Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/1/6)-(5/3/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/3)-(6/5/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
OP-2   WIN (6/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2/8)-(6/5/7/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/7/2)-(5/4/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/2)-(5/4/3/1)-(7/6/4/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-3   WIN (5/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1/2)-(5/4/3/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/3/1)-(7/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/1)-(7/6/4/5)-(2/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-4   WIN (7/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5/3)-(7/6/4/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/4/5)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/5)-(2/4/1)-(4/3/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-5   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/8/1)-(2/4/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(4/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(4/3/1/5)-(2/5/6/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-6   WIN (4/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5/2)-(4/3/1/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/1/5)-(2/5/6/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/5)-(2/5/6/3/7)-(2/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-7   WIN (2/5/6/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/3/7)-(2/5/6/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/3/7)-(2/5/6/3/7)-(2/5/6/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/6/3/7)-(2/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/3/7)-(2/5/4)-(1/2/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/3/1)-(2/5/4/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-9   WIN (1/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7/4)-(1/2/3/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZHOTNDUSTY Feb10 Jan06 Dec11 Dec03 Nov02 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 ★    
2  GINSBURNED Feb25 Feb05 Jan15 Dec30 Dec16 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
3  SQUARE DEAL Feb24 Feb05 Sep10 Aug19 Jul29 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 113 10.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  ALVAARO Mar03 Feb05 Dec02 Nov14 Oct21 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  BLACK STORM Feb20 Feb05 Nov13 Oct21 Sep25 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
6  MYSTERY MO Feb24 Jan20 Oct22 Sep28 Aug26 (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 ★    
 
OP-2   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROOKE'S ALL IN Mar09 Feb18 Jan08     (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 121 20.00    
2  LORI'S EYES Mar03 Jan29 Dec30 Apr24 Apr07 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 20.00 7% 13.80    
3  KOOTENAI FALLS Mar02         (hornsby tammy)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 20.00    
4  KITIARA         (witt ii)WALES T 121 8.00    
5  TIZ A STRATEGY Feb19 Jan28 Jan07     (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 2.50 14% 6.40    
6  ICONIC BONNET Feb25 Jan28       (gonzalez )TRIANA JR 121 1.80 48% 1.10    
7  RELENTLESS ROCKET Mar09 Jan14       (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 121 4.50 9% 10.20    
8  MAY DISCO Mar03 Jan28 Jun22 Jun05 Apr29 (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 125 4.00 ★    
 
OP-3   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT SPRINGS BLING Mar04 Feb03 Dec30 Jun16 May06 (donaldson jerry)COURT K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HISSY MISSY Mar03 Feb17 Feb03 Dec30   (hewitt micha)JORDAN R 120 12.00 ★    
3  MY DAMS ATITUDE Feb03 Dec30 Nov17 May06 Apr29 (westermann r)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 4.00 11% 7.90    
4  C. C. HARBOR Jan27 Sep25 Aug09 Jul18 Jun26 (cates al)TORRES A 117 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  TOO PRETTY Mar04 Feb03 Dec30 Jun29 May06 (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 1.20 31% 2.30    
6  NAVAGATIONALBEACON Feb26 Feb12 Jan22 Dec11 Sep06 (wilson m)SANTANA JR 117 15.00    
7  COURTNEY FAY Jan27 Jan06 Aug27 Jul10 May28 (durham danele)ZIMMERMAN R 120 8.00    
 
OP-4   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($103K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C. J'S STORM Feb04 Jan01 Dec09 Nov08 Oct17 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 110 30.00    
SCR  ARMAN Feb19 Oct02 Aug14 Jun23   (miller peter)GARCIA MARTIN 114 15.00    
3  ROCKING ROCKET Feb25 Jan29 Jan08 Dec10 Aug21 (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 117 12.00 ★    
4  TEN GAUGE Feb24 Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 Nov19 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 4.50 19% 4.30    
5  BUCKTOWN Feb11 Dec28 Dec02 Oct22 Jun11 (morse l)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
6  KING OTTOMAN Sep25 Aug06 Jul09 May30 May07 (asmussen )TORRES A 123 1.20 20% 4.10    
7  CAWKAB Jan07 Dec16 Nov03     (cox brad)SANTANA JR 123 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
OP-5   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAMESAKE Mar03 Feb17 Jan13 Dec10 Oct05 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  PITTSBURGH Feb12 Dec03 Nov12 Aug25 Jul22 (miller peter)JUAREZ NIK 123 1.20 31% 2.30    
3  DEPART Mar02 Jan21 Dec18 May01 Apr09 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 110 20.00    
4  KOSELIO Mar03 Feb19 Feb03 Jan06 Dec18 (green ike)JORDAN R 125 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  LEVY Mar09 Sep10 Aug19 Jul10 May11 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 8.00 19% 4.30    
6  SKYLINE Mar02 Feb20 Feb10 Jan08 Dec09 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 12.00    
7  QUALITY RUN Mar03 Feb17 Jan15 Oct11   (martin wi)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
8  MYSTIFIER Feb26 Feb17 Jan08 Nov12 Sep23 (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.50 ★    
 
OP-6   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST OF GREELEY Feb04 May03 Apr13 Apr02 Mar03 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 121 3.50 19% 4.40    
2  SHIP IT RED Nov29 Nov08 Sep17 Sep05 Aug20 (lund valo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 ★    
3  CITY RAGE Jan08 Nov26 Oct15 Aug13 Jun17 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
4  COLONEL KLINK Feb22 Jan27 Dec10 Nov03 Oct05 (richard chri)JORDAN R 121 4.50 26% 2.90    
5  MEET JOE May07 Apr11 Jan21 Jan03   (owens kory)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00 15% 5.60    
6  JERRY'S EIGHTY Feb10 Jan15 Nov02 Sep26 Jun11 (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
7  PAPA ROCKET Feb18 Feb05 Jan14 Nov04 Sep24 (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 123 2.00    
 
OP-7   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3 F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPONENTIAL STAR Feb11         (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of STAR NUMBER by POLISH NUMBERS)
2  MAGICAL SONG Dec31 Nov04       (cox brad)SANTANA JR 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by TAPIT out of SONGBIRD by TALC)
3  UNSTABLE PRINCESS Feb24 Feb03 Dec31 Dec11 Oct24 (martin william )ZIMMERMAN R 121 4.00 10% 9.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PROUD BETTY by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  MAGIC BUBBLES Feb24         (prather h)BOWEN ROCCO 121 15.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of RIGOROUSLY by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
5  D'ORO STREET Feb03 Dec11 Nov24     (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of STREET SHOW by STREET BOSS)
6  NO GUILT Feb24 Feb03 Jan22 Dec31 Nov26 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 2.50 11% 7.90    
  (by BLAME out of ALL IN WITH ACES by QUIET AMERICAN)
7  A LITTLE GOOD NEWS Feb10         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of NIGHT SONG by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  STAR OF TOMORROW Feb24         (mason ingrid)BAZE C 121 30.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHI OMEGA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  DOGTOWN DIVA Jan25 Dec29 Nov30     (asmussen )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of DARING DIVA (GB) by DANSILI (GB))
 
OP-8   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($106K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE Feb26 Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 Nov03 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 ★    
2  BUTTERBEAN Jul23 Jul09 Jun11 May27 May04 (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 118 1.80 36% 1.80    
3  LIL KINGS PRINCESS Dec26 Sep16 Apr01 Mar06 Jan14 (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 118 10.00 ★    
4  SPEEDOMETER Aug07 Jul09 May13 Mar03 Jan21 (asmussen steven )JUAREZ NIK 115 3.00 9% 10.40    
5  TRAVERSE Feb12 Jan07 Nov16 Jun19 Apr02 (mott riley)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Feb12 Dec16 Nov26 Nov04 May30 (gomez da)SANTANA JR 115 6.00    
 
OP-9   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($106K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR OSCAR Feb11 Jan13 Dec14 Oct29 Oct08 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 3.50 56% 0.80    
2  SKELLY Feb25 Jan20 Dec10 Nov17 Oct02 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
3  LIFE IS HARD Feb05 Jun05 May07 Apr02 Mar04 (divito ja)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 5% 19.00    
4  MRS. BEANS Mar04 Jan01 Dec10 Nov02 Oct07 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 113 10.00 ★    
5  RUGGS Oct17 Sep21 Sep01 Jun11 May21 (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 118 15.00    
6  WHELEN SPRINGS Feb25 Jan08 Nov09 May21 Apr30 (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 113 12.00    
7  ALBIZU Feb25 Jan08 Dec11 Nov14 Oct29 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  EXXEL Jan09 Nov29 Nov04 Sep17 Aug17 (lund valorie)BAZE C 118 20.00    
9  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Feb25 Feb05 Jan08 Dec10 Nov17 (jones larry)HARR KELSI 118 12.00    
10  RAM Feb18 Feb19 Jan01     (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
11  VULCAN Feb25 Jan28 Jan06 Dec18 Jun15 (contreras)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
SCR  MOWINS Feb25 Jan29 Dec11 Nov12 Oct05 (lauer mich)ERAMIA E 118 20.00    
13  GHOSTLORE Mar12         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN Feb20 Nov06 Oct10 Aug21 Jun05 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.