Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(3/7)-(1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LAD-2   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/7)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(1/4)-(6/1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LAD-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6/1/2)-(4/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(4/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(4/2/6/1)-(5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-5   WIN (4/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/1)-(4/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/1)-(4/2/6/1)-(4/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/1)-(5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/1)-(5/6)-(3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-6   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LAD-7   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LAD-8   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2/6/7)-(3/4/2/6/7) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSALIE'S DESTINY Apr30 Mar03 Feb18     (gonzalez jaime)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  JIVIN ASTRO Jan14 Nov03 Oct06 Jul30 Jul10 (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00    
3  PEACEFUL MOMENT Apr14 Mar05 Jan13 Dec30 Dec03 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  MY RAINBOW         (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 114 4.00 21% 3.70    
5  SECRET MOMENT May04 Oct06 Jul06 Jun11 Apr30 (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 124 3.50    
6  DANCING TRICK Feb28 Feb10 Dec22 Nov12 Sep04 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 3.00    
 
LAD-2   05/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROPHY DADDY Apr20 Feb12 Jan27 Dec30 Dec01 (antwine michael)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00 ★    
2  REDIVIVUS Apr13 Sep20 Sep05 Jul23 Jun14 (snodderl)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 ★    
3  THERIDEOFALIFETIME Mar16 Jan27 Oct07 Aug27 Jul08 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
4  WEDINGTON Feb22 Jan25 Dec21 Nov19 Oct29 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50    
5  SUN SQUALL Apr21 Mar03 Nov19 Oct28 Oct14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50    
6  BODEE BODEE Feb18 Jan14 Dec15 Nov17 Oct28 (turner patti)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00    
7  POST CLOSE Nov18 Oct12 Sep18 Aug13 Jul19 (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 35% 1.90    
 
LAD-3   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAZLA Dec02 Sep05 Jul11 Jul02 Apr17 (nicks ra)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  NON BINDING Apr07 Mar08 Feb01 Jan06 Jun25 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.50 ★    
3  GET OUT TONIGHT Mar10 Feb05 Nov04 Sep16 Jun26 (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
4  KANCANCUTIE Apr14 Mar11 Feb12 Jan21 Nov18 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
5  QUEEN OF MAGNOLIA May05 Mar26 Feb17 Jan13 Dec07 (hurley tina )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
6  THE NEXT BIG BLING Apr22 Apr02 Mar19 Feb26 Jan27 (jacks e)DIEGO V 117 2.00    
 
LAD-4   05/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAUX BINA Apr22 Mar30 Mar16 Feb26 Feb17 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by FIVE IRON out of LAVEN'S LIL DAHL by DON'T GET MAD)
2  RELAY Feb11 Oct02       (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00 11% 7.70    
  (by HONOR CODE out of REHEAR by CORONADO'S QUEST)
3  SCARLETTA Apr22         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of POINTE CLASS by ARCH)
4  SMART IZZY Apr15 Mar24 Mar02 Jan27 Jan14 (hatcher natha)LOZADA CARLOS 116 4.00    
  (by MO TOM out of SEA OF DREAMS by SMART STRIKE)
5  GRACEFUL STREET Apr15         (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 111 8.00    
  (by MO TOM out of SHIRLEY STREET by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  DREWSILLA Mar12 Feb12 Jan01 Dec08 Sep27 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by COSTA RISING out of MILITARY MISS by MILITARY)
 
LAD-5   05/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADIE'S RANSOM Mar10 Feb23 Jan06 Dec21 Mar25 (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00 5% 18.00    
2  B B GUN BULLSEYE Apr07 Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan14 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  DONTFORGETRDREAMS Nov03 Oct14 Aug27 Aug16 Jul19 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
4  OUR CUSTOM DARLING Aug06 Jul04       (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  GATSBY'S GIFT Apr21 Feb17 Dec10 Nov12   (larrosa a)TORRES HUGO 114 10.00    
6  AGGIE DOCTOR May03 Apr07 Mar03 Jan06 Mar25 (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 124 12.00 15% 5.70    
7  DORGENOIS Apr19 Mar18 Dec22 Dec02 Oct14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50    
 
LAD-6   05/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIPITTOTHERIGHT Jul31 Jun21       (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00 ★    
2  SMARTY ALEX Mar26 Mar04 Jan26 Jan07 Dec19 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
3  I'M D'CAT Feb16 Jan08 Dec18 Nov27 Oct05 (brinkman brett)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00    
SCR  CHARLIE G May03 Feb24 Feb15 Jan07 Nov26 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
5  CARLEA'S DREAM Apr22 Mar05 Jan20 Oct27 Sep25 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 2.00 32% 2.20    
6  AVAILABLE STAR Apr30 Mar25 Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  MANGELSEN Mar16 Mar04 Jan20 Aug06 Jul09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00    
 
LAD-7   05/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS PRIORITY Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Dec22 Nov10 (klanfer alan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00    
2  MY LADY LUNA Mar05 Dec23 Dec03 Sep18   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00    
3  HAPPY SAILOR Mar25 Feb04 Jul17 Jul09 Jun17 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
4  FABS Feb24 Jan11 Dec07 Oct26 Sep16 (brinkman b)ALBERT S 117 6.00 16% 5.20    
5  HEATED ARGUMENT Apr30 Mar31 Mar04 Feb03 Dec30 (gonzalez jaime)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.00    
6  LEGENDARY GIFT Apr29 Apr15 Mar18 Feb11 Feb03 (broberg karl)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00 15% 5.80    
7  SERIOUSLY SASSY Feb20 Jan06 Dec16 Oct28 Sep25 (singh s)SINGH R 122 15.00    
 
LAD-8   05/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL GABRIELO Apr26 Apr12 Apr02     (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FLYING WENDY by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
2  ROULETTE         (johnson b)TORRES HUGO 119 4.50 ★    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LAZY SUSAN by TIZNOW)
3  PRINCE COSMO Nov18 Sep17 Aug16     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50 66% 0.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of COSMIC QUEEN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  KNOCK'EM OUT JERRY Mar23 Feb23       (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50 7% 14.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of APTISENO by APTITUDE)
5  READY SHOES Apr29 Mar05 Feb17 Jan13 Dec31 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
  (by PROM SHOES out of MORE THAN CRAFTY by MORE THAN READY)
6  MR. TEXAS CHARM         (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 5.00 ★    
  (by TEXAS RED out of BEL AIR KID by LEMON DROP KID)
7  ORDER OF MERIT Apr07 Mar23 Feb26 Feb04 Jan07 (vil)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 8.00 ★    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SILKY SERENADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  TULSAN May05 Mar03 Feb10     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of REINA MARIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
9  HE'S TROUBLE Mar08 Feb16       (gomez c)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00    
  (by BIND out of KARATE KATIE by PULLING PUNCHES)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.