Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/8/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-2   WIN (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/5)-(3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/5)-(3/8/2)-(3/6/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/2)-(3/8/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/2)-(3/8/2/4)-(3/8/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(1/2/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/2)-(1/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/2)-(1/2/7/3)-(9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-5   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3/6)-(1/2/7/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/7/3)-(9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/3)-(9)-(3/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-6   WIN (9) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (9)-(9/2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (9)-(9/2/1)-(9/2/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (9)-(3/6/9) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (9)-(3/6/9)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-7   WIN (3/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/9)-(3/6/9/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9)-(3/6/9/2/4)-(3/6/9/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/9)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9)-(5/7/3/2)-(2/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-8   WIN (5/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/2)-(2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-9   WIN (2/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/6)-(2/8/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/6)-(2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VANCOUVER SNOW Feb22 Jan26 Dec29 Dec16 Dec01 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 118 4.50    
2  MYLIES STAR Apr12 Mar11 Feb23 Jan27 Jan19 (dussette a)ALBERT S 115 3.50 14% 6.30    
3  RYAN'S GRACE Apr12 Mar26 Feb24 Feb01 Jan20 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  ANIME DAY Apr12 Jan26 Jan12 Jan04 Dec09 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  LUMBERJACK EMPIRE Mar31 Feb09 Jan26 Jan12 Aug24 (romero j)STOKES J 123 8.00    
6  OVERLY SWEET Mar11 Feb22 Jan19 Jan06 Oct27 (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 120 15.00    
7  AUNT JANA Mar26 Mar05 Feb17 Feb04 Nov09 (simon lest)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 12.00 ★    
 
EVD-2   04/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONORARY GUEST Feb24 Jan19 Aug14 Jul23 Jun11 (delany sarah)STOKES J 118 15.00    
2  MY LITTLE JEN Apr13 Feb20 Jan12 Dec11 Aug19 (richards coral)THORNTON G 115 5.00    
3  VARSITY FLYGIRL Mar12 Feb11 Dec09 Oct15 Sep04 (kidd mardy)POMPELL L 118 6.00 57% 0.80    
4  COINMAKER May27 May11 Apr21 Mar16 Feb21 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 8.00 7% 13.90    
5  CAVE CREEK Apr15 Mar23 Mar12 Feb23 Feb11 (dussette a)ALBERT S 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BROKEN PROPOSAL Jan14 Dec04 Nov17 Oct30 Aug26 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 1.80    
7  CANDY'S PARADE Feb15 Dec29 Dec03 Jul21 Jun09 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  GLANCE Feb20 Jan06 Dec09 Aug20 Aug05 (richards cor)MAGNON H 118 2.50    
 
EVD-3   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSE OF HEART Feb25 Jan20 Dec19 Nov25   (noel dane)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FIVE HEARTS by LANGFUHR)
2  PINTORA         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of SUGAR SPUN by HARD SPUN)
3  MALIBU TOAST Mar24 Feb25 Dec31 Nov23 Oct27 (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BLUEEYESINTHEREIN by MAGNA GRADUATE)
4  FOLLOW THROUGH Jan20         (pomier chase)BARRERA J 115 5.00 ★    
  (by BIRD SONG out of BIRD MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  BLACK ACE Apr15 Mar24 Feb22     (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of PINK LENINADE by LEMON DROP KID)
6  ROSIE'S ANGUS Mar19         (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 12.00    
  (by THE PLAYER out of LIGHTNING ROSIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  THISONEISFORYOU Apr15 Mar08       (flint steve)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ULLAPOOL by LANGFUHR)
8  MYSTIC CREED Mar19 Feb23       (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MYSTIC CHARM by WAR PASS)
 
EVD-4   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHIN DRAMA Mar26 Mar09 Feb11 May13 Apr22 (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 115 8.00    
2  MONAASIB Feb17 Jan27 May21 Apr01 Feb23 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 113 15.00 5% 17.90    
3  ITS WILD AGAIN Mar26 Mar10 Feb02 Nov24 Oct28 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 2.00 29% 2.50    
4  FLAT OUT AMERICAN Mar18 Feb26 Dec22 Dec08 Oct19 (williams m)MELANCON G 118 4.50    
5  VIKING LEGACY Mar10 Feb16 Jan13 Dec27 Oct12 (woodley j)THORNTON G 115 10.00    
6  BUTLER CABIN Apr08 Mar09 Feb17     (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 113 1.80 29% 2.50    
7  CALIBRACHOA KID Mar25 Mar03 Feb10 Sep27   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 113 6.00 13% 7.00    
 
EVD-5   04/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTS OF TIME Apr14 Jan25 Dec10 Oct29 Oct15 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
2  LIKEN IT Apr15 Feb28 Feb16 Jan19 Dec28 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
3  BITSY'S CUSTOM C Apr14 Feb21 Jan01 Dec08 Jul29 (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 117 20.00 6% 15.80    
4  OPTIMISTIC Apr13 Feb03 Jan19 Jan06 Dec14 (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
5  TRAELEE Feb16 Jan25 Jan06 Dec09 Nov16 (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 10.00    
6  BIG BOSS MAN Apr13 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 Nov10 (ramirez ed)ALBERT S 112 8.00 ★    
7  HIGH RIDGE Feb28 Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 Nov12 (alberto ant)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 7% 13.20    
8  CUSTOM KAT Feb28 Feb03 Jan13 Dec03 Oct07 (cox l)FUSILIER C 117 15.00    
9  COUNTERFEIT Jan12 Dec15 Nov24 Oct22 Jun20 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 112 15.00    
10  HEARTTHROB HALO Mar02 Jan22 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 117 3.50    
 
EVD-6   04/28/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIEND'S DO CARE Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb21 Dec08 (pennino frank)GREEN AUBRIE 123 8.00 ★    
2  MI SOLUTION Feb17         (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 4.50 ★    
SCR  PRINCE PERFECTA Jan22 Jan13 Jan05 Dec17 Nov23 (johnson b)POMPELL L 123 2.00 69% 0.50    
SCR  SKIPPA Apr08 Feb25 Feb01 Dec10   (charle)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00 ★    
5  UP N GONE Mar11 Feb23 Jan12 Nov25   (mouton cha)MARQUEZ L 118 3.00    
6  DREWNANIMOUS Jan13 Dec26       (briley lon)ALBERT S 113 15.00    
7  ZIPPY TOGA Feb01 Nov19       (breaux samue)BARRERA J 113 15.00    
8  ALL TOGETHER Feb09 Jan15 Dec31     (demouchet ri)TAYLOR BETHANY 118 20.00    
9  OURPERFECTPRINCE Apr13 Mar25 Mar03 Feb10   (david b)THORNTON G 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-7   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASTED Apr13 Mar12 Feb11 Jan28 Jan13 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 12.00    
2  ISOLATION Mar17 Jan12 Dec11 Oct22 Aug13 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 10.00 ★    
3  KATIE'S KARAT Feb11 Jan28 Jan07 Nov23 Jul10 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 1.80 44% 1.30    
4  CATCAKE Feb17 Dec16 Nov23 Oct22 Aug20 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 6.00 ★    
5  GEORGIA DAWN Feb04 Jan25 Nov30 Oct22 Aug19 (magnon ryle)LEDET THEODRICK 115 12.00    
6  DIANNA'S JET Mar12 Feb23 Feb11 Jan28 Dec30 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 115 3.00 29% 2.50    
7  GOODNIGHTLOVING Apr15 Feb11 Jan13 Dec02 Nov23 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 4.50    
8  JERSEY HOTTIE Apr12 Jan26 Dec22 Dec08 Oct26 (cox l)MCMAHON J 118 15.00    
9  WHATS UP SWEETS Mar12 Feb20 Jan29 Jan15 Nov23 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-8   04/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONO Mar23 Feb24 Feb05 Jan15   (calhoun)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 20.00    
2  GOLDENLUTE Apr12 Feb22 Feb05 Jan13 Dec15 (noel dane)VARGAS P 117 8.00 8% 12.30    
3  RANCH WATER Mar26 Feb22 Feb04 Dec31 Dec10 (landry r)THORNTON G 117 2.00 18% 4.50    
4  MR. CROMWELL Mar26 Mar11 Feb05 Jan16   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00    
5  THE BOSS SOSS Mar26 Feb04 Jan14 Dec10 Dec01 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 2.50 26% 2.90    
6  FATHER MARK Apr08 Mar09       (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00    
7  KAJUN KARMA Mar25 Feb22 Jan27 Jan13 Dec10 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 117 3.50 21% 3.90    
 
EVD-9   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOT THE ONE Feb20 Jul16 Jun05     (noel dane)VARGAS P 123 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of WEDDING JITTERS by BROKEN VOW)
2  GOLDUSTER Mar15 Feb11       (landry ray)STOKES J 123 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of HEAVENLY SKY by SKY MESA)
3  TRIPLE RED ACES Feb23 Jan20 Jan07     (landry r)THORNTON G 118 15.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of CLANDESTINE by GRAND SLAM)
4  PARTY LITTLE BOY Mar26 Mar09 Feb17 Jan26 Jan16 (pennino frank)GREEN AUBRIE 120 2.50    
  (by PIMPERNEL out of PARTY WITH BRANDO by BERTRANDO)
5  Z'S GUITAR         (zenon )GUERRERO ANDRES 115 10.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of AMELIATHEAVIATOR by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
6  GOT ME A CHRYSLER Mar25 Mar08 Feb16     (david b)BARRERA J 110 6.00 17% 5.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of BEDAZZLE SEATTLE by GILDED TIME)
7  DEVIL'S HARVEST         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 ★    
  (by SPRING WARRIOR out of DEVILAGE by DEVIL ON ICE)
8  AWESOME CAJUN Feb25 Jan20 Dec20 Nov25 Oct28 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 118 8.00 29% 2.50    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of ABSOLUTE MADNESS by WEST ACRE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.