Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Friday - March 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

OP-1   WIN (7/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5/1)-(7/3/2/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/2/5)-(3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-2   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(2/1/7)-(8/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
OP-3   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(8/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(8/1/3)-(10/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
OP-4   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/3/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/3)-(8/1/3/9)-(8/1/3/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/3)-(10/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3)-(10/3/4)-(3/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
OP-5   WIN (10/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/3/4)-(10/3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/4)-(10/3/4/5/7)-(10/3/4/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/3/4)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/3/4)-(3/2/1)-(6/4/7/8/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
OP-6   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(6/4/7/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(6/4/7/8/2)-(2/5/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
OP-7   WIN (6/4/7/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/8/2)-(6/4/7/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/8/2)-(6/4/7/8/2)-(6/4/7/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/7/8/2)-(2/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/8/2)-(2/5/1)-(8/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
OP-8   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/6/7)-(2/5/1/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
OP-9   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/7/1/10/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/7/1/10/3)-(8/7/1/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTRABANDISTA Feb20 Feb03 May20 Apr08 Mar19 (morse l)BEJARANO R 126 6.00    
BOURBON ON FIRE Mar04 Feb03 Jan14 Dec18 Dec09 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 126 5.00 12% 7.60    
ALPHA WHISKEY Mar04 Sep17 May28 Apr23 Mar17 (morse ran)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 1.40 18% 4.50    
TAP THAT DIAL Mar09 Feb24 Aug31     (vance d)HARR KELSI 117 20.00    
EL GEMAR Mar04 Feb17 Jan14 Jun05 Apr16 (villafranco m)CABRERA DAVID 126 10.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  WINDTAPPER WIN Mar09 Jan21       (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 30.00    
GUIDED ARROW Jan14 Dec03 Nov23 Oct12 Aug24 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 126 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
OP-2   03/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL RUNNINGS Mar05 Feb11 Jan29 Jan06 Dec16 (diodoro roberti)BOWEN ROCCO 118 8.00    
SPACE ODESSEY Feb19 Jan27 Sep29 Aug10 Jun17 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 2.50    
LUCK OF THE DRAW Feb25 Jan11 Dec22 May08 Feb05 (richard chri)JORDAN R 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
CALIFORNIA SWING Feb19 Feb11 Oct12 Sep13 Sep01 (litfin nevada)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 12.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  TWITTY CITY Mar11 Feb19 Feb11 Jan01 Dec11 (altamirano)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
MAJOR KONG Mar05 Feb19 Feb04 Sep11 Jul30 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 113 4.50    
CATHOLIC GUILT Mar02 Feb10 Dec20 Oct26 Aug08 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-3   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST EMPRESS Feb24 Feb11 Jan14 Nov22 Nov15 (vance thomas )CABRERA DAVID 118 2.50 13% 6.50    
SHOW ME GRACE Feb18 Jan16 Dec09 Nov15 Sep25 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 1.60 24% 3.10    
CHASING SHADOWS Feb18 Jan27 Jan01 Dec18 Nov02 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 113 15.00    
SCR  RELIANT Feb19 Jan29 Jan15 Dec14 Dec01 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
EMERALD PRINCESS Mar05 Feb24 Jan29 Oct08 Aug27 (green ike)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 20.00    
SCR  MUMBLEBEE Mar10 Feb17 Jan14 Dec08 Nov12 (mcknight norma)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
LA MORENA Mar05 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 Dec18 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 12% 7.40    
DORITA'S HEART Mar04 Feb17 Feb03 Jan22 Jan07 (litfin nev)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00    
 
OP-4   03/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO DOWN Feb23         (richard chris)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.50 12% 7.60    
LOUD BOY Mar12 Feb24 Feb12 Feb12 Jan22 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 20.00    
AL'S ROMEO         (stuart sh)DE CRUZ 115 15.00 11% 8.20    
SACRAMENT Mar12 Apr08 Mar25 Feb26   (hornsby tammy)WALES T 120 30.00    
SCR  PRATHER Feb09 Jan16 Nov30 Mar12   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SANTINO'S FANTASY Feb26 Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 Dec11 (shorter aaron)FUENTES ERICK 110 12.00    
OTHER TIMES Mar09 Jan21 May08 Apr30 Apr15 (roberts stanl)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 20.00    
DANCIN ROCKET Mar09 Feb04 Jan01     (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 1.20 32% 2.10    
FINBARFUREY Mar11 Feb12 Jan01 Dec16 Sep15 (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 20.00    
 
OP-5   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TROPINKA Jun05 May16 Apr29 Apr09 Mar12 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 123 6.00    
MI CRESCENDO Mar10 Feb03 Jan01 Dec16 Nov11 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
DERBY DAY LASSIE Feb12 Jan22 Dec17 May06 Apr09 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 10.00 25% 3.00    
MORNING TWILIGHT Mar10 Dec17 Nov18 Oct21 Sep23 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 8.00 23% 3.40    
TAP ME A TEXT Jan15 Dec20 Nov30 Nov01 Sep24 (fincher )SANTANA JR 123 4.50    
WARM BEAUTY Feb24 Jun11 Apr29 Mar31 Mar24 (roberts stanl)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 20.00    
FOREVER HOME Feb24 Nov16 Oct26 Oct15 Sep30 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 123 3.50    
TWENTYTWENTYREDO Mar03 Dec17 Nov19 Oct26 Oct06 (pish danny)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SILENT SCARLET Feb17 Jan14 Nov17 Oct13 Sep01 (moysey chelsey )ZIMMERMAN R 123 12.00    
10  PUT A BOW ON IT Feb18 Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 Oct13 (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 2.00 28% 2.50    
 
OP-6   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($35K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEER CHASER Mar03 Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 Oct14 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 11% 8.00    
JOE FRAZIER Sep19 Aug26 Aug07 Jul17 Jun10 (martin ti)TORRES A 118 10.00 12% 7.30    
DARK TIMBER Mar12 Feb05 Dec17 Nov17 Sep24 (casse no)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
DEFLATER Jan15 Dec11 Sep17 Aug20 Jun29 (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 20.00    
DEVIL'S TOWER Mar12 Feb10 Jan12 Aug02 Jul03 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 1.80    
STAGE LEFT Mar12 Jan22 Jan01 Nov25 Nov12 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00    
COLD AS HELL Mar12 Feb25 Feb05 Jan15 Dec18 (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00    
SCR  ALEXANDROS Jan01 Nov12 Oct15 Sep21 Jan07 (duncan va)JUAREZ NIK 121 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
OP-7   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFF RAMP Feb18 Jan29 Dec30 Nov15 Oct16 (rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00    
KEEPMEINTHE MOMENT Jan12 Dec18 Nov27 Nov11 Sep02 (manley steve)ZIMMERMAN R 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
PISTOL Feb12 Jan29 Nov16 Oct12 Sep25 (van thom)CABRERA DAVID 121 2.50    
FAST AND FEMININE Jan28 Jan20 Dec10 Nov14 Oct26 (snipes randy)WALES T 123 3.00 13% 7.00    
CHILLAXIFICATION Feb17 Dec17 Nov21 Nov03 Oct12 (stewart dallas)JUAREZ NIK 121 15.00    
WILDWOOD BYE Dec18 Dec09 Nov19 Oct23 Oct01 (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 44% 1.30    
ARGUMENTAL Feb19 Nov17 Oct26 Mar27 Feb18 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.50 9% 10.80    
ASENA Mar04 Jun22 Jun08 May18 Apr15 (lund valorie)BAZE C 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SECRET FIX Mar10 Jan29 Dec30 Nov26 Oct23 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
 
OP-8   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($102K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHATTALOT Mar11 Jan29 Jan06 Dec10 Nov24 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 5% 18.00    
JACKMAN Mar12 Feb11 Jan28 Jan01 Nov18 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
LAKE RADIO Mar10 Feb18 Feb05 Jan14 Nov14 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00    
MANUELITO Feb25 Dec18 Nov22 Oct27 Oct06 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
KAVOD Mar09 Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 Nov13 (hartman chris)CABRERA DAVID 124 1.60 24% 3.20    
ATOKA Jun25 May28 Apr29 Apr09 Mar19 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00    
FORE LEFT Feb25 Jan15 Dec11 Nov11 Oct01 (diodoro robertin)JUAREZ NIK 121 3.50    
MOWINS Feb25 Jan29 Dec11 Nov12 Oct05 (lauer mich)ERAMIA E 121 20.00    
 
OP-9   03/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR PEEL Mar05 Dec16 Sep09 Aug03 Jul08 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 126 12.00    
READY SHOES Mar05 Feb17 Jan13 Dec31   (wilson m)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
NATORADE Mar09 Feb20       (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
STORM STRATEGY Mar10 Feb03 Jan13 Dec16   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 126 3.50    
WILLIE WIN Mar05         (fires h)COURT K 126 20.00    
JIM NED Mar10 Dec10 Jul03 May20   (pish danny)BAZE C 119 5.00    
MADMARTIGAN Mar05 Feb17       (witt ii)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 6% 16.90    
THIRD WATCH (GB) Feb17 Jan13       (cox h)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.00 67% 0.50    
SEEKING CHROME Mar10 Dec11       (pish danny)ERAMIA E 119 20.00    
10  CYBERTOWN Mar03 Feb03 Jan01 Apr30 Apr16 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 126 6.00    
11  EMPYREAL SHADOW Mar11 Feb17 Dec31     (villafranco m)CABRERA DAVID 119 15.00    
12  WICKED PRINCE Mar05 Feb25 Jan15 Dec10   (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.