr25 Apr12 Mar20 Mar01 Jan25 (davis bil)BOCACHICA J 112 10.00    
2  EQUAL JUSTICE Jun06 May06 Feb23 Nov04 Oct18 (johnston)BUTTERFLY L 122 6.00    
3  NOMO RON May13 Apr28 Feb03 Dec17 Nov05 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
4  GAMING JACK Jun02 May19 Apr28 Apr07 Mar17 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
5  WIDGET FACTORY Jun09 May19 Apr28 Apr07 Mar16 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
6  COWBOY AT HEART Jun24 Apr27 Mar31 Mar10 Feb09 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 12% 7.60    
7  IMPETUOUS Jun09 May15 Apr28 Apr07 Mar09 (shanley mark)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
8  BARRY KARAFIN BETS May28 Apr07 Jun02 May12 Apr21 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  BE BE BOP Apr28 Mar16 Feb22 Oct28 Sep01 (davis b)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
10  NO FOOLING DUDE Jun09 May19 Apr28 Apr07 Mar16 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50    
SCR  TWEET THIS Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Jan27 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
SCR  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Jun28 May19 Jan04 Nov30 Oct27 (borges israel)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.